Author: Manchester Planner

  • Come on you Blues!

    A thread for Royal Navy news, comment and rumour in the run-up to the Strategic Defence Review!

    Come on you Blues!! 😆

    Just out…

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/ja…ding-army-navy

    UK military chiefs clash over future defence strategy
    First Sea Lord defends navy and insists Britain must keep ‘hard power’

    The battle over the future shape of Britain’s armed forces will spill into the public domain tomorrow when the First Sea Lord launches a forceful defence of the Royal Navy in a bid to protect it from swingeing spending cuts.

    In a direct riposte to claims today by the head of the army that Britain has put too much emphasis on "hugely expensive equipment", Admiral Sir Mark Stanhope will say that the UK’s influence and commercial interests depend on a fleet that can operate worldwide with full capabilities "including high-intensity warfare".

    He will argue that the armed forces need to fight and win wars with "hard power".

    "We must look beyond Afghanistan … we must be prepared for surprises and strategic shocks. The Falklands war was such an event. It came in from left-field."

    His intervention comes a day after General Sir David Richards delivered a speech in which he painted a very different picture of Britain’s defence needs, arguing it was not only a question of shifting emphasis from the navy and RAF towards the army, but recognising future conflicts will differ from past ones.

    His comments reflect concern over the way the military deals with unconventional attacks, and came as the Taliban launched an audacious guerrilla offensive in Kabul, setting off explosions and exchanging gunfire with security forces near luxury hotels and the presidential palace. Twenty fighters took part in the assault and at least six people died.

    Richards said: "We will be involved in a different type of conflict in the 21st century. Conflict today, especially because so much of it is effectively fought through the medium of the communications revolution, is principally about and for people – hearts and minds on a mass scale.

    "Defence must respond to the new strategic, and indeed economic, environment by ensuring much more ruthlessly that our armed forces are appropriate and relevant to the context in which they will operate rather than the one they might have expected to fight in in previous eras," Richards told the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

    In a thinly disguised attack on the number of fast jets in the RAF and weapons platforms being ordered for the navy, he said "too much emphasis is still placed on … hugely expensive equipment".

    "Hi-tech weapons platforms are not a good way to help stabilise tottering states – nor might their cost leave us any money to help in any other way – any more than they impress opponents equipped with weapons costing a fraction," he said.

    "We have traditionally viewed state-on-state conflict through the prism of putative tank battles on the German plains or deep strike air attacks against strategic sites."

    Presenting a list of equipment most needed by the army – and not as expensive as those in the RAF or navy inventory – Richards said: "Operating among, understanding and effectively influencing people to gain their support and trust requires mass – numbers – whether this is ‘boots on the ground’ …and high-speed littoral warships, or UAVs, [unmanned drones] transport aircraft, and helicopters."

    He added: "We can’t afford to continue as we are, so must take a risk against capabilities that are more relevant to ‘traditional’ 20th century conflict."

    Stanhope will challenge this view. He will say that Britain’s defence is "intimately tied to Britain’s wider position of influence in the world … It is far more than an insurance against future crisis."

    He will say the navy "contributes significantly to the overall business of defence across the globe, and to fully understand the full scope of this business we need to assess in strategic terms how we use it and the other services for the overall benefit of the taxpayer," according to an advance text of his speech seen by the Guardian.

    Navy chiefs are concerned that some of their projects, including two new aircraft carriers, US fighters to put on them, and the replacement Trident submarine nuclear missile system will be victims of cuts in the post-election defence review promised by all parties.

    The different emphasis placed by the heads of the army and the navy is striking. Stanhope dwells on the need for "hard power" and what he called "persistent military activity" – including decades of patrolling the Gulf – as well as the need to "ensure that we are ready to respond at short notice to the unexpected but not unforeseen".

    But Richards said last night: "We must put much more emphasis on preventing conflict, on ensuring fragile states do not become the Afghanistan of tomorrow. Our opponents are agile and unconventional, experts at exploiting asymmetric advantage."

  • Fifth of Armed Forces Doomed

    Defence cuts ‘will shrink UK armed forces’

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8455754.stm

    The British armed forces could be forced to shrink by up to a fifth because of a lack of money, a military think tank has predicted.

    The Royal United Services Institute said the number of trained military personnel could fall from 175,000 to little more than 140,000 by 2016.

    Its report said the cost of troops and equipment was rising, and major cuts were "inevitable".

    The Ministry of Defence said budgets would not be cut at all next year.

    The report’s author, defence expert Professor Malcolm Chalmers, warned hard choices lay ahead and efficiency savings would not be enough to put Britain’s defences on a sustainable footing.

    He said even being "cautiously optimistic", intense pressure on government finances meant the MoD’s budget was likely to fall by 11% in real terms by 2017.

    And he said a much deeper reduction of about 15% over the next three years could not be ruled out.

    Professor Chalmers warned the problem would be made worse because the costs of employing troops and civilian personnel have been rising in real terms, as has buying and running equipment.

    Cuts to the available budget combined with growing costs meant the next six years were likely to see a reduction of about 20% in the number of service personnel, the report said.

    Military capabilities in terms of ships, aircraft and ground formations would also be reduced by a similar amount.

    Professor Chalmers indicated that major cuts would be inevitable whichever party was in power later this year.

    He said there would be a strong temptation for a new government to postpone making tough, potentially unpopular choices, perhaps by only looking a few years ahead, rather than a whole decade, when reviewing defence.

    He warned ministers would face the choice between suffering the "political pain" of defence cuts all at once, or in "successive small doses".

    Professor Chalmers told the BBC: "Defence is something you have to plan on a long-term basis, and it’s much better to plan it long-term than year to year because the implications of that is more and more waste and inefficiency.

    "Given the fact that we all know there is going to be a severe squeeze in the overall government budget, unless defence is ring-fenced it will face cuts of the sort of magnitude we’re talking about."

    Former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell said spending cuts would be painful.

    "One thing is certain, there has to be a review because the present arrangements have resulted in very considerable overstretch, procurement has had a pretty shabby history in truth," he said.

    "And against the background of the general economic situation there’s a very strong argument that says we should be protecting frontline services in health and education, and defence has to take its share of the damage."

    The institute’s predictions come ahead of defence minister Bill Rammell’s keynote speech on the future of the armed forces.

    He is expected to focus on "the impact of modern society on defence" such as the Freedom of Information Act and 24-hour news.

    Responding to the report, an MoD spokesman said it welcomed the RUSI’s contribution to the debate, and said "like all departments, the Ministry of Defence is facing challenging financial circumstances".

    "We routinely review spending to ensure we focus on Afghanistan and live within our means," he added.

    The MoD said the chancellor had already said not a penny would be cut from the defence budget next year – but it was not possible to give a meaningful assessment beyond 2011 as future spending plans had not been set.

    The Conservatives and Labour have said they will hold strategic defence reviews after the general election. The last was held in 1998.