{"id":149031,"date":"2010-01-07T06:03:44","date_gmt":"2010-01-07T11:03:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/the-real-reason-this-rally-cant-be-anything-like-the-great-1980s-surge-2010-1"},"modified":"2010-01-07T06:03:44","modified_gmt":"2010-01-07T11:03:44","slug":"the-real-reason-this-rally-cant-be-anything-like-the-great-1980s-surge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/149031","title":{"rendered":"The Real Reason This Rally Can&#8217;t Be Anything Like The Great 1980s Surge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a great little letter from Katana Capital (via <a href=\"http:\/\/pragcap.com\/why-this-isnt-a-new-secular-bull-market-pt-2\">PragCap<\/a>) presenting the strongest argument for why this current rally can&#8217;t or won&#8217;t be anything like the great rally we saw in the 80s.<\/p>\n<p>The bottom line then is that the macro drags were horrible &#8212; interest rates were sky high, for example &#8212; but the world was full of tailwinds. Now interest rates are 0%, but there are all kinds of numbers, from government spending to household spending to demographics that are getting worse.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a point that&#8217;s been made before, but you don&#8217;t hear the bulls &#8212; and we&#8217;d particularly like to hear from James Grant, as it&#8217;s obvious that a lot of his current thinking is informed by the 1980s &#8212; address these differences.<\/p>\n<p>Definitely worth a quick read.<\/p>\n<p>\n<object id=\"_ds_21407099\" width=\"600\" height=\"550\" name=\"_ds_21407099\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" data=\"http:\/\/viewer.docstoc.com\/v2\/\"><param name=\"FlashVars\" value=\"doc_id=21407099&amp;mem_id=589193&amp;doc_type=pdf&amp;allowdownload=1\" \/><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/viewer.docstoc.com\/v2\/\" \/><param name=\"allowScriptAccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><\/object><br \/>\n<br \/><span style=\"font-size: xx-small;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.docstoc.com\/docs\/21407099\/094Q-letter-1982-vs-2010-section-1\">094Q letter 1982 vs 2010 section-1<\/a> &#8211; <\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/the-real-reason-this-rally-cant-be-anything-like-the-great-1980s-surge-2010-1#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>See Also:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/phew-were-doing-way-better-than-japan-2010-1\">Phew, We&#8217;re Doing WAY Better Than Japan<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/jim-grant-the-economy-will-surge-back-we-just-dont-know-how-2009-12\">Jim Grant: The Economy Will Surge Back, We Just Don&#8217;t Know How<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/jim-grant-2009-11\">Jim Grant: Here Comes A &#8216;Zippy&#8217; Recovery That Will Blow Away Expectations<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/OffKdw_WeI0\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a great little letter from Katana Capital (via PragCap) presenting the strongest argument for why this current rally can&#8217;t or won&#8217;t be anything like the great rally we saw in the 80s. The bottom line then is that the macro drags were horrible &#8212; interest rates were sky high, for example &#8212; but the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-149031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149031","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149031"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149031\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}