
The word of the day is obviously “deflation.”
The dollar is rallying, markets are tanking, and crude oil has fallen below $70.
This is obviously great vindication for the likes of Gluskin-Sheff’s David Rosenberg, who has been a deflationista from the beginning.
In today’s note, he offers 11 points of evidence that that deflation is the primary trend.
Credit is contracting
Wage rates are stagnating
Money supply growth is vanishing
The U.S. dollar is strong
Commodities have peaked
U.S. home prices are rolling over … again
Lumber prices tumbling (down nearly 17% from April 2010 highs)
Wal-Mart is cutting prices on 10,000 items
Home Depot just cut prices on flowers, fertilizers, lawn equipment and outdoor furniture
Taco Bell is offering two dollar combo meals
The April U.S. retail sales report hinted at deflation in groceries, electronics, apparel and sporting goods
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