{"id":212394,"date":"2010-01-22T08:20:59","date_gmt":"2010-01-22T13:20:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/michael-pettis-why-the-latest-chinese-economic-numbers-were-clearly-bad-news-2010-1"},"modified":"2010-01-22T08:20:59","modified_gmt":"2010-01-22T13:20:59","slug":"michael-pettis-why-the-latest-chinese-economic-numbers-were-clearly-bad-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/212394","title":{"rendered":"Michael Pettis: Why The Latest Chinese Economic Numbers Were Clearly Bad News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"float_right\" src=\"http:\/\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4acb392f0000000000d3f7de\/china-yuan.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"china yuan\" \/><\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday night, China came out with a slew of fresh economic data, and at least the headlines looked good.<\/p>\n<p>Who could complain about GDP growth of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/china-gdp-107-2010-1\">10.7%<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>The only concern, perhaps, was that too-rapid growth would compel the central bank to act more aggressively on tightening, which is emerging as a serious worry.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mpettis.com\/2010\/01\/good-numbers-or-bad-numbers\/\">Michael Pettis<\/a>, a professor at Peking University&rsquo;s Guanghua School of Management, and an all-around Chinese financial expert, points to another angle: Much of the surge was due to fixed-asset investment and industrial production.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, China&#8217;s growth is still a government-stimulus story. &#8220;No one has a clue as to what will happen when the government pulls back,&#8221; Pettis writes.<\/p>\n<p>And though this helps smoothe things over in the short term, this actually creates a long-term problem for the country, because all this investment means more overcapacity and more exposure to the rest of the world for demand. If that doesn&#8217;t materialize, the hard landing will be<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/michael-pettis-why-the-latest-chinese-economic-numbers-were-clearly-bad-news-2010-1#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>See Also:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/china-gdp-107-2010-1\">China GDP +10.7%<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/global-selloff-continues-nikkei-down-27-shanghai-down-1-2010-1\">Global Selloff Continues: Nikkei Down 2.7%, Shanghai Down 1%<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/us-dollar-on-an-overnight-tear-as-china-tightening-fears-shake-asian-markets-2010-1\">Bank Of China Lending Freeze Ignites U.S. Dollar Rally, Slamming Shanghai<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/Dmx3CaWZFxs\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Wednesday night, China came out with a slew of fresh economic data, and at least the headlines looked good. Who could complain about GDP growth of 10.7%? The only concern, perhaps, was that too-rapid growth would compel the central bank to act more aggressively on tightening, which is emerging as a serious worry. Michael [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-212394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=212394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=212394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=212394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=212394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}