{"id":216836,"date":"2010-01-23T10:58:00","date_gmt":"2010-01-23T15:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5587346.post-8648370889336409007"},"modified":"2010-01-25T09:35:40","modified_gmt":"2010-01-25T14:35:40","slug":"living-with-technology-regressions-in-the-post-performance-era","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/216836","title":{"rendered":"Living with technology regressions in the post-performance era"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m slowly getting used to living with the post-Moore&#8217;s Law era of technology regressions.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s taken a long time to get over my early computing experience. Switching from an 8086 to an 80386 in the DOS era was pretty much pure progress. The transition to OS\/2 then to Windows 95 involved <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">many<\/span> regressions, but I imagined that was a one time anomaly.  Win 98 to NT to 2000 to XP was pretty much all improvement (I skipped ME of course).<\/p>\n<p>Same story in my early Mac days. Things just got better &#8211; until MacOS 7 ran into TCP\/IP. That was a train wreck, but it did get sorted out. When I returned to the Mac I was using OS X 10.1 (or 10.2?) and that was good too.<\/p>\n<p>Ok, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.faughnan.com\/more\">so some great software died without replacement<\/a>. I should have adjusted my expectations. What can I say? I&#8217;m a geek. CPUs kept getting faster. It helped me overlook a lot of things.<\/p>\n<p>Alas, the decrepit state of the <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Moore%27s_law\">Wikipedia entry on Moore&#8217;s Law<\/a> speaks volumes. We may get more transistors, but clearly we&#8217;re not getting more performance. We&#8217;re in the post-performance era.<\/p>\n<p>In our <a href=\"http:\/\/notes.kateva.org\/2010\/01\/personal-computing-2020-more-and-less.html\">new era some things get better, some things get worse<\/a>. Personal computing is middle-aged. Progress is uneven.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m in the midst of one of those tech churn transitions now with my backup systems.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not paranoid about backups, because <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Entropy_%28arrow_of_time%29\">the universe really is trying to destroy my data<\/a>. I&#8217;m just realistic.<\/p>\n<p>Realism means I&#8217;ve long had fully automated rotating off-site backups, and, <a href=\"http:\/\/tech.kateva.org\/2009\/12\/retrospect-8-no-user-guide.html\">as backup software quality has regressed<\/a>, I&#8217;ve moved to having <a href=\"http:\/\/tech.kateva.org\/2009\/12\/time-machine-fail.html\">two completely distinct automated backup systems<\/a>. (If two distinct systems each have a 90% reliability rate, then the probability one will work is 1-(0.1*0.1) or 99.9%.  It&#8217;s almost impossible to equal that reliability from a single affordable product.)<\/p>\n<p>So I <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">probably<\/span> still have a reliable backup system, but it&#8217;s more work to maintain than my old system. In some ways it&#8217;s also less flexible, in particular my laptop backups are less reliable. I&#8217;m having to adjust my workflow to the new environment, and that means some functional regressions.<\/p>\n<p>Middle-aged post-Moore computing means living with regressions. The trick is realizing when a true functional regression has occurred, and then being able to say good-bye to the better for the sustainable.<\/p>\n<p><b>Update 1\/25\/10<\/b>: I just found this <a href=\"http:\/\/tech.kateva.org\/2006\/11\/backup-market-its-awful.html\">2006 tech post of mine complaining about the backup market<\/a>. It&#8217;s been a bad few years for backup. I should also highlight a comment Andrew W made (see below):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>On Windows there&#8217;s Home Server, which is about as carefree a centralized\/networked backup solution as you can get.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Apple equivalent to Home Server is Time Capsule. I would like to see Apple do a more complete backup\/media server\/file server home server solution.<br \/><small><a href=\"feed:\/\/www.google.com\/reader\/public\/atom\/user\/06457543619879090746\/state\/com.google\/broadcast%20\"><\/a><\/small><\/p>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\"><img width='1' height='1' src='https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/tracker\/5587346-8648370889336409007?l=notes.kateva.org' alt='' \/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m slowly getting used to living with the post-Moore&#8217;s Law era of technology regressions. It&#8217;s taken a long time to get over my early computing experience. Switching from an 8086 to an 80386 in the DOS era was pretty much pure progress. The transition to OS\/2 then to Windows 95 involved many regressions, but I [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":711,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-216836","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216836","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/711"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=216836"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216836\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=216836"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=216836"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=216836"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}