{"id":199246,"date":"2010-01-19T10:43:29","date_gmt":"2010-01-19T15:43:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/rbs-2010-outlook-commodities-are-king-cause-bernanke-cant-print-them-2010-1"},"modified":"2010-01-19T10:43:29","modified_gmt":"2010-01-19T15:43:29","slug":"rbs-bob-janjuah-commodities-are-king-cause-bernanke-cant-print-them","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/199246","title":{"rendered":"RBS&#8217; Bob Janjuah: Commodities Are King &#8216;Cause Bernanke Can&#8217;t Print Them"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"float_right\" src=\"http:\/\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4b4dc66a000000000078ad32\/hess-heating-oil-tanker-truck-ap.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"HESS heating oil tanker truck AP\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/andy-chaytors-10-things-to-look-for-in-2010-2009-12\">RBS analyst<\/a> Bob Janjuah sent out his predictions on 2010 and what he sees for the coming year.<\/p>\n<p>What he really likes is commodities:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">RBS: Not all sovereigns have bad and\/or fast deteriorating balance sheets (as a result of highly risky fiscal and monetary paths). Core Europe, much of NJA, Oz, Norway, Brazil all spring to mind. I think that bonds, currencies, credit and equities in such parts of the world will (a) outperform their peer grp equivalent asset classes in the bad and\/or fast deteriorating sovereign balance sheet zones, but (B) will do merely OK on an absolute basis. <\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere I think hard assets, most obviously to me GOLD and even CRUDE, will do EXTREMELY well. Over the belly of 2010 I expect to CRUDE up at $100 and Gold up at $1500.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong>I like commodities, anything which Bernanke and King can&#8217;t print at the press of a button<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Q2\/Q3 2010 is when we will see the S&amp;P down in the low 800s or lower, Gold at $1500, Crude at $100, the EURO XO Index up at 700\/700+. We will see BUNDS massively outperform Gilts and USTs. In the 10yr, I expect the Bund\/UST spread to be at least 100bps &#8211; ie, 10yr USTs to yield 100bps+ more than 10yr Bunds.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">(REMEMBER: None of this has anything to do with actual near term CPI-style inflation &#8211; assuming of course YOU still believe the data or believe that the official data tells even a half of the whole story &#8211; but rather everything to do with rapidly deteriorating sovereign credit risk\/debasement\/monetisation\/shattered &amp; zero policymaker credibility all being priced into bond yields).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/rbs-2010-outlook-commodities-are-king-cause-bernanke-cant-print-them-2010-1#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>See Also:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/business-news\/jan-06-jeff-siegel2-2010-1\">Don&#8217;t Count On OPEC&#8217;s Surplus For 2010<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/5-entrepreneurship-trends-to-watch-in-2010-2010-1\">5 Entrepreneurship Trends To Watch In 2010<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/andy-chaytor-provides-an-update-on-his-trades-for-2010-2010-1\">RBS Analyst Andy Chaytor: Forget Treasuries, Check Out Foreign Debt And Commodities In 2010<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/XgusGRR_MqE\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBS analyst Bob Janjuah sent out his predictions on 2010 and what he sees for the coming year. What he really likes is commodities: RBS: Not all sovereigns have bad and\/or fast deteriorating balance sheets (as a result of highly risky fiscal and monetary paths). Core Europe, much of NJA, Oz, Norway, Brazil all spring [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-199246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199246","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=199246"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199246\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=199246"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=199246"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=199246"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}