Author: Grist – the Latest from Grist

  • Seven steps to achieving a real climate deal

    by Geoffrey Lean

    So where do we go from here? How do we get from the disorganized, disappointing, dispiriting debacle of Copenhagen to a new and worthwhile climate treaty?

    The world needs solid directions for getting to a real climate deal in Mexico next year.Asking the question recalls the famous joke about the Irishman who, when asked by a motorist to give directions to his destination, replied: “If I wanted to get there, I would not be starting from here.” Indeed, it is rather worse than that—for we never expected to be starting from this point at all.

    “When negotiations were launched two years ago in Bali, I was firmly convinced that we would be arriving in Copenhagen to adopt a legally binding document,” Yvo de Boer, the top UN official in charge of the talks, ruefully recalled as the summit ended. Even when the slowness of this year’s negotiating process made it clear by the autumn that this would not be possible, he went on, he thought that it would make decisions that could soon be translated into a treaty.

    Indeed, even as the conference opened optimism was running high. All the major emitting countries, developed and developing, had announced targets for controlling their pollution by 2020. The pledges varied, with the most aggressive dependent on others taking similar action, but when the best offers were totted up they fell only slightly short of the lower end of the 25 to 40 percent that scientists say will be needed to avert dangerous climate change. Hopes were high that these emissions pledges would be improved.

    There was also growing acceptance that a $10 billion annual emergency fund would be needed to help the poorest countries cope. A series of preliminary meetings between the major players had made enough progress for participants to see how an agreement could be concluded. And in the last weeks ahead of the conference, world leaders had rushed to register their attendance, confident of sharing in success.

    Rarely have such high hopes been dashed so swiftly. From the start it proved virtually impossible to get negotiations going, as a constant stream of procedural motions and points of order—led by China—slowed efforts to move the talks out of the unwieldy 192-nation plenary and into the smaller group meetings where progress is traditionally made.

    The summit was only saved from total disaster by unprecedented negotiations between the leaders themselves. Though the Copenhagen Accord announced late Friday stipulates that global warming must not exceed two degrees centigrade, it fails to set out how this will be ensured. It contains no emissions targets, merely encouraging signatories to register their own goals by the end of January. While it does endorse $10 billion a year in immediate financing for poor nations (rising to $100 billion by 2020), it does not even mention the possibility of a new treaty.

    Furthermore, even this accord was not formally adopted by the conference, partly because it had not formally set up the leaders’ meeting where it was drafted. The conference almost rejected the deal altogether, but eventually “noted” it. Countries are invited to sign up to it—and will have to do so if they are to receive any of the adaptation funding.

    So where, given this unexpected and unexciting starting point, do we go from here? Here are seven suggested steps, not to heaven, but perhaps to salvation:

    First, work must be done to soothe feelings ruffled by the dramatic events of the final hours in Copenhagen. Many countries are upset that the deal was done by a relatively small, unauthorized group of leaders behind closed doors, with their agreement presented to the rest of the world as a fait accompli. They also dislike being forced to endorse it in order to receive any money. Unless dealt with, these feelings could erupt at the next meeting, in Bonn in the summer, bogging it down too.

    Second, countries must be persuaded to pledge a significant amount of greenhouse gas reductions. The European Union is central to this. It has so far held back from increasing its emission reductions from 20 to 30 percent by 2020, which it said it would do if others took similar action. It must now do so, to encourage others to be more ambitious.

    Third, the U.S. Senate needs to pass its energy and climate bill. Opinions differ on whether the outcome of Copenhagen will make this more or less likely, but it is clear there can be no real progress without it.

    Fourth, the UN negotiating system needs reform. Smaller representative groups will need to hammer out compromises, but they will have to be properly authorized by plenaries. Ministers should get involved earlier; it was only when politicians arrived in the Danish capital in the second week of the gathering that movement occurred.

    Fifth, the pledged money needs, as indicated in the accord, to be additional to existing aid programs. A nd it should start being disbursed very soon, building confidence.

    Sixth, the question of the form of an eventual treaty needs solving. Developing countries, it became clear in Copenhagen, will not let the Kyoto Protocol be replaced. Just as clear is that the United States will not join it at any price. The answer is probably to keep it, with a separate linked treaty to cover the U.S. and developing countries.

    And seventh, China must be persuaded that a treaty is in its interests. It seems China’s leaders turned against the idea in the weeks immediately before Copenhagen, fearing that their country’s formidable growth may soon classify it as a developed country and so subject it to much greater emissions controls. But as a leading developer and exporter of green technology, China has much to gain from a worldwide move to a low carbon economy.

    Related Links:

    What Happens Now for the Forests?

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?

    What you need to know following the Copenhagen climate summit






  • Broken promises follow Tennessee coal ash disaster

    by Sue Sturgis

    Aerial view of the coal ash spill at the Tennessee Valley Authority’s Kingston power plant.Photo: SkyTruth via FlickrIt was one year ago today that a 60-foot-tall dam broke at a holding pond
    at the Tennessee Valley Authority’s Kingston power plant in Roane
    County, Tenn., dumping more than a billion gallons of toxic coal ash
    onto a nearby community and into the Clinch and Emory rivers.

    The largest industrial waste spill in U.S. history, the ash slide
    covered more than half a square mile, damaging 42 residential
    properties, knocking one home completely off its foundation and
    rendering three others uninhabitable. It dumped some 2.66 million
    pounds of 10 toxic pollutants including arsenic, lead, and mercury into
    the nearby rivers—more than all the surface-water discharges from
    all U.S. power plants in 2007, according to a recent analysis. The pollutants in coal ash have been linked to health problems including cancer, liver damage and nervous-system disorders.

    The
    disaster pushed the obscure issue of coal ash waste disposal into the
    national spotlight and spurred the Tennessee Valley Authority and
    federal regulators to promise swift action to prevent anything like it
    from occurring again.

    But on the first anniversary of the TVA coal ash disaster, those promises have been broken.

    Shortly
    after the incident, at a public meeting held in the Roane County
    community of Harriman, Tenn., TVA President and CEO Tom Kilgore told
    affected residents that the utility would make them whole again and
    clean up the waste in six to eight weeks.
    But today, the Emory River remains closed to public traffic near the
    spill, ponds in the area are still clogged with several feet of coal
    ash, and dust from the ash is a chronic problem for local residents,
    some of whom complain of related health problems including coughing, nosebleeds, and headaches.

    While
    TVA has bought out some property owners, other affected residents say
    moving isn’t possible because the utility isn’t offering them fair
    compensation for their property, or because it doesn’t consider them to
    be close enough to qualify for a buyout.

    “Residents here have
    letters from pulmonologists, cardiologists, and family doctors stating
    that they need to move or be relocated until the cleanup is complete,”
    says Randy Ellis, a Swan Pond resident and a member of the Roane County Long Term Recovery Committee. “Their concerns and health are being totally ignored by the TVA.”

    But coal ash is not a hazard only for the people living near TVA’s Kingston plant: The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has documented 584 coal ash waste disposal sites across the United States and classifies 49 of those as high-hazard,
    meaning that a breach in their impoundments could kill people.

    At
    the same time, an unknown number of those sites are leaking
    contaminants into the environment—a disaster less dramatic than what
    happened at Kingston but still dangerous to human health. Most coal ash
    surface impoundments in the U.S. are still unlined and thus pose the
    very real risk of water contamination. In fact, coal ash disposal sites
    have already poisoned surface or groundwater supplies in at least 23 states, while all 13 of those operated by the two major utilities in North Carolina are leaking contaminants to groundwater.

    EPA
    Administrator Lisa Jackson promised that the EPA would release a
    proposed regulation of coal ash by the end of this year. But last week,
    EPA announced that it was delaying the rule’s release “due to the complexity of the analysis.” Meanwhile, TVA has said it intends to convert all its existing wet coal ash storage ponds to
    somewhat less hazardous dry storage—but it’s waiting for the EPA’s
    proposal before making any firm plans.

    So on the first
    anniversary of the Kingston disaster, coal ash remains unregulated by
    the federal government—and thus Americans remain at serious risk
    from its hazards.

    Held hostage by TVA

    It was in
    the early morning hours of Dec. 22, 2008 when the dam constructed of
    coal ash gave way at TVA’s Kingston plant. Shortly before 1 a.m., calls began pouring into the local 911 operator about a “mud slide.” One caller panicked because she couldn’t reach her
    father—who as it turned out was trapped inside his house by the ash.

    More
    than 22 residences were evacuated, but no one was hurt or killed by the
    dam’s collapse. Had the the incident occurred on a sunny summer day
    when people were outside in their yards or on the river, things could
    have turned out much differently.

    The morning after the dam’s
    breach, the sun rose to reveal a shocking sight: a once-scenic
    riverside community covered in gray coal ash six feet deep in some
    spots. TVA’s Kilgore himself likened the appearance of the ruined land to a “moonscape.”

    As
    it turned out, TVA had already known there were serious problems with
    the integrity of its Kingston ash impoundment. Local residents reported
    earlier leaks in the dam going back as far as 2001, and the utility
    itself later acknowledged there were leaks in 2003 and 2006. But the
    company obviously failed to take adequate action to guard against
    collapse.

    And in the disaster’s wake, TVA continued to behave in ways that deepened distrust in the local community and wider public.

    For example, the company released inaccurate information about the incident, as confirmed by an audit released in June by the agency’s Inspector General. TVA’s documented
    inaccuracies included dramatically underestimating the amount of ash
    spilled, claiming incorrectly that no dead fish were found downstream
    of the disaster, and describing coal ash as consisting primarily of
    “inert material not harmful to the environment,” the audit found.
    Scientists have documented serious potential health effects from coal ash.

    The
    utility also misled the public about the radiation threat from the ash,
    likening the material to table salt when in fact researchers found significant levels of cancer-causing radioactive elements.

    In
    addition, the Inspector General found that TVA had failed to
    communicate policies and decisions to victims of the spill in a timely
    manner. In a recent report to the community [pdf], TVA said it’s “learned a lot” over the past year including the
    “importance of listening”—but some spill victims remain unhappy with
    the way the utility is dealing with them.

    During a press conference held last weekend in Harriman, Tenn., residents of the Swan Pond Road
    community spoke out about their ongoing problems with TVA. Some
    neighbors have asked the utility to buy their homes but say it’s
    offered them less than what their properties were worth before the
    spill. Others say TVA has refused to negotiate with them and in some
    cases cut off communications entirely.

    They’re also upset over
    an incident back in September in which the utility—with permission
    from Tennessee’s Department of Environmental Conservation—conducted
    an unannounced test burn of a high-sulfur coal at the Kingston plant,
    which resulted in mysterious white fallout snowing down on their community. The pollution reportedly damaged
    automobile finishes and gardens, yet Kingston plant officials told
    local residents they didn’t know whether it was hazardous.

    Environmental
    advocates have been critical of TVA’s behavior since the disaster as
    well. Activists with United Mountain Defense experienced harassment by TVA’s police force while working with local residents. And Upper Watauga Riverkeeper Donna Lisenby of Appalachian Voices reports that in her river trips near the disaster site she found TVA’s
    automated water sampler almost a mile downstream from where the ash
    cleanup operations are underway—a distance she believes is probably
    too far to measure any re-contamination that might be occurring as a
    result of the dredging. UMD and Appalachian Voices are among the 15
    groups that recently wrote to President Obama asking that TVA be held accountable for its violations.

    “They want our trust,” said Kingston neighbor Rick Cantrell. “They’re not going to get any. They’ve
    shut the residents out. They won’t talk to us, and we just can’t trust
    them.”

    A promise the President must keep

    At her
    Jan. 14, 2009 confirmation hearing to head the EPA under President
    Obama, Lisa Jackson promised to immediately assess coal ash disposal
    sites and to consider ways to regulate the ash—something the agency
    recommended in 2000 but declined to do under the Bush administration.

    “The
    EPA currently has, and has in the past, assessed its regulatory
    options, and I think it is time to re-ask those questions,” Jackson said at the hearing.

    U.S.
    power plants produce over 130 million tons of coal ash waste each year—the nation’s second-largest waste stream after ordinary household
    trash. Currently subject to an uneven patchwork of state regulations,
    the ash is not treated as hazardous under federal law despite the clear
    risks it presents to human health and the environment.

    After
    being confirmed as EPA chief, Jackson did take action on coal ash. The
    agency sent out information requests to more than 160 electric
    generation facilities and more than 60 corporate offices in an effort
    to gather data on coal waste surface impoundments like the one that
    failed at Kingston. It created a database with information on the ash
    dumps, and it identified the 49 high-hazard facilities using utilities’
    self-reported data.

    The agency also completed a study on toxins in wastewater discharges from coal ash impoundments,
    concluding that current guidelines should be revised because of the
    significant toxic releases from these facilities and the likelihood
    that these will increase in the future as better air pollution controls
    are developed and installed.

    But the EPA has proven reluctant at times to share its findings with the public.

    For example, the agency initially refused to reveal the location of high-hazard coal ash dumps,
    citing security concerns. It eventually relented under pressure from
    Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) and environmental advocates.

    Today
    EPA continues to withhold certain data about more than 70 coal ash dump
    sites at the request of power companies, honoring their claim that it
    represents “confidential business information.” Among the pieces of
    data being withheld by companies including Duke Energy and the Southern
    Company are the size of the ash ponds, the date they were last
    inspected, and whether any problems were found. The environmental
    advocacy groups Earthjustice, the Environmental Integrity Project and
    Sierra Club filed a complaint in federal court earlier this month in an effort to get the information.

    Also
    sparking criticism among some environmental advocates was EPA’s
    decision to allow the coal ash being dredged from the spill site to be
    sent to a landfill located in a high-poverty and largely African-American community in rural Alabama. That decision was among the topics of discussion in a recent meeting between EPA officials and environmental justice leaders concerned about the agency’s treatment of low-income communities and communities of color in the South.

    Jackson promised that the EPA would release proposed regulations for coal ash by the end of this year, and reportedly is considering several different approaches.
    But environmentalists expressed disappointment after the agency
    announced last week that the regulation’s release would be delayed “for
    a short period.” They also raised concerns that lobbyists for
    coal-fired utilities have mounted a disinformation campaign designed to
    minimize the hazards of coal ash and make regulation seem less urgent
    than it is.

    In the meantime, toxic coal ash continues piling up
    at power plants across the country. The waste also continues to be used
    to make various products including grout and wallboard [pdf], spread on roads for ice control, used as fill for abandoned coal mines or to prepare roadbeds. It’s even promoted as a soil amendment for food crops—all without the benefit of strict federal oversight.

    The
    EPA said it expects to issue a proposed rule in the “near future.”
    Environmental advocates say they hope that means early next month.

    “The
    Obama administration has pledged to let law and science guide its
    environmental decisions, not the arm twisting of industry lobbyists,”
    according to a statement from Earthjustice, the Environmental Integrity Project, Natural
    Resources Defense Council and Sierra Club. “That is a promise President
    Obama must keep.”

    This post originally appeared at Facing South.

    Related Links:

    New EPA map shows the year in eco-enforcement

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?

    The top green stories of the ‘00s






  • Post-Copenhagen pledge: Coal free future begins in Kentucky

    by Jeff Biggers

    This post was co-written by Stephanie Pistello, Ben Evans, and Ben Sollee, co-founders of the Coal Free Future Project.

    On the heels of the Copenhagen Climate Summit, we plan to make our own post-Copenhagen pledge here at home: It’s time to envision a coal-free future. It’s time for clean energy independence.  

    For those of us in the anti-mountaintop removal and anti-coal-fired plant movements, we believe this means we must start in coal country.

    For starters, here in Kentucky we disagree with Commerce Lexington that energy legislation is “the most immediate threat to Kentucky’s business climate.”

    Nothing could be further from the truth for Lexington, Kentucky, and the rest of our nation. Dirty energy led to Lexington’s embarrassing selection last year as the worst carbon footprint contributor in the nation. Commerce Lexington has taken a giant carbon step backwards.

    In 1776, Thomas Paine challenged our country to embrace the cause of independence over compromise. In a moment of crisis, he declared: “We have it in our power to make the world over again.”

    Our modern-day Paine, James Hansen at the NASA Goddard Center, has issued a similar clarion call: “Coal is the single greatest threat to civilization and all life on our planet. Our global climate is nearing tipping points.”

    It’s time to envision a coal-free future. It’s time for clean energy independence.

    Coal mining, which provides 45 percent of our electricity, will not end tomorrow. Every coal miner deserves a right to a sustainable livelihood; given the legacy of our coal miners, we also believe no coal miner should be displaced from his or her job until we develop clean energy alternatives. This means that coalfield residents, like all Americans, deserve a road map for a feasible transition to clean-energy jobs—including a Coal Miner’s GI Bill for retraining and a massive reinvestment in sustainable economic development in coalfield communities—before we reach a point of no return.

    All coal mining communities know that the first time in 25 years, utilities coal stockpiles have increased during the summer; absentee coal companies are cutting jobs and idling higher-cost mines to keep their stock holders happy in a period of slumping demand; recent U.S. Geological Survey estimates place “peak coal” production as early as 2020.

    As grandchildren of black-lung-afflicted coal miners from Kentucky, Illinois, and southwestern Virginia, we honor our families’ sacrifices in recognizing, not denying, the true cost of coal. Our grandfathers benefited from a transition to mechanization to improve mine safety. The time has come for a transition to clean-energy jobs.

    A just transition, of course, means more than rhetoric about green jobs—it will require not only a shift in massive investments and sustainable economic development, but a change in our long-standing policies that have allowed coal country to be the sacrifice zone for the nation.

    Coal is not cheap nor clean; coal has been killing us—for over 200 years. Over 104,000 Americans have died in coal-mining accidents; three coal miners die daily from black-lung disease. Millions of acres of forests and farmlands have been strip-mined into oblivion; pioneering communities have been plundered. Half of Americans live within an hour of a toxic coal ash dump.

    The Physicians for Social Responsibility recently found that coal “contributes to four of the top five causes of mortality in the U.S. and is responsible for increasing the incidence of major diseases.”

    The National Academy of Scientists totaled costs of coal at more than $62 billion in “external damages” to our health and lives. A West Virginia University report noted the coal industry “costs the Appalachian region five times more in early deaths than it provides in economic benefits.”

    In Kentucky, according to a Mountain Association of Community Economic Development study, coal may provide $528 million in state revenue, but costs $643 million in state expenditures.

    Nothing has motivated our commitment for clean energy more than the tragedy of mountaintop-removal mining. We have seen the devastation of clear-cutting our nation’s great forests and carbon sink of Appalachia and blowing up its oldest mountain range. We have met the casualties of absentee commerce; grieving parents who have lost loved ones to coal slurry-contaminated water; veterans and elderly who endure blasting, fly rock and silica dust; families who have seen their homes washed away in floods caused by erosion; streams poisoned with mining waste; boarded-up communities, strangled by a boom-and-bust single economy.

    The plunder of Appalachia must end.

    More so, with coal-fired plants contributing over 30 percent of our CO2 emissions, everyone’s fate is connected to the coalfields now.

    In the end, our fiduciary responsibility to our children demands a new way of generating our electricity in Kentucky and the country. It also affords us a great opportunity for economic and social revitalization

    Clean energy independence, not coal, will bring more sustainable jobs.

    Wind, solar, hydropower and turbine manufacturing, along with weatherization, retrofitting appliances and homes, could create jobs. The Appalachian Regional Commission found that “energy-efficiency investments could result in an increase of 77,378 net jobs by 2030” in the region.

    For us, such a clean energy revolution begins with the proposed Smith # 1 coal-fired plant in eastern Kentucky. Instead of a costly coal-fired dinosaur, a recent study found that a combination of “energy efficiency, weatherization, hydropower, and wind power initiatives in the East Kentucky Power Cooperative region would generate more than 8,750 new jobs for Kentucky residents, with a total impact of more than $1.7 billon on the region’s economy over the next three years.”

    Ultimately, this clean energy independence would meet the energy needs of EKPC customers and cost less than the proposed coal plant.

    So, this is our Copenhagen pledge at home: It’s time to imagine a coal-free future.

    For more on the Coal Free Future Project, see: www.coalfreefuture.org

     

    Related Links:

    What happens now for the forests?

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?

    The top green stories of the ‘00s






  • Copenhagen Prognosis: The ‘almost overwhelming challenge’ of a carbon-free civilization

    by Brad Johnson

    Cross-posted from the Wonk Room.

    A new scientific report, the Copenhagen Prognosis,
    outlines the terrible challenge the world faces from climate change—as well as several paths to safety. World leaders in Copenhagen
    struggled to come to a provisional accord that would provide a
    framework for sustainable civilization. But a team of the world’s top
    climate scientists have offered a stinging indictment of the political
    process, noting that the unofficial commitments made are “not consistent with the expressed political will to protect humanity:”

    A broader analysis of tipping points and feedbacks reinforces the conclusion that greenhouse
    gas (GHG) emission reductions targets currently being tabled within the
    political realm are not consistent with the expressed political will to
    protect humanity
    against high risks of devastating climate impacts and significant risks of self-amplifying global warming.

    The Prognosis indicates that for a “good chance” (75 percent) of avoiding
    “major societal and environmental disruptions through the rest of the
    century and beyond … global GHG emissions would almost certainly need
    to decline extremely rapidly after 2015, and reach essentially zero by
    midcentury.”

    This is indeed an “almost overwhelming challenge,” but “there is no evidence suggesting it is impossible:”

    To the contrary, the growing body of analytical work examining such scenarios at the global and regional level suggest it is not only technically feasible but also economically affordable, even profitable.

    It should come as little surprise that a clean-energy economy is not
    just more sustainable but more profitable than one based on the
    reckless waste of unrecoverable resources—but economists are just now
    beginning to recognize that fact.

    The Copenhagen Accord reaffirms the goal of limiting warming to less than 2 degrees C
    above pre-industrial levels, but negotiators jettisoned the target of cutting global warming emissions in half by 2050. Even that goal, the Copenhagen Prognosis finds, is utterly insufficient:

    The Copenhagen Prognosis was prepared by top climate scientists, including the Stockholm Environment Institute‘s Sivan Kartha, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research‘s Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, and was endorsed by IPCC director Rachendra Pachauri’s Energy Resources Institute.

    We’ve passed the threshold of safety and security, and each
    additional ton of carbon, each year emissions rise, each year
    concentrations do not drop—we are killing people.

    We need to separate the science—that we are at unsafe levels of
    greenhouse gases and our destabilized climate is killing people—from
    the policy of setting deadlines and targets.

    We know that any deadline or target to eradicate hunger and poverty
    is insufficient, but we make them anyway. We need the same
    understanding with climate change.

    Related Links:

    Copenhagen blame game is obstacle to 2010 climate deal

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director

    What happens now for the forests?






  • Why the Copenhagen Accord boosts the odds for Senate passage of bipartisan climate legislation

    by Daniel J. Weiss

    The 15th United Nations climate summit has just ended in
    Copenhagen after a tense two weeks of negotiations between the
    developed and developing world. An “environmental Woodstock” to some,
    a high stakes diplomatic showdown to others, the meeting led to some critical but incomplete agreements.

    Now that it’s over, the world’s attention will focus on the United
    States Senate as it plans to consider clean energy and global warming
    legislation in 2010. The newly inked Copenhagen Accord, along with
    other factors, increases the odds for Senate passage of clean energy
    jobs and global warming legislation.

    The Copenhagen Accord should form the basis for future negotiations that hope to culminate in an international agreement to reduce global
    warming pollution in levels sufficient enough to prevent a 2 degree C (3.6 F) warming. The Accord should also contribute
    to passage of a Senate clean energy and global warming bill. The
    Accord includes two provisions that address some undecided senators’
    concerns about pollution reductions from China and India.
    In advance of the summit, these two nations made their first commitment
    to reduce the rate of pollution compared to their economies.
    Obviously, these two emerging economic powers could do more to reduce
    the rapidly rising emissions, but these levels of reductions are a good
    start.

    The Accord also includes an agreement by China and other developing countries to report on their voluntary actions to reduce pollution. These reports would be subject to “international consultations and
    analysis,” which would provide more certainty about whether developing
    nations are fulfilling their voluntary pledges to reduce their
    pollution rates. President Obama secured this big concession from China, which is notable due to its notoriously opaque government.

    Although the Accord is not yet binding, this agreement should quell
    some senators’ uncertainty about China, India, and other developing
    nations’ level and transparency of pollution reductions. These
    concerns have been a major reason that some senators from Midwestern
    states were reluctant to support domestic global warming legislation. Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), sponsor of the Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act, noted
    that the Accord “sets the stage for a final deal and for Senate passage
    this spring of major legislation at home.”

    In the wake of the Copenhagen Accord, there are several other
    factors that should also provide impetuous for clean energy legislation
    in 2010. Establishment of a global warming pollution reduction program
    would be a boost to the depressed economy. Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman noted that such legislation would have the “same economic effects as a
    major technological innovation: It would give businesses a reason to
    invest in new equipment and facilities … And given the current state of
    the economy, that’s just what the doctor ordered.”

    In 2010, President Obama’s number one priority will be lifting the
    unemployment woes that began before he took office. Since the first
    days of his administration, an important element of his economic recovery plans included the transition to a clean energy economy. Vice President Joe Biden estimates that the clean energy programs in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act would create nearly 900,000 jobs. On Dec. 9, President Obama proposed a program to create jobs via incentives for residential building energy efficiency retrofits. He will continue to advocate clean energy legislation to restore
    American energy competitiveness, which was ceded to China and Germany
    due to disregard for clean energy technologies under President George
    W. Bush Clean. And energy legislation should be a prominent part of the 2010
    effort to create more jobs and restore American competitiveness.

    As nations’ economies recover, their demand for oil will recover and oil prices will rise.  The Energy Information Administration “Annual Energy Outlook 2010” predicts that oil prices will rise from $75 per barrel in 2010 to $100
    per barrel in 2015.  This prediction may be very conservative.  Noted
    oilman T. Boone Pickens predicted in October that consumers may face “$90 before the end of
    2010.”  Higher oil prices should increase the imperative to adopt
    comprehensive clean energy legislation that would reduce oil use and
    increase American energy independence.

    On Dec. 15, the Environmental Protection Action issued the long awaited “endangerment finding
    under the Clean Air Act that says greenhouse gas pollution threatens public
    health. This finding comes two and half years after the Supreme Court ruled in Massachusetts v. EPA that the agency has the obligation to assess whether greenhouse gases
    endanger public health, and if so, to take steps to reduce this
    pollution. The endangerment finding is the first step before EPA can
    set limits on pollution from major (25,000 tons of carbon dioxide
    annually) emitters. In March, EPA expects to issue limits on
    greenhouse gases from cars, with limits for other industries to follow.

    President Obama, EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson,
    and many in Congress believe that Congress, and not EPA, should set
    greenhouse gas pollution limits. Legislation can include other
    policies that would reduce pollution—such as incentives for renewable
    electricity or energy efficiency—that EPA lacks the authority to
    implement. In addition, Congress can design a pollution reduction
    system that provides a relatively smooth economic transition for
    consumers and workers. EPA’s authority to set pollution limits for
    major polluters is a sword of Damocles hanging over the Senate should
    it fail to act.

    Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Ark.) and other opponents of global warming solutions would like to
    block EPA’s ability to set pollution limits. She has introduced a
    resolution to invoke the Congressional Review Act that would stop EPA
    from enforcing the law as ordered by the Supreme Court. To succeed,
    her resolution must pass the Senate and House, and President Obama must
    sign it too, or Congress must override his veto with a two-thirds vote
    in each body. Given this procedure, the prospects for Murkowski’s
    success are small. This means that Congress must act to cut greenhouse
    pollution or EPA will despite administration and legislative preference
    for Congressional action.

    Final passage of health care reform should also provide a boost to
    clean energy legislation. Health care reform has dominated Senate
    attention for the past six months. Completion of the reform bill
    should free up the “band width” necessary to address clean energy
    legislation. Health care success would also demonstrate that Congress
    is capable of addressing big pressing challenges. Success should also
    replenish President Obama’s political capital that he expended to pass
    health care. He will need to invest this capital to achieve Senate
    passage of clean energy legislation.

    Public opinion remains very supportive of action on global warming
    despite relentless attacks from a $100 million campaign by Big Oil and
    other energy special interests. The Dec. 18 Washington Post-ABC News poll found that nearly two-thirds of Americans believe that the United
    States should “regulate the release of greenhouse gases from sources
    like power plants, cars, and factories in an effort to reduce global
    warming.” And the intensity favors those who strongly support action
    versus those who strongly oppose it—50 percent to 20 percent.

    The bottom line is that there are a number of recent factors
    that significantly boost prospects for clean energy jobs and global
    warming legislation in 2010. President Obama’s international and
    domestic leadership, the Copenhagen Accord, the need for jobs, EPA’s
    enforcement of the Clean Air Act, completion of health care, and the
    public’s support for reform are all factors that should improve
    prospects for Senate legislation in 2010. President Obama is like a
    wily gambler who has been dealt some very good political cards. By
    playing these cards right, he can parlay this hand into big winnings
    for all Americans.

    Related Links:

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director

    What happens now for the forests?

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?






  • Copenhagenfreude: Inhofe’s “truth squad” steps on a rake [VIDEO]

    by David Roberts

    Before Copenhagen fades into memory I want to celebrate one of its lesser noted but more delightful chapters.

    If you recall, Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) was planning on rounding up some fellow senators and heading to Copenhagen as a “truth squad.” The “truth” he intended to impart to world leaders is that the U.S. Senate will never pass a climate bill.

    You might think it’s an extraordinary event, a sitting legislator traveling abroad specifically and explicitly to undermine his country’s president in an international negotiation. But you see, Inhofe’s a Republican and IOKYR so there was never any particular outcry.

    Thing is, Inhofe is a joke, nationally and internationally. No U.S. senator wanted to squander his or her credibility by traveling with Inhofe, so he ended up going alone. And when he got there, not a single government official from any nation was willing to appear with him, so he ended up speaking with a derisory coterie of reporters and … oh, just watch Rachel Maddow tell the story:

    Sometimes life tosses you a bone, you know?

    UPDATE: Just for kicks, here’s a forlorn Inhofe with a COP15 afro:

    Spread the news on what the føck is going on in Copenhagen with friends via email, Facebook, Twitter, or smoke signals.

    Related Links:

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director

    What happens now for the forests?

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?






  • Terminator 2009

    by Rebecca Solnit

    Cross-posted from TomDispatch.

    It’s clear now that, from her immoveable titanium bangs
    to her chaotic approximation of human speech, Sarah Palin is a
    Terminator cyborg sent from the future to destroy something—but
    what? It could be the Republican Party she’ll ravage by herding the fundamentalists and extremists into a place where sane
    fiscal conservatives and swing voters can’t follow. Or maybe she was
    sent to destroy civilization at this crucial moment by preaching the
    gospel of climate-change denial, abetted by tools like the Washington Post, which ran a factually outrageous editorial by her on the subject earlier this month. No one (even her,
    undoubtedly) knows, but we do know that this month we all hover on the
    brink.

    I’ve had the great Hollywood epic Terminator 2: Judgment Day on my mind ever since I watched it in a hotel room in New Orleans a few
    weeks ago with the Superdome visible out the window. In 1991, at the
    time of its release, T2 was supposedly about a terrible future; now, it seems situated in an oddly comfortable past.

    What apocalypses are you nostalgic for? The premise of the movie
    was that the machines we needed to worry about had not yet been
    invented, no less put to use: intelligent machines that would rebel
    against their human masters in 1997, setting off an all-out nuclear war
    that would get rid of the first three billion of us and lead to a
    campaign of extermination against the remnant of the human race
    scrabbling in the rubble of what had once been civilization.

    By the time the film was released, the news of climate change was already filtering out. Reports like Bill McKibben’s 1989 book The End of Nature had told us that the machines that could destroy us and our world had,
    in fact, been invented—a long, long time ago. Almost all of us had
    been using them almost all the time, from the era of the steam engine
    and the rise of the British coal economy through the age of railroads
    and the dawn of petroleum extraction to the birth of the
    internal-combustion engine and the spread of industrial civilization
    across the planet. They weren’t “intelligent” and they weren’t in
    revolt, nor were they led by any one super-machine. It was the
    cumulative effect of all those devices pumping back into the atmosphere
    the carbon that plants had so kindly buried in the Earth over the last
    few hundred million years.

    The Superdome is, of course, where thousands of New Orleanians were
    stranded when Katrina, the hurricane that hit the Gulf Coast on Aug.
    29, 2005, broke the city’s levees and flooded the place. A maelstrom of
    institutional failures left people trapped in the scalding cauldron of
    a drowned city for five days while the world looked on aghast. It was a
    disaster that had been long foretold, and no one had done much to
    forestall it. No one had repaired those crummy levees or bothered to
    create a real evacuation plan for the city—and, unlike the revolt of
    the machines in T2, the future actually arrived. Like climate change.

    For many, it was a foretaste of our new era. It may not be clear
    what role, if any, climate change played in the generation of that
    particular hurricane, but it is clear that, in this era, there will be,
    and indeed already have been, many more such calamities: the deadly
    freak rainstorms in Sicily, Britain, and the Philippines this fall, the
    increase in the number and intensity of hurricanes in the North
    Atlantic in recent years, as well as in the intensity of droughts,
    floods, heat waves, crop failures, and the displacement of populations,
    as well as the massive melting of glaciers and sea ice in the cold
    places, rising waters in the coastal ones, and oceans going acidic with
    devastating effects on marine life.

    This is the actual nightmarish “movie” of our times. This is what
    our less-than-intelligent machines have actually wrought. The World
    Health Organization estimates that climate change is already responsible for 150,000 deaths annually. Unchecked it will kill far more, and no
    one’s measuring the despair in the island nations that may disappear
    and among those who live in, and off of, the melting arctic. Looking at
    the Superdome during the commercial breaks in T2, I wondered about the apocalypses already under our belts and the bumpy road ahead.

    The governor of the state with the uncertain shoreline

    The plot of the movie, as most of you undoubtedly recall, is that
    the Terminator, also played by Arnold Schwarzenegger in the low-budget 1984 original,
    shows up again, sent back from the future 10 years after the first
    epic. This time around, he’s not action-heroine Sarah Connor’s nemesis;
    he’s on the side of humanity, specifically of her son John Connor, the
    boy with the unambiguous initials who will grow up to lead the
    resistance to our extermination by machines.

    Another more advanced Terminator is, in the meantime, also sent back
    from the future to destroy the messianic boy and his foulmouthed
    commando mom. The rest of the movie is a feast of shootouts, chases,
    explosions, and brilliantly plotted action. It was all surpassingly
    strange and compelling when I watched it, while wiped out with what was
    probably swine flu, a fever dream of the past’s nightmares that somehow
    didn’t manage to anticipate our waking hells.

    Now, of course, the movie’s cyborg star is a major force in the real
    world. He’s my governor, more powerful but less charismatic than in
    his Terminator incarnation. Recently, he traveled to Treasure Island
    in San Francisco Bay to release the state’s 2009 Climate Adaptation Strategy,
    a 200-page document about the array of devastations the state faces and
    what countermeasures we can take. Early on, that document states:

    Climate change is
    already affecting California. Sea levels have risen by as much as seven
    inches along the California coast over the last century, increasing
    erosion and pressure on the state’s infrastructure, water supplies, and
    natural resources. The state has also seen increased average
    temperatures, more extreme hot days, fewer cold nights, a lengthening
    of the growing season, shifts in the water cycle with less winter
    precipitation falling as snow, and both snowmelt and rainwater running
    off sooner in the year.

    Looking to the future, the report predicted that there would be more
    fires, less water, loss of coastal lands, and up to $2.5 trillion of
    real estate put at risk by global warming. The Terminator, or governor,
    was on the island because, with even modest further rises in sea-level,
    it will disappear entirely. Hasta la vista, baby.

    During the years the Bush Administration refused to do anything at
    all about climate change, Schwarzenegger arrived at the helm of a state
    that had already developed major innovations in energy efficiency and
    in creative price-structuring that took away power-company motives to
    push higher energy consumption. California had also sought to set new
    standards for carbon-dioxide emissions from vehicles. The bill to do
    the last of these was crafted in 2002 by Fran Pavley, a newly elected
    state assemblywoman from Ventura County. When Obama came into office,
    the roadblocks were finally removed and the bill became the basis for
    national regulations that will make vehicles 40 percent more fuel-efficient by
    2016. Pavley and Schwarzenegger were there at the Rose Garden signing
    of the regulations last May.

    As Ronald Brownstein reported in the Atlantic this October:

    Ambitious new
    initiatives have cascaded out of Schwarzenegger’s office—including
    the two measures raising the renewable-power requirement on utilities,
    a state subsidy program to encourage the installation of
    electricity-generating solar panels on 1 million California roofs, and
    in January 2007, an executive order establishing the nation’s first
    ‘low-carbon fuel standard,’ which requires a reduction of at least 10
    percent in the carbon emissions from transportation fuels by 2020.
    Schwarzenegger signed a Pavley-sponsored bill imposing the nation’s
    first mandatory statewide reductions in greenhouse-gas emissions. The
    bill required the state by 2020 to roll back its emissions to the 1990
    level—a reduction of about 15 percent from the current level. (By
    separate executive order, Schwarzenegger also committed the state to an
    80 percent reduction by 2050.)

    It’d be easy to go with the Atlantic and frame the governor
    as a hero, but he landed in office by promising to cut vehicle taxes
    and has been in bed ever since with the state’s biggest greenhouse gas
    emitter and the world’s fifth biggest corporation, Chevron. Even the
    organization that sent him to Copenhagen, Climate Action Reserve, is
    backed by Chevron and Shell—and the oil and coal industries have
    been the biggest domestic roadblocks to real climate-change measures.
    Nonetheless, at the Copenhagen climate conference he talked about R20,
    the alliance of states and provinces he’s co-founded to implement
    climate change measures at sub-national levels. And he has suggested that climate-change deniers like Palin are “still living in the Stone Age.”

    A magnitude shy of what physics demands

    Think of Schwarzenegger as the hinge between the fantasy of Terminator 2 and the reality of our predicament. Think of Obama …

    Well, in T2, there’s Miles Dyson, a slender, well-spoken African-American family man
    who will engineer the computer technology that will create the
    intelligent machines that will annihilate practically everything. Sarah—Connor, not Palin—sets out to kill him, but her son shows up with
    his Terminator-Schwarzenegger sidekick, and they instead convince the
    not-so-mad scientist he’s about to do something terribly, terribly
    wrong. He then leads them to his workplace to destroy everything he’s
    ever done. When their violent erasure program sets off alarms that
    bring in squadrons of cops, Dyson ends up gravely wounded and holding
    the trigger to set off the explosion that will wipe out the
    technologies endangering future humanity—and himself.

    Seeing this movie with its acts of self-sacrifice, now offers an
    occasion to ask: when’s the last time you’ve even seen a major
    politician who’ll put his finger to that trigger with humanity in mind,
    no less simply do anything that’s bad for reelection?

    What if Obama would say what he has to know, what they all have to
    know, that saving the planet from our slo-mo, unevenly distributed
    version of Judgment Day requires destroying the status quo and maybe changing everything? What if he’d just learn from
    Schwarzenegger that you can do quite a lot and still survive
    politically?

    As a disgusted Bill McKibben recently put it,
    “Obama will propose 4 percent reductions in [U.S. greenhouse gas] emissions by
    2020, compared with 20 percent for the Europeans (a number the E.U. said they’d
    raise to 30 percent if the U.S. would go along). Scientists, meanwhile, have
    made it clear that a serious offer would mean about 40 percent cuts by 2020.
    So—we’re exactly an order of magnitude shy of what the physics
    demands.”

    Bill, a normally mild-mannered guy who was overjoyed at Obama’s election, called the president’s position “a lie inside a fib coated with spin.”

    Thanks to a sudden decision earlier this month by the Environmental Protection Agency allowing the
    executive branch to address the issue of climate-change gases under the
    Clean Air Act, Obama has apparently been given superpowers to act
    without being completely hamstrung by a reluctant Congress. Or as the
    Center for Biological Diversity put it,
    “President Obama can lead, rather than follow, by using his power under
    the Clean Air Act and other laws to achieve deep and rapid greenhouse
    emissions reductions from major polluters.”

    Will he? Probably not. After all, he’s the man who stood up in
    Prague last April and said: “I state clearly and with conviction
    America’s commitment to seek the peace and security of a world without
    nuclear weapons.” For a moment, it almost sounded as if he was going to be the action hero of our antinuclear dreams,
    wiping out one apocalypse that has hung over us for sixty years. And
    then he added that he didn’t actually expect to see the abolition of
    such weaponry in his lifetime, though he didn’t say why.

    Now, we’re in an action movie in which the fate of the Earth is
    truly at stake, and the most powerful man on the planet has allowed
    himself to be hedged in by timidities, compromises, refusals, denials,
    and the murderous pressure of corporations. Those too-big-to-die
    corporations are the reason why the Senate is unlikely to ratify any
    climate-change treaty that threatens to do much of anything. Really,
    corporations—half-fictitious, semi-immortal behemoths endowed with
    human rights in the U.S. and possessed of corrosive global power—already are the ruthless cyborgs of our time. They are, after all,
    actively seeking a world in which they imagine that, somehow, they will
    survive, even if many of us and much that we love does not. Sorry poor
    people, young people, Africa, sorry Arctic summer ice, you’re not too
    big to fail.

    100,000 in the streets vs. three degrees of heat

    I wish life on this planet really were like an action movie. I wish
    that a handful of heroic individuals could do battle with the mightiest
    of forces and decisively alter the fate of the world—and then we
    could all go home to a planet that’s safe. As we know, however, it’s
    going to be a lot more intricate and complicated than that. There are
    millions, maybe billions, of players in this one, and its running time
    is a lot longer than the two weeks of Copenhagen or the two hours of a
    movie. For our heroines, we get not the commando-siren Sarah Connor,
    but the sturdy, ex-middle-school American government teacher and now
    California state senator Fran Pavley, 61.

    Really, though, if there’s going to be a superhero in our world, a
    friendly Terminator to go up against the villains in suits and ties, it
    will be civil society. Even for the betterment of humankind, civil
    society won’t get to shoot anyone or drive a truck through a wall. 
    Instead, it’ll organize, educate, build, and pressure, while working to
    create models and alternatives. It’ll reelect Pavley and shut down
    Chevron.

    There have already been some moments of great drama with this superhero leading the way—the civil disobedience of the Climate Ground Zero mountaintop coal campaign in Appalachia, the
    Climate Camps in Britain, the Kingsnorth Six climbers who blocked a
    coal-power-plant’s smokestack in England last October (and were exonerated by a British jury), the underwater cabinet meeting held in the Maldives this October to protest that low-lying island
    nation’s possible fate. All this was done in part to get people to take
    an interest in the fate of their planet, which is not so readily
    reducible to a blockbuster’s plot as we might like.

    The pivotal moment just came—and went. This week in Copenhagen,
    the Bella Center conference, in which a new climate treaty was supposed
    to be negotiated, stagnated while repression around it grew furiously.
    It stagnated because the rich countries were unwilling to either reduce
    their own emissions significantly or pledge meaningful funding to help
    poor nations transition to greener economies. Or it stagnated because
    the poor countries didn’t consent to be crucified for crumbs. The
    United States, which just spent nearly a trillion dollars bailing out
    its floundering financial corporations and spends about $700 billion
    annually on the military, offered an obscenely inadequate $1.2 billion in aid. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton pledged $100 billion way down the road, but only if an unlikely quantity of factors and conditions were to align beforehand.

    Outside the center, the Danish police became increasingly brutal as
    activists from everywhere, representing the poor, developing, and most
    affected nations, the Arctic, small farmers, indigenous nations, and
    the environment demonstrated. Inside nongovernmental groups were
    increasingly excluded from the discussions and then from the actual
    space itself.  None of this prevented the conference from stalling.

    On Monday, negotiators from the African nations shut down the
    climate talks in fury at attempts to undermine the Kyoto accords—a
    move designed to make the global situation worse at a meeting that was
    supposed to make it better. On Wednesday, hundreds of delegates inside
    the Bella Center protested, walking out to join the thousands already
    in the streets. By all reports the atmosphere was increasingly tense
    and repressive.

    Everyone whose opinion I respect deplores what just went down in
    Copenhagen. There’s an agreement of sorts, but it was achieved by
    Obama and a few powerful nations over the objections of the rest in
    violation of the way the process should have unfolded.  Worse, it
    contains no binding agreements to limit climate change. The so-called
    agreement acknowledges that we should limit warming to two degrees Celsius, but the actual commitments, if honored, would bring the world to 3.9 degrees Celsius (seven degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100. Even two degrees, African
    negotiator Lumumba Stanislaus Di-Aping had said, “would condemn Africa
    to death.”  Maldives President Mohamed Nasheed pointed out that three
    degrees would “spell death for the Maldives and a billion people in
    low-lying areas.” Three degrees, said Joss Garman of the British
    branch of Greenpeace, “would lead to the collapse of the Amazon
    rainforest, droughts across South America and Australia, and the
    depletion of ocean habitats.”

    All that was achieved was consensus that there’s a problem and
    clarity about what that problem is:  the refusal of the wealthy
    corporations and nations to do what benefits humanity and all other
    species.  Money won.  Life lost.  Copenhagen is over, a battle lost
    despite valiant efforts, but the war continues. 

    The crazy thing about this moment in history is that it isn’t at all like Terminator 2, except that the Earth and our species are in terrible danger, and ruthless superhuman forces push us toward our doom. In the movie, Sarah Connor is the only human being who knows what’s
    coming, and she’s in an Abu Ghraib-like mental hospital for saying and
    doing something about it. In our reality, anyone who cares to know
    what the dangers are should have no problem finding out. Most of us
    have known, or should have known, for quite a long time. Because we’ve
    done so little, what a decade ago was imagined as the terrible future
    has actually, like the Terminator, made it here ahead of time.

    The learning curve for so many of us, for so many people and even
    nations, has been speeding up impressively. If we had 40 years to
    figure it all out, we might be headed toward just the sort of victory
    that civil society has, in fact, achieved on so many other
    environmental and human-rights ideas. But there aren’t decades to
    spare. It needs to happen now. It should have happened even before
    the last century ended.

    Even in my fever dream, with the Superdome just out the window, I couldn’t help noting the key axiom repeated in Terminator 2: “The future is not set. There is no fate but what we make for ourselves.” 

    So here’s the lesson: there are no superheroes but us.

    And here’s the question: what are you going to do about it?

    Related Links:

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director

    What happens now for the forests?

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?






  • The moral equivalent of slavery

    by Ken Ward

    Abolitionists were considered outrageous in their day … and yet.Library of CongressThe problem with relying on World War II as the historical parallel for an energetic, last-minute drive by the U.S. to save the world from climate cataclysm, is that it depends on domestic climate impacts equivalent to Pearl Harbor to kick the whole thing off. I have argued that only such conditions—say, two Category 5 hurricanes passing over Florida in a single season—will be powerful enough to knock business-as-usual-thinking off kilter, and that U.S. environmentalists ought to prepare for rapid, non-linear action within chaotic social circumstances. The problem with that analysis is that it will probably come too late to change the outcome, and it’s too grim to sustain hope.

    Copenhagen has altered the political terrain here in the U.S., providing us an opportunity to aim for rapid political change, more dynamic and more hopeful than waiting for a climate Pearl Harbor. COP15 failed by almost any standard, yet the drive by leaders from island and African nations and 350.org to wrench the world’s understanding of climate from a challenge resolvable by incremental steps within present markets and governmental frameworks to the central moral imperative confronting humanity may well have succeeded.

    There are many parallels between our present condition and the decades 1830-50, when the then-moribund drive to end slavery became the dominant question before the nation and flash point for the Civil War. Slavery moved from peripheral concern to central matter of national self-definition through singular actions taken by a handful of remarkable individuals.

    Negotiation with slaveholders. The monolithic, inextricable nature of slavery stumped every leader from Thomas Jefferson to Abraham Lincoln, and mainstream anti-slavery advocates, none of whom could envision any exit other than gradual, cooperative measures acceptable to slaveholders, such as voluntary manumission, resettlement of former slaves in Africa or South America, and federal buy-out. Because anti-slavery efforts were deferential to slaveholding states’ interests, they were necessarily long term and in-urgent. Accommodation peaked with the Missouri Compromise of 1820, hailed as the first act by the United States to limit extension of slavery, and embraced by slaveholders because it guaranteed the extension of slavery in new territories below the Mason-Dixon line—a compromise derided by Thomas Jefferson, who observed that “a geographical line, coinciding with a marked principle, moral and political, once conceived and held up to the angry passions of men, will never be obliterated.”

    Garrison, the ur-abolitionist.William Lloyd Garrison & abolition. An out of work printer and editor named William Lloyd Garrison stood before an audience of Boston Unitarians and Universalists (the only congregations willing to hear him) on October 15, 1830, and issued the first public call for “immediate, unconditional emancipation, without expatriation,” which, he said, “was the right of every slave and could not be withheld by his master for one hour without sin.” Furthermore, Garrison said, “by holding fellowship with slaveholders,” in their churches, mercantile enterprises, and political parties, New Englanders gave moral sanction to slavery.

    Garrison’s words divided anti-slavery forces into two camps: those who, through personal prejudice or pragmatic politics, continued to advocate small steps that might past muster in Congress, and those who rallied to his immoderate call for immediate abolition.

    John Brown & Harpers Ferry. Garrison polarized the moral ground, but slavery remained a second-tier concern until John Brown’s raid on Harpers Ferry, in October, 1959, ignited the national furor that led directly to secession, election of Abraham Lincoln, and the Civil War. On May 30, 1880, Frederick Douglass delivered a memorial address, in which he said, “If John Brown did not end the war that ended slavery, he did at least begin the war that ended slavery … Until this blow was struck [at Harpers Ferry], the prospect for freedom was dim, shadowy, and uncertain. The irrepressible conflict was one of words, votes, and compromises.”

    Prolific burning of fossil fuels is no less monolithic, globally, than slavery in the Antebellum South. So too, our organizations and politicians aiming to ameliorate climate change, like anti-slavery advocates, see no alternative but to negotiate with coal and oil interests.

    Cap and trade is as disingenuous and fruitless as gradual emancipation, and the Markey/Kerry bill is the moral equivalent of the Missouri Compromise, ostensibly aimed at righting a great wrong, while in substance guaranteeing maintenance of the institution that perpetuates that wrong. The purpose of Markey/Kerry is to ease the minds of those desperate for climate action, even as the extension of coal burning is written into federal law. Its premise is that emancipation from fossil fuels must, perforce, be a gradual undertaking of small steps acceded to by our enemies, with a final accounting made the responsibility of some other generation.

    The target of returning below 350 ppm is the critical benchmark defining the problem (with accumulating evidence that “below” is closer to 300 ppm and may require rapid return below pre-industrial 275 ppm), but having already blasted past this mark, 350 ppm alone is ambiguous. How much higher can we safely go? Is 450 ppm an acceptable peak? 550? For how long?

    Lacking scientific certainty, we are forced to make judgment calls that amount to playing dice for survival. We stand on no true ground, have no moral compass, and are unable to apply any standard other than ascertaining what we think may be palatable to our enemies.

    But Copenhagen clarifies. As environmentalists, we must, and have, acted on behalf of species facing extinction and ecosystems on the road to destruction, but as practical players within a society largely unmoved by such concerns, our central argument must be anthropocentric. We no longer confront speculative injuries remote in time and place; huge populations are on the very brink of catastrophe, with loss of water perhaps the most immediate threat.

    Therefore, any act that countenances the extension of fossil fuel burning is wrong. Anything short of immediate and total shutdown of extractions is immoral. That we are all complicit is no justification for acquiescing to evil.

    That the violence commences with extractions recognizes the injustice done to local peoples, whether they be in Appalachia or Nigeria; but more profoundly, we must accept that every investment in fossil fuel exploration and each decision to mine or drill is a deliberate, premeditated, and ruthless act.

    To say this is to state the obvious. Yet if this is so, and if we continue our rush toward self-induced cataclysm, then why do we continue to treat with the prime authors of our mass suicide?

    Look at BP—“Beyond Petroleum”—with its flowery logo and bold vision of transforming energy supplies. BP CEO Tony Hayward caused a stir last year when it was reported that the company planned to sell off its renewable energy division,* but this was a small kerfuffle compared to the overall perspective, in which BP has never deviated from its drive to overtake Exxon-Mobil as the major fossil fuel company in the world.

    For two decades now, environmentalists have courted BP (once led by another John Browne). Environmental Defense conducts joint programs, ED and NRDC head up USCAP with BP, and CERES, our environmental voice within the investment world, conferred an award on BP. To what end? In the twelve years since BP first teamed up with ED, BP’s profit has risen from $2.8 billion to $25.5 billion, with the overwhelming bulk of investment going to fossil fuels. Capital expenditures and acquisitions in 2008 alone totaled $30.7 billion, against which BP’s pledge of $1.25 billion annually over 10 years for renewable energy is paltry, even assuming the promise is kept. It may once have been reasonable to try negotiating with BP and others, but no longer.

    Time to take a page from John Brown’s book?Something other than dialogue is required. John Brown provided that kick-in-the-pants to complacent anti-slavery efforts by the attempt to capture the federal arsenal at Harpers Ferry and ignite a slave rebellion, succeeding in the end in getting two sons and a number of other followers killed, and himself hung. Poorly conceived and without hope of success, the raid and John Brown’s bearing through trial and execution nonetheless galvanized both sides, polarizing and elevating the conflict around slavery.

    That Brown’s action was violent and murderous reflected both the author and the times, a thing to be firmly eschewed. Non-violent civil disobedience is the means for direct moral action, as the waves of protest at coal plants, in the mountains of West Virginia, on the Boston Commons and before the offices of organizations that continue to collaborate demonstrates.

    Slavery ended in the United States when it did because slaveholders over-reached, but the end of the peculiar institution could not have been avoided. Abolition would have been delayed, however, absent the actions of Garrison and Brown. Time, of course, we do not have, so it is incumbent upon us to take up the same challenge that Garrison made of the citizens of Boston: to examine in what ways our organizations and associations aid and abet the practice of evil; to take direct, non-violent action to halt those practices; and, if we are not so situated, to provide all possible assistance and aid to those in the front lines in West Virginia, Boston, and coal blockades across the nation.

    * Hayward quickly retracted the statement, reaffirming BP’s commitment to renewables and carbon emissions reduction, yet the company has taken a number of contrary actions, including recent sale of Indian wind farms, complete withdrawal from the UK renewable sector, and repudiating a pledge to capture and store carbon in natural gas extractions.

    Related Links:

    Dear NGO leader:  Still want my $100?  Answer these five questions

    Copenhagen blame game is obstacle to 2010 climate deal

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director






  • Three good things that might come from Copenhagen

    by Ken Ward

    Copenhagen was a disaster for anyone who anticipated actual progress toward a functional global solution. What was true on Thursday (‘Empty’ climate deal worse then no deal, says White House) went out the window Friday, and an event that was to crown ten years of international effort produced utterly useless language, unenthusiastically scrabbled together in hours by 5 out of 192 nations, and this coda to a pathetic half-effort got exactly one day of our President’s time.

    That’s worse than I expected, and I expected nothing (though I did hope that 350 ppm would be recognized as the benchmark for global survival). Amidst the ashes of utter failure, what, if anything, can be said in the positive?

    I think there are three important things that might conceivably result from collapse of the UN climate negotiations, in terms of U.S. environmentalists’ thinking and conduct.

    Acceptance. U.S. environmentalists have been comforted by the thought that small-but-crucial-steps embodied in a U.S. climate bill and COP15 treaty would avert the worst. Spinning is already underway to keep that hope alive, but it will require a whole new level of denial to swallow it, and it may be that truth, miserable as it is, is easier to accept. The painful reality is that nothing we have done to date has altered the world’s trajectory much, and we have passed the point where incremental actions, moderately advanced, might arguably have staved off cataclysm. There is no hope for an easy exit.

    Fear. The train of thinking for many U.S. environmentalists has run something like this: “There’s no way Kerry/Markey or anything else we’re working on will do the job, but it’s the best we can do. If we give up on the best we can do, then we will be faced with remaking American politics, transforming our own institution, supplanting consumer/market economy with eco-principles, and so on, all of which are obviously impossible. Therefore, I must keep my nose to the grindstone because the only alternative is to give up.” If, or once, reality is accepted, then the choice is no longer between faint hope and terrifying despair; it is between potentially useful fear and despair. It is the individual, society, or nation (and, perhaps, thoughtful species) with nothing to lose that may attempt big things.

    Clarity. The COP15 debacle and a Senate bill based on “renewable energy, clean coal, natural gas and nuclear energy,” according to sponsor John Kerry, are our doing—the direct, linear result of our decisions to downplay climate realities, worry about majority public opinion rather than building a militant minority, negotiate with an intractable opposition, package a global, civilization-busting threat as a domestic opportunity for energy independence and job creation, and so on. As the architects of our strategy themselves admit, we could not have a better political position than where we stood at the beginning of this year, nor could we have chosen better champions than Rep Markey, Sen. Kerry, and President Obama, nor won wider corporate support, than the endorsers of U.S. CAP.

    But we lost, and so now it is time to try something else.

    Related Links:

    Copenhagen blame game is obstacle to 2010 climate deal

    Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director

    What happens now for the forests?






  • Global warming hike may be steeper

    by Agence France-Presse

    PARIS—Global temperatures could rise substantially more because of increases in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than previously thought, according to a new study by U.S. and Chinese scientists released Sunday.

    The researchers used a long-term model for assessing climate change, confirming a similar British study released this month that said calculations for man-made global warming may be underestimated by between 30 and 50 percent.

    The new study published online by Nature Geoscience focused on a period three to five million years ago—the most recent episode of sustained global warming with geography similar to today’s, a Yale University statement said.

    This was in order to look at the Earth’s long-term sensitivity to climate fluctuation, including in changes to continental icesheets and vegetation cover on land.

    More common estimates for climate change are based on relatively rapid feedback to increases in carbon dioxide, such as changes to sea ice and atmospheric water vapour.

    Using sediment drilled from the ocean floor, the scientists’ reconstruction of carbon dioxide concentrations found that “a relatively small rise in CO2 levels was associated with substantial global warming 4.5 million years ago.”

    They also found that the global temperature was between two and three degrees C (3.6 and 5.4 degrees F) higher than today even though carbon dioxide levels were similar to the current ones, the statement said.

    “This work and other ancient climate reconstructions reveal that Earth’s climate is more sensitive to atmospheric carbon dioxide than is discussed in political circles,” said the paper’s lead author, Yale’s Mark Pagani.

    “Since there is no indication that the future will behave differently than the past, we should expect a couple of degrees of continued warming even if we held CO2 concentrations at the current level,” he said in the statement.

    The study was published on the heels of a 12-day U.N. conference in Copenhagen that was aimed at providing a durable solution to the greenhouse-gas problem and its disastrous consequences but was labeled a failure by critics.

    The meeting set a commitment to limit global warming to two degrees C (3.6 F), but did not spell out the important stepping stones—global emissions targets for 2020 or 2050—for getting there.

    The British study released on Dec. 6 had also researched the Pliocene era, between three to five million years ago.

    Spread the news on what the føck is going on in Copenhagen with friends via email, Facebook, Twitter, or smoke signals.

    Related Links:

    What happens now for the forests?

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  • Brown blames China for ‘farcical’ climate talks

    by Agence France-Presse

    LONDON—British Prime Minister Gordon Brown on Monday accused countries of holding the U.N. climate summit to ransom as bitter recriminations swirled over the outcome of the negotiations.

    British Prime Minister Gordan Brown. While China’s Premier Wen Jiabao insisted his government had played an “important and constructive” role, Britain said the meeting had lurched into farce and pointed the finger of blame at Beijing.

    And the summit host, Danish Prime Minister Lars Loekke Rasmussen, rapped the lower-level negotiators for failing to make headway in nearly two weeks of talks and then leaving their masters with too much to do at the climax.

    Brown said lessons must be learned.

    Never again should we face the deadlock that threatened to pull down those talks. Never again should we let a global deal to move towards a greener future be held to ransom by only a handful of countries.

    While Brown refrained from naming countries, his climate change minister Ed Miliband said China had led a group of countries that “hijacked” the negotiations which had at times presented “a farcical picture to the public.”

    The agreement finally put together by a select group of leaders set no target for greenhouse-gas emissions cuts and is not legally binding—omissions Miliband blamed on Beijing.

    “We did not get an agreement on 50 percent reductions in global emissions by 2050 or on 80 percent reductions by developed countries,” he wrote in the Guardian.

    “Both were vetoed by China, despite the support of a coalition of developed and the vast majority of developing countries.” Miliband’s aides told the daily that Sudan, Bolivia, and other left-wing Latin American governments were included in the criticism.

    China, the world’s top polluter, doggedly resisted pressure for outside scrutiny of its emissions.

    Wen however rejected any suggestion it had played a negative role and said China had “expressed its fullest sincerity and made its utmost effort.”

    The Copenhagen Accord set “long-term goals” for the global community in addressing climate change, Wen said, according to comments released by the foreign ministry.

    This is the result of the efforts from all sides and has wide approval. This result did not come easy and should be cherished.

    France’s Prime Minister Francois Fillon, on a visit to Beijing, trod delicately but showed Europe’s frustration with the outcome.

    “France, like all of the European Union, would have wanted the Copenhagen Accord to go a bit further,” he said.

    His comments echoed those of U.S. President Barack Obama who acknowledged that all of the world’s polluters would quickly have to do more after the “extremely difficult and complex negotiations.”

    Rasmussen, heavily criticized for his stewardship of the summit of around 130 leaders, said the agreement was “better than nothing.”

    The Dane said the conference had become quagmired before the arrival of the leaders for Friday’s finale with negotiators having made negligible progress since its start on Dec. 7.

    “When the leaders arrived, there was not even a framework agreement to discuss and we had 24 hours, which is too little time, to create a text which should have been negotiated during the two weeks of the conference,” he told Danish television.

    As failure loomed, Rasmussen helped steer negotiations involving the leaders of the United States, China, India, Brazil, South Africa, and major European countries that resulted in the final agreement.

    The accord promised $100 billion for poor nations that risk bearing the brunt of the global warming fallout, and set a commitment to limit global warming to two degrees C (3.6 F).

    That however stopped short of the demand for a 1.5 degree limit low-lying island nations whose existence is threatened by rising sea levels.

    Scientists say hundreds of millions of people are threatened in the next few decades by worsening drought, floods, storms, and rising sea levels as a result of rising temperatures.

    Spread the news on what the føck is going on in Copenhagen with friends via email, Facebook, Twitter, or smoke signals.

    Related Links:

    What happens now for the forests?

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  • Copenhagen: a look back at the most striking narratives

    by David Roberts

    Let the untangling of Copenhagen begin!Photo: Adam Selwood via Flickr Creative CommonsLast week was absolutely extraordinary, full of more drama and consequence than anything I’ve witnessed in the green world in the six years I’ve been covering it. It was the coming together of so many forces and narratives that the tangle will likely be unpacked over years, not days.

    For a close look at the details of the Copenhagen Accord, see Robert Stavins. For a wonderful tick-tock of how the last day unfolded, see John Vidal and Jonathan Watts. For more analysis, see Andrew Light, Michael Levi, Jeremy Symons, Julian Wong, Jake Schmidt, and Noah Sachs.

    Having had a chance to catch my breath after a manic couple of weeks, here are a few of the more striking narrative threads that have stayed with me.

    Clash of expectations

    What made Copenhagen such a charged atmosphere was the clash of two forces. On one side: the rising   expectations, engagement, and intensity of civil society. Activists have spent the last two years characterizing COP15 as humanity’s last chance to save itself; success was characterized as a full legally binding treaty targeted at 350 ppm of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. On the other side: a set of political circumstances and leaders that rendered activist aspirations all but impossible.

    A situation like that is bound to end in strife, and it did: civil society groups were locked out of Copenhagen’s Bella Center during the crucial final two days of negotiations and ended up mounting marches and demonstrations in the streets. Who knows if it was intended as a direct insult by the UNFCCC or the Danes—if reports on the ground are to be believed, one can’t discount managerial and logistical incompetence —but it created a disastrous visual: a vibrant, diverse youth movement locked out while heads of state negotiate their future behind closed doors.

    The limits of politics became “official,” as it were, in isolation from the people whose lives are at stake. You couldn’t haven engineered an outcome more likely to generate fury and despair among activists, and there’s been plenty. The anger at Obama and other world leaders, the sense of betrayal, is palpable, and it shouldn’t be discounted or minimized.

    At the same time, that anger shouldn’t cross over into self-indulgence. Nor should it serve to obscure the more systemic or institutional features of the challenge ahead.

    Leaders up in it

    One of the most unusual and fascinating stories of the summit is the fact that heads of state got down in the muck and negotiated text. This never happens. When leaders arrive at international negotiations they typically expect to sign something that’s already been hashed out, call it a victory, and fly home. At most there are a handful of remaining issues. Last Friday at Copenhagen there were dozens, large and small, remaining when over 100 heads of state arrived. That left them in a frantic game of phone calls, leaks, and meetings, sometimes with mid-level negotiators, sometimes one-on-one, sometimes even unexpectedly, as when Obama famously barged in on a meeting with China, India, and Brazil.

    At a press conference afterwards, U.N. Assistant Secretary-General Robert Orr spoke about what had transpired with something close to awe. He said he’d never seen so many heads of state at a negotiation, much less directly involved in textual details. To boot, he said, they knew what they were talking about, even down to the nitty-gritty details.

    Activists point out that Kyoto is legally binding and this new accord isn’t, but it can reasonably be responded that even a legally binding treaty isn’t worth much without serious, high-level commitment from the countries involved. (Kyoto hasn’t exactly been a wild success, after all.) Whatever the weaknesses of the document that emerged, there can no longer be any doubt that the leaders of the world’s major economies are directly engaged on the subject. That may prove as significant as any treaty in the long-term.

    China fail

    Obama being the hypnotizing, endlessly fascinating figure that he is, much attention has focused on his role in the talks. To hear some green lefties tell it, Obama is single-handedly responsible for failing to secure a full, legally binding treaty.

    But if there’s a party to blame, it’s China. It’s China that was off meeting with India and Brazil, trying to avoid getting ensnared in any commitments at all, forcing Obama to track them down. It was China that refused to sign off on the target of 50% global reductions by 2050. It was China that forced rich countries not to commit to 80% reductions by 2050, lest it some day have to live up to that target. (Yes, China forced rich countries to trim their ambitions. “Ridiculous,” said Merkel.) It was China who, up until the very last minute, refused to agree to any international verification at all, and only upon the personal intervention of Premier Wen Jiabao agreed to accept a voluntary system of reporting. (Read The Washington Post for that extraordinary story.)

    It’s China, in short, that was unwilling to sign onto anything but the most bare-bones framework. But it’s China without which no international climate system can work—it is, after all, the top emitter in absolute terms. By all accounts Obama practically knocked himself silly against the wall of Chinese intransigence, with two extended one-on-one meetings with Wen, but in the end he could only get what he could get, and it sounds like it was something of a miracle he got anything at all.

    UN fail

    Here’s what you need to know about the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change: it’s based on a framework that can’t solve the problem, but changing the framework requires unanimity among 192 wildly diverse nations, so it’s stuck.

    The Kyoto Protocol requires nothing of “developing nations,” an unwieldy and utterly outmoded category that now includes such wee economies as China, India, Brazil, South Africa, Mexico, and Korea. Obviously those countries are going have to participate somehow. But poor and island states don’t want to let go of Kyoto,  because it’s legally binding and takes their interests into account. The rich developed countries want a new, post-Kyoto framework that requires emission reduction commitments from emerging economies. And emerging economies, led by China, are in the catbird seat. They know they’ll have to accept some responsibility of some kind at some point, but they can absolutely dictate what shape it takes. Other countries have little leverage over them, since they’re protected by the current framework, and that—see above—is almost impossible to change.

    That is the stalemate climate talks have been in for years. It didn’t budge in the run-up to Copenhagen, making the hope of a full-fledged post-Kyoto treaty forlorn (thus the “two-step” process that begins with a political agreement). And it didn’t budge during Copenhagen: in the middle of last week, after a week and a half of negotiations, the process was on the verge of total failure. No progress had been made on the key issues and there was every sign that the deadlock was terminal.

    It was only by forging a non-UN side agreement that Obama and other national leaders averted disaster. The UNFCCC “took note” of the accord, but since Sudan, Bolivia, Nicaragua, Venezuela, and Cuba wouldn’t sign on, it couldn’t formally adopt it.

    That’s right—a clutch of hostile Latin American kleptocracies practically derailed the entire process. This can’t help but raise serious questions about whether the UN is the proper venue to hash out emission reductions. Does it really make sense to give 192 nations veto power when the vast bulk of emissions come from under 20 of them?

    Watch for more of the action to move to groups like the Major Economies Forum and the G20. This will leave poor developing countries more exposed than ever. The climate justice movement has its work cut out for it.

    Senate fail

    In retrospect it might not have mattered, given Chinese intransigence, but the reason Obama went to Copenhagen with such weak targets is that he couldn’t promise anything the U.S. Senate—the world’s most dysfunctional legislative body—wouldn’t deliver. Even the 17% by 2020 that Obama promised was a little risky, given the lingering possibility of failure in the Senate.

    Conversely, the reason Obama engaged so intensely and personally to get some kind of deal is that he knows failure in Copenhagen would mean failure in Congress. There’s no way in hell the U.S. Senate will pass a bill after the rest of the world makes it clear they can’t get their sh*t together.

    Will the agreement in Copenhagen be strong enough to positively affect the Senate debate? Given how isolated and self-regarding most senators are, that strikes me as unlikely. But it will be something to watch over the next few months as the bill nears the floor.

    Twitter win

    For the green world, Copenhagen marked a real coming of age for social media. The NGOs made unprecedented use of Facebook and Twitter to mount campaigns and keep in touch, but for me as a journalist the real story was Twitter.

    Far from the silly diversion it began, Twitter has become an indispensable tool for reporting. It was through Twitter that I kept up with journalists and NGO reps on the ground, tracked breaking developments, and found my way to the best analysis. It was where I spent most of my time tracking and where I did the bulk of my writing—distributing good information and links and tossing in bits of analysis, context-setting, and humor. (Follow me!)

    Obviously there are many things Twitter can’t do, but in terms of keeping a broad eye on the latest developments, it’s arguably superior to being on site. Many reporters in Copenhagen themselves gleaned the latest details from Twitter. There’s no replacing reporters digging behind the scenes, but Twitter opens a kind of second-level reporting that’s accessible to everyone.

    It struck me at, oh, 3am Saturday morning that I was living an extraordinary moment. While a fateful debate among the world’s countries took place, I watched it on live, streaming video and reported the important details to thousands of people in real-time. And while I’m a journalist by title, there was nothing preventing anyone from doing exactly the same thing; indeed, many non-journos were.

    All the information is available all the time, and anyone can distribute it—we’re all media now.

    Looking forward

    As an exhausted Obama said before leaving Copenhagen:

    One of the things that I’ve felt very strongly about during the course of this year is that hard stuff requires not paralysis but it requires going ahead and making the best of the situation that you’re in at this point, and then continually trying to improve and make progress from there.

    Along similar lines, Matt Yglesias has been drawing attention to the last paragraph of Max Weber’s “Politics as a Vocation”:

    Politics is a strong and slow boring of hard boards. It takes both passion and perspective. Certainly all historical experience confirms the truth—that man would not have attained the possible unless time and again he had reached out for the impossible. But to do that a man must be a leader, and not only a leader but a hero as well, in a very sober sense of the word. And even those who are neither leaders nor heroes must arm themselves with that steadfastness of heart which can brave even the crumbling of all hopes. This is necessary right now, or else men will not be able to attain even that which is possible today. Only he has the calling for politics who is sure that he shall not crumble when the world from his point of view is too stupid or too base for what he wants to offer. Only he who in the face of all this can say ‘In spite of all!’ has the calling for politics.

    What came out of Copenhagen is nothing but a faint promise. To make it something real, much less what’s needed,  will require intense pressure from civil society, elites, businesses, enlightened governments, and ordinary citizens. And guess what? If there is a robust, legally binding treaty signed in Mexico next year, with sufficient targets and timetables … intense pressure will still be required.

    This will be a century-long fight. If the green movement is going to sustain itself over time, it might be wise to try to avoid the emotional roller coaster of “last chances” and “historic failures.” That’s a recipe for burnout. There will be no cathartic moment, no final breakthrough, only a war of inches won by sheer persistence and creativity.

    Spread the news on what the føck is going on in Copenhagen with friends via email, Facebook, Twitter, or smoke signals.

    Related Links:

    What happens now for the forests?

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    What you need to know following the Copenhagen climate summit






  • Dark winter days at the JP Green House

    by Andrée Zaleska

    Family and crew show their climate commitment at the JP Green House.As I write this, the Northeast is methodically being blanketed with a thick blessing of snow, shutting everything down, as if the earth knows we need comfort and beauty after this horrible week.

    The crisis of our planet manifested at Copenhagen. We held a vigil for 350, singing Dylan into the howling winds of downtown Boston, outside of John Kerry’s empty office. We fasted at the request of 350.org. We followed the grim updates with little expectation, and we rejoiced at the protests of the people and the righteous rage of the global South.

    Down at the house, Monday morning we found only two of our work-team, looking grim. Placetailor is a design-build firm that specializes in Passive House design. They’re serious, purposeful, knowledgeable young men who ride their bikes onto the site each day because they eschew unnecessary use of fossil fuels. They work on one project at a time, meticulously, getting it right. Over the weekend their upcoming project had fallen apart, and with nothing else on the horizon once they complete work on the JPGH next month, they had to lay off most of the staff. Mitch, Michael, and Tony were gone, off to look for other building work in a tough economy.

    Though there are both state- and utilities-sponsored programs to support and promote green building in our area, the JP Green House and Placetailor have failed to qualify. Going well beyond weatherizing and insulation, into the realm of zero-carbon, perhaps inspires anxiety in funders? We have to ask: Where is the real impetus and funding to build the houses of the future? Where is the bailout for the planet—and shouldn’t this be a part of it?

    Worse still, Ken and I seem to be ready to fall victim to the stereotype that building houses ruins relationships. For a year we have struggled with the mounting costs of this project, which has come out at 10 times the cost we originally (naively) projected. I have the full-time job and most of the capital, and Ken has the vision, the carpentry skills, the fundraising experience. It seemed workable, but the reality of the past year has been a constant struggle  to procure the right amounts of money at the right time, costing us both much of our retirement funds.

    In a fallen economy, and with the level of denial pervading our society about climate change, there is little work for a radical environmental campaigner. And we have chosen to put our political energy behind 350.org, the most effective, and least-funded environmental campaign ever seen. My job, too, has suffered from the fracturing of my attention and commitments. It can be difficult to take anything not related to climate seriously. We risk underemployment if not unemployment by taking on this commitment to activism.

    New siding, fresh snow.We both carry marriages behind us like bags of bones, and I, in particular, have such abiding doubts about the institution itself that I refuse to ever consider remarriage. I have been prone to spells of witchiness, wherein I rage and stomp and declare that I never intended to take in a homeless environmentalist and his child. I have insisted on binding contracts to codify what each of us owes the other, and the project itself. Ken has fairly countered that he cannot live with the unpredictability of my anger, and that we must act as a team going forward, or not go forward.

    We have tried to take the thing apart, reduce it to its essence—which for us seems to be love and activism. Perhaps that essence will remain even if the relationship fails. We have, if nothing else, always been able to envision a very different future.

    The JP Green House stands majestically with the snow against the beautiful red siding, the huge Canadian windows opening the south side to the light. Last week we were offered a great deal on two wind-turbines. Generous gifts and loans have been coming our way, and a community is watching. It’s our job to make this happen for our kids, if nothing else. It’s bigger than we are, and it stands for a real, livable future—we couldn’t abandon that.

    Spread the news on what the føck is going on in Copenhagen with friends via email, Facebook, Twitter, or smoke signals.

    Related Links:

    Copenhagen coal in the stocking?

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    Obama to world in Copenhagen: ‘We will do what we say.’ Now tell it to the Senate.






  • All over the map: Rounding up editorial reax to Copenhagen

    by Russ Walker

    It’s too weak! … No, it was a fool’s errand to begin with … China is to blame! Of course not, it was the United States that brokered a bad deal for the world’s poor … There’s no hope … Progress was made, there’s more to do … Despair … Hope …

    theogeo via FlickrSuch was the general tone struck by newspaper editorial boards over the weekend about the climate accord announced late Friday from Copenhagen. Below is a roundup of Copenhagen editorializing. As the product of pre-1990s public education in the United States, this author is only able to read and speak English, so this is heavily weighted toward American and British publications, with a heavy smattering of newspapers based in Commonwealth nations (aka former Brit colonies).

    Here we go:

    Editorials in American papers tried their best to find the positive in the Copenhagen deal. Take, for example, The New York Times:

    [f]or the moment it is worth savoring the steps forward. China is now a player in the effort to combat climate change in a way it has never been, putting measurable emissions reductions targets on the table and accepting verification. And the United States is very much back in the game too. After eight years of playing the spoiler, it is now a leader with a president who seems to embrace the role.—Copenhagen, and Beyond

    The Washington Post editors said the Copenhagen deal, imperfect though it may be, should prompt Congress to finish work on comprehensive climate and energy legislation:

    [R]educing America’s dependence on foreign sources of energy and tackling domestic pollution are strong enough reasons to pass a bill. Vigorous debate should commence. Sens. John Kerry (D-Mass.), Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.) and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) have released a framework for legislation similar to a cap-and-trade bill the House passed, which requires a lot of fixing. Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) have their own, much simpler bill that would rebate carbon auction revenue directly to taxpayers. It is appealing, and it warrants attention, too.—One Cheer for Copenhagen

    USA Today‘s editors also chose to use Copenhagen as a way to prod Congress:

    Beyond Copenhagen, the domestic action shifts to Capitol Hill, where the Senate is weighing “cap and trade” legislation already passed by the House. This complex but proven way to reduce pollution would use market forces to limit carbon emissions. Global warming aside, the U.S. has strong reasons to wean itself from its ruinous dependence on foreign energy sources and to become a leader in the emerging “green” technology. But, as with trade talks, the U.S. can’t go it alone. China, in particular, is the key player on climate change: It and the USA emit almost 40% of the world’s greenhouse gases. Effectiveness depends on the cooperation of the world’s major emitters. Senate action and leadership by example would give U.S. negotiators a stronger hand going into the next round of climate talks, scheduled in Mexico City a year from now.—Climate talks fall short, but some progress beats none

    The San Francisco Chronicle editors creatively used the failure to reach a binding international climate accord as an opportunity to signal out and encourage the state of California’s efforts to transition to a clean-energy economy:

    Here’s where California comes in. This state has become a test lab, standard-bearer and economic visionary in the climate-change fight. If world leaders can’t get together, maybe this pioneering state can pick up the reins. The message from Copenhagen shouldn’t be the futility of global progress. The spin also shouldn’t suggest it’s time to roll back California policies on greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy. These are strong commitments that can show the way forward. Climate change remains the major challenge of the future. Copenhagen is no argument for giving up.—Amid the heat, a few rays of light

    The Boston Globe‘s editors opted for a grudgingly positive headline—11th-hour Copenhagen pact better than none, but barely—but were sure to make clear their overall disappointment: “Obama administration officials call the agreement ‘meaningful’ and ‘an important first step.’ That is putting the best face on it. In Copenhagen, the world has collectively kicked global warming down the road.”

    The über-conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board took great delight in slamming the Copenhagen outcome:

    No doubt under the agreement China will continue to get a free climate pass despite its role as the world’s No. 1 emitter. At Copenhagen the emerging economies nonetheless proved skilled at exploiting the West’s carbon guilt, and in exchange for the nonconcession of continuing to negotiate next year, or the year after that, they’ll receive up to $100 billion in foreign aid by 2020, with the U.S. contributing the lion’s share. We can’t wait to hear Mr. Obama tell Americans that he wants them to pay higher taxes so the U.S. can pay China to become more energy efficient and thus more economically competitive.—Copenhagen’s Lessons in Limits

    Surfing north toward Canada, The Globe and Mail used the outcome to contrast how Canada’s conservative government and the United States approached Copenhagen:

    The difference between American and Canadian leadership was clear in the press conferences its two leaders held [Friday] night. Mr. Obama hailed the deal, but communicated urgency, saying, ‘We have much further to go.’ Prime Minister Stephen Harper was defensive, and seemed glad to have simply endured the ordeal. As Canada prepares to host the G8 and G20 countries, it will need to do much more.—The Work Must Continue

    The National Post, a conservative-leaning paper in Canada, opted for the usual right’ish criticism of the United Nations as the best friend of despots and corrupt governments in the developing world:

    Thanks to speechifying by a who’s who of dubious gurus, self-promoters and self-declared ‘activists’ — a staple of international confabs these days — the event progressively took on the hypocrisy and surrealism of a UN Human Rights Council meeting, where the developed world meets to endure sermonizing from the likes of Cuba and Sudan.

    Oh, and of course the National Post editors took a parting swipe at cap-and-trade:

    The debate over emissions is a complex one, stuffed with conflicting claims and data all but incomprehensible to the non-expert observer. In trying to sort out what’s true and what isn’t, Canadians could hardly be blamed if they took one look at the childish antics and fatuous posturing by those supporting large-scale economic experiments as a possible remedy, and concluded they wanted no part of it.—Copenhagen Fizzles Out

    Over in the United Kingdom, where newspapers carry a much more overt political viewpoint, there was general agreement that Copenhagen was one big letdown.

    The Independent‘s editors were perhaps the most forthright in their anger over Copenhagen, leveling the blame directly at two nations:

    [I]t is important to be clear from where the opposition came. The immediate reaction against Barack Obama smacked a little of a pre-written liberal script, combining anti-Americanism with the certainty that progressive leaders will betray their cause. The real obstacle to a better deal, as Michael McCarthy reports, was China, with India hiding ‘behind the Chinese shadow,’ in the words of one participant. The US President declared a target for his country of an 80 per cent cut by 2050 – we can be doubtful about the mechanisms for achieving it, but not about its ambition. But the Chinese refused to have any targets in the accord at all – not even the targets that other countries were willing to set themselves. This requires a rethink about the realities of geopolitics in the remaining decades of the 21st century. In the economics of carbon, we are back in a bipolar world, with China the pre-eminent power. China has moved a long way towards its green responsibility in recent years, but the failure of Copenhagen has exposed how large a gulf remains between Beijing and the rest of the world.—Copenhagen: Our Lost Chance

    The Financial Times was brutal in its assessment, chiding the conference organizers for mishandling the entire process:

    Governments need to understand, even if they cannot say so, that Copenhagen was worse than useless. If you draw the world’s attention to an event of this kind, you have to deliver, otherwise the political impetus is lost. To declare what everybody knows to be a failure a success is feeble, and makes matters worse. Loss of momentum is now the danger. In future, governments must observe the golden rule of international co-operation: agree first, arrange celebrations and photo opportunities later.—Dismal outcome at Copenhagen fiasco

    The Observer, the Sunday edition of liberal Guardian, struck a more realist tone:

    Of course the accord is a disappointment for those who hoped to see the dawn of a new global climate order. It sets the right parameters, but they should have been in place at the start of the summit, not hastily approved in its eleventh hour. Precious time has been lost, but not hope. This is the only process we have to agree global carbon reduction. This is the dialogue that has been opened, in a spirit of goodwill worth admiring, between nations with vastly different strategic objectives. This inelegant compromise is what multilateral progress on climate change looks like. We cannot dismiss it in the vain hope that something more beautiful will appear in its place. But nor should we pause to applaud its authors. Instead, we must send them straight back to work.—The outcome at Copenhagen was disappointing. But if we work hard, there is still a way forward

    The Guardian itself seems to be going through several of the classic stages of grief. On Saturday, it was outrage in an editorial headlined, “The grim meaning of ‘meaningful’.” A choice excerpt:

    The threadbare agreement thrashed out last night has not even laid the foundations. The progress on financial assistance over the fortnight is welcome, but with much of the money earmarked for climate adaptation, the global community is left resembling an alcoholic who has decided to save up for a liver transplant rather than give up drink.

    By Monday, the editors had cooled a bit:

    While the Copenhagen product is every inch the sham that campaigners say it is, the Copenhagen process has set important precedents. Most obviously, although the haggling proved fruitless, the sheer fact that it took place – and at such a high political level – means it will probably do so again. … The silver that glistens within the dark cloud of Copenhagen’s failure is the west’s recognition that the world will not be rescued by diktat, but only through genuine dialogue.—Beyond Copenhagen: Dialogue, not diktat

    The venerable Times of London, noting the accord’s many weaknesses, managed to end on a positive note:

    Copenhagen has proved a milestone, with much success. A deal looks in place to prevent deforestation. There has been a recognition of the problem of acidification in the oceans. Pledges from China and the US to reduce emissions are big news, and the presence of President Obama at the heart of these negotiations can only be welcomed. We should also be upbeat about emerging consensus that the developed world should help to compensate for the limiting of emissions of the developing world, provided it comes with effective checks so that the right money goes to the right places. Most importantly, at the time of writing, the world’s major nations did seem to be closing in on a deal; and this against a backdrop of broad agreement among international policymakers, all aware of lingering doubts among the global public. If Copenhagen has produced an agreement on climate change, it is now the task of those policymakers to go back home and win the argument.—Not Just Hot Air

    Heading toward the antipodes in our editorial roundup, first stop Australia where the Sydney Morning Herald tried to look at the bright side:

    [A]fter days of grandstanding and ill-tempered haggling, first between bureaucrats, then ministers and finally leaders – the majority of attending nations did agree grudgingly to ‘take note’ of a fluffy, last-minute compromise document cobbled together behind closed doors by the US President, Barack Obama, and the leaders of four major emerging powers: China, India, Brazil and South Africa. Such is the magic of multilateral democracy.

    Yet it would be wrong to dismiss the Copenhagen capers as wasted time. Obama exaggerated when he described the 12-paragraph final document as a ‘breakthrough’, but it delivered modest progress on a continuing hard journey. The proposed funding to help vulnerable nations meet the challenges of global warming – $US30 billion ($33.7 billion) over the next three years building up to $100 billion a year by 2020 – would, if delivered, make a real difference. While the document lacks emission-cut targets, it acknowledges the need to limit temperature rises to less than 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Crucially Copenhagen, and the lead-up, have seen big developing countries such as China accept that if major developed nations are to cut their emissions they must curb the rate of growth of theirs, and allow some monitoring.—One cheer for Copenhagen (Editor’s question: How did WaPo and SMH wind up with same headline for their editorials? Conspiracy!)

    The Age of Melbourne leveled blame at China:

    The deepest reason for Copenhagen’s failure to produce a binding agreement is to be found in the evasiveness of China, one of the world’s two largest greenhouse-gas emitters. It was always recognised that a satisfactory outcome would depend on the ability of the other big emitter, the US, to reach agreement with China, and the accord announced by Mr Obama was indeed reached through negotiations between the US, China, India, Brazil and South Africa. Yet China has sought to be recognised both as an emerging industrial superpower and as a developing nation, labels that simply do not match. If China wants recognition as the former, it cannot also demand the special consideration given to the latter.—Hopes for humanity wilted before national self-interest

    The Australian, owned by Rupert Murdoch and not to be outdone by its rivals in the Fairfax chain, aimed its tirade at just about every other country before concluding, interestingly, that bilateral deals are probably the best way forward on climate change:

    The way forward may be similar to global trade talks. While negotiations for a worldwide agreement have stalled, free traders like Australia are developing bilateral and regional arrangements. This is not optimum, but it is the best arrangement available and something similar could occur to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Under the Copenhagen Accord, countries, including Australia, that have made unilateral commitments to reduce emissions and are prepared to increase them in co-operation with other nations will submit pledges by the end of next month. The discussions that will follow will offer developed economies the chance to commit to emission reductions in a practical timeframe, say by 2020. It is an opportunity many nations will want to take. The European Union, which already has an emissions trading system, will want other economies to follow its lead. It will be impossible for China to pretend global carbon emissions are not its problem for they cannot sit quietly while Third World states rage against the US, as occurred at Copenhagen. And after the shambles in the Danish capital, the world will want to know whether the US will deliver, or even improve, on President Obama’s offer of a 17 per cent cut by 2020, based on 2005 levels.—New approach on global warming needed now

    Across the Tasman Sea, the New Zealand Herald said the fate of the world is in the hands of two nations:

    The task between now and the next climate change conference in Mexico City in 2010 will be to find a way to make China willing to accept targets. Its rapid development, and the huge increase in its emissions, means its obstructiveness must be overcome. Business as usual for it and countries such as India is not a viable scenario. At some point, all nations will have to accept their share of responsibility for global warming and bear their part of the burden of tackling it.—Response from world leaders sad and stilted

    So what do editors at one of China’s English-language newspapers think about all this? The China Daily glossed over the country’s obstructionist role at the conference and offered general encouragement for seeing the process through next year in Mexico:

    [l]eaders who turned up at Copenhagen still deserve credit for inking a sub-optimal deal, rather than leaving with nothing at all. Unsatisfactory as it is, the new accord represents an essential step forward in our response to the long-term challenge of climate change. As UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon put it, “this is just the beginning” of a process to craft a binding pact to reduce emissions.—Small but essential step

    While we’re in the neighborhood … The Japan Times stressed the human side of the climate equation, noting that not enough attention has been played to matters of public and reproductive health in the developing world:

    Japan has been aiding developing countries in the area of public health, including the fight against infectious diseases. From now on, it should help work out not only measures to increase transfer of low-carbon technologies to developing countries but also those that take into account population dynamics, gender equality and poverty reduction.—People and Climate Change

    And the Korea Times editors offered some general hand-wringing:

    The climate change summit showed how difficult it is to narrow differences between developed and developing countries over emission reduction targets, historical responsibility for global warming, and fairly distributing the burden of addressing climate change. At the start of the Copenhagen conference, some negotiators and experts cautioned that no deal would be better than the wrong deal. In this sense, the summit paid heed to the caution and only succeeded in avoiding a wrong deal. But what a disappointment it was for more than 100 heads of state to gather and no binding deal to have been made!

    World Faces Uphill Battle to Reach New Climate Change Treaty

    Now, over to India where, surprise, there was a bit of finger-pointing back at the world’s rich countries. Here’s the Times of India‘s take:

    What are the quantifiable targets for rich countries to reduce emissions? What is the time frame? How will the UN ensure that the promised $30 billion between 2010-2012 and the $100 billion a year from 2020 onwards as assistance from the rich to poor countries (announced by the US, not the UN) are deposited in the fund and disbursed equitably? … The 2010 Mexico summit has to produce a plan that works out the mechanisms involved including emissions targets, deadlines and penalties for failure as well as rewards for achievers. With only a token agreement at Copenhagen, the ball has just been pushed down to Mexico. One can only hope the Americans are more forthcoming there. —Token Agreement

    The Indian Express, meanwhile, wasn’t shy about blasting India’s government for not playing a proactive role at Copenhagen: “India will have to realise at some point soon that hanging on to China’s coat-tails, instead of isolating its obstructionism internationally, is not helping the world closer to a solution.”

    And the Economic Times, sort of the Wall Street Journal of India, puts the whole Copenhagen mess in the context of the growing China-India rivalry:

    The US-BASIC agreement envisages $30 billion will be made available to developing countries for fighting climate change by 2012, and larger sums thereafter. More significantly, the agreement says that both developed and developing countries will list their climate change actions, and, crucially, provide information on these actions through national communications and international consultations and analysis ‘under clearly-defined guidelines’. This is likely to get the goat of many high-minded nationalists in India, who will fault the government for submitting to ‘imperialist’ pressure. This Pavlovian reflex completely misses the advantage it bestows on India.  While the Chinese make grand commitments to fight climate change but insist on remaining stereotypically inscrutable on vital questions of how and how much, even as parliamentary democracy keeps such information transparently in the public domain in India, India’s international competitiveness would suffer should the Chinese choose to fudge their figures. That the Chinese have agreed to international consultation under defined guidelines offers some insurance against this risk. India must refine its position to become an even more aggressive climate negotiator. Let us put more ‘no regrets’ commitments unilaterally on the table and then demand reciprocal action by developed and competing developing countries.—Copenhagen Fails

    Across the border in Pakistan, The Dawn, one of the country’s major English-language dailies, eloquently noted that it’s the world’s poor who suffer most from global warming:

    The unkindest cut for many developing countries is that they will be hardest hit by climate change even though their emission levels are negligible on the global scale. Take the case of Pakistan. Our contribution to global warming is almost irrelevant, yet we are already facing the reality of erratic weather that is playing havoc with an agro-based economy. Sea levels are rising and vast swathes of arable land have been lost to intrusion, for reasons of climate change as well as reduced flows downstream of Kotri. Our glaciers are melting at a rapid rate, which means inundation in the medium term and ultimate drought. It must be accepted, sooner than later, that there is no Planet B. A global solution needs to be found.—The Deal That Wasn’t

    In the early hours after the Copenhagen talks ended, some commentators in the developed world complained vigorously about how Africa’s representatives negotiated at the conference, charging that Africa focused too much on adaptation financing at the expense of trying to broker a compromise. Well, they don’t really see it that way on the continent.  Here’s what the editors of the East African in Kenya had to say:

    For Africa, however, the devil as usual lurks in the detail. If traditional aid disbursements are anything to go by, it will be a very lucky continent indeed if releases of this money [the $100 billion promised by rich countries for climate adaptation and technology transfer] are structured in a manner that allows any meaningful development to take place. It will be an even more fortunate Africa if the local buzzards muster the moral courage to allow what little will trickle in to be put to its intended use. Otherwise, it all looks like theatre with the powerless masses as mere spectators. Little has really changed. One way or the other, poor Africa will pick up the tab for global warming while its richer cousins hide behind meaningless tokenism.—Copenhagen: Africa picks up the tab

    With that context set, the last word goes to an unlikely world leader—the bloodless despot Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe, whose words were (surprisingly) echoed by the editors of the Johannesburg Mail and Guardian:

    Robert Mugabe said at the conference that he couldn’t understand why Western nations were so concerned about human rights and so blithe about climate change. He was right to ask—and that should deeply shame the opponents of a deal. Let’s hope they don’t let his question stand as the epitaph to Copenhagen.—Conference of villains

    Read other languages and want to summarize more newspaper editorial about the Copenhagen accord? Use the comments to contribute.

    Check out our comprehensive coverage of what the føck is going on in Copenhagen, or track the latest from Grist on our Facebook page or the @grist Twitter feed.

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  • Key countries agreed to Copenhagen Accord

    by Jake Schmidt

    In the late morning hours Saturday in Copenhagen, the overwhelming majority of countries adopted a new framework for addressing global warming.  This new agreement—called the Copenhagen Accord (available here)—was hammered out by 28 of the world’s key countries.  These countries represent over 80 percent of the world’s global warming pollution (both energy emissions and deforestation) and the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. 

    This agreement was hammered out Friday evening by heads of government on Friday from key countries, including the U.S., China, India, Brazil, South Africa, U.K., France, Australia, Germany, the E.U., Japan, Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Russia, Mexico, Spain, South Korea, Norway, the Maldives, Columbia, and Indonesia.  The Accord is now open for other countries to sign-up, but by our count the vote (at least in the open debate) was 188-5 for its adoption (as we noted here) as a handful of climate laggards were the only countries that voted against its adoption (as my colleague Heather Allen compiled here).

    As NRDC’s President said in a statement:

    This agreement is not all we had hoped for. There’s still more work to be done. But it strikes a credible blow against the single greatest environmental ill of our time. It gathers all nations around the common goal of ending this scourge that imperils us all. And it sets the stage for further action in the months ahead.  Now the Senate can take up clean energy and climate legislation in the certain knowledge that Americans won’t act alone.

    From afar it is a little hard to figure out what exactly happened (and probably even for people that watched it first hand as “this was not your regular climate negotiations”).  My head is blurry from lack of sleep and the craziness of the last day, but here is what was accomplished (I’ll try to post more detailed pieces on each aspect later).

    1.     Heads of Government from key Countries are engaged.  This meeting brought together 115 heads of government to discuss global warming.  And they weren’t just there for speeches, but to reach a deal.  In fact, they were doing more than that as a key sub-segment of leaders were actually negotiating with other leaders, arm twisting, and pushing for agreement. 

    In my years of these negotiations I’ve never seen such a high-level commitment to the substance of action (usually when these leaders get together they just make speeches and leave).  World leaders—most notably President Obama—took over these negotiations and used everything in their power to push forward an agreement in Copenhagen (as you can read this coverage from the Washington Post about how Obama worked with and nudged the Chinese).  

    2.     All major emitting countries will have to commit to take action and solidify them in the international agreement.  As I discussed (here and here), all major emitting countries will now have to internationally commit to specific efforts to reduce emissions.  And by the end of January 2010 those commitments will be brought forward and established officially in the Accord (in Appendix I and Appendix II). 

    So you may be looking at the agreement as void of commitments to reduce emissions, but that will come in just over one month from now.  But by the end of January we’ll have commitments enshrined in the agreement from at least the 28 key countries that drafted this agreement.  And as countries undertake greater action they will report them (as I discuss in point 3) and these actions will be inscribed in the Copenhagen Accord.  So we’ll effectively create a means for countries to undertake increasing commitments that are inscribed in the Accord and if done right we’ll create an ongoing negotiation on the stringency of those actions. 

    So now the countries representing more than 85 percent of the world’s global warming pollution will commit domestically and internationally to take action to reduce their emissions.  That is a first and a very significant move (as my colleague also noted here).        

    3.     We will have a system to regularly know whether or not countries are making progress towards their commitments.  This turned out to be one of the key sticking points going into the final days of the negotiations—in particular between the U.S. and China (as my colleagues discussed here, here, and here). 

    And there was a very significant breakthrough on this front in Copenhagen.  Every two years developing countries will have to report national emissions inventories and emission reduction actions based upon internationally agreed guidelines.  Those emissions reduction actions:

    will be subject to their domestic measurement, reporting, and verification the result of which will be reported through their national communications every two years … they will communicate information on the implementation of their actions through National Communications, with provisions for international consultations and analysis under clearly defined guidelines that will ensure that national sovereignty is respected.

    The reporting of emissions and actions every 2 years, as well as the international consultation under defined guidelines will both add greater transparency to developing country commitments.  

    4.     We secured real commitments to finance for investing in efforts in developing countries to reduce deforestation, emissions, and adapt to the impacts of global warming.  Countries agreed to support $10 billion over the next 3 years for these actions—$5 billion of which is going to deforestation reductions.  And developed countries agreed to a goal of mobilizing jointly $100 billion per year by 2020 “in the context of meaningful mitigation actions and transparency on implementation” (a proposal supported by Sec. Clinton in the final days of the negotiations which was a shot of adrenaline).

    Not done yet, but the world built the foundation for a big step forward.  While some people seem to be focused on what is not agreed in the Copenhagen Accord, we have to separate our expectations for Copenhagen with what we need in the final agreement.  After all, we weren’t going to get a legally binding treaty out of Copenhagen as was recognized by key world leaders back in October (as I noted here). 

    Going into Copenhagen, I stressed that there were six key elements to the international agreement (as I outlined here).  And on each of those fronts we made progress.  Are we done yet on these issues?  Of course not, we can and must do more on each element if we are going to truly address global warming.  Did we get all the details that we need on each element?  No, unfortunately for political reasons (e.g., lack of U.S. Senate action) and due to the blocking of a small number of countries, the agreement reached in Copenhagen will have to be further fleshed out in the coming months (and years).  On some issues there is less work to do than on others, but on all we only finalized part of the details necessary.

    But despite these caveats, this Accord was a very significant step in the world’s efforts to address global warming.  For the first time, all major economies, including China, India, Brazil, the United States, Russia, Japan, and the European Union, have made commitments to curb global warming pollution and report on their actions and emissions in a transparent fashion.

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  • Final text of the Copenhagen Accord

    by Grist

    This is the text of the climate accord worked out by President Obama and the leaders of several key nations in Copenhagen on Dec. 18.

    In pursuit of the ultimate objective of the Convention as stated in its Article 2,
    Being guided by the principles and provisions of the Convention,
    Noting the results of work done by the two Ad hoc Working Groups,
    Endorsing decision x/CP.15 on the Ad hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action and decision x/CMP.5 that requests the Ad hoc Working Group on Further Commitments of Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol to continue its work,
    Have agreed on this Copenhagen Accord which is operational immediately.

    1. We underline that climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time. We emphasise our strong political will to urgently combat climate change in accordance with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities. To achieve the ultimate objective of the Convention to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system, we shall, recognizing the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be below 2 degrees Celsius, on the basis ofequity and in the context of sustainable development, enhance our long-term cooperative action to combat climate change. We recognize the critical impacts of climate change and the potential impacts of response measures on countries particularly vulnerable to its adverse effects and stress the need to establish a comprehensive adaptation programme including international support.

    2. We agree that deep cuts in global emissions are required according to science, and as documented by the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report with a view to reduce global emissions so as to hold the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius, and take action to meet this objective consistent with science and on the basis of equity. We should cooperate in achieving the peaking of global and national emissions as soon as possible, recognizing that the time frame for peaking will be longer in developing countries and bearing in mind that social and economic development and poverty eradication are the first and overriding priorities of developing countries and that a low-emission development strategy is indispensable to sustainable development.

    3. Adaptation to the adverse effects of climate change and the potential impacts of response measures is a challenge faced by all countries. Enhanced action and international cooperation on adaptation is urgently required to ensure the implementation of the Convention by enabling and supporting the implementation of adaptation actions aimed at reducing vulnerability and building resilience in developing countries, especially in those that are particularly vulnerable, especially least developed countries, small island developing States and Africa. We agree that developed countries shall provide adequate, predictable and sustainable financial resources, technology and capacity-building to support the implementation of adaptation action in developing countries.

    4. Annex I Parties commit to implement individually or jointly the quantified economy-wide emissions targets for 2020, to be submitted in the format given in Appendix I by Annex I Parties to the secretariat by 31 January 2010 for compilation in an INF document. Annex I Parties that are Party to the Kyoto Protocol will thereby further strengthen the emissions reductions initiated by the Kyoto Protocol. Delivery of reductions and financing by
    developed countries will be measured, reported and verified in accordance with existing and any further guidelines adopted by the Conference of the Parties, and will ensure that accounting of such targets and finance is rigorous, robust and transparent.

    5. Non-Annex I Parties to the Convention will implement mitigation actions, including those to be submitted to the secretariat by non-Annex I Parties in the format given in Appendix II by 31 January 2010, for compilation in an INF document, consistent with Article 4.1 and Article 4.7 and in the context of sustainable development. Least developed countries and small island developing States may undertake actions voluntarily and on the basis of support. Mitigation actions subsequently taken and envisaged by Non-Annex I Parties, including national inventory reports, shall be communicated through national communications consistent with Article 12.1(b) every two years on the basis of guidelines to be adopted by the Conference of the Parties. Those mitigation actions in national communications or otherwise communicated to the Secretariat will be added to the list in appendix II. Mitigation actions taken by Non-Annex I Parties will be subject to their domestic measurement, reporting and verification the result of which will be reported through their national communications every two years. Non-Annex I Parties will communicate information on the implementation of their actions through National Communications, with provisions for international consultations and analysis under clearly defined guidelines that will ensure that national sovereignty is respected. Nationally appropriate mitigation actions seeking international support will be recorded in a registry along with relevant technology, finance and capacity building support. Those actions supported will be added to the list in appendix II. These supported nationally appropriate mitigation actions will be subject to international measurement, reporting and verification in accordance with guidelines adopted by the Conference of the Parties.

    6. We recognize the crucial role of reducing emission from deforestation and forest degradation and the need to enhance removals of greenhouse gas emission by forests and agree on the need to provide positive incentives to such actions through the immediate establishment of a mechanism including REDD-plus, to enable the mobilization of financial resources from developed countries.

    7. We decide to pursue various approaches, including opportunities to use markets, to enhance the cost-effectiveness of, and to promote mitigation actions. Developing countries, especially those with low emitting economies should be provided incentives to continue to develop on a low emission pathway.

    8. Scaled up, new and additional, predictable and adequate funding as well as improved access shall be provided to developing countries, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention, to enable and support enhanced action on mitigation, including substantial finance to reduce emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD-plus), adaptation, technology development and transfer and capacity-building, for enhanced implementation of the Convention. The collective commitment by developed countries is to provide new and additional resources, including forestry and investments through international institutions, approaching USD 30 billion for the period 2010 . 2012 with balanced allocation between adaptation and mitigation. Funding for adaptation will be prioritized for the most vulnerable developing countries, such as the least developed countries, small island developing States and Africa. In the context of meaningful mitigation actions and transparency on implementation, developed countries commit to a goal of mobilizing jointly USD 100 billion dollars a year by 2020 to address the needs of developing countries. This funding will come from a wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources of finance. New multilateral funding for adaptation will be delivered through effective and efficient fund arrangements, with a governance structure providing for equal representation of developed and developing countries. A significant portion of such funding should flow through the Copenhagen Green Climate Fund.

    9. To this end, a High Level Panel will be established under the guidance of and accountable to the Conference of the Parties to study the contribution of the potential sources of revenue, including alternative sources of finance, towards meeting this goal.

    10. We decide that the Copenhagen Green Climate Fund shall be established as an operating entity of the financial mechanism of the Convention to support projects, programme, policies and other activities in developing countries related to mitigation including REDD-plus, adaptation, capacity-building, technology development and transfer.

    11. In order to enhance action on development and transfer of technology we decide to establish a Technology Mechanism to accelerate technology development and transfer in support of action on adaptation and mitigation that will be guided by a country-driven approach and be based on national circumstances and priorities.

    12. We call for an assessment of the implementation of this Accord to be completed by 2015, including in light of the Convention’s ultimate objective. This would include consideration of strengthening the long-term goal referencing various matters presented by the science, including in relation to temperature rises of 1.5 degrees Celsius.

    Source: UNFCCC

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