Author: Darren Rickard

  • FOX NEWS: Slow Sales for Buffet-Backed Chinese Plug-In Hybrids

    Monday, January 04, 2010

    Chinese battery and car maker BYD (1211.HK), backed by U.S. billionaire Warren Buffet, said it has raised its 2010 sales target, as it prepares to roll out its first electric cars.

    BYD, 10 percent owned by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N), aims to sell 800,000 vehicles next year, up from a previous target of 700,000 units, said Paul Lin, manager of the company’s marketing department.

    He attributed the revision to robust demand from Chinese consumers following Beijing’s 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) economic stimulus plan, which includes several measures specifically aimed at boosting car sales.

    “The company already reached its 2009 target of 400,000 vehicles in November, so now we are setting our 2010 target to double that number at 800,000 units,” Lin said, adding that this year’s final sales should come in at around 440,000 units.

    BYD’s F3 sedan was the best-selling car in China in the first 11 months of this year, leading other popular domestic and foreign models, such as, Hyundai Motor’s (005380.KS) new Elantra and Chery Automobile’s QQ, official data showed.

    To help meet market demand, BYD’s new bus plant in the central Chinese city of Changsha and a car plant in the northwestern city of Xian will start operation next year, adding up to 700,000 units of capacity, Lin said.

    Henry Li, general manager of BYD Auto’s export arm, told Reuters in July that the firm aims to be a major global player by 2025, with vehicle sales of 8-9 million. [ID:nHKG366761]

    BYD, which had sold several hundred of its plug-in hybrid, F3DM, unveiled in December of 2008, plans to start selling its first electric car, the e6, in China in the first quarter of 2010, Lin said.

    The e6 had passed government safety inspections in the country and received other necessary permits, he said, adding the firm remained committed to export the model to the United States next year.

    BYD’s shares, traded in Hong Kong, have surged more than 422 percent since the beginning of this year, leading a roughly 49 percent gain in the broader market .HSI and bolstering its founder, Wang Chuanfu, to the top of Forbes 2009 list of China’s wealthiest.

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  • OMAHA WORLD HERALD: WARREN WATCH – Buffett’s Decade

    By Steve Jordon

    WORLD-HERALD STAFF WRITER

    Now that the Decade of the Aughts is done, let’s look at the Decade of Warren Buffett.

    Some of the 2000s’ highlights for Omaha’s most famous, and richest, citizen:

    From Dec. 31, 1999, to Dec. 31, 2009, Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s stock price gained 77 percent while the Standard & Poor’s index of 500 stocks fell 24 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 9 percent. The Dow and S&P figures don’t reflect dividends paid to shareholders, however.

    His long-awaited biography, which he had intended to write but delegated to a former insurance analyst, opened Buffett’s personal and business sides. Others also write books about Buffett, but Alice Schroeder’s “Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life” will remain the prime source of inside information about him, his family and his business dealings.

    If you count the pending purchase of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp., Buffett acquired 33 businesses in the ’00s, a tally that does not include big investments in General Electric, the Chinese automaker BYD and other companies. Buffett had decided that, in general, owning an entire good company is better than owning a piece of a company through an investment.

    Berkshire ends the decade with about 225,000 employees, all but 19 of them outside its home office in Omaha. That’s down about 21,000 from a year ago because of recession-related job cuts. The businesses acquired since 2000 (not counting Burlington Northern) employ about 178,000 people.

    Buffett has become something of a regular on cable TV, chatting with anchors when things are going well and when it’s gloomy. His New York Times opinion piece in October 2008 (headlined “Buy American. I Am.”) helped turn people’s attitudes toward recovery.

    His life changed with the death of his wife, Susan Thompson Buffett, in 2004 and his 2006 marriage to Astrid Menks.

    Buffett became the biggest philanthropist in history when he pledged the bulk of his wealth — estimated at $37 billion when he made the announcement in 2006 — to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. He also pledged large donations to the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation and to foundations headed by his three children.

    As Berkshire grew, Buffett’s universe of worthwhile financial deals shrank because a transaction needs to be huge to make a difference on Berkshire’s balance sheet. In 2000 his acquisition criteria included after-tax annual profits of at least $50 million; the latest criteria put that figure at $75 million.

    Buffett, 79, discusses plans for his successor in each annual report. His concluding remarks have not changed during the decade: “Lest we end on a morbid note, I also want to assure you that I have never felt better. I love running Berkshire, and if enjoying life promotes longevity, Methuselah’s record is in jeopardy.”

    Acquisition talk

    News outlets quote unidentified sources as saying Buffett is interested in acquiring Residential Capital, a division of GMAC that originates and processes mortgages, but Buffett has not commented.

    The New York Post said ResCap, as the division is known informally, is falling close to its minimum net worth of $250 million. GMAC has said it wanted to have a plan in place by the end of 2009 for ResCap, which has lost more than $1 billion each quarter since mid-2007.

    But another unidentified source said he would be surprised if Buffett bought the division now.

    “ResCap is a good solid business platform and has technology,” the Post quoted David Lykken, president of consultant Mortgage Banking Solutions, as saying, and would make sense for Berkshire at the right price.

    ResCap services the nation’s fifth-biggest portfolio of mort- gages and would profit if interest rates rose and people took longer to repay mortgages. But if the recession deepens, loan delinquencies could hurt ResCap profits, the sources said.

    Reuters reported that Buffett is in talks with hedge fund managers David Tepper of Appaloosa Management and Marc Lasry of Avenue Capital to buy ResCap.

    New board member

    The newest member of Berkshire’s board of directors, Stephen Burke, is the son of retired Capital Cities/ABC executive Daniel Burke, who served during the time Berkshire was an investor in Capital Cities.

    Stephen Burke, 51, is chief operating officer of Comcast Corp., the nation’s largest cable TV company, and “is business-savvy, owner-oriented and keenly interested in Berkshire,” Buffett said in a statement announcing Burke’s election to the Berkshire board.

    Last week Burke became a Berkshire shareholder, buying five Class A shares for $98,780 each, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    Bloomberg News reported that Buffett had praised Daniel Burke for his work in the 1990s. Stephen Burke’s work path includes the Walt Disney Co., which also was partly owned by Berkshire, as president of ABC Broadcasting.

    He also is on the board of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and has been credited with integrating Comcast’s acquisitions of AT&T Inc.’s broadband unit and Adelphia Communications Corp.’s cable systems, Bloomberg said.

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  • STAR TELEGRAM: How Berkshire Hathaway’s deal for BNSF played out

    By ANDREA AHLES

    Posted Thursday, Dec. 31, 2009

    When Berkshire Hathaway announced Nov. 3 that it would buy Fort Worth-based Burlington Northern Santa Fe for $26 billion, it became clear that the first conversations about the deal took place during Berkshire Chief Executive Warren Buffett’s stay at a downtown Fort Worth boutique hotel 12 days earlier.

    That Oct. 22 gathering at The Ashton was ostensibly for a meeting of the Berkshire Hathaway board, attended by Buffett, Microsoft founder Bill Gates and other company directors.

    But a government filing made late last week discloses the details of just how quickly the world’s second-richest man put together the deal to acquire the 77.4 percent of BNSF that Berkshire didn’t already own.

    The BNSF filing, which included voting instructions for BNSF shareholders who still must approve the deal at a Feb. 11 meeting in Fort Worth, also states that if the merger is not completed by June 30, either party can walk away.

    On Dec. 7, the Federal Trade Commission said it found no antitrust issues, clearing the way for the acquisition to be completed in the spring.

    Here’s a timeline, as recounted in the Securities and Exchange Commission filing:

    Oct. 22 — Buffett meets with BNSF Chief Executive Matthew Rose and other BNSF executives before the Berkshire board meeting. At the meeting, the railroad’s “business and financial performance” is discussed.

    Oct. 23 — Buffett and Rose meet in the evening. Buffett says that if the BNSF board is “receptive,” Berkshire will buy all outstanding shares for $100 each. Berkshire already owns about 22 percent of the railroad. Buffett also details the financing of the deal: 40 percent in Berkshire common stock and 60 percent in cash, including an $8 billion loan.

    Oct. 24 — Rose calls lead BNSF director Ed Whitacre to inform him of Buffett’s interest. Whitacre advises him to retain financial and legal advisers for BNSF.

    Oct. 26 — A special board meeting is held via conference call to review the details of the potential purchase. Rose tells the board he has contacted Goldman Sachs and Evercore Partners as financial advisers. During the meeting, advisers inform the board that the “current state of the financial markets and BNSF’s market capitalization would make a superior proposal by a private-equity buyer unlikely.” The regulatory analysis also notes that Berkshire holds investments in at least two other rail carriers.

    Oct. 27 — Rose calls Buffett to tell him that the board met the day before and is “still considering the matter.” He asks Buffett about Berkshire’s other rail investments. Buffett replies that he is willing to sell all Berkshire’s shares in other railroads.

    Oct. 28 — The BNSF board holds another telephone conference and considers contacting other potential acquirers. After “extensive discussion,” the board authorizes Rose to enter negotiations with Berkshire. Later that day, Rose calls Buffett and asks whether he would increase the offer above the $100 per share. Buffett tells Rose that the offer is at the very top of the range he is willing to pay.

    Oct. 29 — A draft merger agreement is circulated between the companies.

    Oct. 30 — BNSF and Berkshire execute a confidentiality agreement and begin negotiating terms of the merger.

    Oct. 31 — The Compensation and Development Committee of the BNSF board holds a special meeting via telephone to discuss how the transaction will affect employee benefit plans.

    Nov. 2 — The BNSF board holds a special meeting in Detroit to review and discuss the merger. “After engaging in extensive discussion, the BNSF board unanimously approved the merger agreement as being in the best interests of BNSF and its stockholders.”

    Nov. 3 — The companies announce that Berkshire will buy the outstanding shares of BNSF for $26.3 billion.

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  • CNBC: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Blasts Benchmark S&P Over Decade

    Published: Thursday, 31 Dec 2009 | 4:17 PM ET


    By: Alex Crippen

    Executive Producer

    Shares of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway far outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 stock index over the decade of the 2000s, with a gain of 76.8 percent.

    The S&P dropped 24.1 percent, excluding dividends, over the same ten-year period ending today (Thursday.)

    Buffett beat the S&P in six of the 10 calendar years, but 2009 was not a winning year for the Oracle.

    Berkshire did manage a small gain of 2.7 percent this year, but the S&P’s surged 23.5 percent, excluding dividends That ends a three-year winning streak for Buffett & Co.

    It’s the S&P’s biggest annual winning margin since the tech bubble days of 1999 when the benchmark beat Berkshire by over 39 percentage points. (Berkshire won by double-digits the next three years.)

    Berkshire Hathaway Stock vs. S&P 500 Index

    Annual Gains
    Year BRK.A Close BRK Pct. Change S&P Close S&P Pct. Change
    2009 99,200 +2.7% 1115.10 +23.5%
    2008 96,600 -31.8% 903.25 -38.5%
    2007 141,600 +28.7% 1468.36 +3.5%
    2006 109,990 +24.1% 1418.30 +13.6%
    2005 88,620 +0.8% 1248.29 +3.0%
    2004 87,900 +4.3% 1211.92 +9.0%
    2003 84,250 +15.8% 1111.92 +26.4%
    2002 72,750 -3.8% 879.82 -23.4%
    2001 75,600 +6.5% 1148.08 -13.0%
    2000 71,000 +26.6% 1320.28 -10.1%
    1999 56,100 -19.9% 1469.25 +19.5%
    1998 70,000 +52.2% 1229.23 +26.7%
    1997 46,000 +34.9% 970.43 +31.0%
    1996 34,100 +6.2% 740.74 +20.3%
    1995 32,100 +57.4% 615.93 +34.1%
    1994 20,400 +25.0% 459.27 -1.5%
    1993 16,325 +38.9% 466.45 +7.1%
    1992 11,750 +29.8% 435.71 +4.5%
    1991 9,050 +35.6% 417.09 +26.3%
    1990 6,675 -23.1% 330.22 -5.8%
    1989 8,675 +84.6% 350.67 +26.3%
    1988 4,700 +59.3% 277.72 +12.4%
    1987 2,950 +4.6% 247.08 +2.0%
    1986 2,820 +14.2% 242.17 +14.6%
    1985 2,470 +93.7% 211.28 +26.3%
    1984 1,275 -2.7% 167.24 +1.4%
    1983 1,310 +69.0% 164.93 +17.3%
    1982 775 +38.4% 140.64 +14.8%
    1981 560 +31.8% 122.55 -9.7%
    1980 425 +32.8% 135.76 +25.8%
    1979 320 +110.5% 107.94 +12.3%
    1978 152 +10.1% 96.11 +1.1%
    1977 138 +55.1% 95.10 -11.5%
    Average +27.7% +8.8%

    Current Berkshire stock prices:

    Class A: [BRK.A 99200.00 UNCH (0) ]

    Class B: [BRK.B 3286.00 -3.6499 (-0.11%) ]



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  • REUTERS: China’s BYD lifts 2010 auto sales target 14 pct

    By Joanne Chiu

    HONG KONG, Dec 30 (Reuters) – Chinese battery and car maker BYD (1211.HK), backed by U.S. billionaire Warren Buffet, said it has raised its 2010 sales target, as it prepares to roll out its first electric cars.

    BYD, 10 percent owned by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N), aims to sell 800,000 vehicles next year, up from a previous target of 700,000 units, said Paul Lin, manager of the company’s marketing department.

    He attributed the revision to robust demand from Chinese consumers following Beijing’s 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) economic stimulus plan, which includes several measures specifically aimed at boosting car sales.

    “The company already reached its 2009 target of 400,000 vehicles in November, so now we are setting our 2010 target to double that number at 800,000 units,” Lin said, adding that this year’s final sales should come in at around 440,000 units.

    BYD’s F3 sedan was the best-selling car in China in the first 11 months of this year, leading other popular domestic and foreign models, such as, Hyundai Motor’s (005380.KS) new Elantra and Chery Automobile’s QQ, official data showed.

    To help meet market demand, BYD’s new bus plant in the central Chinese city of Changsha and a car plant in the northwestern city of Xian will start operation next year, adding up to 700,000 units of capacity, Lin said.

    Henry Li, general manager of BYD Auto’s export arm, told Reuters in July that the firm aims to be a major global player by 2025, with vehicle sales of 8-9 million. [ID:nHKG366761]

    BYD, which had sold several hundred of its plug-in hybrid, F3DM, unveiled in December of 2008, plans to start selling its first electric car, the e6, in China in the first quarter of 2010, Lin said.

    The e6 had passed government safety inspections in the country and received other necessary permits, he said, adding the firm remained committed to export the model to the United States next year.

    BYD’s shares, traded in Hong Kong, have surged more than 422 percent since the beginning of this year, leading a roughly 49 percent gain in the broader market .HSI and bolstering its founder, Wang Chuanfu, to the top of Forbes 2009 list of China’s wealthiest.

    The shares fell 3.78 percent in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, lagging a 0.51 percent fall of the market. (Reporting by Joanne Chiu; writing by Doug Young and Fang Yan; Editing by Chris Lewis and Valerie Lee)

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  • FURNITURE WORLD: Jeff Child, RC Willey Home Furnishings New NHFA President

    Tuesday, December 29, 2009
    By: Furniture World Magazine

    NHFA announced that Jeff Child, RC Willey Home Furnishings, Salt Lake City, Utah, takes office January 1 as 2010 president of National Home Furnishings Association (NHFA), the nation’s largest trade organization for home furnishings retailers. He succeeds Michael B. Spiller, Spiller Furniture, Tuscaloosa, Ala. who becomes chairman of the executive committee. The outgoing president becomes chairman in the following year.

    Other officers are: Senior Vice President and Treasurer, Dianne Ray, Garden City Furniture, Garden City Beach, S.C.; Senior Vice President, Marc Schewel, Schewel Furniture, Lynchburg, Va.; and Senior Vice President, Cherie Rose, the Rose Collection, Los Gatos, Calif.

    New directors are: Brian D. Casey, High Point Market Authority, High Point, N. C.; Robert J. Maricich, World Market Center, Las Vegas, Nev.; Thomas H. Olinde, Olinde’s Furniture, Baton Rouge, La.; Sherry Sheely, Sheely’s Furniture & Appliance, Inc., North Lima, Ohio; and John C. Stewart, Jr., Big Sandy Super Store, Franklin Furnace, Ohio. These individuals join a group of retailers who are already serving as directors.

    Child is a long time association member and leader of both NHFA and its West Coast affiliate, Western Home Furnishings Association (WHFA). Jeff, son of Sheldon, helped his father and uncle, Bill Child, with the family business working in the warehouse and later in merchandise display and the carpet department. After graduating from Brigham Young University, he worked as a sales associate and buyer, eventually becoming president. As one of the top home furnishings retailers in the country, RC Willey attracted the attention of Warren Buffet, and in 1995, the company and Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc., announced a merger agreement. In 2004 Child was selected NHFA’s Retailer of the Year in the over $10 million category for his service to the industry, service to his community and creative leadership in his company. As president of NHFA, Jeff wants to strengthen the association’s mission to help retailers find ways to profitability and to provide the services which make that possible. One of these ways is HomeFurnishings.com, developed by the association to drive business to member retailers.

    NHFA is an almost ninety-year-old trade organization serving home furnishings retailers in all 50 states, Canada and abroad. NHFA’s stated mission is “to provide our members with the information, education, products and services they need to remain successful.”

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  • The church of Warren Buffett: Faith and fundamentals in Omaha

    By Mattathias Schwartz , Jan 2010

    The man sits alone in a room, on the fourteenth floor of a gray building. The man’s suit, his hair, the sky through the window, and the rows of figures sliding across the abacus of his mind—these too are gray, though each gray is of a different value. Against the wall stand rows of files containing data from the fifty-odd years of solitary roomsitting. The man drinks cola. He reads the paper.

    Every so often the phone rings and the man answers. Usually the answer is “no.” Long ago the man concluded that such quietude was optimal for making money. “Inactivity strikes us as intelligent behavior,” he once wrote. By “intelligent,” he meant “profi table.” Over time this intuition was confirmed. The man is the richest in the world, except for certain years when he
    is the second richest. “If I wanted to, I could hire 10,000 people to do nothing but paint my picture every day for the rest of my life,” is the example he once gave of how much his money could buy, if what he wanted was money to spend. But the man would rather stay in his room and watch his heap of money grow.

    The man visits the same restaurant and orders the same steak. He goes home to the same house. He plays bridge on the Internet. Every other week the man—his name is Warren Buffett—rides the elevator down to the basement of the gray building, where, in a tiny barbershop, he receives the same haircut. In lieu of the room on the fourteenth floor, now off-limits to most visitors, the barber chair where he sits has become a kind of shrine.

    You can download this 9 page Harper’s Jan 2010 cover story here. You must be a member of the Share Investor Forum to do so. It is free and easy to join.


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  • 24/7 WALL STREET: Job Cuts Outstrip Berkshire Hathaway Shares

    Posted: December 28, 2009 at 6:52 am

    There was an interesting filing out during the Christmas holiday showing that Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-A) weren’t in the holiday spirit for much of 2008. There were 21,000 fewer employees at Berkshire Hathaway entities in 2009 compared to 2008’s 246,000 employees.

    Bloomberg called this “a slump at its manufacturing and retail units.” The new tally of about 225,000 workers according to documents pertaining to the planned acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: NBI).

    This also followed a Barron’s feature article calling Burlington Northern’s tepid outlook a warning. In fact, Barron’s leaves the base case scenario as one with no real recovery in 2010 not just at Burlington Northern but in general. At the same time it poses an inexpensive Berkshire Hathaway stock.

    When you consider how many units are at Berkshire Hathaway, more than 70 in all, there are many obvious spots where employees may have been trimmed. Some of Berkshire’s retail and construction-related units are Acme Brick, Ben Bridge Jeweler, Benjamin Moore, Borsheims Fine Jewelry, Clayton Homes, Helzberg Diamonds, John’s Manville, Jordan’s Furniture, Nebraska Furniture Mart, RC Willey Home Furnishings, See’s Candies, and Star Furniture. There is also the Buffalo News.

    Berkshire Hathaway’s stock has not exactly been a huge harbinger that Buffett and friends will turn the hiring machine back on. At $98,895.00, it is down one-third from all-time highs. The stock is barely up 2% from the $96,600.00 price at the end of 2008. Shares are up 35% from the March 9 closing that investors use as the official end of the bear market, but this compares to a gain in the S&P 500 Index of roughly 27% in 2009 and 69% since the March 9 closing bell.

    It is probably not fair to only look at Berkshire Hathaway’s share price when considering jobs. Mr. Buffett tends to look at his whole operations rather than his share price, but that won’t necessarily be the same for the Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. It also took Buffett far longer to turn optimistic than the overall markets indicated throughout the entire 2009 stock market recovery.

    Buffett might be more optimistic now, but it doesn’t seem likely the HR departments are yelling “All Aboard!” throughout the subsidiaries.

    JON C. OGG

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  • TICKERSPY.COM: Buffett and Tepper Bet On Housing Recovery

    by Owen Vater | December 28th

    Filed in: Hedge Fund and Institutional News

    Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A, BRK-B) and Appaloosa Management have large stakes in a struggling division of GMAC.

    According to The New York Post, value investing legend Warren Buffett and 2009 hedge fund all-star David Tepper are among those to hold large debt positions in ResCap – a real estate financing division of struggling auto lender GMAC. ResCap has reportedly lost -$10 billion over the last three years, and $12.5 billion taxpayer dollars have helped keep its parent company in business. Close calls with insolvency haven’t scared the billionaire investors from another bet on the U.S. economy, and the investment theme has yielded both significant returns since the pullback.

    Last week we covered David Tepper’s outstanding stock picking in 2009, which earned his investors a reported 120% return by the start of December and is set to net him a personal $2.5 billion. A look at Appaloosa’s largest holdings at the end of Q3 shows that the fund still held significant stakes in Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), and Hartford Financial (HIG), all of which dipped to Armageddon pricing during the recession.

    Tepper told The Wall Street Journal, “If you think the economy will be fine, as we do, then we’re going to do very well” – commenting on his appetite for highly rated commercial mortgage-backed securities.

    Meanwhile, Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway made what he called an “all-in wager on the economic future of the United States,” purchasing the remaining portion of railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) for $26 billion last month. Berkshire’s top end-of-Q3 holdings also include big stakes in a handful of other iconic American brands. Coca Cola (KO), Wells Fargo (WFC), and American Express (AXP) remain among Buffett’s favorites. Preferred shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), which Berkshire bought during the recession, were also among the holding company’s biggest positions as of the most recent regulatory filings.

    It will be interesting to see how Tepper and Buffett perform throughout 2010. For a performance chart of their top 13F-reported holdings, and portfolio data from more than 3000 other Pros visit tickerspy.com.

    Pro portfolio performance is based on institutions’ top-15 holdings as disclosed in quarter-end filings with the SEC. Pro performance does not take into account additional holdings beyond the top 15 nor does it include positions that are not required to be disclosed by the SEC. As such, Pro portfolio performance should be considered an approximation and not a precise record of how an institution has performed over time.

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  • RTT NEWS: Railroad Stocks Under Pressure Amid Concerns About Industry Outlook

    12/28/2009 11:21 AM ET

    Transportation stocks are showing notable weakness during trading on Monday, with railroad stocks weighing down the sector by a considerable margin. The weakness comes after some pessimistic comments about the railroad sector in a report from Barron’s.

    The losses by railroad stocks are contributing to a 1.1 percent loss by the Dow Jones Railroads Index. With the loss, the index is pulling back off of the fourteen month closing high set last Thursday.

    The pullback comes after Barron’s said comments from the management of Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) indicated that the economy and subsequently the railroad industry would not begin to see a substantial recovery until the year 2011.

    Despite the comments, Burlington Northern stock is showing a lack of direction and its currently up by only 0.1 percent, as it remains in a tight trading range.

    The previous significant move for the stock came in early November, when billionaire investor Warren Buffet announced he reached a deal for his firm Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) to buy the rail transport firm for $100 per share.

    Meanwhile, Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) and CSX Corp. (CSX) are two of the sector’s steepest decliners, falling by 2.4 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively. Trinity remains in a recent trading range, while CSX is pulling back off of Thursday’s fifteen month closing high.

    Genesee & Wyoming Inc. (GWR), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) and Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) are also retreating, moving off of their recent highs, while American Railcar Industries (ARII) is bucking the downtrend in the sector, rising by 4.2 percent.

    by RTT Staff Writer

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  • THE STREET: Buffett’s Big Bets Trail the Indexes in 2009

    By Eric Rosenbaum 12/28/09 – 11:39 AM EST

    Stock quotes in this article: BRK.B , KO , WFC , AXP , KFT , BNI

    OMAHA, Neb. (TheStreet) — It was not the finest of years for Warren Buffett — indeed, the top ten Berkshire Hathway(BRK.B Quote) holdings have significantly trailed the best S&P index returns in 2009, according to data as of the last week of December.

    Most of the Berkshire top ten finished the year ahead of share prices on Dec. 31, 2008 — with the exception of Wells Fargo(WFC Quote).

    Still, gains made by Warren Buffet’s biggest portfolio holdings were relatively small when compared to the best performing stock sectors in 2009. The broad recovery throughout the U.S. economy in the second half of 2009 was reflected to a much-lesser extent in Buffett’s biggest bets.

    The best-performing stock sectors in 2009 were led by the S&P 500 Healthcare Facilities Index, which was up more than 380% through Dec. 23. The S&P 500 Automobile Manufacturers Index was up 232% through Dec. 23. The S&P 500 Real Estate Services (219%) and Dividend Metals & Minerals (217%) indexes were also both up more than 200% in 2009.

    Buffett has always made it clear there are certain sectors he just won’t play in as he doesn’t understand them — the Internet sector most notable among the Buffett-mystifiers. And in 2009, the stocks Buffett does understand couldn’t touch the Internet. The S&P 500 Internet Retail Index was the fifth-best performing sector in 2009, up 183% through Dec. 23.

    Even the best-performing of Berkshire Hathaway’s top ten significantly trailed the returns of the fifth-best sector performance, S&P 500 Internet Retail. American Express(AXP Quote), of which Berkshire Hathaway owns 13%, was up more than 120% in 2009, from $18.55 on Dec. 31, 2008, to $41.70 on Dec. 28, 2009.

    Among financial stocks, it was a mixed bag for Berkshire Hathaway in 2009, as the gains made by American Express were offset by the continued slump at Wells Fargo(WFC Quote). Buffett owns close to 7% of Wells Fargo, which declined from $29.48 at the beginning of 2009, to $26.91 on Dec. 28, 2009.

    Kraft(symbol Quote), of which Berkshire Hathaway owns 9%, inched out minor gains in 2009, from a Dec. 31, 2008 share price of $26.85, to $27.36 on Monday.

    Gains made by Coca-Cola(KO Quote), of which Buffett also owns approximately 9%, were at the level of the broad market. Coca-Cola shares rose from $45.27 at the outset of 2009 to $57.40 on Dec. 28, or a gain of roughly 21%, on par with the S&P 500 Index 2009 returns.

    Berkshire Hathaway’s biggest holding, Wesco Financial(WSC Quote), rose from $288 to $343 through Dec. 28. Berkshire owns 80% of Wesco.

    Burlington Northern(BNI Quote), increased from $75.70 to $98.40 after Buffett announced the premium he was paying for the railroad shares. Berkshire owned 22% of Burlington Northern ahead of the proposed complete takeover.

    The Washington Post(WPO Quote), of which Buffett owns 18%, rose from $390 to $445 by Dec. 28, or a gain of 12%, still well short of the broad market.

    Moody’s(MCO Quote), in which Berkshire Hathaway has been decreasing its 13.5% stake, gained from $20.00 to $27.47 by Dec. 28. Still, the 2009 gain of 27% for Moody’s was nowhere near the best S&P sector gains in 2009. What’s more, the fact that Buffett was decreasing his Moody’s stake throughout 2009, while big holdings like Kraft and Coca-Cola trailed the markets, did not help the return profile of Berkshire’s biggest bets.

    Paul Howard, an analyst with Janney Montgomery Scott’s Langen McAlenney division, said while the biggest Berkshire Hathaway bets clearly were not aligned with the best-performing stock sectors in 2009 — and, in fact, significantly lagged for the most part — Buffett did make some great investments in 2009 that should perform well over time. Howard pointed to the deals Buffett struck for preferred shares in Goldman Sachs(GS Quote) and General Electric(GE Quote).

    Howard noted that the Goldman investment has already proven a “home run” and, especially in a low-yield environment like the current one, both financial sector investments should perform well over time.

    — Reported by Eric Rosenbaum in New York.

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  • CNBC: Doug Kass Predicts Warren Buffett Will Step Down In 2010

    EWB note: Doug seems to be losing the phony war he has with Buffett as stocks climb in value. He loves the attention that his bold statements are getting him.

    Published: Monday, 28 Dec 2009 | 11:47 AM ET



    By: Alex Crippen

    Executive Producer

    The investment strategist who profitably shorted Berkshire Hathaway’s stock in 2008 has a bold forecast for 2010.

    Appearing as guest host on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning, Seabreeze Partners’ Doug Kass predicted Warren Buffett will step down in the coming year.

    As he ran down a series of coming surprises with Joe Kernen and Carl Quintanilla, Kass told viewers, “With the Burlington Northern acquisition, the Oracle has basically completed his canvas and there’s really very little left for him to do.”

    The prediction is number 12 of “Dougie’s Top 20 Surprises for 2010,” as listed last week in a Barron’s blog:

    12. Warren Buffett steps down. Warren Buffett announces that he is handing over the investment reins to a Berkshire outsider and that he plans to also announce his in-house successor as chief operating officer by Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in 2011.

    (Kass has his own post on the subject today in a paying-subscribers-only section of TheStreet.com.)

    Doug Kass
    Short seller Doug Kass, as seen on TheStreet.com

    While Kass says he “worships” at Buffett’s “investing altar,” he’s been very critical of Buffett over the past two years. In January, Kass wrote that “Buffett’s salad days seem to be over; the only question that remains is the timing and to what degree investors will abandon the Oracle of Omaha.”

    Buffett has repeatedly said he has no intention of quitting at Berkshire anytime soon because he loves his work so much.

    Unless he suffers some unexpected physical or mental impairment, it’s hard to imagine that he would be any happier doing anything other than going into his Omaha office each day looking for more ways to make money.

    Current Berkshire stock prices:

    Class A: [BRK.A 98715.00 -180.00 (-0.18%) ]

    Class B: [BRK.B 3285.25 UNCH (0) ]

    Topics:CEOs and CFOs | Warren Buffett



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  • Download Graham & Dodd’s “Security Analysis”

    I have read parts of David Dodd and Benjamin Graham’s 1934 bible on investing, Security Analysis and have found it quite a challenge but nevertheless very informative.

    This 725 page giant of a book was written at a time where the global economy was in a depression brought on by the over exuberant roaring 20s and the subsequent 1929 stockmarket crash.

    It has had several updates since its original edition and is often hard to come by in your local bookstore. A sixth edition will be out soon. I wanted to read the original book to get a feeling for the markets and general investment outlook of the time. Its relation to today’s market conditions is important to me.

    From the Amazon preview of the first edition of Security Analysis:

    The original words of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd–put to paper not long after the disastrous Stock Market Crash of 1929–still have the mesmerizing qualities of rigorous honesty and diligent scrutiny, the same riveting power of disciplined thought and determined logic that gave the work its first distinction and began its illustrious career.

    In their preface to this book, Graham and Dodd write that they hope their work “will stand the test of the ever enigmatic future.” There is no doubt that it has.

    I have seen it at my local Borders in Albany though. They have one copy at a price of NZ$120.

    Now I have other books on my reading list but I want to tackle this one first, principally because it was the text that Warren Buffett based much of his investing style on and as my regular readers know I am a Warren Buffett nut.

    I have already read Benjamin Graham’s The Intelligent Investor but I felt I needed a more detailed analysis of his investment style and his and Dodd’s Security Analysis tome fits that bill to a tee.

    Many stockbrokers in the past have used Security Analysis to go back to in times of doubt, and given current market turmoil investors might be wise to start reading.

    It is clear the majority of stockbrokers in the United States and in other global markets haven’t even turned a page of this essential investment tool and I know that is more than the case in New Zealand stockbroker circles.

    My local ASB Securities broker said what? when I asked him during a related conversation if he had even heard of the book! Even The Intelligent Investor was another language to him.

    You can get a physical copy of the book from the Share Investor Bookstore or download it free here. You have to Register to a member of Share Investor Forum to download the book but it is fast and free.

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  • BARRONS: Burlington Northern’s Tepid Outlook Is a Warning

    By ANDREW BARY | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR

    A PESSIMISTIC BUSINESS FORECAST BY THE management of Burlington Northern Santa Fe as the railroad considered Berkshire Hathaway‘s merger proposal in late October may mean U.S. industrial activity will be less robust in 2010 than many on Wall Street anticipate.

    Railroads, which transport more than 40% of the country’s freight, are an excellent gauge of economic activity. If Burlington’s (ticker: BNI) outlook proves accurate, the nation’s other major railroads — CSX (CSX), Norfolk Southern (NSC) and Union Pacific (UNP) — also could see subpar results. Shares of all three have rallied since Burlington’s Nov. 3 announcement of its acceptance of Berkshire’s (BRKA) $34 billion proposal.

    After Berkshire CEO Warren Buffett made what proved to be a successful $100-a-share bid to Burlington CEO Matthew Rose, Burlington management sent the railroad’s board four potential financial scenarios to consider as it weighed Buffett’s proposal. The most optimistic — that Burlington could earn $5.06 a share if the economy and the company’s business recover in 2010 — was at odds with Wall Street’s far more upbeat 2010 consensus earnings estimate of $5.50 a share, according to the preliminary proxy for the merger.

    Management thought it more likely the economy wouldn’t start to recover until 2011 and that the railroad would earn a depressed $4.40 a share in 2010. The other two scenarios were even more bearish: Either there would be no recovery and unit growth would be flat for five years, or the economy would enter a “deeper recession.”

    These forecasts suggest Berkshire overpaid for Burlington. Wall Street thinks Buffett paid a full but not excessive price, especially as 40% of the deal price will be paid in Berkshire shares.

    At 99,000 each, Berkshire’s Class A shares are little changed since the merger was announced Oct. 23. The stock is up 2% this year and trades for 1.2 times our estimate of year-end 2009 book value of $84,000 a share, below an average multiple of 1.6 times book in the past decade.

    Berkshire looks attractive, given its low valuation and the company’s enhanced earnings power, which stems from several well-timed investments Buffett made during the financial crisis, including stakes in preferred stock and warrants of Goldman Sachs and General Electric.

    IF BERKSHIRE IS UNDERVALUED, Burlington holders are getting a particularly good deal. The Burlington board’s quick approval of the transaction suggests it believed Buffett is paying a full price. Besides, the board determined it had few other options; a merger with another big railroad would have raised antitrust issues. It was told private-equity buyers were unlikely to bid because of the difficulty of financing such as a large purchase.

    Burlington is an atypical Berkshire acquisition because it doesn’t generate a lot of free cash flow, owing to the costs associated with maintaining its large rail network. The company spent $3 billion last year on locomotives and other capital equipment, more than double its depreciation expense. Burlington shares now trade at 98.40, a slight discount to Berkshire’s purchase price. The acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of 2010.

    [Burlington Chart]

    Buffett takes a long view and he called the Burlington deal an “all-in wager on the economic future of the United States.” It also bespeaks his confidence in the American West. Burlington and Union Pacific are the dominant rail carriers west of the Mississippi, with Burlington a major hauler of coal from the Powder River basin of Wyoming and Montana. It’s also a big carrier of agricultural commodities.

    WALL STREET IS PLAYING DOWN the importance of Burlington management’s bearish 2010 forecast.

    “We believe the Burlington board is probably conservative in its approach and economic outlook, which would encourage management to provide scenarios that are also somewhat muted,” wrote JPMorgan railroad analyst Thomas Wadewitz in a report titled “Thoughts on BNI’s proxy: Were 2010 Scenarios Conservative or Cause for Concern?” Wadewitz thinks Burlington’s forecasts “may not provide a good read for other railroads.”

    Burlington and other major railroads report weekly car loadings, and Burlington’s performance has been the worst of the bunch in recent months. Its shipment volume is down 14% in the fourth quarter, against a 7% drop for Union Pacific. Coal traffic, which accounts for about a quarter of Burlington’s revenue, has been weak because utilities, the major coal consumers, recently were sitting with 77 days of supply, compared with a normal level of 45 days at this time of year.

    The Bottom Line

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is paying $100 a share in cash and stock for Burlington Northern. Because Berkshire looks cheap, Burlington holders ay do well.

    “There is no V-shaped recovery at this point. The recovery is shallow,” Dan Keen, the assistant vice president of policy analysis with the Association of American Railroads, said in our D.C. Current column last week.

    At a time when major market indexes are at or near 2009 highs and valuations on many industrial stocks are signaling a significant recovery, the cautious view of Burlington’s management is worth heeding. It could mean 2010 will be tougher for the markets and the economy than Wall Street expects.

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  • EXAMINER.COM: Warren Buffett to help promote Hank Paulson’s “On the Brink”

    December 26, 9:20 Bill Freehling

    Billionaire investor Warren Buffett will lend his star power to help promote his friend Hank Paulson’s upcoming book “On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System

    Paulson, the former U.S. treasury secretary, is set to release his book about the financial events of last fall on Feb. 1. The full title is “On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System.”

    Buffett is a good friend of Paulson’s from the latter’s days at Goldman Sachs. The two communicated frequently during last year’s crisis, Andrew Ross Sorkin shows in his excellent book about the crisis, “Too Big to Fail.”

    The Omaha World-Herald reports that Buffett will appear with Paulson at a Feb. 9 event in Omaha sponsored by the Greater Omaha Chamber of Commerce.

    The two men will talk about the economy and take questions. Paulson will talk about the book.

    The meeting is less than a week after Paulson’s book is set to be released and is sure to draw ample publicity that should help with sales of “On the Brink.”


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  • TIMES ONLINE: Buffett poised to pick up GM’s mortgage business

    December 26, 2009

    Warren Buffett is understood to be in talks to buy Residential Capital, the troubled mortgage business owned by GMAC, General Motor’s finance division.

    Berkshire Hathaway, the investor’s company is, along with Appaloosa Management and Avenue Capital, the hedge funds, a big holder of Res Cap’s debt.

    Res Cap was America’s fifth-largest mortgage origination and servicing company, but many of its loans were sold on interest-only terms to low income buyers, which meant that it was hit badly by the housing market crash.

    Mr Buffett could be interested in Res Cap’s servicing portfolio, the part of the business that collects mortgage payments, levies late payment fees and handles foreclosures.

    This month, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage, Berkshire Hathaway’s part-owned subsidiary, bought a commercial mortgage servicing business from Capmark Financial Group for $468 million (£293 million).

    A GMAC spokesman declined to comment on the future of Res Cap.

    Appaloosa made headlines this week when it emerged that the fund manager had made a $7 billion profit this year by betting on the recovery of the US economy, putting David Tepper, its founder, in line for a $2.5 billion payday.

    Mr Tepper, a former Goldman Sachs bond trader, bought bank shares when they were cheap in February and March, gambling that the financial sector would recover from the credit crisis. More recently he has bought into commercial mortgage-backed securities, despite fears elsewhere that the sector is going to make further losses next year.

    Michael Carpenter, GMAC’s new chief executive, said in an interview last month that his top priority was deciding the future of Res Cap, which has lost $9.2 billion over the past eight quarters. Res Cap’s losses were one of the main drivers behind GMAC’s $12.5 billion government bailout.

    Mr Carpenter told American Banker, the newspaper, that he was looking at “every conceivable alternative” for Res Cap, including bankruptcy. “What we want to do, to the best we’re able to, is draw a box around [Res Cap] and say that’s it contained,” he said.

    Meanwhile, Berkshire Hathaway has sparked fresh excitement over a successor for Mr Buffett by announcing Stephen Burke, Comcast’s chief operating officer, as a new director. Berkshire’s board has been criticised in the past for being made of up too many elderly insiders — half of the board’s members are older than 70 and four are older than 80.

    Mr Burke, 51, has a long family connection to Mr Buffett. His father, Daniel, was one of the founders of Capital Cities/ABC, of which Berkshire was the biggest shareholder.

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  • BUSINESSWEEK.COM: Berkshire Eliminates 21,000 Jobs amid Slump

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway reported 21,000 fewer employees than it had at the end of 2008 amid a slump at the firm’s manufacturing and retail units

    By Andrew Frye and Peter Eichenbaum

    (Bloomberg) — Warren Buffett‘s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) reported 21,000 fewer employees than it had at the end of 2008 amid a slump at the firm’s manufacturing and retail units.

    Berkshire and its subsidiaries have about 225,000 workers, the Omaha, Nebraska-based company said this week in regulatory filings. That’s 8.6 percent lower than the 246,083 disclosed in the 2008 annual report. Berkshire provided the jobs information in a document tied to its planned $26 billion takeover of railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (BNI) Buffett didn’t reply to a request, left with an assistant, for comment on the cuts.

    Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive officer, oversees a collection of more than 70 subsidiaries that sell products including Geico car insurance, Fruit of the Loom T-shirts and Dairy Queen ice cream. Profit at the firm’s manufacturing, service and retail businesses plunged by more than half in the first nine months of the year, and Buffett replaced the CEOs of two operating units whose sales suffered in the recession.

    “There’s a lot of businesses that have been struggling,” said Paul Howard, an analyst with Janney Montgomery Scott LLC’s Langen McAlenney division in Hartford, Connecticut. “I gotta believe all his managers are on their toes trying to figure out what to do.”

    David Sokol has announced about 800 job cuts at NetJets since taking the helm at the luxury air travel unit in August. Sokol, who also heads Berkshire’s energy business, was installed by Buffett after NetJets founder Richard Santulli posted about $349 million in first-half losses and left the company. Buffett replaced Marvin Beasley in April as CEO of Berkshire’s Helzberg Diamond Shops.

    Good Times, Bad Times

    “When times are good, you’re going to have more people employed than when times are bad,” Buffett, 79, said this month in a video address to the 37,000 railroad employees that Berkshire will take on next year with the completion of the Burlington Northern takeover.

    Fruit of the Loom announced in March it would lay off 3,000 textile workers in El Salvador because of excess inventory, La Prensa Grafica reported, citing Jose Antonio Escobar, president of Camara de la Industria Textil y de la Confeccion de El Salvador. The newspaper reported on Dec. 3 that the company planned to hire back 1,000 workers.

    Fruit of the Loom had more than 34,000 workers at the end of 2008, according to Berkshire’s most recent annual report, the largest total among its operating units. John Shivel, a spokesman for Bowling Green, Kentucky-based Fruit of the Loom, declined to comment.

    Carpet, Bricks

    Buffett told shareholders at the firm’s annual meeting in May that he expected more cuts at Berkshire following reductions last year at Clayton Homes Inc., which builds manufactured housing, and brickmaker Acme Building Brands. Berkshire reported its first quarterly loss since 2001 in the first three months of this year. The firm returned to profit in the second and third quarters, helped by an advance in the stock market.

    Shaw Industries, the carpet and flooring manufacturer, eliminated 600 jobs in March as it shuttered yarn facilities in Georgia, according to Employment Spectator. The company said in September it planned to cut another 430 jobs in the state, the Associated Press reported. Julius Shaw, head of investor relations for the Dalton, Georgia-based company, didn’t return a call seeking comment. Shaw had about 29,000 workers at the end of 2008.

    “We will be adding people at some point, but we won’t do it until we see the demand come back,” Buffett said in a September interview conducted by the CEO of Business Wire, the Berkshire unit that posts corporate press releases. “It’ll be a little slow because we don’t want to go through what we did before. Although, I will guarantee you that three years from now, our brick companies, our carpet company, and our insulation company will all be employing far more people than now.”

    Newspapers, Furniture

    Berkshire’s Buffalo News, which started the year with about 846 employees, cut approximately 100 jobs through voluntary attrition, said newspaper Vice President Daniel Farberman. Most of the cuts came on the production side of the business, he said in an interview.

    “Advertising has been a challenge all through 2009, although we are starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel,” he said.

    Jordan’s Furniture eliminated “dozens” of jobs this year in Massachusetts, the Boston Globe reported on April 25. Attempts to reach a representative of Jordan’s yesterday were unsuccessful and the company’s voice-messaging system said corporate offices in East Taunton, Massachusetts, would be closed through Christmas.

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  • ASSOC PRESS: Buffett and Paulson to talk about economy in Omaha

    OMAHA, Neb. — Billionaire Warren Buffett will sit down with former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to talk about the economy at an Omaha event next year.

    Buffett, who is CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., and Paulson, who led the Treasury during last year’s economic meltdown, will headline the Greater Omaha Chamber of Commerce’s annual meeting on Feb. 9.

    Buffett and Paulson will discuss excerpts from Paulson’s new book “On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System.” The book is scheduled to be released on Feb. 1.

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  • THE STREET.COM: Buffett’s Legacy Shows Values Matter

    By Richard Levick 12/23/09 – 12:01 AM EST

    Stock quotes in this article: BRK.A , WMT , MSFT , GS , HD , LUV , LCC

    It’s been over a year since the financial market crashed and, with it, the reputations of arguably every significant Wall Street business leader. Against the prior backdrop of Enron, WorldCom, et al., the malaise extends beyond the financial services as well, tainting C-suites across multiple industries.

    Given the enormity of the crisis and the perceived breach of public trust, the pandemic negativism should not be all that surprising. Much more surprising is that certain reputations have remained uninfected, as if there were something in the DNA of these leaders that inoculates them against blame and allows an indissoluble bond with the mass public.

    The name of Warren Buffett ranks highest on this enviable list. It can be argued that Buffett’s rather mystical hold on public admiration is belied to some extent by his actions during the crisis. In her updated biography, The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life, Alice Schroeder points out that, while Buffett acted as “the economy’s greatest cheerleader,” he was lending at rates that bordered on “usurious.” Meanwhile, because of Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A Quote) concentration in financial stocks, book value dropped by almost 10%, the largest decrease in its history.

    Our concern is not to thrash out such arguments one way or another. If anything, sophisticated criticism of Buffett’s business decisions only underscores the personal imponderables that have enabled him to play father figure during the global ordeal. It’s likewise significant that those traits are by no means unique to Buffett. The personal styles of business legends like Sam Walton, who founded Wal-Mart(WMT Quote) and Bill Gates, with Microsoft(MSFT Quote) are extremely different from Buffett’s, yet there’s enough in common to suggest powerful lessons in leadership itself.

    The knee-jerk explanation — that businessmen like Buffett and Walton and Gates maintain public trust because they actually create jobs — is only superficially valid. There will always be people who cannot understand how and why Goldman Sachs (GS Quote) likewise creates jobs. Yet ask some of those same people what Berkshire actually does and they may not know that either. The link between Buffett and job-creation is no more discernible to the untutored eye than for Lloyd Blankfein or, certainly, the CEOs of consumer banks.

    No, the Teflon is more deeply layered than that. Consider:

    Spirit of Place. Buffett is Nebraska; Walton, Arkansas; and Gates, West Coast. In other words, not New York! It may be altogether specious to oppose Wall Street to Main Street, especially for a financial markets power broker like Buffett. But none of these men are ever thought of as part of a Wall Street inner circle and, at least these days, that’s a helpful starting point to maintain public trust.

    The clear lesson for those who do work in the canyons of Lower Manhattan is to also be visibly involved in communities beyond New York.

    Lifestyle. Buffett’s well-crafted personal mythology emphasizes disdain for the material trappings of success, as did Walton’s. Buffett drives a 1990s American car and still lives in the home he purchased for a pittance decades ago. He apologizes for his private plane. Walton drove a red pick-up truck at the height of his success, which Home Depot (HD Quote) co-founder Bernard Marcus recalls had no air conditioning but plenty of coffee stains. Walton’s Bentonville office was small and unadorned.

    Consciously or not, both men understood the leadership impact of such Spartan accoutrements. The American people (like any people) may dream of opulence, but they also distrust it and those who revel in it. If nothing else, the lifestyles of Buffett and Walton differentiate them from all the successful people whom the public envies. Take away public envy and all that’s left is public admiration.

    But their austerity bespeaks durable leadership at two deeper levels as well. First, the Protestant ethic views work as intrinsically valuable. Buffett and Walton personify that ethic because they eschew the trappings of success in favor of what’s really important to them — the work itself. The purpose of business is not to decorate the mansions of business owners, but to create something that will have permanent and collective impact. In this respect, Gates, while not known for a modest lifestyle, is relevant. When he was selected as the world’s most admired business leader in a 2005 poll, over half the names mentioned were company founders. Building something mattered.

    Second, austerity inspires confidence, and not just because it shows these are serious men who won’t be distracted by frivolousness. Their austerity also shows that success has not changed them; that they have the same values with which they started out, and are no less trustworthy than when they opened their first five-and-dime. At a time of crisis, to whom should we turn if not such embodiments of uncompromised personal stability?

    When executives stay away from those private elevators, they make wise peacetime investments, building personal brands that help preserve public loyalty when the battles begin.

    Philanthropy. Charity does not guarantee permanent public approbation but it’s difficult to achieve it absent ongoing reminders of the leader’s resolve to give back as much as possible. In 2005, Time did not honor Gates as Man of the Year because of the latest Windows incarnation; the Persons of the Year went instead to Bill and Melinda Gates (along with Bono) for their charitable work. Buffett’s contribution of 10 million Berkshire shares the very next year was unmitigated synergism, thunderously underscoring both men’s leadership by coupling them in the same conspicuous public context.

    Philanthropy also reinforces the “lifestyle” leadership component. After all, leaders who don’t care about buying the Hope Diamond further demonstrate their commendable indifference by using the money to support worthy causes.

    Uncommon Common Wisdom. The public will always admire those from whom it can learn. Wall Street kingpins are perceived as trafficking in esoterica; they’ve figured out brilliant financial stratagems, which explain their success. Most people do not hope to learn from them because most people do not understand those stratagems.

    But Buffett and Walton inspire because they sincerely explain their incalculable success with homey concepts that anyone can understand. Consider a few postings from the blog, youngentrpreneur.com:

    “Buffet is such an inspiration to young serial entrepreneurs like myself. I especially liked “hang out with people better than you.” It’s so true. You always gravitate to, and become more like, those you are around.”

    “I love Warren Buffet! Not because he’s extremely wealthy but he creates his choice of words in a simple fashion.”

    “[His] line ‘Focus on your customers and lead your people as though their lives depended on your success” is such a strong driving force to succeed in business.”

    If you understand his simple wisdom, you can succeed, too. Your hope is so strong; it inspires a loyalty to your mentor that transcends crises and failures.

    At the organizational level, highly complex business realties can and should be similarly recast in fundamental human terms; that is certainly the lesson we learn from Nuts!, the book about Southwest Airlines (LUV Quote) by Kevin and Jackie Freiberg.

    Prophetic Power. Buffett’s friend Bill Gates does not, to be sure, fit the mold exactly. He lives lavishly and does not inspire with simple practicable wisdom. Unlike Buffett, he is loathed in some quarters for his ruthlessness. Unlike Sam Walton — who continues to be personally admired despite the business controversies his company has undergone since his death — Gates’ reputation is often inseparable from Microsoft’s.

    But Gates shares one quality, especially with Buffett, that provides him with a very special and admired niche in the hierarchy of public esteem. It is the apparent ability to know what’s coming next before anyone else does. In fact, the word “visionary” is often used to describe Gates’ eye for the technology that will dominate the future as well as its effect on that future. It’s a mystique Gates consciously reinforces (including a 1996 best-seller called The Road Ahead).

    At times of crises such unique prescience is always at a premium, since crises by their very nature raise fretful question marks about the future. If he lacks Buffett’s comforting paternal aura, Gates is at least the man to see when survival itself demands knowing what lies ahead.

    Gates made his bones as a prophet by spearheading the renewal of American technology at a time when it seemed the Japanese owned all the keys to the future. For those who lived through it, such leadership is remembered, and it covers a multitude of purported sins.

    Anxiety about the future drives stockholders and taxpayers no less than CEOs. They can take just about anything except uncertainty. In a past column, we discussed the leadership of Sully Sullenberger, the US Airways(LCC Quote) Hudson River crash hero; his leadership was in simply alleviating unbearable anxiety. Gates’ was ultimately no different.

    Fighting Spirit. Given any degree of sympathy for your cause, the public will be loyal to fighting spirits, especially in underdog roles. While Buffett’s and Walton’s relatively humble beginnings imply such courage, for Gates it’s an overt leadership definer. To some extent, the Microsoft antitrust case actually consolidated Gates’ place in the pantheon. If he began his ascent to power by taking on IBM, now he was going toe to toe with the U.S. government. People who had scant idea what the case was about were instinctively supportive.

    No one ingredient can, of course, define a whole DNA. Yet imagine these molecules in combination: A munificent heartland business leader who still lives as he lived a billion dollars ago; who knows how to speak simple wisdom to a cross-section of people; who can foresee tomorrow’s problems with the assuring strength of a sympathetic father; and who can fight for what he believes in against superior odds.

    The reputation of such a leader won’t be vitiated by something as insignificant as a global financial collapse. Richard S. Levick, Esq., is the president and chief executive officer of Levick Strategic Communications, a crisis communications firm.

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  • BUSINESS INSIDER: Transcript of “inside” Interview with Burlington’s Matt Rose and Warren Buffett

    Joe Weisenthal | Dec. 22, 2009, 3:22 PM

    Burlington Northern (BNI) has just published an internal video interview with its soon-to-be owner Warren Buffett about what Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) plans to do with the company.

    The answer?

    Nothing.

    In classic Buffett form, he insists he has no plans to do anything with the railroad excpet let it run itself as it’s always done.

    You’ll see. Several times throughout the interview he’s asked about this or that (pension stuff, infrastructure, etc.) and his answer is the same each time. Burlington’s management will handle it. It’s none of his — or anyone else at Berkshire’s — business.

    At the end he notes that it’s taken him 79 years, but that with this acquisition he’s finally fulfilled a boyhood dream.

    —-


    MKR:
    Hi, I’m Matt Rose. Welcome to this special edition of BNSF Video News. As you all know, we’ve been in the news a lot with the major announcement that we have the future ownership position of BNSF being acquired by Berkshire Hathaway. So I’ve been asked a lot of questions around, what does this mean for BNSF, what does it mean for the individuals that work for BNSF, what does it mean for customers, and what does it mean for the communities in which we operate? And so I thought, who better to ask these questions to than Warren Buffett, chairman, chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway. We have a great treat. We’ve got Warren with us today at this taping, so we’re going to get right into it. I’ve asked about 20 people to send in a number of questions, of “ask-Warren” questions, and they did. They sent in about 150 questions. We’re only going to ask about 15 to 20. We’ll see how we do on time. So let’s get right into it. Again, Warren, welcome, thank you for joining us. The first one is, why BNSF, and why now?






    WB:

    Well, uh, you know, I love railroads. I mean, you go back 70 years when I used to be going down to Union Station every Sunday, and so I’ve watched it for years. And, and we couldn’t have done this 20 years ago, in terms of the size of Berkshire. But Berkshire piles up. We don’t pay out any dividends, so we pile up 8 or 9 or 10 billion dollars a year, and, and, you know, this is a dream for me, you know, getting a chance to buy a wonderful railroad like this, and uh, uh, you know, I couldn’t be happier about it.







    MKR:
    So, the next one. In announcing the acquisition, you said it’s an all-in wager on the economic future of the United States. Buffett, who has been building up his rail holdings for several years, said in the statement, I love these events. So would you please just share your perspective and thoughts on the future of the rail industry?






    WB:

    Well, it has to do well if the country does well, and the country is going to do well. So, you know, I don’t know about next week or next month or even next year, but if you look at the next 50 years, this country is going to grow, it’s going to have more people, it’s going to have more goods moving, and rail is the logical way for many of those goods to travel, and probably a greater percentage all the time, just in terms of, of cost efficiency, in terms of fuel efficiency, in terms of environmentally-friendly. So there’s no way rail is going to lose share, and I think the pie is going to grow, and I think the rail share of the pie is going to grow.






    MKR:
    So the next question. You said in the past, you’d rather buy a great business at a fair price than a fair business at a great price. What does BNSF meet the definition of a great business?






























    WB:

    Well, it’s a great business in that you know it’s going to be here forever, to start with. I mean, the hula-hoop business came and, you know, went, and then, you know, the pet rocks and all that kind of thing. And even television set manufacturers have, you know, moved over to Japan. All of that sort of thing. The rail business is not going to go anyplace. It’s going to be right here in the United States. There’s going to be four big railroads that are moving more and more goods. So it’s, it’s, it’s a good business. It, it can’t be, it can’t be something like Coca Cola or Google, because it’s, you know, it’s a public service type business, too, and it has, it has a fair amount of regulation that is part of the picture. But it’ll be a good business over time. It will make sense for this country to want railroads to continue to invest more and more money, in terms of expanding and becoming more efficient. So you’re on the side of society, and society will largely be on your side. Not every day, but most of the time.






    MKR:

    Well, I think our 40,000 employees definitely agree with that. Alright, so the next one. Historically, are companies more profitable after joining Berkshire Hathaway, and if so, why?







    WB:

    Well, you can run the business exactly as you see fit. You don’t have to please banks. You don’t have to please Wall Street. You don’t have to, you know, you don’t have to please media or anybody else. Basically, it frees up the managers of our businesses to do exactly what they love to do, which is to run their businesses. And, and, and there’s no home really like Berkshire that can offer that.






    MKR:

    Alright. The next question is, and I didn’t ask this, will Berkshire directly be involved in the management of BNSF, and will the management structure change?







    WB:

    No, it won’t. It’s very simple. We’ve got 20 people in Omaha, and there isn’t one of them that knows how to run a railroad.






    MKR:

    Alright, next question. Will this transaction impact employment levels positively or negatively?






    WB:
    Well, I don’t think it changes anything, really, in that respect. I mean, you’ll be running the railroad, and you’ll run it in an efficient way, and when times are good, you’re going to have more people employed than when times are bad. But nothing in our ownership really has any effect on employment.






    MKR:
    Okay. So, this came from one of our locomotive engineers. He said, will rail labor have access to you regarding issues? How do you balance negotiating fair wages, health care, and a good work environment with Berkshire Hathaway earnings?






    WB:
    Well, you’ll do it just like you’ve managed it in terms of BNSF earnings. And there will be no involvement by me or anybody else in Omaha in terms of labor or in terms of purchasing or in terms of what locomotives you buy, anything of the sort. It’s we bought it because it was well-managed. If, if, if we had to bring management to BNSF, both of us would have been in trouble.






























    MKR:

    Okay. The next question came from our finance group. Will there be a significant, will there be significant BNSF asset sales to pay down the eight-billion-dollar acquisition debt?







    WB:

    Not a dime. Not a dime.







    MKR:

    Next question. Will Berkshire continue to invest the capital needed to maintain the BNSF infrastructure?







    WB:

    Well, it’d be crazy if we didn’t. You know, we’re not going to, we’re not going to buy a business and starve it. You got where you are because you were willing to make the investments ahead of time to pay it off 3, 5, 10 years down the road, and that’s, that’s part of the railroad business, and it’ll stay part of the railroad business.







    MKR:

    You’ve heard me talk about regulatory risk. We’ve been talking to our employees about that for a number of years. And the question is, uh, what’s your perspective on the regulatory risk in our industry, from what you know about it?







    WB:

    Well, Matt, it’ll never go away, in the sense that, people, you know, you will always have people that are bothered by what you’re charging, and you know, whether it’s in some farmer in a pasture or wherever. And the very fact that it has a utility aspect to it. Now it has an entrepreneurial aspect to it, too, but it has a utility aspect to it. So it’s always going to be regulated. There always will be some tension between shippers and railroads, and they will all, there will always be some people who will try and use political influence to affect rates. But in the end, the country needs railroads to spend lots and lots and lots of money merely to stay in the same place, but then beyond that, to grow, and, and it would be crazy of society to deny you a reasonable rate of return.







    MKR:

    Another question from the finance group. Will BNSF capital requests now have to compete internally with other Berkshire interests?







    WB:

    Not in the least. No.







    MKR:

    I thought it was a good question. Okay, next question. In 10 years, how will you evaluate the acquisition of BNSF, whether or not it’s been successful?







    WB:
    Well, I I’ll measure it against my own standard, which is that I have made a bet on the country doing well. And if I’m wrong on that, that’s my fault and not anybody at BNSF’s fault. But I will look at it how it does compared to other railroads. I’ll look at how railroads are doing versus trucking and all of that. But in the end, I don’t really worry about that very much. I, I’ve seen what’s been done here. I think I know how the country is going to develop. I think the west is going to do well. I’d rather be in the west than the east. So I really don’t have much of a worry about that.






    MKR:
    The next question is, how should be BNSF support the long-term goals of Berkshire Hathaway, and what expectations have you established for the BNSF management team?






























    WB:

    You should, you should really be doing it as if you had the same 250,000 owners you have now. I mean, their interests are the same, you know, as Berkshire’s will be, and, and I don’t really see any difference. We want this railroad run as well as it can be. We’d love it every, every, every car you can steal away from the Union Pacific [unintelligible], but we want Union Pacific to do well, too. I mean, we’re both going to do well, too. I mean, we’re both going to do well, you know, in the years ahead. And, and, you know, if we thought it needed changing, we wouldn’t be here.







    MKR:

    Okay, this was a question from one of the employees. I heard Berkshire’s eliminated company-sponsored pension plans at some companies. What are the plans for the BNSF pension plans, and what factors do you take into consideration when evaluating whether to maintain a pension plan at a company you acquire?







    WB:

    Yeah. That will be up to the management. I mean, there may be changes in benefits that the government legislates. I mean, who would have guessed 401K’s would have come along 40 years ago or something of the sort. But you’ll make those determinations just like you make all other determinations.







    MKR:

    BNSF has developed a pay structure that encourages employees to take ownership of the company by basing a portion of the compensation on corporate performance. How will this change after the merger?







    WB:

    Well, the people who have been involved in any kind of a pay-for-performance-type arrangement, whether it’s stock or anything else, will undoubtedly have a pay-for-performance type of compensation, which, you know, you’ll work out, basically.







    MKR:

    Okay, so there were just a lot of questions on your view of the national economy and philosophy around this. A couple of questions. One, it’s been said recently that the rising national debt may be the next economic crisis. Do you agree, and what should be done about it?







    WB:

    Well, I actually wrote an article about that a few months ago. I mean, it is a problem, but if, if you sat down at the start of every year going back to 1776, you could have written down a bunch of problems in the United States. We aren’t perfect at avoiding them, but we’re pretty darn good at solving them. I mean, you know, we’ve even had a civil war in this country, you know, let alone a Great Depression, world wars, and flu epidemics and all that sort of thing. So the country always has problems. The country always solves them. And I don’t know whether business comes back in 3 months or 6 months, but I know this: in the next 100 years, we’re probably going to have 50 bad years, I mean 15 bad years in the United States, and we’re probably going to have, you know, another 15 so-so, and we’ll probably have 70 good ones, something like that. I don’t know the order in which they’re going to come, but overall, this country works. We started out with 4 million people in 1790, and look at what we’ve got now. And it’s because of the system.







    MKR:

    Next question. Do you promote management collaboration among the subsidiary companies?































    WB:

    Yeah, we, we tell them if they can find ways to do things among themselves that benefit both parties, go to it. But we don’t, we don’t force anything through Omaha. We’ve got, for example, a carpet company that worked out something with our insulation company, Johns Manville, in terms of back hauls, for example. And we’ve got other companies cooperated on getting special discounts by buying computers cause of mass purchasing power. But we’ve never ordered anything from Omaha. We don’t convene people to do that or anything. The managers do get to know each other, and sometimes they figure out things to their mutual advantage.







    MKR:

    Okay, the next question is, it’s thought that Berkshire Hathaway has not previously invested in heavily-unionized companies. Given that, what are Mr. Buffett’s views of the role of unions in private-sector businesses generally, and at BNSF in particular?







    WB:

    Yeah, we probably have, I’m sure we have more than a dozen businesses that are, are anywhere from moderately-unionized to very heavily-unionized. The Buffalo News we’ve probably got, I don’t know, 12 or 13 unions. In See’s Candy, we’ve got unions. We’ve got, we’ve got unions at CTB, our farm equipment company. We’ve got lots and lots of unions. And there, you know, we — it’s a question of the industry, to a great extent, and, and uh, and what the management has done in the past, and so on.







    MKR:

    You’ve acquired some terrific private and family-run companies where the owners have great passion for their business. What traits have made those companies so successful, and how can the BNSF family of 40,000 employees apply those principles in our work and lives?







    WB:

    Yeah, well, we, we do — we look for companies where the managers are passionate about the business. It makes a real difference. I mean, anybody that’s enthused about something just brings something extra to the decision-making and the work every day. So I wouldn’t, I really wouldn’t be here today unless I thought you were passionate about the business. I mean, it’s crazy to have some bureaucratic type going through the motions every day running a business. It won’t work in America. And, and it’s, it’s an important ingredient. You do find quite often in family businesses, and you probably find it a little less often in, in, in the professionally managed operation, but I’m sure it exists at BNSF.







    MR:

    Closing comments?







    WB:

    Closing comments is, I’m happy to be here. This — I had to wait until I was 79, but it’s still a boyhood dream come true.







    MKR:

    Well, Warren, I get the question a lot, of how life will change. It’s been a little frustrating, I think, for some of our employees, because at the end of the day, truly, this is mainly about corporate structure. Instead of shareholders, we now have Berkshire Hathaway and yourself. What our employees continue to be focused on, of course, every day, is improving safety, getting more freight to the railroad, taking cost out, and, and going deeper into our customer supply chain. And we look forward to a great relationship with Berkshire Hathaway, and we’re delighted that you took this time to come and spend it on our video news, and I’m sure it means a lot to all of our employees. Thanks very much.







    WB:

    Thanks for inviting me.

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