{"id":105341,"date":"2009-12-21T18:08:05","date_gmt":"2009-12-21T23:08:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2009-12-21-why-the-copenhagen-accord-boosts-the-odds-for-senate-passage\/"},"modified":"2009-12-21T18:08:05","modified_gmt":"2009-12-21T23:08:05","slug":"why-the-copenhagen-accord-boosts-the-odds-for-senate-passage-of-bipartisan-climate-legislation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/105341","title":{"rendered":"Why the Copenhagen Accord boosts the odds for Senate passage of bipartisan climate legislation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tby Daniel J. Weiss <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.grist.org\/topic\/copenhagen-climate-talks\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The 15th United Nations climate summit has just ended in<br \/>Copenhagen after a tense two weeks of negotiations between the<br \/>developed and developing world. An &#8220;environmental Woodstock&#8221; to some,<br \/>a high stakes diplomatic showdown to others, the meeting led to some <a href=\"http:\/\/climateprogress.org\/2009\/12\/19\/nwfs-jeremy-symons-on-the-copenhagen-accord\/\">critical but incomplete agreements<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Now that it&#8217;s over, the world&#8217;s attention will focus on the United<br \/>States Senate as it plans to consider clean energy and global warming<br \/>legislation in 2010. The newly inked Copenhagen Accord, along with<br \/>other factors, increases the odds for Senate passage of clean energy<br \/>jobs and global warming legislation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/climateprogress.org\/2009\/12\/19\/obama-hits-the-reset-button-on-the-foundations-of-international-climate-agreements\/\">Copenhagen Accord should form the basis for future negotiations<\/a> that hope to culminate in an international agreement to reduce global<br \/>warming pollution in levels sufficient enough to prevent a 2 degree C (3.6 F) warming. The Accord should also contribute<br \/>to passage of a Senate clean energy and global warming bill. The<br \/>Accord includes two provisions that address some undecided senators&#8217;<br \/>concerns about pollution reductions from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/11\/27\/science\/earth\/27climate.html?scp=4&amp;sq=India+global+warming&amp;st=nyt\">China<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/12\/04\/world\/asia\/04india.html?scp=8&amp;sq=India+global+warming&amp;st=nyt\">India<\/a>.<br \/>In advance of the summit, these two nations made their first commitment<br \/>to reduce the rate of pollution compared to their economies.<br \/>Obviously, these two emerging economic powers could do more to reduce<br \/>the rapidly rising emissions, but these levels of reductions are a good<br \/>start.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The Accord also includes an agreement by China and other developing countries to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/imagepages\/2009\/12\/19\/science\/earth\/19climateGraphicB.html\">report on their voluntary actions to reduce pollution<\/a>. These reports would be subject to &#8220;international consultations and<br \/>analysis,&#8221; which would provide more certainty about whether developing<br \/>nations are fulfilling their voluntary pledges to reduce their<br \/>pollution rates. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/12\/19\/science\/earth\/19climate.html?scp=6&amp;sq=John%20Broder&amp;st=cse\">President Obama<\/a> secured this big concession from China, which is notable due to its notoriously opaque government.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Although the Accord is not yet binding, this agreement should quell<br \/>some senators&#8217; uncertainty about China, India, and other developing<br \/>nations&#8217; level and transparency of pollution reductions. These<br \/>concerns have been a major reason that some senators from Midwestern<br \/>states were reluctant to support domestic global warming legislation. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/12\/19\/science\/earth\/19climate.html?scp=2&amp;sq=John+Kerry+Global+Warming&amp;st=nyt\">Sen. John Kerry<\/a> (D-Mass.), sponsor of the Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act, noted<br \/>that the Accord &#8220;sets the stage for a final deal and for Senate passage<br \/>this spring of major legislation at home.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>In the wake of the Copenhagen Accord, there are several other<br \/>factors that should also provide impetuous for clean energy legislation<br \/>in 2010. Establishment of a global warming pollution reduction program<br \/>would be a boost to the depressed economy. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/05\/01\/opinion\/01krugman.html?_r=3&amp;adxnnl=1&amp;ref=opinion&amp;adxnnlx=12\">Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman<\/a> noted that such legislation would have the &#8220;same economic effects as a<br \/>major technological innovation: It would give businesses a reason to<br \/>invest in new equipment and facilities &#8230; And given the current state of<br \/>the economy, that&#8217;s just what the doctor ordered.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.grist.org\/member\/email-subscriptions\/\"><\/a>In 2010, President Obama&#8217;s number one priority will be lifting the<br \/>unemployment woes that began before he took office. Since the first<br \/>days of his administration, an important element of his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/the_press_office\/Remarks-by-the-President-and-Vice-President-at-Signing-of-the-American-Recovery-an\">economic recovery plans included the transition to a clean energy economy<\/a>. Vice President <a href=\"http:\/\/climateprogress.org\/2009\/12\/15\/vp-biden-nearly-900000-new-clean-energy-jobs-thanks-to-recovery-act\/\">Joe Biden estimates<\/a> that the clean energy programs in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act would create nearly 900,000 jobs. On Dec. 9, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/the-press-office\/statement-president-after-bipartisan-leadership-meeting-jobs\">President Obama proposed a program to create jobs via incentives for residential building energy efficiency retrofits<\/a>. He will continue to advocate clean energy legislation to restore<br \/>American energy competitiveness, which was ceded to China and Germany<br \/>due to disregard for clean energy technologies under President George<br \/>W. Bush Clean. And energy legislation should be a prominent part of the 2010<br \/>effort to create more jobs and restore American competitiveness.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>As nations&#8217; economies recover, their demand for oil will recover and oil prices will rise.&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.doe.gov\/neic\/speeches\/newell121409.pdf\">The Energy Information Administration &#8220;Annual Energy Outlook 2010&#8221;<\/a> predicts that oil prices will rise from $75 per barrel in 2010 to $100<br \/>per barrel in 2015.&nbsp; This prediction may be very conservative.&nbsp; Noted<br \/>oilman <a href=\"http:\/\/247wallst.com\/2009\/10\/06\/t-boone-pickens-outlines-2010-oil-price-targets-clne\/\">T. Boone Pickens<\/a> predicted in October that consumers may face &#8220;$90 before the end of<br \/>2010.&#8221;&nbsp; Higher oil prices should increase the imperative to adopt<br \/>comprehensive clean energy legislation that would reduce oil use and<br \/>increase American energy independence.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>On Dec. 15, the Environmental Protection Action issued the long awaited &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.eenews.net\/features\/documents\/2009\/12\/15\/document_gw_02.pdf\">endangerment finding<\/a>&#8221;<br \/>under the Clean Air Act that says greenhouse gas pollution threatens public<br \/>health. This finding comes two and half years after the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/04\/03\/washington\/03scotus.html?scp=1&amp;sq=Massachusetts%20v.%20EPA&amp;st=cse\">Supreme Court ruled in Massachusetts v. EPA<\/a> that the agency has the obligation to assess whether greenhouse gases<br \/>endanger public health, and if so, to take steps to reduce this<br \/>pollution. The endangerment finding is the first step before EPA can<br \/>set limits on pollution from major (25,000 tons of carbon dioxide<br \/>annually) emitters. In March, EPA expects to issue limits on<br \/>greenhouse gases from cars, with limits for other industries to follow.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/yosemite.epa.gov\/opa\/admpress.nsf\/d0cf6618525a9efb85257359003fb69d\/08d11a451131bca585257685005bf252%21OpenDocument\">President Obama, EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson<\/a>,<br \/>and many in Congress believe that Congress, and not EPA, should set<br \/>greenhouse gas pollution limits. Legislation can include other<br \/>policies that would reduce pollution&#8212;such as incentives for renewable<br \/>electricity or energy efficiency&#8212;that EPA lacks the authority to<br \/>implement. In addition, Congress can design a pollution reduction<br \/>system that provides a relatively smooth economic transition for<br \/>consumers and workers. EPA&#8217;s authority to set pollution limits for<br \/>major polluters is a sword of Damocles hanging over the Senate should<br \/>it fail to act.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/murkowski.senate.gov\/public\/index.cfm?p=PressReleases&amp;ContentRecord_id=59d17e52-e3eb-4dc0-9598-93f37eaf95e0&amp;ContentType_id=b94acc28-404a-4fc6-b143-a9e15bf92da4&amp;Group_id=c01df158-d935-4d7a-895d-f694ddf41624&amp;MonthDisplay=12&amp;YearDisplay=2009\"> Sen. Lisa Murkowski<\/a> (R-Ark.) and other opponents of global warming solutions would like to<br \/>block EPA&#8217;s ability to set pollution limits. She has introduced a<br \/>resolution to invoke the Congressional Review Act that would stop EPA<br \/>from enforcing the law as ordered by the Supreme Court. To succeed,<br \/>her resolution must pass the Senate and House, and President Obama must<br \/>sign it too, or Congress must override his veto with a two-thirds vote<br \/>in each body. Given this procedure, the prospects for Murkowski&#8217;s<br \/>success are small. This means that Congress must act to cut greenhouse<br \/>pollution or EPA will despite administration and legislative preference<br \/>for Congressional action.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Final passage of health care reform should also provide a boost to<br \/>clean energy legislation. Health care reform has dominated Senate<br \/>attention for the past six months. Completion of the reform bill<br \/>should free up the &#8220;band width&#8221; necessary to address clean energy<br \/>legislation. Health care success would also demonstrate that Congress<br \/>is capable of addressing big pressing challenges. Success should also<br \/>replenish President Obama&#8217;s political capital that he expended to pass<br \/>health care. He will need to invest this capital to achieve Senate<br \/>passage of clean energy legislation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Public opinion remains very supportive of action on global warming<br \/>despite relentless attacks from a $100 million campaign by Big Oil and<br \/>other energy special interests. <a href=\"http:\/\/climateprogress.org\/2009\/12\/18\/public-opinion-stunner-washpost-abc-poll-finds-strong-support-for-global-warming-reductions-despite-relentless-big-oil-and-anti-science-attacks\/\">The Dec. 18 Washington Post-ABC News poll<\/a> found that nearly two-thirds of Americans believe that the United<br \/>States should &#8220;regulate the release of greenhouse gases from sources<br \/>like power plants, cars, and factories in an effort to reduce global<br \/>warming.&#8221; And the intensity favors those who strongly support action<br \/>versus those who strongly oppose it&#8212;50 percent to 20 percent.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>The bottom line is that there are a number of recent factors<br \/>that significantly boost prospects for clean energy jobs and global<br \/>warming legislation in 2010. President Obama&#8217;s international and<br \/>domestic leadership, the Copenhagen Accord, the need for jobs, EPA&#8217;s<br \/>enforcement of the Clean Air Act, completion of health care, and the<br \/>public&#8217;s support for reform are all factors that should improve<br \/>prospects for Senate legislation in 2010. President Obama is like a<br \/>wily gambler who has been dealt some very good political cards. By<br \/>playing these cards right, he can parlay this hand into big winnings<br \/>for all Americans.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related Links:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2009-12-29-greenpeace-spain-demands-denmark-release-its-director\/\">Greenpeace Spain demands Denmark release its director<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/what-happens-now-for-the-forests\/\">What happens now for the forests?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/copenhagen-coal-in-the-stocking\/\">Copenhagen coal in the stocking?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/click.phdo?s=5fb7b6fcdf6722bfdec9981dc67980e6&#038;p=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" style=\"border: 0;\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/img.phdo?s=5fb7b6fcdf6722bfdec9981dc67980e6&#038;p=1\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=\"http:\/\/a.rfihub.com\/eus.gif?eui=2223\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Daniel J. Weiss The 15th United Nations climate summit has just ended inCopenhagen after a tense two weeks of negotiations between thedeveloped and developing world. An &#8220;environmental Woodstock&#8221; to some,a high stakes diplomatic showdown to others, the meeting led to some critical but incomplete agreements. Now that it&#8217;s over, the world&#8217;s attention will focus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":765,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-105341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105341","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/765"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105341"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105341\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}