BofA/Merrill Lynch: Hedge Fund Managers Suddenly Think It’ll Be A Long Time Before Bernanke Raises Rates

From December to February, hedge fund managers’ sentiment towards the government’s raising interest rates shifted dramatically: now most think rates will stay low through 2011.

Just two months ago, only 23% of the surveyed managers thought the fed would wait past 2011 to hike interest rates.

BofA Merrill Lynch surveyed a bunch of hedge fund managers and until this month, the majority of managers responded saying they thought that rates would be raised by Q3 2009.

hedge-fund-managers-on-interest-rate-hikes

But this month most said they thought interest rates would stay low until at least 2011.

Why?

BofA Merrill Lynch says “the reversals in Chinese equities, European banks and/or the dollar would signal ‘correction over’.”

In short: January’s excess optimism reversed.

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey, Datastream.

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