Author: HBS Working Knowledge

  • Conceptual Foundations of the Balanced Scorecard

    Published: March 17, 2010
    Paper Released: March 2010
    Author: Robert S. Kaplan

    Executive Summary:

    This article documents the precursors of the Balanced Scorecard (BSC) strategic performance management tool and describes the evolution of the BSC since its introduction in 1992 in the Harvard Business Review. During the last 15 years, the BSC has been adopted by thousands of private, public, and nonprofit enterprises around the world. HBS professor Robert S. Kaplan, who created the concept and tool with David Norton, explains the roots and motivation for their original article as well as subsequent innovations that connect it to a larger management literature. Key concepts include:

    • The BSC was not original for advocating that nonfinancial measures be used to motivate, measure, and evaluate company performance. Early pioneers included General Electric, Nobel Economics Laureate, Professor Herb Simon, at the Carnegie Institute of Technology (later Carnegie-Mellon University), and management theorist Peter Drucker in his now-classic book, The Practice of Management in the 1950s.
    • The BSC differs from stakeholder theory by embedding stakeholder interests within a strategy framework. It also extends the economics-based agency theory by offering the instrumentation to guide a multi-period shareholder value creation process.
    • The BSC continues to grow and evolve. Future developments will, for example, formally embed enterprise risk management into the strategy execution framework.

    Abstract

    David Norton and I introduced the Balanced Scorecard in a 1992 Harvard Business Review article (Kaplan & Norton, 1992). The article was based on a multi-company research project to study performance measurement in companies whose intangible assets played a central role in value creation (Nolan Norton Institute, 1991). Norton and I believed that if companies were to improve the management of their intangible assets, they had to integrate the measurement of intangible assets into their management systems.

    After publication of the 1992 HBR article, several companies quickly adopted the Balanced Scorecard giving us deeper and broader insights into its power and potential. During the next 15 years, as it was adopted by thousands of private, public, and nonprofit enterprises around the world, we extended and broadened the concept into a management tool for describing, communicating and implementing strategy. This paper describes the roots and motivation for the original Balanced Scorecard article as well as the subsequent innovations that connected it to a larger management literature.
    36 pages.

    Paper Information

  • HBS Cases: Developing Asia’s Largest Slum

    Published: March 15, 2010
    Author: Julia Hanna

    Located in Mumbai, India, Dharavi is home to an estimated 700,000 people living on just 551 acres. Featured in the 2008 Oscar-winning film Slumdog Millionaire, Dharavi embodies the characteristics of a slum as defined by the United Nations: inadequate access to safe water and sanitation, poorly built housing, overcrowding, and insecure residential status (i.e., most people hold no legal title to their property).

    Despite these difficult conditions, Dharavi’s residents occupy a centrally located parcel of land in a rapidly growing city of some 14 million people with one of the highest real estate values in the world.

    In “Dharavi: Developing Asia’s Largest Slum,” HBS assistant professor Lakshmi Iyer and lecturer John Macomber detail the history of Dharavi and examine ongoing efforts to forge a public-private partnership between the state government and for-profit developers. The goal is to transform Dharavi into a neighborhood offering desirable, market-rate residential and commercial real estate while providing its longtime residents with free housing and improved services in the same area.

    Written with the assistance of Namrata Arora, a research associate at the HBS India Research Center, the case considers the potential risks and rewards of approaching an area like Dharavi with a new model in mind: slums as lucrative and socially entrepreneurial business opportunities.

    “The basic idea is that the slum dwellers are living on very valuable land in one- or two-story shacks,” says Iyer. “If you build multistory buildings, you can give them accommodation and still have space to sell so that it will be a for-profit project.”

    When the case opens, a fictitious developer, Rance Hollen, is at a critical juncture: Weighing the cost of capital, construction, and expected market prices for developed units, should Hollen meet the government’s minimum bid for one of five development contracts, submit a proposal well above minimum, or walk away entirely? The case’s calculations show a potential rate of return as high as 40 percent, but there are significant hurdles to clear, too.

    For one, private investors could find themselves at the whim of the Maha-rashtra state government, which is itself often swayed by powerful blocks of voters in slums such as Dharavi. And with the daunting prospect of determining which residents would receive 300 square feet of free housing (limited to families in residence before January 2000), it’s easy to imagine a nightmarish scenario of unpopular evictions and shutdowns of thriving, unregistered businesses that would quickly turn public opinion against the project.

    “Government is not one person, obviously; it’s many people with many agendas, particularly in India,” says Iyer. “That’s why this project has been starting and stopping.” (Plans for the redevelopment were launched in 2004; expressions of interest were invited in June 2007, but in July 2009, the government postponed the call for bids just a few hours before deadline.)

    Taught for the first time

    The case elicited a broad range of student responses when HBS associate professor Gunnar Trumbull taught it for the first time last December in the elective course Managing International Trade and Investment. Some said flatly that they would walk away from the deal, while others thought that it was a worthwhile risk to take, particularly since the project could inspire similar such developments. (In fact, two other projects are under way and progressing more quickly in other parts of India.)

    Whatever the final outcome of the Dharavi project, the issues it raises are not going away anytime soon, with 200 million people expected to move from the Indian countryside to New Delhi, Kolkata, and Mumbai over the next ten years.

    “There are three huge trends occurring in the lifetimes of our students: urbanization, resource scarcity, and the private financing of public infrastructure,” remarks Macomber. “When those three factors come together they alter conventional conceptions of ‘real estate’ and the built environment.”

    Dharavi brings students face-to-face with the realities (and potential opportunities) of that change, however bullish or bearish they may be on the role of public-private partnerships in tackling one of the world’s most troubling problems.

    About the author

    Julia Hanna is associate editor of the HBS Alumni Bulletin.

  • The Many Faces of Nonprofit Accountability

    Published: March 11, 2010
    Paper Released: February 2010
    Author: Alnoor Ebrahim

    Executive Summary:

    Nonprofit leaders face multiple, and sometimes competing, accountability demands: from numerous actors (upward, downward, internal), for varying purposes (financial, governance, performance, mission), and requiring differing levels of organizational response (compliance and strategic). Yet is it feasible, or even desirable, for nonprofit organizations to be accountable to everyone for everything? The challenge for leadership and management is to prioritize among competing accountability demands. This involves deciding both to whom and for what they owe accountability. HBS professor Alnoor Ebrahim provides an overview of the current debates on nonprofit accountability, while also examining the tradeoffs inherent in a range of accountability mechanisms. Key concepts include:

    • Accountability is not simply about compliance with laws or industry standards, but is more deeply connected to organizational purpose and public trust.
    • Nonprofits will continue to face multiple and competing accountability demands, so they must be deliberate in prioritizing among these demands. A critical challenge is to find a balance between upward accountability to their patrons and remaining true to their missions.
    • Few nonprofits have paid serious attention to how they might be more accountable to the communities they seek to serve.
    • Juggling the many expectations of accountability—for finances, governance, performance, and mission—requires integration and alignment throughout the organization.
    • Numerous mechanisms of accountability are available to nonprofits, such as greater transparency and disclosure, performance assessment, industry self-regulation, and adaptive learning. But leaders must adapt any such mechanisms to suit their organization.
    • The greatest payoffs rest with strategy-driven forms of accountability that can help nonprofits to achieve their missions.

    Abstract

    What does it mean for a nonprofit organization to be accountable? Nonprofit leaders tend to pay attention to accountability once a problem of trust arises – a scandal in the sector or in their own organization, questions from citizens or donors who want to know if their money is being well spent, or pressure from regulators to demonstrate that they are serving a public purpose and thus merit tax-exempt status. Amid this clamor for accountability, it is tempting to accept the popular view that more accountability is better. But is it feasible, or even desirable, for nonprofit organizations to be accountable to everyone for everything? The challenge for leadership and management is to prioritize among competing accountability demands. This involves deciding both to whom and for what they owe accountability. This paper provides an overview of the accountability pressures facing nonprofit leaders, and examines several mechanisms available to them: disclosures, performance evaluations, self-regulation, participation, and adaptive learning. Nonprofit leaders must adapt any such mechanisms to suit their organization – be it a membership-based organization, a service-delivery nonprofit, or an advocacy network. More crucially, they need to pay greater attention to strategy-driven forms of accountability that can help them to achieve their missions.
    33 pages.

    Paper Information

  • Will I Stay or Will I Go? Cooperative and Competitive Effects of Workgroup Sex and Race Composition on Turnover

    Published: March 5, 2010
    Paper Released: February 2010
    Authors: Kathleen L. McGinn and Katherine L. Milkman

    Executive Summary:

    Inequalities in the senior ranks by sex and race remain rampant in up-or-out knowledge organizations such as consulting firms, law firms, and universities. HBS professor Kathleen L. McGinn and Wharton School professor Katherine L. Milkman focus on patterns of voluntary and involuntary turnover over six years in one such organization to untangle the multiple ways in which social identity influences career mobility. Predicting that higher proportions of demographically similar supervisors will reduce the likelihood of subordinate turnover, while higher proportions of demographically similar peers will increase the likelihood of turnover, the researchers find evidence of the hypothesized effects. They suggest that integrating research about social cohesion and social comparison enhances understanding of racial and gender inequality within organizations and facilitates organizations’ ability to reduce that inequality. Key concepts include:

    • Senior sponsorship is vital for junior professionals in up-or-out organizations.
    • To address the problem of persistent underrepresentation of women and minorities at the highest levels, knowledge organizations need to attend to the ways in which policies and practices invoke competition, rather than social cohesion, among demographically similar peers.
    • Clustering same race or same sex junior employees to provide an increased sense of community may have the opposite effects of those desired unless accompanied by similar or greater increases in the diversity of senior professionals.
    • Studies of organizational sex composition and career mobility need to consider effects at multiple levels.

    Abstract

    We develop an integrated theory of the social identity mechanisms linking workgroup sex and race composition across levels with individual turnover. Building on social identity research, we theorize that social cohesion (Tyler, 1999; Hogg and Terry, 2000) and social comparison (Festinger, 1954) lead to well-known cooperative effects within subordinate-supervisor pairs of the same sex and race, but potentially competitive effects among demographically similar peers. Analyzing longitudinal human resource data on professionals employed in a large up-or-out knowledge organization, we assess the distinct effects of demographic match with superiors and demographic match with peers on the exit of junior professionals. We find largely cooperative effects of cross-level composition-junior professionals who work in groups with higher proportions of same sex senior professionals are less likely to exit. At the peer level, however, these effects are reversed, and professionals are more likely to leave as the proportions of same sex and race peers within the workgroup increase. The effects hold across demographic groups, but vary by majority/minority status, disproportionately affecting women and underrepresented minorities.
    48 pages.

    Paper Information

  • To What Degree Does “Identity” Affect Economic Performance?

    Published: March 3, 2010
    Author: Jim Heskett

    Recently I have revisited a topic that has intrigued me for years, ways in which an organization’s culture affects its economic performance. The basic working hypotheses are that: (1) people put forth more effort and produce better results for organizations whose values they identify with, and (2) therefore, it’s in the best interests of organizations to clearly formulate those values and make them clear to prospective employees in the process of building an organization of people who subscribe to those same values and generally want to “fit in.”

    There is some amount of evidence that satisfaction with one’s workplace, as characterized by the poll results for “best places to work” both in the U.S. and the U.K., is related positively to economic performance. Further, intrinsic rewards, such as capable colleagues and recognition for good work, play a larger role in worker satisfaction than extrinsic rewards such as monetary compensation.

    A new book, Identity Economics, by Nobel Prize-winning economist George Akerlof and Rachel Kranton, takes this thinking to a macro-economic level. In their view, an organization (and even entire societies) works well when people personally identify with it, so that their self-esteem is tied up with its activities. Identity helps explain why people do things, everything from getting tattoos to volunteering, that aren’t in their immediate best interest. I’m reminded of this when I recall the dedication with which my South Korean business friends doggedly pursued success during the rapid growth period of the country in the 1980s even if it meant weeks of travel and significant strains on their personal lives. They were doing it in part as a personal sacrifice in pursuit of national goals for a better life for future generations of South Koreans.

    One has to ask whether citizens in the U.S., who have experienced little loyalty on the part of their employers, can any longer identify with their organizations and, in a broader sense, their economy? Economist Robert Shiller’s response to this question is sobering. He says: “In most civilian fields, job satisfaction may not be a life-or-death matter, but a relatively uninterested, insecure work force is unlikely to bring about a vigorous recovery.” He concludes that “Solutions for the economy must address not only the structural instability of our financial institutions, but also these problems in the hearts and minds of workers and investors-problems that may otherwise persist for many years.”

    The questions this raises are: Just what solutions address Shiller’s concerns? How can they be achieved? Can businesses, for example, be provided with incentives to retain their employees and generally improve employee “identity”? Does this require yet one more intrusion by government into the private sector? In fact, is it even achievable in countries like the U.S. at this late date? Will such efforts result in the same slow responses to an economic crisis and sluggish recovery in productivity being experienced at this moment in European countries with their more “humane” laws regarding employment? Or are we confronting a crisis of “identity” so critical that some kind of effort will be well worth the long-term benefits that it might yield in terms of citizen “identity” with the economic success of countries like the U.S.? What do you think?

    To read more:

    George A. Akerlof and Rachel E. Kranton, Identity Economics: How Our Identities Shape Our Work, Wages, and Well-Being (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2010).

    Robert J. Shiller, “Stuck In Neutral? Reset the Mood,” The New York Times, January 31, 2010, p. BU4.

  • A Golden Opportunity for Ford and GM

    Published: March 1, 2010
    Author: Bill George

    Toyota’s tragic automobile recalls offer a historic opportunity for Ford’s CEO Alan Mulally and General Motors’ new CEO Ed Whitacre. After years of decline, they can reestablish the preeminence of American-made autos if they are wise at leading through this crisis.

    In the past month Toyota has recalled almost 9 million vehicles—more than the entire number it sold the past three years. The irony is that Toyota gained significant market share in the past decade at the expense of its American competitors by offering superior quality vehicles. Now quality has become Toyota’s Achilles’ heel.

    No doubt Toyota will regain some of its lost market share in the short term, to the extent the automaker’s production systems can respond by increasing production rates without incurring problems of their own. The bigger question is, will Ford and GM be able to capitalize on this opportunity for the long term?

    I was with Whitacre when he initially learned that Toyota was suspending sales of 57 percent of its autos sold in the United States. He responded immediately by directing his executives to ramp-up production as quickly as possible.

    While Whitacre and Mulally maximize current sales, taking advantage of this opportunity in the near term is not a long-term strategy. All too often, both GM and Ford have squandered similar opportunities by simply raising prices and profits, as they did during the three-year import quotas in the mid-1980s. They must recognize that no matter how wounded Toyota is in the short term by its quality problems, this company is a very tough and able competitor that will move quickly to revamp its quality and its product offerings.

    On the march

    GM and Ford need to move aggressively to secure their market share gains by investing windfall profits to make their auto lineups more competitive for the next decade. That means introducing new designs that offer attractive features, improved fuel efficiency, and better customer value along with superior quality. This will take enormous effort, ingenuity, and discipline along with massive investments.

    In this regard, Ford has the jump on GM. When Mulally was hired from Boeing in 2006, Ford was in trouble. The company was stretched thin with too many product lines spanning too many countries and appealing to too few consumers. Mulally’s first act was to borrow $23.5 billion by mortgaging the entire company to give Ford the runway necessary to retool its aging lineup.

    Mulally moved fast, trimming unpopular lines, cutting management layers, and insisting on an R&D overhaul that hurt short-term profits. Having weathered the 2008 crisis without U.S. government support, Ford has $23 billion in cash in the bank and a lineup of eco-friendly automobiles to which U.S. consumers are gravitating.

    GM only emerged from bankruptcy last July, when Whitacre was installed by the Obama administration as its new board chair. Since that time, he has acted decisively, removing Fritz Henderson as CEO and assuming the mantle himself. Whitacre quickly reorganized the company from top to bottom, cut out layers of middle management, initiated new product development programs, and revamped GM’s international sales and marketing. He also put himself on the firing line, publicly taking ownership for GM’s turnaround and appearing in a series of advertisements challenging consumers to compare GM autos with its competitors.

    Glimmers of Ford’s and GM’s potential shone brightly at the Detroit Auto Show last month. Mulally showcased his new model range. Car experts and reviewers alike agreed the new models revitalized Ford. Whitacre also unveiled a new line of cars, admittedly trailing Ford, particularly in hybrids. He boldly predicted GM would be profitable in 2010 and would pay off its government loans.

    January sales for Ford and GM jumped 24 percent and nearly 14 percent, respectively, year over year, in spite of high unemployment and low consumer confidence.

    Chrysler falls further

    In contrast, look at Chrysler and its new CEO, Sergio Marchionne. He ambitiously projected that Chrysler would become profitable in 2010 on an 18 percent increase in sales. Instead, Chrysler sales dropped 8 percent in January. Marchionne has not been aggressive in revamping Chrysler vehicles, repositioning the company’s brand, or reorganizing its beleaguered management. As a result, it is falling further behind and missing this golden opportunity.

    The last and perhaps most important lesson for leaders going through a crisis is that they cannot just play defense by cutting costs and waiting for the crisis to pass. They have to go on offense simultaneously by transforming their organizations and investing heavily in revamping their products and their marketing to focus on winning now.

    That’s precisely what Mulally and Whitacre are doing. They may not be automobile industry veterans, but they are highly competitive leaders, skilled at winning in the marketplace. The American automobile industry is a lot stronger today because of their decisive, visionary leadership.

  • Manager Visibility No Guarantee of Fixing Problems

    Published: February 22, 2010
    Author: Julia Hanna

    Observing and understanding the tasks and challenges that workers face every day is important. But managers who merely put in time “walking the floor” are not doing enough; in fact, it can make employees feel worse about their situation.

    In their working paper “Going Through the Motions: An Empirical Test of Management Involvement in Process Improvement,” HBS professor Anita L. Tucker and Harvard School of Public Health professor Sara J. Singer show that communicating with frontline workers can backfire if managers make only a token effort to resolve issues their staff is encountering.

    Drawn from the health-care industry, the research is based on a sample of 69 randomly selected hospitals, 20 of which participated in a three-part cycle of process improvement activities. Focusing on one area of the hospital at a time, the hospital’s top administrative and medical officers spent 30 to 60 minutes with frontline workers involved in the processes of a particular unit. In addition, they held open communication forums related to patient safety. After generating a list of issues from these two activities, the group decided which ones to solve, and senior leaders communicated to workers what actions had been taken.

    The 20 hospitals identified 1,732 safety-related problems in areas such as facility design and maintenance, equipment and supplies, communication, staffing, and medication issues. On average, hospitals identified 86 problems, took action on 67 percent, and provided feedback to frontline workers on 24.5 percent.

    The researchers reviewed surveys taken before and after process improvement activities, supplementing them with in-person interviews with frontline staff, department managers, and the CEO.

    Following the findings

    Some of the findings supported what Tucker and Singer had already hypothesized. For example, when the hospital took action on a higher percentage of problems, it had a positive effect on organizational climate. The researchers also confirmed their belief that identifying those problems more negatively affected senior managers’ perceptions of the organizational climate for improvement than the frontline workers who observed and lived those problems every day.

    However, there were surprises, too. Identifying many problems to correct had a somewhat negative impact overall. Most significantly, Tucker and Singer found that senior managers’ communications with frontline workers regarding their corrective actions had a clear negative impact on frontline workers’ perceptions of the organizational climate for improvement—quite the opposite of what they had anticipated.

    “When we went into this study, I really believed the common theory behind improvement thinking, which is that you first go out and find a lot of issues,” Tucker says. “You obviously can’t address everything, so you pick one or two, fix them, and then explain why you weren’t able to get to the others. In fact, identifying all these issues dredged up negative sentiment, fixing only one or two amplified that feeling, and then telling frontline workers what had been done made it even worse.”

    Ironically, the process improvement approach used in the study mirrors that of the incident reporting systems employed in many hospitals. Tucker notes that these systems have their place, as they provide the opportunity for workers to anonymously report safety violations being made by physicians and other health-care workers. But her research shows that they can also be counterproductive on many levels when used as a vast collection vehicle.

    “It’s a bit of a Pandora’s box,” she says. “Identifying more is not necessarily better if the organization then ignores the majority of the concerns.”

    A Pareto problem

    The philosophy behind incident reporting systems is similar to that seen in a Pareto chart, Tucker adds.

    “Pareto’s theory was that 80 percent of the cost is caused by 20 percent of the problems, so you find lots of issues, identify patterns, and select the one or two most highly leveraged problems to solve to get the biggest results. Instead, our findings suggest that solving issues as they arise with intense and substantive actions is much more productive in creating a climate where it’s clear that the manager is concerned enough to improve the systems.”

    Of the 20 hospitals that participated in the program, 9 registered greater improvement in organizational climate and performance. Some of the negatively performing hospitals engaged in low levels of activity, but one poorly performing hospital in particular caught Tucker’s eye.

    This institution had high levels of activity when it came to gathering information and acting on problems, reporting 66 safety-related problems, taking action on a well above average 91 percent, and providing feedback on 83 percent. So why wasn’t this organization rewarded with a better organizational climate and performance? Tucker and Singer went back to the interviews and observational data.

    The answer, they say, is because management was auditing workers by catching them on technical mistakes and telling them how to do something the right way.

    “You can see how that would erode the staff’s trust in management,” Tucker says. “A worker might think, ‘Leadership just doesn’t get it. I’m not doing these things because I don’t know any better. Look at this environment and the complexity of issues I have to deal with. Instead of helping, they’re basically slapping me on the wrist.’ “

    In contrast, hospitals that were able to improve their safety climate took action on the issues raised, and conducted site visits “in the spirit of being truly curious about the problems they observed and how they could help people do their job better,” Tucker says.

    The same findings can be applied to any industry or organization. “What we’re finding is more related to human psychology than anything health-care specific,” Tucker says.

    It’s helpful for managers to be reminded that their symbolic physical presence on the frontlines does not necessarily have a positive impact.

    “Yes, it’s important to interact with employees, but understand that the most effective question to ask is, ‘What can I do to make your job easier?’ ” she adds. “It’s all about working with the unit manager to help people be more effective, not just looking for positive or negative actions.”

    Long tail problems

    Tucker hopes to focus future research on figuring out how organizations can successfully attack what she calls the “long tail” of problems.

    While it’s highly visible mistakes such as medication errors that make the headlines, health-care managers need also be concerned about less dramatic infrastructure-type problems—such as insufficient supplies of pumps or intravenous poles—that are easily ignored but eventually add up to real trouble.

    “In complex services like health care, there are many opportunities for systems to fail because of the multiple interactions and hand-offs between people of different disciplines. It is more like 50 percent of the problems cause 80 percent of the issues, rather than there being just a handful of highly significant problems,” she says.

    “People get discouraged because they fix something and don’t see the needle move in a big way. It’s my belief that management and frontline workers in the health-care industry are going to need to address many issues on multiple dimensions, and figure out how to do so in a cost-effective manner.”

    About the author

    Julia Hanna is associate editor of the HBS Alumni Bulletin.

  • Investing in Improvement: Strategy and Resource Allocation in Public School Districts

    Published: February 10, 2010
    Paper Released: January 2010
    Author: Stacey Childress

    Executive Summary:

    The operating environments of public school districts are largely void of the market forces that reward a company’s success with more capital and exert pressure on it to eventually abandon unproductive activities. HBS senior lecturer Stacey Childress describes the strategic resource decisions in 3 of the 20 public school districts that she and colleagues have studied through the Public Education Leadership Project at Harvard. The stories in San Francisco, New York City, and Maryland’s Montgomery County occurred largely before the districts faced dramatic decreases in revenues, though they show the superintendents facing budget concerns near the end of the narratives. Even so, the situations share common principles that superintendents and their leadership teams can use to make differentiated resource decisions—reducing spending in some areas and increasing it in others with a clear rationale for why these decisions will produce results for students. Key concepts include:

    • Given the rarity of strategic approaches to resource allocation described in the examples, it is clear that district leaders need more guidance and tools to help them make better decisions and manage the consequences, particularly when they are under enormous fiscal pressure.
    • Back your strategy with a resource plan—otherwise it is not a strategy.
    • Don’t get trapped by the dogma of decentralization.
    • If leaders alienate influential stakeholders when budgets are flush, it will be even more difficult to preserve key strategic investments during financial crises.

    Abstract

    This working paper offers concrete examples of improved productivity and efficiencies at the district level, drawing from the author’s experience working with districts and developing such case studies for Harvard Business School. Childress makes the point that given the rarity of the strategic approaches to resource allocation, district leaders need more guidance and tools to help them make better decisions and manage the consequences, particularly when they are under enormous fiscal pressure.
    32 pages.

    Paper Information

  • First Look: Feb. 9

    Ready to do business in a developing economy? Don’t just focus on its market size or growth potential. It’s better to first scope out opportunities to build or improve efficient business operations such as credit-card systems, intellectual-property adjudication, and data research firms, according to Winning in Emerging Markets: A Road Map for Strategy and Execution, a new guide set for release this spring from Harvard Business Press.

    Identifying and filling such “institutional voids” is key to long-term success, write the authors, HBS professors Tarun Khanna and Krishna G. Palepu, who are experts on strategy and governance in emerging markets worldwide. Khanna is faculty chair for HBS activities in India and the author of Billions of Entrepreneurs: How China and India are Reshaping Their Futures and Yours (2008). Palepu is the School’s senior associate dean for International Development.

    Focusing on opportunities in the U.S. education sector, Senior Lecturer Stacey M. Childress highlights exciting innovations over the past decade in Transforming Public Education: Cases in Education Entrepreneurship. This just-released book uses 18 case studies to explore trends in education entrepreneurship, along the way explaining how to assess possibilities and constraints, evaluate impact, and recognize the challenges ahead.

    — Martha Lagace

    Working Papers

    The Architecture of Complex Systems: Do Core-Periphery Structures Dominate?

    Authors: Alan MacCormack, Carliss Baldwin, and John Rusnak
    Abstract

    Any complex technological system can be decomposed into a number of subsystems and associated components, some of which are core to system function while others are only peripheral. The dynamics of how such “core-periphery” structures evolve and become embedded in a firm’s innovation routines has been shown to be a major factor in predicting survival, especially in turbulent technology-based industries. To date, however, there has been little empirical evidence on the propensity with which core-periphery structures are observed in practice, the factors that explain differences in the design of such structures, or the manner in which these structures evolve over time. We address this gap by analyzing a large number of systems in the software industry. Our sample includes 1,286 software releases taken from 19 distinct applications. We find that 75%-80% of systems possess a core-periphery structure. However, the number of components in the core varies widely, even for systems that perform the same function. These differences appear to be associated with different models of development—open, distributed organizations developing systems with smaller cores. We find that core components are often dispersed throughout a system, making their detection and management difficult for a system architect. And we show that systems evolve in different ways—in some, the core is stable, whereas in others, it grows in proportion to the system, challenging the ability of an architect to understand all possible component interactions. Our findings represent a first step in establishing some stylized facts about the structure of real-world systems.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-059.pdf

    Quality Provision, Expected Firm Altruism and Brand Extensions

    Author: Julio J. Rotemberg
    Abstract

    This paper studies quality choice in a model where consumers expect firms to act altruistically. It is shown that, under plausible assumptions regarding this altruism and the reaction of consumers to firms that demonstrate insufficient altruism, existing firms (or brands) can face a larger demand for new products than new entrants. Moreover, the failure of new products can reduce the demand for a brand’s existing products even if the quality of these existing products is well understood by consumers. The model provides an interpretation for the dependence of the success of brand extensions on the “fit” between the original product and the extension. Lastly, the model can explain why a “high-end” firm that is expected to care only for its most quality-sensitive customers can have an advantage in introducing a product relative to a firm that is expected to be more widely altruistic.

    Download the paper from SSRN ($5): http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15635

    Publications

    Transforming Public Education: Cases in Education Entrepreneurship

    Author: Stacey Childress
    Publication: Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Education Press, 2010
    Abstract

    Based on a popular education entrepreneurship course at Harvard Business School, Transforming Public Education organizes 18 case studies into modules that reflect the predominant opportunities pursued by social entrepreneurs focused on public education in the United States over the last decade. The book offers an overarching framework for creating and evaluating social ventures as well as summaries of the potential for impact and the challenges in a number of opportunity areas.

    Purchase the book: http://www.hepg.org/hep/book/113/TransformingPublicEducation

    Transforming Public Education: Instructors Guide

    Author: Stacey Childress
    Publication: Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Education Press, 2010
    Abstract

    Companion teaching and module notes for Transforming Public Education: Cases in Education Entrepreneurship.

    Winning in Emerging Markets: A Road Map for Strategy and Execution

    Authors: Tarun Khanna, Krishna G. Palepu, and Richard Bullock
    Publication: Harvard Business Press, forthcoming April
    Abstract

    The best way to select emerging markets to exploit is to evaluate their size or growth potential, right? Not according to Krishna Palepu and Tarun Khanna. In Winning in Emerging Markets, these leading scholars on the subject present a decidedly different framework for making this crucial choice. The authors argue that the primary exploitable characteristic of emerging markets is the lack of institutions (credit-card systems, intellectual-property adjudication, data research firms) that facilitate efficient business operations. While such “institutional voids” present challenges, they also provide major opportunities for multinationals and local contenders. Palepu and Khanna provide a playbook for assessing emerging markets’ potential and for crafting strategies for succeeding in those markets. They explain how to spot institutional voids in developing economies, including in product, labor, and capital markets, as well as social and political systems; identify opportunities to fill those voids, for example, by building or improving market institutions yourself; and exploit those opportunities through a rigorous five-phase process, including studying the market over time and acquiring new capabilities. Packed with vivid examples and practical toolkits, Winning in Emerging Markets is a crucial resource for any company seeking to define and execute business strategy in developing economies.

    Pre-purchase the book: http://hbr.org/product/winning-in-emerging-markets-a-road-map-for-strateg/an/13216-HBK-ENG?N=4294958505%204294934481

    The Architecture of Platforms: A Unified View

    Authors: Carliss Y. Baldwin and C. Jason Woodard
    Publication: Chap. 2 in Platforms, Markets and Innovation, edited by Annabelle Gawer. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, Mass.: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2009, paperback edition

    An abstract is unavailable at this time.

    Opening Platforms: When, How and Why?

    Authors: Thomas R. Eisenmann, Geoffrey Parker, and Marshall Van Alstyne
    Publication: Chap. 6 in Platforms, Markets and Innovation, edited by Annabelle Gawer. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, Mass.: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2009, paperback edition
    Abstract

    Platform-mediated networks encompass several distinct types of participants, including end users, complementors, platform providers who facilitate users’ access to complements, and sponsors who develop platform technologies. Each of these roles can be opened—that is, structured to encourage participation—or closed. This paper reviews factors that motivate decisions to open or close mature platforms. At the platform provider and sponsor levels, these decisions entail 1) interoperating with established rival platforms, 2) licensing additional platform providers, or 3) broadening sponsorship. With respect to end users and complementors, decisions to open or close a mature platform involve 1) backward compatibility with prior platform generations, 2) securing exclusive rights to certain complements, or 3) absorbing complements into the core platform. Over time, forces tend to push both proprietary and shared platforms toward hybrid governance models characterized by centralized control over platform technology (i.e., closed sponsorship) and shared responsibility for serving users (i.e., an open provider role).

    Purchase the book: http://www.e-elgar.co.uk/Bookentry_Main.lasso?id=13257

    Too Many Cooks Spoil the Broth: How High Status Individuals Decrease Group Effectiveness

    Authors: Boris Groysberg, Jeffrey T. Polzer, and Hillary Anger Elfenbein
    Publication: Organization Science (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    Can groups become effective simply by assembling high status individual performers? Though an affirmative answer may seem straightforward on the surface, this answer becomes more complicated when group members benefit from collaborating on interdependent tasks. Examining Wall Street sell-side equities research analysts who work in an industry in which individuals strive for status, we find that groups benefited—up to a point—from having high status members, controlling for individual performance. With higher proportions of individual stars, however, the marginal benefit decreased before the slope of this curvilinear pattern became negative. This curvilinear pattern was especially strong when stars were concentrated in a small number of sectors, likely reflecting suboptimal integration among analysts with similar areas of expertise. Control variables ensured that these effects were not the spurious result of individual performance, department size or specialization, or firm prestige. We discuss the theoretical implications of these results for the literatures on status and groups, along with practical implications for strategic human resource management.

    The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition: The Effect of Trade Liberalization on Corporate Hierarchies

    Authors: Maria Guadalupe and Julie Wulf
    Publication: American Economic Journals: Applied Economics (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    This paper establishes a causal effect of product market competition on various characteristics of organizational design. Using a unique panel-dataset on firm hierarchies of large U.S. firms (1986-1999) and a quasi-natural experiment (trade liberalization), we find that competition leads firms to flatten their hierarchies: firms reduce the number of positions between the CEO and division managers and increase the number of positions reporting directly to the CEO. The results illustrate how firms redesign their organizational structure through a set of complementary choices in response to changes in their environment. We discuss several possible interpretations of these changes.

    Managing Risk in the New World

    Authors: Robert S. Kaplan, Anette Mikes, Robert Simons, Peter Tufano, and Michael Hofmann
    Publication: Harvard Business Review 84, no. 10 (October 2009): 68-75

    An abstract is unavailable at this time.

    Preview the article: http://hbr.org/2009/10/managing-risk-in-the-new-world/ar/1

    Behavioral Aspects of Price Setting, and Their Policy Implications

    Author: Julio J. Rotemberg
    Publication: In Policymaking Insights from Behavioral Economics. Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 2009
    Abstract

    This paper starts by discussing consumers’ cognitive and emotional reaction to posted prices. Cognitively, some consumers do not appear to make effective use of price information to maximize their consumption-based utility. Emotionally, prices can induce regret and anger among consumers. The optimal responses of firm’s prices to these reactions can explain why firms charge prices below marginal cost for many goods and why they keep their prices rigid. This explanation of price rigidity has the advantage of being consistent with the observation that the typical size of price increases is nearly invariant to inflation. Lastly, the paper turns to some government policies regarding prices that appear to have some consumer support. It argues that both laws against price gouging and laws regulating the terms of mortgages may have support because consumers recognize that many people do not optimize their consumption effectively and because they are angry at firms that take advantage of this. These attitudes can also explain consumer support for monetary policies that maintain a low level of average inflation.

    Cases & Course Materials

    NovoCure Ltd.

    William A. Sahlman and Sarah Greene Flaherty
    Harvard Business School Case 810-045

    Venture capitalist William Doyle must raise $35 million for a portfolio company with a promising, novel cancer therapy, just as global capital markets are imploding in the fall of 2008. NovoCure, Ltd., has developed an electrical-field-based therapy, called Tumor Treating fields, for the treatment of cancerous tumors. The therapy has shown significant efficacy with no side effects after five years of testing in human patients. Doyle believes NovoCure has the potential to become an important company with a major new cancer therapy platform but must complete pivotal (Phase III) clinical trials and receive FDA approval. Doyle’s venture capital firm, WFD Ventures, has invested $25 million in three rounds to fund pilot clinical trials for glioblastoma and other non-small cell lung cancer, and the first pivotal clinical trial for glioblastoma. Additional financing is needed to proceed with the strategically important second pivotal trial. In the fall of 2008 Doyle was negotiating the final terms of an investment by two prominent hedge funds when the liquidity crisis caused the hedge funds to withdraw from the transaction. Dole must now reevaluate his options for securing the needed financing for this promising young company.

    Purchase this case:
    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/810045-PDF-ENG

    Zara: Managing Stores for Fast Fashion

    Zeynep Ton, Elena Corsi, and Vincent Dessain
    Harvard Business School Case 610-042

    Pablo Isla, the CEO of Zara, wanted to improve operational efficiencies in managing its store network. In particular, he wanted to improve labor productivity at the stores. He considered outsourcing certain store operations to third parties, changing the way store managers were compensated, and creating formal operating procedures for store operations. But he knew he had to be careful. Could an emphasis on improving labor productivity hurt other aspects of store operations?

    Purchase this case:
    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/610042-PDF-ENG

  • HBS Cases: Looking Behind Google’s Stand in China

    Q&A with: John A. Quelch
    Published: February 8, 2010
    Author: Sean Silverthorne

    Google, the “do no evil” company, gained entry into the Chinese search engine market last decade by agreeing to ban search results on topics deemed sensitive by the Chinese government. To Google’s way of thinking, it could do more good for Internet freedom and the cause of human rights by working inside the country to create value for its Chinese users, employees, and business partners. To critics, Google was selling out its core principles to play in the world’s second largest economy.

    So it was a shocking turn of events on January 12 when Google announced it would pull up stakes in China unless the country agreed to stop censoring search. The precipitating event: an unsuccessful cyber attack from inside China attempting to burrow into the Gmail accounts of Chinese dissidents. Since the announcement, little has transpired publicly; the two sides are presumably negotiating.

    Who are the winners and losers here? Has China been taught a lesson? Has Google been outfoxed? What can other companies learn from this collision of cultures?

    Harvard Business School professor John A. Quelch and research associate Katherine E. Jocz have just published a case study, titled Google in China (Case 9-510-071), based on public sources, that delves into some of these issues. We talked with Quelch last week.

    Sean Silverthorne: Some see this as a heroic effort by Google to live up to its “do no evil” pillar. But others note the company is turning its back on its Chinese employees, users, partners, and an incredibly large market opportunity that would benefit Google shareholders. What’s your view?

    John A. Quelch: Google acted precipitously without giving due consideration to the impact of the announcement on stakeholders, including their Chinese employees, consumers, and business partners.

    Google’s justification is that they are putting a stake in the ground on behalf of human rights. If Google is forced out of China, this could become a rallying cry for Internet freedom worldwide, to the benefit of the Google brand. And eventually, the Chinese regime might change to a more democratic form of government, in which case Google’s stand might go down in history as one of seminal moments on China’s road to democracy.

    But this upside for Google is relatively speculative. The immediate downside consequences are more certain. Google has some 700 employees in China, the best of whom are already finding alternative employment. So de facto, Google is going to be a much smaller entity in China. It seems unlikely to me that many talented Chinese will be lining up for jobs at Google in China going forward.

    Google’s announcement has also disrupted the plans of a number of important business partners such as Samsung and Motorola, who were all set to launch Android-platform handsets in China. I doubt those partners were notified ahead of time.

    Q: OK then, why did Google take this course of action?

    A: The hacking incident was probably the last straw in a rather long line of issues.

    Sooner or later, Google had to stand up for its principles. They have always been at odds internally as to whether or not being in China, operating a self-censorship approach, is consistent with their “do no evil” philosophy.

    Add to this the business fact that only 1 percent of their revenues come from China. There is no reason to suppose that they were going to do any better by being cooperative with the Chinese government.

    Interestingly, a resolution had been reached in the prior week on a separate matter involving the China Written Works Copyright Society, which accused Google of failure to inform or pay authors of books it was digitizing. Google issued an apology. My suspicion is there was thought to be a quid pro quo due from the Chinese that failed to materialize.

    Q: One point made by your case, perhaps missed by Google, is that companies doing business abroad must be able to see the world through the eyes of the host government.

    A: The Chinese government was taken aback by the Google announcement. True to form, they responded very cautiously initially, while they deliberated what to do. The initial Chinese response came from a mid-level spokesperson at the Foreign Ministry, while the initial response from the United States government came from the secretary of state herself—and that perhaps elevated the conflict.

    Now the Google issue has become a cause célèbre that encapsulates and exacerbates the already fragile and festering U.S.-China relationship. On the other hand, the concern over human rights in China is a big deal for many in the Western world.

    The Chinese argue that they allow and support free information flow over the Internet with some restrictions. They contend that the United States doesn’t feel any discomfort hacking into the Internet traffic of U.S. citizens who are suspected terrorists in the United States. Rightly or wrongly, the Chinese view the political dissidents and Falun Gong activists whom they attempt to track as equivalent.

    Q: It was interesting that no other companies backed Google in this dispute. Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer called it “Google’s problem.”

    A: Google’s announcement was self-confident and unilateral, but they have the market capitalization to back it up.

    Among multinationals doing business in China, many others have endured cyber attacks on their private networks, although it is unlikely those attacks had the same human rights implications as the attacks on Google.

    Multinationals doing business in China have been almost universal in their unwillingness to publicly support Google. Their view is that Google has needlessly upset the apple cart for everybody else. For many of these multinationals, China is or will soon be their second most important market in the world. That is not true of Google.

    Q: If Google is forced to exit China, will it be a blow financially?

    A: I don’t think so, although they were looking to make progress in China with other lines of business, such as the Android mobile phone platform.

    Q: Do you think Google has at least won the PR war here, and raised the flag of human rights in China?

    A: Not yet. Today Google is still self-censoring content exactly the same way as they were on January the eleventh. So Google has shot itself in the foot without gaining the moral high ground.

    How can you impress your customers and supporters around the world through this announcement if you don’t actually follow through?

    Q: Best guess: Will this dispute be resolved, or will Google be forced to keep its word and abandon China? Does China need Google more than Google needs China?

    A: The Chinese cannot permit Google’s public challenge to go unpunished. However, they need not do anything, as the leading employees of Google China are jumping ship to take jobs with Baidu and other competitors. Google will soon be down to a skeleton shift in China and, if they are permitted to stay, they will have a tough time recruiting new employees.

    Q: Are there lessons here for other multinationals doing business in emerging economies?

    A: Government relations are critical to business effectiveness in developed as well as in emerging economies. But, in emerging economies, where the public sector and government-controlled enterprises are usually a higher percentage of GDP, managing government relations at the national, provincial, and local levels is even more important.

    You have to know what you are getting into. You have to know whom you are dealing with, what their expectations are, what their rules are. And you either have to operate on a “when in Rome do as the Romans do” policy, or, if you have a clear set of global values that cannot be compromised, you have to decide which countries are off limits.

    The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act helps U.S. multinationals protect their employees from being compromised. But we have no rules of engagement that bear upon the defense of human rights of citizens in host countries in which our multinationals operate.

    Q: What do you make of China’s assertiveness of late, not only in the business sphere but in the political world as well?

    A: China has become more emboldened and self-confident as a result of its increasing economic significance. China is reluctant to be badgered by Western companies or Western governments into changing its rules and regulations.

    The Chinese do not yet understand international public relations and have perhaps too short-term a view. If they have power and are in the driver’s seat today, they act very confident. If, on the other hand, they take a hit or two economically, they become more flexible. There is a very short-term transactional aspect to their diplomacy, which is reflected in their unwillingness to bend on these issues. They certainly are not going to change their ways because of a threat from Google.

    About the author

    Sean Silverthorne is Editor-in-Chief of HBS Working Knowledge.

  • First Look: Feb. 2

    Is your company rigid or resilient? Breaking down silos is hard to do, but often necessary in the face of unpredictable market conditions. A new book by HBS professor Ranjay Gulati offers up a bevy of role models as well as practical suggestions.

    As Gulati writes in Reorganize for Resilience: Putting Customers at the Center of Your Organization, “No firm that I know of has completely attained my definition of truly seamless, but companies such as Jones Lang LaSalle, GE Healthcare, Best Buy, Cisco, and Lafarge (the cement division) are well on their way to a high level of internal seamlessness. And all use the four internal levers of silo busting—coordination, cooperation, clout, and capabilities—in concert to drive strong customer centricity and to pull perspective from inside the firm looking out to outside it, looking in.”

    This week also sees a working paper that studies when and why, in the design of development projects, technical architecture corresponds with or “mirrors” the firm’s organizational structure. HBS doctoral candidate Lyra Colfer and professor Carliss Y. Baldwin describe results and present examples from practice in “The Mirroring Hypothesis: Theory, Evidence and Exceptions” [PDF].

    — Martha Lagace

    Working Papers

    The Mirroring Hypothesis: Theory, Evidence and Exceptions

    Authors: Lyra Colfer and Carliss Y. Baldwin
    Abstract

    The mirroring hypothesis asserts that the organizational patterns of a development project (e.g., communication links, geographic collocation, team and firm co-membership) will correspond to the technical patterns of dependency in the system under development. Thus the hypothesis predicts that developers with few or no organizational linkages will design independent system components, while developers with rich organizational linkages will co-design highly interdependent system components. (The hypothesis claims a correspondence between organizational structure and technical architecture, but allows causality to flow in either direction.) Scholars in a range of disciplines have argued that mirroring is either a necessary or highly desirable feature in the design of development projects, but empirical research shows that some projects deviate from strict mirroring, seemingly without harmful effects. In this paper, we formally define the mirroring hypothesis, describe its theoretical underpinnings, and systematically review the empirical evidence for and against it. Our review includes 129 studies spanning three levels of organization: within a single firm, across firms, and open community-based development. Across these levels, the hypothesis was supported in 69% of the relevant cases, but not supported in 31%. It was most strongly supported within firms, less strongly across firms, and often violated in community-based development settings. The exceptions in turn were of two types: In four cases, closely collaborating teams within single firms created modular systems comprised of independent components. More surprisingly, in 28 cases, independent and dispersed contributors made highly interdependent contributions to the design of a single technical system (or sub-system). Based on a detailed analysis of the latter 28, we introduce the concept of actionable transparency as a means of achieving coordination without mirroring. Contributors achieve actionable transparency by embedding their design in a centralized system with a shared design language and near-real-time updating, where everyone with an interest in improving the design has the right and the means to act on it. We present examples from practice and then describe the more complex organizational patterns that emerge in lieu of genuine mirroring when actionable transparency allows people to “break the mirror.”

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-058.pdf

    Criminal Recidivism after Prison and Electronic Monitoring

    Authors: Rafael Di Tella and Ernesto Schargrodsky
    NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15602, December 2009
    Abstract

    We study the re-arrest rates for two groups: individuals formerly in prison and individuals formerly under electronic monitoring (EM). We find that the recidivism rate of former prisoners is 22% while that for those “treated” with electronic monitoring is 13% (40% lower). We convince ourselves that the estimates are causal using peculiarities of the Argentine setting. For example, we have almost as much information as the judges have when deciding on the allocation of EM—the program is rationed to only some offenders—and some institutional features (such as bad prison conditions) convert ideological differences across judges (to which detainees are randomly matched) into very large differences in the allocation of electronic monitoring.

    Download the paper from SSRN ($5): http://papers.nber.org/papers/w15602

    Publications

    Seven Lessons for Leading in Crisis

    Author: Bill George
    Publication: Warren Bennis Series. San Francisco, Calif.: Jossey-Bass, 2009
    Abstract

    Seven Lessons for Leading in Crisis outlines the seven critical lessons leaders need to learn when facing crises. The book contains numerous examples of successful and failed leaders, with stories to illustrate their experiences and the author’s advice to readers who may face similar crises.

    Purchase this book: http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/PressRelease/pressReleaseId-55338.html

    Reorganize for Resilience: Putting Customers at the Center of Your Organization

    Author: Ranjay Gulati
    Publication: Harvard Business School Press, forthcoming
    Abstract

    In an era of raging commoditization and eroding profit margins, survival depends on resilience: staying one step ahead of your customers. Sure, most companies say they’re “customer focused,” but they don’t deliver solutions to customers’ thorniest problems. Why? Because they’re stymied by the rigid “silos” they’re organized around. In Reorganize for Resilience, Ranjay Gulati reveals how resilient companies prosper both in good times and bad, driving growth and increasing profitability by immersing themselves in the lives of their customers. This book shows how resilient organizations cut through internal barriers that impede action, build bridges between warring divisions, and transform former competitors into collaborators. Based on more than a decade of research in a variety of industries, and filled with examples from companies including Cisco Systems, La Farge, Starbucks, Best Buy, and Jones Lang LaSalle, Gulati explores the five levers of resilience: 1) Coordination: connect, eradicate, or restructure silos to enable swift responses. 2) Cooperation: foster a culture that aligns all employees around the shared goals of customer solutions. 3) Clout: redistribute power to “bridge builders” and customer champions. 4) Capability: develop employees’ skills at tackling changing customer needs. 5) Connection: blend partners’ offerings with yours to provide unique customer solutions.

    Purchase this book: http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/web/product_detail.seam?R=1721-HBK-ENG&conversationId=355532&E=3159

    Merchants to Multinationals

    Author: Geoffrey Jones
    Publication: Tokyo: Nihon Keizai Hyoronsha, 2009, Japanese edition
    Abstract

    Merchants to Multinationals examines the evolution of multinational trading companies from the eighteenth century to the present day. During the Industrial Revolution, British merchants established overseas branches which became major trade intermediaries and subsequently engaged in foreign direct investment. Complex multinational business groups emerged controlling large investments in natural resources, processing, and services in Asia, Latin America, and Africa.

    Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

    Authors: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
    Publication: Journal of International Money and Finance (forthcoming). (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 05-053 and NBER Working Paper No. 13131.)
    Abstract

    The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortion, government outlays uncertainty, and contingent-debt service. Our framework also recognizes that contingent debt can be associated with incentive problems and lack of commitment. Thus, the benefits of unexpected inflation are tempered by higher interest rates. We obtain that costs from inflation more than offset the benefits from reducing tax distortions. We further discuss sustainability of nominal debt in developing (volatile) countries.

    Performance Measure Aggregation, Career Incentives, and Explicit Incentives

    Authors: Romana L. Autrey, Shane S. Dikolli, and D. Paul Newman
    Publication: Journal of Management Accounting Research (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    We examine a setting in which managers have differential career concerns and firm performance is publicly observed using disaggregated measures that are incrementally informative but costly to contract upon. In such a setting, when do firms contract on aggregated rather than disaggregated performance measures? We show that at intermediate levels of managerial career concerns contracting on an aggregate measure can be welfare enhancing. In this case, the net cost of both contracting directly on an aggregate measure and exploiting career incentives based on disaggregated measures is smaller than the cost of contracting directly on disaggregate measures. Our findings also imply that detailed performance disclosures will be accompanied by lower incentive weights based on aggregate performance when career incentives mitigate distortions caused by aggregation. Further, if performance measures become noisier due to transient shocks, we find that contractual incentive weights on aggregate performance can be either increasing or decreasing, depending on the magnitude of a manager’s career incentives.

    Altruistic Utility Functions for Joint Decisions

    Authors: David E. Bell and Ralph L. Keeney
    Publication: In The Mathematics of Preference, Choice and Order, edited by Steven Brams, William V. Gehrlein, and Fred S. Roberts, 27-38. Studies in Choice and Welfare Series. Springer Verlag, 2009
    Abstract

    All of us make decisions that are not entirely self-centered; we voluntarily anticipate what we think to be the preferences of others and incorporate them into our decision making. We do this, not because of legal requirements or social norms, but because we are altruistic; we care intrinsically about the welfare of others. In this paper, we illustrate for these types of decisions how confusion may arise because the distinction between our personal (egotistical) preferences and our altruistic concerns is not carefully distinguished. We first define the distinction between personal and altruistic preferences, and then show how to use both of these kinds of preferences in prescriptive decision making methodologies.

    Purchase the book: http://www.springer.com/economics/economic+theory/book/978-3-540-79127-0

    Loan Syndication and Credit Cycles

    Authors: Victoria Ivashina and David S. Scharfstein
    Publication: American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    Cyclicality in the supply of business credit has been the focus of a considerable amount of research. This cyclicality can stem from shocks to borrowers’ collateral, which affect firms’ ability to raise capital if agency and information problems are significant (Ben S. Bernanke and Mark Gertler, 1989). Or it can stem from shocks to bank capital, which affects the supply of bank loans if agency and information problems limit the ability of banks to raise additional capital (Bernanke, 1983). In this paper, we examine cyclicality in the supply of credit in the context of modern forms of banking, often referred to as the “originate-to-distribute” model. In particular, we focus on the role of syndicated lending.

    Download the paper from SSRN ($5): http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1538892

    Exploration and Exploitation within and across Organizations

    Authors: Dovev Lavie, Michael Tushman, and Uriel Stettner
    Publication: The Academy of Management Annals (in press)
    Abstract

    Jim March’s framework of exploration and exploitation has drawn substantial interest from scholars studying phenomena such as organizational learning, knowledge management, innovation, organizational design, and strategic alliances. This framework has become an essential lens for interpreting various behaviors and outcomes within and across organizations. Despite its straightforwardness, this framework has generated debates concerning the definition of exploration and exploitation and their measurement, antecedents, and consequences. We critically review the growing literature on exploration and exploitation discuss various perspectives, raise conceptual and empirical concerns, underscore challenges for further development of this literature, and provide directions for future research.

    Quality Management and Job Quality: How the ISO 9001 Standard for Quality Management Systems Affects Employees and Employers

    Authors: David I. Levine and Michael W. Toffel
    Publication: Management Science (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    Several studies have examined how the ISO 9001 Quality Management System standard predicts changes in organizational outcomes such as profits. This is the first large-scale study to explore how employee outcomes such as employment, earnings, and health and safety change when employers adopt ISO 9001. We analyzed a matched sample of nearly 1,000 companies in California. ISO 9001 adopters subsequently had far lower organizational death rates than a matched control group of non-adopters. Among surviving employers, ISO adopters had higher growth rates for sales, employment, payroll, and average annual earnings. Injury rates declined slightly for ISO 9001 adopters, although total injury costs did not. These results have implications for organizational theory, managers, and public policy.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-018.pdf

    Endowments, Fiscal Federalism, and the Cost of Capital for States: Evidence from Brazil, 1891-1930

    Authors: André Martínez-Fritscher and Aldo Musacchio
    Publication: Financial History Review (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    There is a large amount of literature that aims to explain what determines country risk (defined as the difference between the yield of a sovereign’s bonds and the risk-free rate). In this paper, we contribute to the discussion by arguing that an important explanatory factor is the impact that commodities have on the government’s capacity to pay. We use a newly created database with state-level fiscal and risk premium data for Brazil states between 1891 and 1930 to show that in Brazilian states that exported commodities that were in high in demand (e.g., rubber and coffee) the state governments ended up having higher tax revenues per capita and, thus, lower cost of capital. We also explain that the variation in revenues per capita was both a product of the variation in natural endowments and a commodity boom that had asymmetric effects among states. These two effects generated variation in revenues per capita at the state level thanks to the extreme form of fiscal decentralization that the Brazilian government adopted in the Constitution of 1891, which gave states the sole right to tax exports. We also use indices of export prices for each state as instruments for revenues per capita. Our instrumental variable estimates confirm our results that states with commodities that had higher price increases had lower risk premia.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-027.pdf

    Elections and Discretionary Accruals: Evidence from 2004

    Authors: Karthik Ramanna and Sugata Roychowdhury
    Publication: Journal of Accounting Research (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    We examine the accrual choices of outsourcing firms with links to U.S. congressional candidates during the 2004 elections, when corporate outsourcing was a major campaign issue. We find that politically connected firms with more extensive outsourcing activities have more income-decreasing discretionary accruals. Further, relative to adjacent periods, the evidence is concentrated in the two calendar quarters immediately preceding the 2004 election, consistent with heightened incentives for firms to manage earnings during the election season. The incentives can be attributed to donor firms’ concerns about the potentially negative consequences of scrutiny over outsourcing for themselves and for their affiliated candidates.

    Fair Pricing

    Author: Julio J. Rotemberg
    Publication: Journal of the European Economic Association (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    This paper explores the consequences of supposing that consumers see a firm as fair if they cannot reject the hypothesis that the firm is somewhat benevolent towards them. When consumers can reject this hypothesis, some become angry, which is costly to the firm. The desire to appear benevolent can lead firms to adopt third-degree price discrimination based on the income of different consumer classes while foreswearing third-degree price discrimination based on differences in the elasticity of demand. It can also explain why prices seem to be more responsive to changes in factor costs than to changes in demand that have the same effect on marginal cost. Lastly, if consumers experience regret or disappointment when faced by increased prices, the model can explain why prices can be more rigid in response to disasters that increase demand dramatically than they are when there is a less substantial increase in demand.

    Lone Inventors as Sources of Technological Breakthroughs: Myth or Reality?

    Authors: Jasjit Singh and Lee Fleming
    Publication: Management Science 56, no. 1 (2010)
    Abstract

    Are lone inventors more or less likely to invent breakthroughs? Recent research has attempted to resolve this question by considering the variance of creative outcome distributions. It has implicitly assumed a symmetric thickening or thinning of both tails, i.e., that a greater probability of breakthroughs comes at the cost of a greater probability of failures. In contrast, we propose that collaboration can have opposite effects at the two extremes: it reduces the probability of very poor outcomes—because of more rigorous selection processes—while simultaneously increasing the probability of extremely successful outcomes—because of greater recombinant opportunity in creative search. Analysis of over half a million patented inventions supports these arguments: Individuals working alone, especially those without affiliation to organizations, are less likely to achieve breakthroughs and more likely to invent particularly poor outcomes. Quantile regressions demonstrate that the effect is more than an upward mean shift. We find partial mediation of the effect of collaboration on extreme outcomes by the diversity of technical experience of team members and by the size of team members’ external collaboration networks. Supporting our meta-argument for the importance of examining each tail of the distribution separately, experience diversity helps trim poor outcomes significantly more than it helps create breakthroughs, relative to the effect of external networks.

    Complex Business Models: Managing Strategic Paradoxes Simultaneously

    Authors: Complex Business Models: Managing Strategic Paradoxes Simultaneously
    Publication: Long Range Planning (in press)
    Abstract

    As our world becomes more global, fast paced, and hypercompetitive, competitive advantage may increasingly depend on success in managing paradoxical strategies—strategies associated with contradictory, yet integrated tensions. We identify several types of the complex business models organizations will need to adopt if they are to host such paradoxical strategies. Managing complex business models effectively depends on leadership that can make dynamic decisions, build commitment to both overarching visions and agenda specific goals, actively learn at multiple levels, and engage conflict. Leaders can engage these functions through team-centric or leader-centric structures.

    On Knowing and Doing: A Perspective on the Synergies between Research and Practice

    Author: Michael Tushman
    Publication: In Doing Research That Is Useful for Theory and Practice. Berrett-Koehler Publishers, in press
    Abstract

    The current rigor/relevance debate is a central strategic issue for business schools and their faculty. I argue that ongoing relationships with firms, rooted on the joint acknowledgement of the importance of faculty research by firms and respect for practice by faculty, increase the quality and impact of faculty research. With roles and boundaries clear, such ongoing relationships with firms, particularly those rooted in executive education venues, increase the insightfulness of our research questions and the quality of our data. Such relationships also benefit doctoral training. Further, to the extent that these relationships help faculty translate our field’s research into practice, we are able to live into our institutions’ promise to shape managerial practice. These engaged relationships with firms help faculty and their business schools excel in both rigor as well as relevance. This paper provides a personal example of these synergistic relationships and discusses boundary issues associated with these faculty/firm collaborations. Executive education in general, and custom programs in particular, may be an underleveraged vehicle in reducing the rigor/relevance gap between business schools and the world of practice.

    Cases & Course Materials

    Akin Ongor’s Journey

    Rosabeth Moss Kanter
    Harvard Business School Case 306-072

    A retired bank CEO, one of Turkey’s most admired leaders, wants to start a leadership institute to develop emerging leaders in the eastern Mediterranean region. Describes his biography and values, the models he established for excellent financial performance and corporate social and environmental responsibility at the bank, and his attempt to partner with an American university to establish the institute. His first approach did not work; what should he do now?

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    Communispace

    Anat Keinan
    Harvard Business School Case 510-018

    Communispace is the market leader in creating and managing private, brand-focused online communities for major corporate clients. These communities have provided its clients with insights into how consumers view their brands, with quick feedback on potential marketing decisions, and with a sounding board for new product ideas. Now, a potential client has asked Communispace to build and manage an online community for the sole purpose of fostering word-of-mouth for a new brand it was launching. Should Communispace take on this assignment?

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    Hulu: An Evil Plot to Destroy the World?

    Anita Elberse and Sunil Gupta
    Harvard Business School Case 510-005

    In July 2009, Jason Kilar, the chief executive officer of Hulu, is debating
    online video aggregator should move away from a purely advertising-supported model, and whether it should participate in an industry-wide initiative to develop and test “authentication” technology that can facilitate a subscription or pay-per-view model. The case traces the early years of Hulu, a joint venture between News Corp. and NBC Universal, that was initially met with strong skepticism but quickly became on the most celebrated and popular online video business. Provides in-depth information on how the company serves content owners, users, and advertisers. Describes the online video space in considerable detail, also covering economic and viewership statistics that enable a rich discussion of viable business models.

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    The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF) in 2009

    Luis M. Viceira and Brendon C. Parry
    Harvard Business School Case 210-008

    In late June 2009, management at The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF) was considering expanding the footprint of the TIFF Diversified Fund (TDF), the first truly comprehensive endowment management vehicle offered under the TIFF banner. The recent large capital losses suffered by most endowments, including those of Harvard and Yale, had motivated some to question the two basic premises of the endowment investment model—that investors get rewarded for bearing illiquidity, and that a diversified blend of asset classes and strategies provides meaningful protection against capital losses under virtually all market conditions. Despite this questioning, the investment professionals at TIFF were convinced that this model remained viable as a means of generating superior long-term returns, and that TDF was a vehicle that provided TIFF’s current and potential clients access to this model. But they were aware that they would need to increase their efforts to educate their clients on the benefits of this comprehensive approach to investing and also reflect on whether to modify the current structure of TDF, particularly regarding its liquidity provisions.

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    The University of Notre Dame Endowment

    Andre F. Perold and Paul Buser
    Harvard Business School Case 210-007

    The Endowment Model of Investing, which was based on creating high risk-adjusted performance through diversification, a long time horizon, top-notch outside managers, and illiquid investments, had served Notre Dame and other large universities well over the past several decades. Scott Malpass, Notre Dame’s Chief Investment Officer, was confident that this was a successful way to invest if implemented effectively, but he also saw the top university endowments experience 25% to 35% declines in portfolio value during the second half of 2008 that eviscerated the investment gains from the past several years. Notre Dame had weathered the crisis relatively well, but there were several key questions Malpass had to address. Should Notre Dame continue to make illiquid investments in the context of rising unfunded commitments relative to liquid funds? Was compensation adequate for the illiquidity of these types of investments? In relation to manager selection, how could the Notre Dame investment team continue to find the best managers to create alpha? To what extent would the performance of managers during the crisis be predictive of future performance in other portions of the economic cycle? How would the long-established industry terms of contract between clients and managers change going forward? Was there an opportunity for clients to negotiate better terms? These issues all needed to be addressed in the context of protecting the University’s operating budget and supporting the mission of the institution.

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  • Going Through the Motions: An Empirical Test of Management Involvement in Process Improvement

    Published: January 21, 2010
    Paper Released: December 2009
    Author: Anita L. Tucker

    Executive Summary:

    How can managers better lead their organizations to improve work processes? Describing their study of hospitals over an 18-month period, HBS professor Anita L. Tucker and Harvard School of Public Health professor Sara J. Singer detail how and why managers’ taking action was more effective than their communicating about actions taken. Findings suggest, first, that taking action on known problems in specific work areas on at least a quarterly basis may improve the organizational climate for improvement. Second, the study indicates that managers would be well advised to take action-preferably substantive and intense action-in response to frontline workers’ communications about problems. Overall, the research provides insight for senior managers who want to improve their organization’s climate for process improvement. Key concepts include:

    • Resolving a small number of problems is better than collecting data about many problems.
    • Giving feedback to employees about actions taken can worsen their perceptions of the climate for improvement if the actions were superficial or punitive. In other words, managers do not fool frontline workers by going through the motions of process improvement.
    • The risk of surfacing a large number of problems is twofold: (1) identifying many problems simultaneously may overwhelm people with a new awareness of the full extent of problems within the organization, complicating and slowing decision processes and spreading already-stretched resources, and (2) it may reinforce cynicism among frontline workers that managers are uncommitted to improving the organizations’ work systems.

    Abstract

    Managers play a critical role in process improvement. However, research has found that many improvement efforts fail due to insufficient management involvement. Less is known, however, about mechanisms to foster managers’ involvement and their impact on organizational climate, which predicts successful outcomes. We addressed this gap with a field experiment suggested by Toyota’s problem-solving process. We tested three related process improvement activities: (1) interacting with workers to learn about problems, (2) ensuring that action is taken to address the problems, and (3) communicating about actions taken. Sixty-nine randomly selected hospitals, 20 of which were randomly selected to engage in the three activities for 18-months, participated in the experiment. Survey results showed that identifying problems had a negative impact on organizational climate while taking action had a positive impact. Results suggest that solving problems as they arise (e.g. Toyota’s approach) with intense and substantive actions is more productive than gathering information about large numbers of potential problems to solve (e.g. incident reporting systems). Providing feedback about actions taken negatively impacted frontline workers’ perceptions. Qualitative results suggest that communication can backfire when managers go through the motions of process improvement activities without making a sincere effort to resolve staff concerns.
    Keywords: process improvement, hospitals, Toyota Production System, management, field experiment, safety.
    35 pages.

    Paper Information

  • First Look: Jan. 20

    Do you need sign-off from headquarters when you want to make decisions? Or can you undertake capital investments, hire new employees, introduce new products, and otherwise exercise managerial independence in your daily work? In the age of globalization, the extent of firm decentralization and the reasons behind it are still something of a mystery, leading HBS professor Raffaella Sadun and colleagues to wonder whether product competition is one factor spurring the trend toward decentralization. The basic idea is this: Local managers’ information might be increasingly valuable as more products crowd the marketplace.

    To test this proposition Sadun, Nicholas Bloom, and John Van Reenen analyzed data on nearly 4,000 firms across 12 countries in Europe, North America, and Asia. “We find that competition does indeed seem to foster greater decentralization,” they write in their working paper, “Does Product Market Competition Lead Firms to Decentralize?” [PDF]

    The results by geography were also telling: “Intriguingly, we found that firms in developing countries (Brazil, China, and India), tended to be the most centralized, with almost all major decisions taken by the owners in the corporate headquarters. Japanese firms were also relatively centralized. In contrast, firms in Anglo-Saxon and Scandinavian countries (Canada, Germany, Sweden, UK, and US) were relatively decentralized. The rest of Europe (e.g. France, Italy, and Poland) tended to be in the middle of the decentralization ranking.” Developing countries might experience tighter control from HQ due to less product competition, the authors suggest.

    — Martha Lagace

    Working Papers

    Contracting in the Self-reporting Economy (revised)

    Authors: Romana L. Autrey and Richard Sansing
    Abstract

    This paper examines the effect of accounting on the use of intellectual property. We analyze the licensing of intellectual property in exchange for royalties that depend on the self-report of a licensee. Self-reporting gives rise to demand for auditing by the licensor or third-party attestation by the licensee. We characterize the optimal royalty contract, accounting system choice by the licensee, and audit strategy choice by the licensor. We show when the owner prefers to license the property in exchange for a royalty and when it prefers to use the property directly. We find that variable royalty arrangements that depend on either audited self-reports or third-party attestation become more attractive as accounting information system costs decrease and as the benefits from outsourcing the use of intellectual property increases. We also examine how the variability of payoffs to effort affects the optimal way the owner of the intellectual property uses it.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/07-100.pdf

    Does Product Market Competition Lead Firms to Decentralize?

    Authors: Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and John Van Reenen
    Abstract

    There is a widespread sense that over the last two decades firms have been decentralizing decisions to employees further down the managerial hierarchy. Economists have developed a range of theories to account for delegation, but there is less empirical evidence, especially across countries. This has limited the ability to understand the phenomenon of decentralization. To address the empirical lacuna we have developed a research program to measure the internal organization of firms—including their decentralization decisions—across a large range of industries and countries. In this paper we investigate whether greater product market competition increases decentralization. For example, tougher competition may make local manager’s information more valuable, as delays to decisions become more costly. Since globalization and liberalization have increased the competitiveness of product markets, one explanation for the trend towards decentralization could be increased competition. Of course there are a range of other factors that may also be at play, including human capital, information and communication technology, culture, and industrial composition. To tackle these issues we collected detailed information on the internal organization of firms across nations. The few datasets that exist are either from a single industry or (at best) across many firms in a single country. We analyze data on almost 4,000 firms across 12 countries in Europe, North America, and Asia. We find that competition does indeed seem to foster greater decentralization.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-052.pdf

    Accountability and Control as Catalysts for Strategic Exploration and Exploitation: Field Study Results

    Author: Robert Simons
    Abstract

    This paper reports the collective finding from 102 field studies that look at the relationship between two organization design variables: span of control and span of accountability. Clustering the data yields propositions suggesting that the relationship between these variables may be an important determinant of strategic exploitation and exploration activities. Data from the field studies suggest that, in accordance with the controllability principle, accountability and control are tightly aligned for exploitation activities. However, this result was found in only a small number of tasks and functions. In the majority of situations, spans of accountability were wider than spans of control. This “Entrepreneurial Gap” is posited to be a result of management’s desire for innovation and exploration—and used as a catalyst for changing strategy, creating high levels of customer satisfaction, or motivating people to navigate complex matrix organizations.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-051.pdf

    Substitution Patterns of the Random Coefficients Logit

    Authors: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Andrew Ainslie
    Abstract

    Previous research suggests that the random coefficients logit is a highly flexible model that overcomes the problems of the homogeneous logit by allowing for differences in tastes across individuals. The purpose of this paper is to show that this is not true. We prove that the random coefficients logit imposes restrictions on individual choice behavior that limit the types of substitution patterns that can be found through empirical analysis, and we raise fundamental questions about when the model can be used to recover individuals’ preferences from their observed choices. Part of the misunderstanding about the random coefficients logit can be attributed to the lack of cross-level inference in previous research. To overcome this deficiency, we design several Monte Carlo experiments to show what the model predicts at both the individual and the population levels. These experiments show that the random coefficients logit leads a researcher to very different conclusions about individuals’ tastes depending on how alternatives are presented in the choice set. In turn, these biased parameter estimates affect counterfactual predictions. In one experiment, the market share predictions for a given alternative in a given choice set range between 17% and 83% depending on how the alternatives are displayed both in the data used for estimation and in the counterfactual scenario under consideration. This occurs even though the market shares observed in the data are always about 50% regardless of the display.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-053.pdf

    Publications

    International Differences in Entrepreneurship

    Authors: Josh Lerner and Antoinette Schoar, eds.
    Publication: Chicago: University of Chicago Press for National Bureau of Economic Research, forthcoming
    Publisher’s Abstract

    Often considered one of the major forces behind economic growth and development, the entrepreneurial firm can accelerate the speed of innovation and dissemination of new technologies, thus increasing a country’s competitive edge in the global market. As a result, cultivating a strong culture of entrepreneurial thinking has become a primary goal throughout the world. Surprisingly, there has been little systematic research or comparative analysis to show how the growth of entrepreneurship differs among countries in various stages of development. International Differences in Entrepreneurship fills this void by explaining how a country’s institutional differences, cultural considerations, and personal characteristics can affect the role that entrepreneurs play in its economy. Developing an understanding of the origins of entrepreneurs as well as the choices they make and the complexity of their activities across countries and industries are of central importance to this volume. In addition, contributors consider how environmental factors of individual economies, such as market regulation, government subsidies for banks, and support for entrepreneurial culture affect the industry and the impact that entrepreneurs have on growth in developing nations

    Too Big to Save? How to Fix the U.S. Financial System

    Author: Robert C. Pozen
    Publication: John Wiley, 2009
    Publisher’s Abstract

    Too Big To Save? provides a comprehensive review of the financial crisis, explaining not only the factors causing the crisis but also evaluating the government responses to date and suggesting practical reforms for the future.

    Catering Through Nominal Share Prices

    Authors: Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood, and Jeffrey Wurgler
    Publication: Journal of Finance 64, no. 6 (December 2009): 2559-2590
    Abstract

    We propose and test a catering theory of nominal stock prices. The theory predicts that when investors place higher valuation on low-price firms, managers will maintain share prices at lower levels, and vice-versa. Using measures of time-varying catering incentives based on valuation ratios, split announcement effects, and future returns, we find empirical support for the predictions in both time-series and firm-level data. Given the strong cross-sectional relationship between capitalization and nominal share price, an interpretation of the results is that managers may be trying to categorize their firms as small firms when investors favor small firms.

    Local Dividend Clienteles

    Authors: Bo Becker, Zoran Ivkovic, and Scott Weisbenner
    Publication: Journal of Finance (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    We exploit demographic variation to identify the effect of dividend demand on firm payout policy. Retail investors tend to hold local stocks and older investors prefer dividend-paying stocks. Together, these tendencies generate geographically varying demand for dividends. Firms headquartered in areas in which seniors constitute a large fraction of the population are more likely to pay dividends, initiate dividends, and have higher dividend yields. However, the fraction of seniors is uncorrelated with share repurchases, investment, or profitability, suggesting that geographic variation in dividend payout is not driven by some unmeasured firm characteristic affecting the ability or willingness to distribute cash to shareholders. We also provide indirect evidence as to why firm managers may cater to the demand for dividends from local seniors. Overall, these results suggest that the composition of a firm’s investor base affects corporate policy choices.

    The Price of Equality: Suboptimal Resource Allocations across Social Categories

    Authors: Stephen M. Garcia, Max Bazerman, Shirli Kopelman, Avishalom Tor, and Dale T. Miller
    Publication: Special Issue on Behavioral Ethics: A New Empirical Perspective on Business Ethics Research. Business Ethics Quarterly 20, no. 1 (2010): 75-88
    Abstract

    This paper explores the influence of social categories on the perceived trade-off between relatively bad but equal distribution of resources between two parties and profit maximizing, yet asymmetric, payoffs. Studies 1 and 2 show that people prefer to maximize profits when interacting within their social category, but chose suboptimal individual and joint profits when interacting across social categories. Study 3 demonstrates that outside observers, who were not members of the focal social categories, also were less likely to maximize profits when resources were distributed across social category lines. Study 4 shows that the transaction utility of maximizing profits required greater compensation when resources were distributed across, in contrast to within, social categories. We discuss the ethical implications of these decision-making biases in the context of organizations.

    Price Pressure in the Government Bond Market

    Authors: Robin Greenwood and Dimitri Vayanos
    Publication: American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings (forthcoming May 2010)

    An abstract is unavailable at this time.

    The Dynamics of Silencing Conflict

    Authors: Leslie Perlow and Nelson Repenning
    Publication: Research in Organizational Behavior 29 (2009): 195-223
    Abstract

    In many organizations, when people perceive a difference with another they often do not fully express themselves. Despite creating innumerable problems, silencing conflict is a persistent phenomenon. While the antecedents of acts of silence are well documented, little is known about why norms of silencing conflict evolve. To explore this evolution, we draw on an ethnographic study that spanned the entire life of a dot.com, starting with its founding and ending with its sale to a larger company. Distilling our data using causal loop diagrams, we document the processes through which acts of silence became self-reinforcing. The dynamic model of silencing conflict induced from our data has implications not only for norm development, but also for a variety of other domains including network analysis, autonomous actor models, diversity and demography, and change management.

    Cases & Course Materials

    Congressional Candidate Ron Klein and KNP Communications

    Amy J.C. Cuddy and Nithyasri Sharma
    Harvard Business School Case 910-013

    In the 2006 election cycle, Ron Klein was running for the U.S. Congressional seat from Florida’s 22nd District. He was up against Rep. Clay Shaw, a popular 26-year incumbent with significant name recognition in the district. Leading up to the election, Klein’s campaign manager realized that Klein had to find a way to relate to his voters on a personal level if he wanted to win the election and advised him to work with KNP Communications, a consulting firm. Over the course of a few sessions, Klein worked with the team from KNP to learn techniques that would help him connect with his voters. On election night, Klein wondered if KNP’s training had allowed him to successfully connect with his voters and, more importantly, if this personal connection mattered more to voters than his competence and skills.

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    Dawn Stokes: The View from the Driver’s Seat

    Boris Groysberg and Lindsay Tanne
    Harvard Business School Case 410-064

    Dawn Stokes founded and was successful as CEO of Texas Driving Experience, a company that provided driving lessons, both safety-based for teens, and high-performance racecar driving for individual thrill seekers and corporate events. Although the company had done well, economic hard times were beginning to take their toll. What aspects of the business should Stokes focus on? And would a policy of aggressive geographic expansion make sense?

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    A Giant Among Women

    Willy Shih, Ethan S. Bernstein, Maly Hout Bernstein, Jyun-Cheng Wang, and Yi-Ling Wei
    Harvard Business School Case 610-005

    Tony Lo, the CEO of Giant Manufacturing, the largest bicycle manufacturer in the world, finally realized that his products were not meeting the needs of women customers when even his wife complained to him that the equipment did not fit her needs. Lo commissioned his CFO Bonnie Tu to open the first all-women’s bicycle store in Taipei and charged her not only with figuring out the needs of women customers, but also mandating that she turn a profit. “Because your only customers are women, if you don’t know how to sell to them, you’re out of business—period. So you experiment for survival,” explained Lo. The case examines the company’s integration into retail stores and looks closely at the Liv/giant pilot and the surprising business model that it developed.

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    IFRS in China

    Karthik Ramanna, G.A. Donovan, and Nancy Dai
    Harvard Business School Case 110-037

    In 2005, China announced plans to “converge with,” but not completely adopt, IFRS. China also began to lobby for changes to specific IFRS provisions, such as for related party disclosures by state-owned firms, to bring them more into line with Chinese interests. China’s accounting system had already undergone significant reforms during the two decades when its economy had grown to become the fourth largest in the world. However, enforcement of accounting standards remained weak, the financial system was relatively immature, and large state-owned firms still dominated many sectors of the economy.

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  • Sharpening Your Skills: Managing the Economic Crisis

    Published: January 19, 2010
    Author: Staff

    Sharpening Your Skills dives into the HBS Working Knowledge archives to bring together articles on ways to improve your business skills.

    Questions to be Answered:

    • How do I lead in a crisis?
    • What roles does the Board play?
    • What are the emotional needs of people who lay off fellow employees?
    • What do companies lose when they cut corporate giving?

    How do I lead in a crisis?

    7 Lessons for Navigating the Storm

    Leading in crisis requires a combination of skills and behaviors—personal and professional—that can be mastered, says HBS professor Bill George. A crisis, difficult as it is, also presents an opportunity to develop and grow. Key concepts include:

    • In a crisis, remember your internal compass of values: When crisis strikes, leaders often look for an “at-any-cost” quick fix in attempting to save face, says George.
    • To ensure that economic recovery is long-lasting and that future business is sustainable, leaders must practice a clear set of principles.
    • It is OK, even necessary, for leaders to be open with others, admit mistakes, and look to trusted friends and associates for advice and support.
    • Use a crisis as an opportunity to reshape the market.

    What roles does the Board play?

    Perspectives from the Boardroom—2009

    To understand what transpired in the boardrooms of complex companies during the financial crisis, and to offer a prescription to improve board effectiveness, eight senior faculty members talked with 45 prominent directors about what has happened to their companies and why. Key concepts include:

    • Regulations and laws offer little guidance about what specifically boards should do, and, given this lack of specificity, most boards have gradually developed an implicit understanding of what their job should be.
    • Directors expressed strong consensus that the key to improving boards’ performance is not government action but action on the part of each board.
    • To improve board effectiveness, each board should achieve clarity about its role in relation to that of management: the extent and nature of the board’s involvement in strategy, management succession, risk oversight, and compliance.

    What are the emotional needs of people who lay off fellow employees?

    Conducting Layoffs: ‘Necessary Evils’ at Work

    “The core challenge for everyone who performs necessary evils comes from having to do two seemingly contradictory things at once: be compassionate and be direct,” say Joshua D. Margolis of Harvard Business School and Andrew L. Molinsky of Brandeis University International Business School. Their research sheds light on best practices—typically overlooked—for the well-being of those who carry out these emotionally difficult tasks. Key concepts include:

    • Most managers who conduct layoffs feel a mix of emotions that may catch them by surprise: sympathy, sadness, guilt, shame, anxiety, and perhaps anger.
    • Best practice for managers includes understanding yourself and recognizing your limitations. Recognize ahead of time the emotional cocktail that you will likely experience when performing a layoff, say the researchers.
    • Companies should focus not only on getting the task done and on ensuring the well-being of victims, but also on the well-being of those who perform the layoff.
    • Conduct training beforehand; have pairs or teams perform the tasks together; provide a good physical environment in a nonpublic, quiet area of the organization; and later allow those who carried out the layoffs to decompress and debrief.

    What do companies lose when they cut corporate giving?

    Corporate Social Responsibility in a Downturn

    Financial turmoil is not a reason to scale back on CSR programs—quite the opposite, says HBS professor V. Kasturi “Kash” Rangan. As a marketing scholar, Rangan is optimistic about strategic CSR efforts that provide value in communities and society. Key concepts include:

    • Companies should not cut corporate social responsibility programs across the board, but rather weed out less effective initiatives and consolidate good ones.
    • Effective programs that serve the community in a compelling way, and that also demonstrate a strong potential to influence the business, must be retained and grown.
    • Corporate social responsibility should be treated as a business discipline and practiced with the same professionalism and rigor as other aspects of a firm’s strategy.

  • Private Equity and Industry Performance

    Published: January 13, 2010
    Paper Released: December 2009
    Authors: Shai Bernstein, Josh Lerner, Morten Sørensen, and Per Strömberg

    Executive Summary:

    In response to the global financial crisis that began in 2007, governments worldwide are rethinking their approach to regulating financial institutions. Among the financial institutions that have fallen under the gaze of regulators have been private equity (PE) funds. There are many open questions regarding the economic impact of PE funds, many of which cannot be definitively answered until the aftermath of the buyout boom of the mid-2000s can be fully assessed. HBS professor Josh Lerner and coauthors address one of these open questions, by examining the impact of PE investments across 20 industries in 26 major nations between 1991 and 2007. In particular, they look at the relationship between the presence of PE investments and the growth rates of productivity, employment, and capital formation. Key concepts include:

    • It is still too early to assess the consequences of the economic conditions in 2008 and 2009, a period where the decrease of investment and absolute volume of distressed private equity-backed assets was far greater than in earlier cycles. Despite this caveat, it appears that:
    • PE investments are associated with faster growth.
    • There is little evidence that economic fluctuations are exacerbated by the presence of PE investments.
    • In industries with PE investments, there are few significant differences between industries with a low and high level of PE activity.
    • Activity in industries with PE backing appears to be no more volatile in the face of industry cycles than in other industries, and sometimes less so. The reduced volatility is particularly apparent in employment.
    • These patterns continue to hold when the focus is on the impact of private equity in continental Europe, where concerns about these investments have been most often expressed.

    Abstract

    The growth of the private equity industry has spurred concerns about its potential impact on the economy more generally. This analysis looks across nations and industries to assess the impact of private equity on industry performance. Industries where PE funds have invested in the past five years have grown more quickly in terms of productivity and employment. There are few significant differences between industries with limited and high private equity activity. It is hard to find support for claims that economic activity in industries with private equity backing is more exposed to aggregate shocks. The results using lagged private equity investments suggest that the results are not driven by reverse causality. These patterns are not driven solely by common law nations such as the United Kingdom and United States, but also hold in Continental Europe.
    40 pages.

    Paper Information

  • Mixing Open Source and Proprietary Software Strategies

    Q&A with: Gaston Llanes
    Published: January 11, 2010
    Author: Julia Hanna

    Adopting a new business model can be a strategic, game-changing play in any industry. But knowing when and how to try something new can be tricky, particularly in the constantly evolving software industry.

    The open source (OS) movement is one model—it’s going strong after nearly 30 years and still has its die-hard supporters. Meanwhile, other firms try to maximize profits by keeping a tight, proprietary hold on all intellectual property. Increasingly, however, software companies are taking a “best of both worlds” approach by creating products that use a combination of OS and proprietary software code.

    In their working paper “Mixed Source,” HBS associate professor Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and postdoctoral fellow Gaston Llanes consider scenarios in which theoretical software firms compete through different business models under a variety of conditions.

    Their findings highlight the complexities managers face in navigating an increasingly competitive industry. But if there’s no easy recipe for software firms, even in the seemingly ideal balance of mixed source, these results indicate recurring patterns and strategies that managers can take into consideration when setting the course for their own firms. A Q&A with Llanes follows.

    Julia Hanna: How did you come to be interested in this particular area of research?

    Gaston Llanes: We started to look at this topic because so many commercial firms were devoting resources to developing open source products. That sort of behavior is initially puzzling to economists because the firm is participating in the development of something that is going to be given away for free. Once you begin studying these organizations, however, you notice that one way they do profit is by selling complementary goods and services. For example, IBM sells consulting services and proprietary software that are complementary to the OS software it develops, and Sun sells complementary hardware such as servers.

    Another combination that interested us is mixed source software, where firms develop OS software while selling some part that is closed, or proprietary. That model sounds like it should work well for all companies, since it seems to represent the best of both worlds—innovation and value capture—but it’s more nuanced than that, as our paper shows. We wanted to get a clearer sense of when a profit-maximizing firm should adopt a mixed source business model and what that model might look like under different circumstances.

    Q: Can you first explain the technical details behind mixed software?

    A: Sure. In industry speak, software is composed of two modules—the core, or base, and the extensions. There’s an asymmetry between these two because the base can be used without the extensions, but to use the extensions you need the base. So, there are a few overall business models that currently exist in the software industry: proprietary, OS, or a mixed model, opening either the extensions or the base. In the software industry, the open extensions model is sometimes referred to as “open edge.”

    Q: Walk us through one of the market scenarios in your paper.

    A: In the first case, we examine a monopoly-type situation, where the firm is the only one with a product in that market segment. We find that when the value of the complementary good and user innovation is low (meaning that the technical possibilities for users to improve the software are limited), the firm will choose a mixed source model. In this instance the firm doesn’t open its core, because it has something to lose by creating a direct OS competitor. So the firm opens the extensions, because it can benefit from user innovation, but customers can’t use the OS software without purchasing the core product. It’s a relatively inexpensive way to become open—you don’t lose much. Stata, a software product used in econometrics, is a good example of this.

    In cases where values are intermediate, we find that the firm prefers to open the core product only. And when the value of the complementary good and user innovation are high in a monopoly situation, the firm will open both modules and use a pure OS model, because the quality improvement that occurs when modules are opened outweighs any potential competition.

    Q: But it’s not always a good idea to adopt an OS model.

    A: Right, it really depends on your product and the competitive landscape.
    For example, if you have an OS competitor like Apache or the Free Software Foundation, you may not want to be so open. This is an interesting point to make, because usually people think if you face competition from OS you are going to respond by becoming more open, always. But that’s not the case.

    In fact, one of the examples in our paper shows that a firm is more likely to use a proprietary business model when it faces competition from an outside OS project, particularly when the outside OS project has a base module. In that case, a combination of the outside base module and the proprietary firm’s open extensions could result in a stronger free competitor. So the firm is more likely to open substitute modules, rather than complementary ones, to the outside OS project. We do find that the firm will prefer to adopt the modules developed externally when they’re of higher value than the firm’s own modules. In that case, increased openness obviously results in greater value creation and value capture.

    Q: It seems that open source software, particularly when it’s part of the “mixed” model, is becoming more prevalent.

    A: Yes, even Microsoft has jumped on the bandwagon to some extent. It’s partnered with Novell to put some of Microsoft’s technologies on Linux and other open platforms. The Mono project consists of porting the .NET framework onto Linux, and the Moonlight project is about providing an offer of Silverlight, a Web-based digital video technology, for Linux. And in July 2009, Microsoft agreed to contribute some of its technology to Linux under a licensing agreement that allows developers outside Microsoft to modify the code. They are being very strategic, approaching it product by product.

    Q: Your paper also considers several different scenarios between two competitive, for-profit firms. Can you talk about those findings?

    A: The method we use is a two-period game where in the first period (the strategy period) business models are chosen, and in the second period (the tactics period) firms interact by making tactical pricing choices as allowed by their models. Many different things can happen in this instance, so it’s much more complex.

    We study two firms, H and L, where we assume that firm H has modules of higher quality than firm L. We find that when the external quality difference between two firms is low, one firm competes through a proprietary business model and the other opens one module, generally the extensions. As the quality difference grows, cannibalization concerns lessen, and both competitors elect to compete through the same mixed source business model.

    We also find that both firms may prefer to compete through the proprietary business model when H is the first mover, although that never happens when L is the leader—a low quality firm is more interested in competing through a mixed source business model than a high quality firm. But when the low quality firm is first to act in the market, and the higher quality firm reacts, the lower quality firm may “leapfrog” the higher quality firm. It’s a good recommendation for the low quality firms and a cautionary note for high quality firms. If a low quality firm is quick enough to act in the market, it may surpass its higher quality competitors.

    Another interesting outcome is that when user innovation between the two products is low—regardless of which firm moves first—one firm decides to use a mixed source model, while the other is proprietary. So a firm differentiates itself instead through its business model. But when the innovation and quality differential are higher in both firms, the firms tend to look more alike, choosing the same business model.

    Q: Can you give an example of a firm adapting its business model?

    A: Yes, this case actually motivated me to start working in this area. IBM was facing competition from JBoss, a growing new firm with an open source business model. In response, IBM in 2005 bought a small firm called Gluecode that sold products in the same market segment as JBoss. IBM then opened the Gluecode product and adopted a mixed source strategy as a response to the competition it faced from JBoss. It’s a good example that shows firms can adapt their business models in response to competition from other firms.

    Q: What factors should managers take into account when it comes to using, or not using, a mixed source business model?

    A: They should take into account who their competitors are and what the nature of the competition is. They should also weigh the importance of user innovation for their market and the value of their complementary good. In the case of some software products, the complementary product is very important. For instance, a server operating system is very complex and will probably require support, or at least training, if you run into problems. But if you are talking about a desktop operating system that is easier to use, the complementary good is not as valuable—it’s more difficult to use an open source model in that case because then you don’t have much to sell in the way of services.

    If anything, our research plainly shows that value creation doesn’t necessarily lead to value capture. Instead, for-profit firms should choose a business model to capture as much value as possible, taking into account the likely strategic and tactical reactions of other firms. It’s impossible to give a unique recipe for all software firms—it really depends on the industry’s configuration and the placement of your product with respect to competitors.

    Q: Your paper concludes by citing other industries where new technologies, regulatory changes, and customer demands have driven the innovation of new business models. Can you talk about that a bit?

    A: Yes, even if your company is operating in an established market, some organizations have shown that it’s possible to open up space in a crowded industry by thinking of a new way of doing business. Ryanair, IKEA, Cirque du Soleil, and Betfair (online betting) have all grown quickly through innovation in their business models.

    Q: So are mixed source business models seen as the next big innovation strategy in the software industry?

    A: This is being discussed quite a lot right now. In the past, a pure OS model was the big thing, but there were many firms that then found they had a hard time being profitable. For example, some observers say that Sun Microsystems ended up being acquired by Oracle because it was too open.

    There is definitely a lot of thinking out there about what is the right degree of openness. The conflict between more “fundamentalist” developers who believe all code should be open and those who don’t see it that way still exists. In the long run, however, it goes without saying that you can only subsist if you have enough revenue to sustain the development of the product.

    About the author

    Julia Hanna is associate editor of the HBS Alumni Bulletin.

  • Is a Stringent Climate Change Agreement a Pot of Gold?

    Published: January 6, 2010
    Author: Jim Heskett

    Entrepreneurship, as we study it, is defined by my colleague Howard Stevenson as “the pursuit of opportunity beyond the resources you currently control.” In short, managers manage assets, entrepreneurs manage opportunity. And instead of taking risk, they manage it. Further, opportunity arises out of a change in something called “context,” namely the competitive environment, whether it is due to legal, social, regulatory, or other kinds of change. For example, the rise of hackers changed the “context” in which information was communicated, providing an opportunity for entrepreneurs to create an Internet security industry. Let’s apply this thinking to the recently reinitiated global conversation about climate change. If one subscribes to precepts of entrepreneurial management, there should be a pot of gold at the end of a climate change agreement rainbow, regardless of how one feels about global warming or its causes.

    Carrying the hypothesis one step further, to the extent that climate change agreements change the rules governing national policies and actions (the “context”), they should represent opportunity. In fact, the more stringent the rules, the greater the entrepreneurial opportunity, a lesson from which U.S. automakers could have benefitted years ago. This should be the case at least up to the point at which shorter term costs become greater than industry or society can bear. Anything up to that point would be a net advantage, at least to some industries or nations.

    Who would benefit most from stringent guidelines? Presumably, countries that spend the biggest proportion of their gross domestic product on new ideas, those whose stream of patents is greatest, and those in which the atmosphere for entrepreneurs is most favorable (in terms of venture capital financing, a socially positive attitude toward entrepreneurship and the failure that it often entails, and a market for new ideas). If that’s the case, countries that should be at the forefront in advocating more stringent rules regarding global warming should be countries like the U.S., China, and Israel. India, on the other hand, is not well positioned to take advantage of the opportunity, as pointed out recently by Vikas Bajaj.

    The problem is that one can’t be sure whether or not climate change agreements are enforceable. But should that matter as long as people believe in the need for action? That is, in this case, does belief in the need to create the rainbow help insure that the pot of gold is in fact there and is attainable? The question for entrepreneurs, of course, is whether the level of uncertainty argues against starting the journey toward that pot of gold.

    How strongly should venture capitalists around the world get behind climate change agreements? Should governments with highly-favorable environments for entrepreneurship, such as the U.S. and China, push even more strongly for stringent rules or guidelines? Should they go so far as to provide venture capital funding (through some form of sovereign fund) to those economies that are short of it? Is a climate change agreement a pot of gold or only the rainbow? Does it matter? What do you think?

    To read more:

    Vikas Bajaj, “In India, a Developing Case of Innovation Envy,” The New York Times, December 9, 2009, pp. B1 and B7.

    Howard Stevenson, “The Heart of Entrepreneurship,” Harvard Business Review, March-April, 1985, pp. 85-94.

  • Best of HBS Working Knowledge 2009

    Published: January 4, 2010
    Author: Staff

    What were the management trends in 2009? Fascination with social networking and rethinking common wisdom about goal setting. Here are the Top 10 articles and Top 5 working papers that appeared in HBS Working Knowledge in 2009. Enjoy!

    TOP 10 ARTICLES OF 2009

    1. Understanding Users of Social Networks
      Many business leaders are mystified about how to reach potential customers on social networks such as Facebook. HBS professor Mikolaj Jan Piskorski provides a fresh look into the interpersonal dynamics of these sites and offers guidance for approaching these tantalizing markets.
    2. Social Network Marketing: What Works?
      Purchase decisions are influenced differently in social networks than in the brick-and-mortar world, says Harvard Business School professor Sunil Gupta. The key: Marketers should tap into the networking aspect of sites such as Facebook.
    3. Uncompromising Leadership in Tough Times
      As companies batten down the hatches, we need leaders who don’t compromise on standards and values that are essential in flush times. Fortunately, such leaders do exist. Their insights can help other organizations weather the current crisis, says HBS professor emeritus Michael Beer. Q&A.
    4. Sharpening Your Skills: Managing Teams
      The ability to lead teams is fast becoming a critical skill for all managers in the 21st century. Here are four HBS Working Knowledge stories from the archives that address everything from how teams learn to turning individual performers into team players. Questions asked include: How does a team leader win the confidence of the group? What’s the best method for developing team goals? How can individual performers be developed into team players? How do teams learn?
    5. When Goal Setting Goes Bad
      If you ever wondered about the real value of goal setting in your organization, join the club. Despite the mantra that goals are good, the process of setting beneficial goals is harder than it looks. New research by HBS professor Max H. Bazerman and colleagues explores the hidden cost when stretch goals are misguided. Q&A.
    6. Sharpening Your Skills: Career & Life Balance
      Achieving a life that balances the pleasures and demands of work and life has never been easy. Here are four HBS Working Knowledge stories from the vault that address everything from spirituality in leadership to understanding when “just enough” is truly enough. Questions asked and answered include: How do I get past a feeling of being stuck in life or work? Can I resist the temptations of success? Am I working too hard? Is there room for spirituality at the office?
    7. 10 Reasons to Design a Better Corporate Culture
      Organizations with strong, adaptive cultures enjoy labor cost advantages, great employee and customer loyalty, and a smoother on-ramp in leadership succession. A book excerpt from The Ownership Quotient: Putting the Service Profit Chain to Work for Unbeatable Competitive Advantage by HBS professor emeritus James L. Heskett, professor W. Earl Sasser, and Joe Wheeler.
    8. Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Over-Prescribing Goal Setting (Working Paper)
      A working paper made the Top 10! For decades, goal setting has been promoted as a halcyon pill for improving employee motivation and performance in organizations. Advocates of goal setting argue that for goals to be successful, they should be specific and challenging, and countless studies find that specific, challenging goals motivate performance far better than “do your best” exhortations. Lisa D. Ordóñez, Maurice E. Schweitzer, Adam D. Galinsky, and HBS professor Max H. Bazerman argue that it is often these same characteristics of goals that cause them to “go wild.”
    9. High Commitment, High Performance Management
      High commitment, high performance organizations such as Southwest Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, McKinsey, and Toyota effectively manage three paradoxical goals, says HBS professor emeritus Michael Beer. His new book explains what all companies can learn. Q&A.
    10. Can Entrepreneurs Drive ‘People Movers’ to Success?
      Call them next-generation driverless taxis or people movers, the age of personal rapid transport is just around the bend. Could PRT change the face of public transportation in cities and smaller communities? HBS professor Benjamin G. Edelman weighs the benefits and opportunities for entrepreneurs and for society. “Right now, the field is wide open,” he says.

    TOP 5 WORKING PAPERS OF 2009

    1. Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Over-Prescribing Goal Setting
      Download the PDF. For decades, goal setting has been promoted as a halcyon pill for improving employee motivation and performance in organizations. Advocates of goal setting argue that for goals to be successful, they should be specific and challenging, and countless studies find that specific, challenging goals motivate performance far better than “do your best” exhortations. Lisa D. Ordóñez, Maurice E. Schweitzer, Adam D. Galinsky, and HBS professor Max H. Bazerman argue that it is often these same characteristics of goals that cause them to “go wild.” Key concepts include:

      • The harmful side effects of goal setting are far more serious and systematic than prior work has acknowledged.
      • Goal setting harms organizations in systematic and predictable ways.
      • The use of goal setting can degrade employee performance, shift focus away from important but non-specified goals, harm interpersonal relationships, corrode organizational culture, and motivate risky and unethical behaviors.
    2. Do Friends Influence Purchases in a Social Network?
      Download the PDF. In spite of the cultural and social revolution in the rise of social networking sites such as Facebook and MySpace (and in South Korea, Cyworld), the business viability of these sites remains in question. While many sites are attempting to follow Google and generate revenues from advertising, will advertising be effective? If friends influence the purchases of a user in a social network, it could potentially be a significant source of revenue for the sites and their corporate sponsors. Using a unique data set from Cyworld, Raghuram Iyengar, Sangman Han, and HBS professor Sunil Gupta empirically assess if friends indeed influence purchases. The answer: It depends. Findings are relevant for social networking sites and large advertisers. Key concepts include:

      • There is a significant and positive impact of friends’ purchases on the purchase probability of a user.
      • However, there are significant differences across users. Specifically, this social effect is zero for 48 percent of the users, negative for 12 percent of the users, and positive for 40 percent of the users.
      • “Moderately connected” users exhibit “keeping up with the Joneses” behavior. On average, this social influence translates into a 5 percent increase in revenues.
      • Highly connected users tend to reduce their purchases of items when they see their friends buying them. This negative social effect reduces the revenue for this group by more than 14 percent. This finding is consistent with the typical fashion cycle wherein opinion leaders or the elite in the fashion industry tend to abandon one type of fashion and adopt the next in order to differentiate themselves from the masses.
    3. ‘I read Playboy for the articles’: Justifying and Rationalizing Questionable Preferences
      Download the PDF. We want others to find us good, fair, responsible, and logical; and we place even more importance on thinking of ourselves this way. Therefore, when people behave in ways that might appear selfish, prejudiced, or perverted, they tend to engage a host of strategies designed to justify questionable behavior with rational excuses: “I hired my son because he’s more qualified.” “I promoted Ashley because she does a better job than Aisha.” Or, “I read Playboy for the articles.” In this chapter from a forthcoming book, HBS doctoral student Zoë Chance and professor Michael I. Norton describe various means of coping with one’s own questionable behavior: through preemptive actions and concurrent strategies for reframing uncomfortable situations, forgoing decisions, and forgetting those decisions altogether. Key concepts include:

      • Because people do not want to be perceived as (or feel) unethical or immoral, they make excuses for their shameful behavior—even to themselves.
      • People cope with their own questionable actions in a number of ways, from forgoing certain experiences to rationalizing, justifying, and forgetting-a remarkable range of strategies allowing them to maintain a clear conscience even under dubious circumstances.
    4. Corporate Social Entrepreneurship
      Download the PDF. Accelerated organizational transformation faces a host of obstacles well-documented in the change management literature, according to HBS professor emeritus James E. Austin and Ezequiel Reficco. Because corporate social entrepreneurship (CSE) expands the core purpose of corporations and their organizational values, it constitutes fundamental change that can be particularly threatening and resisted. Furthermore, it pushes the corporation’s actions more broadly and deeply into the area of social value creation where the firm’s experiences and skill sets are less developed. The disruptive social innovations intrinsic to the CSE approach amplify this zone of discomfort. Fortunately, the experiences of innovative companies such as Timberland and Starbucks show how these challenges may be overcome. Key concepts include:

      • Values-based leadership, the synergistic generation of social and economic value, and strategic cross-sector alliances are key ingredients to achieving a sustainably successful business.
      • For companies to move their corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities to the next level, they need to rethink their current approaches to CSR, tapping into the creativity of each individual.
    5. The Devil Wears Prada? Effects of Exposure to Luxury Goods on Cognition and Decision Making
      Download the PDF. Gandhi once wrote that “a certain degree of physical harmony and comfort is necessary, but above a certain level it becomes a hindrance instead of a help.” This observation raises interesting questions for psychologists regarding the effects of luxury. What psychological consequences do luxury goods have on people? In this paper, the authors argue that luxury goods can activate the concept of self-interest and affect subsequent cognition. The argument involves two key premises: Luxury is intrinsically linked to self-interest, and exposure to luxury can activate related mental representations affecting cognition and decision-making. HBS professor Roy Y.J. Chua and Xi Zou show that exposure to luxury led people to think more about themselves than others. Key concepts include:

      • Luxury does not necessarily induce people to be “nasty” toward others but rather causes them to be less concerned about or considerate toward others.
      • Exposure to luxury goods may activate a social norm that it is appropriate to pursue interests beyond a basic comfort level, even at the expense of others. It may be this activated social norm that affects people’s judgment and decision-making.
      • Alternatively, exposure to luxury may directly increase people’s personal desire, causing them to focus on their own benefits such as prioritizing profits over social responsibilities.
  • The Global Networks of Multinational Firms

    Published: December 23, 2009
    Paper Released: December 2009
    Authors: Laura Alfaro and Maggie Chen

    Executive Summary:

    When and why do multinationals group together overseas? Do they agglomerate in the same fashion abroad as they do at home? An answer to these questions is central to the long-standing debate over the consequences of foreign direct investment (FDI). It is critical to understand interdependencies of multinational networks and how multinationals influence one another in their activities at home and overseas. HBS professor Laura Alfaro and George Washington University professor Maggie Chen examine the global network of multinationals and study the significance and causes of multinational agglomeration. Their results provide further evidence of the increasing separation of headquarters services and production activities within multinational firms. The differential specialization of headquarters and subsidiaries leads to distinct patterns of agglomeration. Key concepts include:

    • Recent decades have witnessed an explosion in the activities of multinational corporations, but little is understood about global patterns of multinational agglomeration.
    • Examples of this trend include firms that agglomerated in Silicon Valley and in Detroit now having subsidiaries clustered in Bangalore (termed “the Silicon Valley of India”) and in Slovakia (“the Detroit of the East”).
    • A new data set provides detailed location, ownership, and activity information for establishments in more than 100 countries.
    • Multinational subsidiaries with knowledge spillovers, among other factors, tend to agglomerate to one another. The importance of these agglomeration economies is, however, different across headquarters, subsidiary, and employment networks.
    • Many factors play a role in the location decisions of firms, so it may not be possible for a country to duplicate the circumstances that led to agglomeration in other nations.
    • Policymakers need to consider the interdependence of multinational firms when making decisions about FDI.

    Abstract

    In this paper we characterize the topology of global multinational networks and examine the macro and micro patterns of multinational activity. We construct indices of network density at both pairwise industry and establishment level and measure agglomeration in a global and continuous metric space. These indices exhibit distinct advantages compared to traditional measures of agglomeration including the independence on the level of geographic aggregation. Estimating the indices using a new worldwide establishment dataset, we investigate both the significance and causes of multinational firm co-agglomeration. In contrast to the conventional emphasis of the literature on the role of input-output linkages, we assess the effect of various agglomeration economies. We find that, relative to counterfactuals, multinationals with greater factor-market externalities, knowledge spillovers, and vertical linkages exhibit significant co-agglomeration. The importance of these factors differs across headquarters, subsidiary, and employment networks, but knowledge spillovers and capital-market externalities, two traditionally under-emphasized forces, exert consistently strong effects. Within each macro network, there is a large heterogeneity across subsidiaries. Subsidiaries with greater size and higher productivity attract significantly more agglomeration than their counterfactuals and become the hubs of the network. 59 pages.

    Paper Information

  • First Look: Dec. 22

    Research this week leans towards defying expectations. Common wisdom, for example, might suggest that a CEO who has risen through the ranks of her company would favor her former divisions in budget choices, as opposed to divisions in which she has little to no experience. Instead, “reverse-favoritism” seems the order of the day, according to HBS professor Yuhai Xuan. Writing in the December issue of the Review of Financial Studies, Xuan found that “after CEO turnover, divisions not previously affiliated with the new CEO receive significantly more capital expenditures than divisions through which the new CEO has advanced. […] The results suggest that new specialist CEOs use the capital budget as a bridge-building tool to elicit cooperation from powerful division managers in previously unaffiliated divisions.” Xuan’s article is titled “Empire-Building or Bridge-Building? Evidence from New CEOs’ Internal Capital Allocation Decisions.”

    This week also sees a comprehensive look at how and why multinationals vary in size from country to country. Contrary to popular expectations, “corporate headquarters in the U.S. are about twice the size of European counterparts,” HBS professor David Collis and coauthors write in the working paper “International Differences in the Size and Roles of Corporate Headquarters: An Empirical Examination” [PDF]. Whether your own HQ is bloated or lean ‘n’ mean, there is as yet no perfect model for headquarters size, the paper continues. “The size and role of corporate headquarters vary widely both between countries and within countries.[…] [T]here is more variation within each country than there is between countries,” the authors observe.

    — Martha Lagace

    Working Papers

    International Differences in the Size and Roles of Corporate Headquarters: An Empirical Examination

    Authors: David Collis, David Young, and Michael Goold
    Abstract

    This paper examines differences in the size and roles of corporate headquarters around the world. Based on a survey of over 600 multibusiness corporations in seven countries (France, Germany, Holland, U.K., Japan, U.S., and Chile), the paper describes the differences among countries and then applies a model of the factors determining the size of corporate headquarters (Young, Collis, and Goold, 2003) to systematically examine those differences. The data shows that there are significant differences among countries in the size and role of corporate headquarters and strongly suggests the existence of a developing country model, a European model, a U.S. model, and a Japanese model of corporate headquarters. Contrary to popular expectations, corporate headquarters in the U.S. are about twice the size of European counterparts. Headquarters there exert a higher level of functional influence and have larger staffs in certain key areas, such as IT and R&D. U.S. managers are generally more satisfied than their European counterparts with their larger more powerful headquarters, which suggests that, at least in the U.S. context, large corporate headquarters can create value.

    Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-044.pdf

    Publications

    Intra-Industry Foreign Direct Investment

    Authors: Laura Alfaro and Andrew Charlton
    Publication: American Economic Review 99, no. 5 (December 2009)
    Abstract

    We use a new firm-level dataset that establishes the location, ownership, and activity of 650,000 multinational subsidiaries. Using a combination of four-digit-level information and input-output tables, we find the share of vertical FDI (subsidiaries that provide inputs to their parent firms) to be larger than commonly thought, even within developed countries. Most subsidiaries are not readily explained by the comparative advantage considerations whereby multinationals locate activities abroad to take advantage of factor cost differences. Instead, multinationals tend to own the stages of production proximate to their final production, giving rise to a class of high-skill, intra-industry vertical FDI.

    Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability: A New Approach

    Authors: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie
    Publication: In Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies. Central Bank of Chile, forthcoming
    Abstract

    This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of individual banks by managers, investors, and regulators. The basic analytical tool is the risk-adjusted balance sheet, which shows the sensitivity of the enterprise’s assets and liabilities to external “shocks.” At the national level, the sectors of an economy are viewed as interconnected portfolios of assets, liabilities, and guarantees—some explicit and others implicit. Traditional approaches have difficulty analyzing how risks can accumulate gradually and then suddenly erupt in a full-blown crisis. The CCA approach is well-suited to capturing such “non-linearities” and to quantifying the effects of asset-liability mismatches within and across institutions. Risk adjusted CCA balance sheets facilitate simulations and stress testing to evaluate the potential impact of policies to manage systemic risk.

    Unravelling in Two-Sided Matching Markets and Similarity of Preferences

    Author: Hanna W. Halaburda
    Publication: Games and Economic Behavior (forthcoming)
    Abstract

    This paper investigates the causes and welfare consequences of unravelling in two-sided matching markets. It shows that similarity of preferences is an important factor driving unravelling. In particular, it shows that under the ex-post stable mechanism (the mechanism that the literature focuses on), unravelling is more likely to occur when participants have more similar preferences. It also shows that any Pareto-optimal mechanism must prevent unravelling, and that the ex-post stable mechanism is Pareto-optimal if and only if it prevents unravelling.

    Empire-Building or Bridge-Building? Evidence from New CEOs’ Internal Capital Allocation Decisions

    Author: Yuhai Xuan
    Publication: Review of Financial Studies 22, no. 12 (December 2009): 4919-
    Abstract

    This paper investigates how the job histories of CEOs influence their capital allocation decisions when they preside over multi-divisional firms. I find that after CEO turnover, divisions not previously affiliated with the new CEO receive significantly more capital expenditures than divisions through which the new CEO has advanced. The pattern of reverse-favoritism in capital allocation is more pronounced if the new CEO has less authority or if the unaffiliated divisions have more bargaining power. I find evidence that having a specialist CEO negatively affects segment investment efficiency. The results suggest that new specialist CEOs use the capital budget as a bridge-building tool to elicit cooperation from powerful divisional managers in previously unaffiliated divisions.

    Cases & Course Materials

    Finance Myopia in a Systems Business

    J. Bruce Harreld
    Harvard Business School Case 810-071

    This short case describes the tensions that often arise between finance executives attempting to curtail unproductive activities and strategy executives trying to optimize overall firm performance.

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/810071-PDF-ENG

    Memo from Counsel: Antitrust Law and Customer Allocation

    Lynn S. Paine and Lara Adamsons
    Harvard Business School Note 310-048

    When do antitrust laws come into play in a bidding situation? What should a company do if an antitrust violation is uncovered? This memo discusses “hard-core” antitrust violations, focusing on bid rigging and market allocation, under the laws of the U.S. and other leading antitrust regimes.

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310048-PDF-ENG

    Nettwerk: Digital Marketing in the Music Industry

    John Deighton and Leora Kornfeld
    Harvard Business School Case 510-055

    How is music marketed in the digital era? Nettwerk Music Group built on its foundation as a social, grassroots marketer of music and artists and emerged as a leader in the Internet-enabled social media environment. For most of the past decade Nettwerk CEO Terry McBride let fans consume music on their own terms. He encouraged file-sharing, the remixing of his artists’ songs and videos, and an environment in which “the audience is the record company.” In the digital marketplace compact discs mattered much less, said McBride. “Digital assets” were the currency, in the form of ad, television, movie, and videogame song placement, ringtones, mixes, and community-created content. But new artist-label contracts were needed if digital assets were going to flow freely. Moving away from the infrastructure of the music business also meant having to do without the financial, logistical, and promotional power of the major labels. To provide an alternative to the muscle of the major labels, the company is launching a venture capital project called “Polyphonic.”

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/510055-PDF-ENG

    Stolt-Nielsen Transportation Group

    Lynn S. Paine and Lara Adamsons
    Harvard Business School Case 310-043

    Richard Wingfield considers whether to continue a cooperative agreement with industry peers in the deep-sea parcel tanker shipping industry. What are the economic and strategic implications of ending the agreement? What are the legal implications of continuing? Where is the line between cooperation and conspiracy, and what should a company do if the legality of a long-standing business practice comes into question?

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310043-PDF-ENG

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310044-PDF-ENG

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310045-PDF-ENG

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310046-PDF-ENG

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310047-PDF-ENG

    VF Brands: Global Supply Chain Strategy

    Gary P. Pisano and Pamela Adams
    Harvard Business School Case 610-022

    This case examines VF Brands global supply chain strategy. Historically, VF has used a combination of in-house manufacturing and traditional arms-length sourcing arrangements. At the time of the case, the company is considering a third approach to supplier relations that involves much closer cooperation and partnerships. The goal of this “third way” approach is to create a sourcing relationship that combines some of the virtues of vertical integration with the flexibility of sourcing. Such arrangements are increasingly discussed in the operations literature and in practice. This case provides students an opportunity to do an in-depth analysis of such an arrangement and develop an understanding of the trade-offs involved.

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    http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/610022-PDF-ENG