A Look at Case-Shiller, by Metro Area (March Update)

The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index, a closely watched gauge of U.S. home prices, was mostly flat in January from a month earlier.

The index declined 0.7% from a year earlier. On a month-to-month basis prices fell 0.4% in January from December, but adjusted for seasonal factors the 20-city index was 0.3% higher. The winter months are particularly slow for housing, and seasonal factors play a strong role in price declines. On a seasonally adjusted basis, eight cities posted month-to-month declines. Unadjusted, all but two regions experienced home-price drops.

Los Angeles posted the largest jump in prices, while Chicago posted the biggest drop. Four cities — Charlotte, Las Vegas, Seattle and Tampa — posted new lows following the financial crisis. On a relative basis, Washington, Los Angeles and New York have held up the most, with each of those markets still 70% above their January 2000 levels.

“There is little doubt that housing ’stabilization’ continues although the influx of four million new foreclosures, both on-the-market and shadow inventories that remain elevated, 30 year mortgage rates that are solidly through the 5.1% level and an unemployment rate that remains elevated will all likely continue to put downward pressure on demand and thus prices,” said Dan Greenhaus of Miller Tabak & Co.

Below, see data from the 20 metro areas Case-Shiller tracks, sortable by name, level, monthly change and year-over-year change — just click the column headers to re-sort.
(About the numbers: The Case Shiller indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000. So a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the metro market.)

Home Prices, by Metro Area

Metro Area January 2010 Unadjusted Change from December Seasonally Adjusted Change from December Year-over-year change
Atlanta 107.04 -1.5% -0.5% -2.2%
Boston 153.03 -0.5% 0.3% 1.5%
Charlotte 117.13 -0.6% -0.1% -3.1%
Chicago 125.11 -1.7% -0.8% -4.4%
Cleveland 103.12 -0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Dallas 117.26 -1.3% -0.3% 4.1%
Denver 125.59 -1.3% 0.1% 2.6%
Detroit 71.82 -1.1% 0.1% -7.4%
Las Vegas 103.82 -0.5% 0.3% -17.4%
Los Angeles 172.98 0.9% 1.8% 3.9%
Miami 148.32 -0.2% -0.1% -6.7%
Minneapolis 122.63 -0.6% 0.7% 1.9%
New York 171.27 -0.3% -0.3% -5.3%
Phoenix 111.76 -0.6% 0.8% -4.6%
Portland 147.29 -1.8% -0.5% -4.2%
San Diego 156.95 0.4% 0.9% 5.9%
San Francisco 135.63 -0.6% 0.6% 9.0%
Seattle 145.09 -1.7% -0.6% -6.0%
Tampa 138.18 -0.5% 0.5% -7.4%
Washington 178.02 -0.4% 0.2% 3.5%

Source: Standard & Poor’s and FiservData