Intersted in risky emerging markets, but spooked out about the sovereign credit meltdown that everyone’s talking about?
RBS (via Alphaville) has produced an awesome flowchart to determine, using various national criteria, whether a given country is at risk of a meltdown.
Basically, it starts at the top and divides countries into two camps — those with external debt above and below 50% debt to GDP. Then it looks at other criteria, such as the inflation rate and the volume of external reserves.
Keep going down the flowchart, and you can see where each country is.
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See Also:
- European Commision Warns: Eight Countries Charging Off A Sovereign Debt Cliff In 2010
- MF Global: A Jobless Recovery, Sovereign Debt Risks, And The "Apex" Of US Liberalism In 2010
- Hedge Fund BlueGold: The So-Called Sovereign Debt Crisis Is A Distraction