{"id":218420,"date":"2010-01-13T04:20:00","date_gmt":"2010-01-13T09:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1752027331714385066.post-6432611226600920692"},"modified":"2010-01-13T04:20:00","modified_gmt":"2010-01-13T09:20:00","slug":"molecular-manufacturing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/218420","title":{"rendered":"Molecular Manufacturing"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_Jx78YcF-F8U\/S02PseQlw6I\/AAAAAAAAA2U\/GyWB12g0FFM\/s1600-h\/0512molMill.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\" style=\"margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_Jx78YcF-F8U\/S02PseQlw6I\/AAAAAAAAA2U\/GyWB12g0FFM\/s320\/0512molMill.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">I<\/span><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">n fairness to all, nanotechnology is in early days.&nbsp; We are seeing a lot of exciting proof of principal type work.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">We can make some predictions.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">We need an engineering template idea similar to the integrated circuit to organize and use this knowledge.&nbsp; Otherwise we will be studying thousands of noncompatible dead ends.&nbsp; Right now we do not know if this is possible.&nbsp; This template system is likely to be three dimensional.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">Our capabilities will swiftly surpass anything imagined by Mother Nature.&nbsp; This is important because Mother Nature has actually built out with a lot of constraints that is could not work around easily.&nbsp; We actually have the option of introducing exotic combinations that super perform.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">In short, expect to be surprised and surprised and surprised.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">This NRC report is attempting to establish a focus and support system within the community to ease the process.&nbsp; I think that we still need much more data and conferences to settle directions.&nbsp; Again this is early days and this process has likely decades to develop.&nbsp; Right now we want to avoid closing off any avenues.<\/span><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p><span class=\"Apple-style-span\" style=\"font-size: small;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;\">Molecular Manufacturing:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2010\/01\/07\/molecular-manufacturing-the-nrc-study-and-its-recommendations\/\">http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2010\/01\/07\/molecular-manufacturing-the-nrc-study-and-its-recommendations\/<\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">The NRC study and its recommendations<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"line-height: 16.35pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h1>\n<div class=\"headlinemeta\" style=\"line-height: 21.6pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i><span style=\"color: #888888;\">by<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/i><span class=\"authorvcardfn\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #888888; letter-spacing: .75pt; text-transform: uppercase;\">ERIC DREXLER<\/span><\/i><\/span><span class=\"apple-converted-space\"><i><span style=\"color: #888888;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/i><\/span><i><span style=\"color: #888888;\">on<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>JANUARY 7, 2010<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"headlinemeta\" style=\"line-height: 21.6pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><em><span style=\"color: #333333;\">Part 6 of a series prompted by the recent 50th anniversary of Feynman\u2019s historic talk, \u201cThere\u2019s Plenty of Room at the Bottom\u201d. This is arguably the most important post of the series, or of this blog to date.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .25in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><em><b><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Topics:<\/span><\/b><\/em><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><br \/><em>The most credible study of molecular manufacturing to date<o:p><\/o:p><\/em><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .25in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><em><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The study\u2019s recommendations for Federal research support<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .25in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><em><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The current state of progress toward implementation<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .25in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><em><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The critical problem: not science, but institutions and focus<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 14.4pt; text-align: justify;\"><span class=\"caption\"><b><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/NRC_molecular_manufacturing_report.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">A Matter of Size: Triennial Review of the National Nanotechnology Initiative<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/i><\/b><\/span><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 12.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 12.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Committee to Review the National Nanotechnology Initiative, National Research Council<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 12.0pt; margin-bottom: 4.8pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: .1in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 12.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/2006_NNI_Review.pdf\"><strong><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">(full document<\/span><\/strong><span class=\"apple-converted-space\"><b><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/b><\/span><strong><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">[pdf])<\/span><\/strong><\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 12.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">A formal, Federal-level study has examined the physical principles of<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/06\/12\/the-physical-basis-of-atomically-precise-manufacturing\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">high-throughput atomically precise manufacturing<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>(aka molecular manufacturing), assessing its feasibility and closing with a call for experimental research.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Surprisingly, this recommendation smacks of heresy in some circles, and the<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><em>very idea of examining the subject<\/em><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>met strong opposition.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The process in outline: Congress voted to direct the<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/United_States_National_Research_Council\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">U.S. National Research Council,<\/span><\/a>the working arm of the<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/United_States_National_Academies\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">U.S. National Academies,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>to conduct, as part of the lengthy<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/2006_NNI_Review.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">Triennial Review of the National Nanotechnology Initiative,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>what in the House version had been described as a \u201cStudy on molecular manufacturing\u2026to determine the technical feasibility of the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale\u201d, and in response, the NRC convened a study committee that organized a workshop, examined the literature, deliberated, and reported their conclusions, recommending appropriate research directions for moving the field forward, including experimental research directed toward development of molecular manufacturing.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">NRC studies are not haphazard processes, and the National Academies website describes its<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/sites.nationalacademies.org\/NRC\/PoliciesandProcedures\/index.htm\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">procedures in substantial detail.<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>Because the NRC often advises the Federal government on politically charged questions, \u201cChecks and balances are applied at every step in the study process to protect the integrity of the reports and to maintain public confidence in them.\u201d These include independent scientific review of reports that are themselves the product of independent experts assembled with attention to potential conflicts of interest.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">It\u2019s worth taking a moment to compare the NRC to the three previous leading sources of information on molecular manufacturing: committed advocates, committed critics, and self-propagating mythologies. None of these is remotely comparable. Unless one has studied the topic closely and in technical detail, it seems reasonable to adopt the committee\u2019s conclusions as a rough-draft version of reality, and to proceed from there.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Here are some excerpts that I think deserve special emphasis, followed by the concluding paragraph of the report:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><b><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">Technical Feasibility of Site-Specific Chemistry for Large-Scale Manufacturing<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">The proposed manufacturing systems can be viewed as highly miniaturized, highly articulated versions of today\u2019s scanning probe systems, or perhaps as engineered ribosome-like systems\u2026<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><br \/>\u2026The technical arguments make use of accepted scientific knowledge but constitute a \u201ctheoretical analysis demonstrating the possibility of a class of as-yet unrealizable devices.\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/Nanosystems\/toc.html\"><strong><sup><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">22<\/span><\/sup><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Construction of extended structures with three-dimensional covalent bonding may be easy to conceive and might be readily accomplished, but only by using tools that do not yet exist.<a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/Integrated_Nanosystems_Chapter.pdf\"><strong><sup><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">25<\/span><\/sup><\/strong><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>In other words, the tool structures and other components cannot yet be built, but they can be computationally modeled.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><br \/>[<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><em>&#8230; concluding paragraph:<\/em>]<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><br \/>Although theoretical calculations can be made today, the eventually attainable range of chemical reaction cycles, error rates, speed of operation, and thermodynamic efficiencies of such bottom-up manufacturing systems cannot be reliably predicted at this time. Thus, the eventually attainable perfection and complexity of manufactured products, while they can be calculated in theory, cannot be predicted with confidence. Finally, the optimum research paths [to advanced systems] cannot be reliably predicted at this time. Research funding that is based on the ability of investigators to produce experimental demonstrations that link to abstract models and guide long-term vision is most appropriate to achieve this goal.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: .1in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 15.6pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">22. K.E. Drexler. 1992. Nanosystems, Molecular Machinery, Manufacturing and Computation. <st1:state w:st=\"on\"><st1:place w:st=\"on\">New York<\/st1:place><\/st1:state>: Wiley &amp; Sons.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 15.6pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/Nanosystems\/toc.html\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">[<span style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: italic;\">see page on my website<\/span>]<\/span><\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 15.6pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><\/p>\n<p>25. M. Rieth and <st1:place w:st=\"on\">W. Schommers<\/st1:place>, eds. 2005. Handbook of Computational and Theoretical Nanotechnology. American Scientific Publishers.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 15.6pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/Integrated_Nanosystems_Chapter.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">[<span style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: italic;\">see chapter pdf<\/span>]<\/span><\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/NRC_molecular_manufacturing_report.pdf\"><b><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">Source pages, NRC report [pdf ]<\/span><\/b><\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .2in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 22.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">My summary in a nutshell:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"background: #EEEEFF; line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The committee examined the concept of advanced molecular manufacturing, and found that the analysis of its physical principles is based on accepted scientific knowledge, and that it addresses the major technical questions. However, in the committee\u2019s view, theoretical calculations are insufficient: Only experimental research can reliably answer the critical questions and move the technology toward implementation. Research in this direction deserves support.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"background: #EEEEFF; line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">\\<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">I should note that the<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><em>tone<\/em><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>of the report is skeptical, emphasizing what the committee [correctly] sees as the unusual approach and the [resulting,<a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/06\/26\/exploratory-engineering-applying-the-predictive-power-of-science-to-future-technologies\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">methodologically inherent<\/span><\/a>] incompleteness of the results. A quick skim could easily suggest a negative assessment. A closer reading, however, shows that points raised are in the end presented, not as errors, nor even as specific, concrete weaknesses in the analysis, but instead as work not yet done, motivating the development of a research program directed toward validating and achieving the proposed technological objectives.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .2in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 22.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">The call for research<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The report closes with a call for research on pathways toward molecular manufacturing, quoted above, and an earlier section outlines some appropriate objectives:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">To bring this field forward, meaningful connections are needed between the relevant scientific communities. Examples include:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .85pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 6.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: .25in;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">Delineating desirable research directions not already being pursued by the biochemistry community;<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .85pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 6.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: .25in;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">Defining and focusing on some basic experimental steps that are critical to advancing long-term goals; and<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: .85pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 6.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: .25in;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #354035;\">Outlining some \u201cproof-of-principle\u201d studies that, if successful, would provide knowledge or engineering demonstrations of key principles or components with immediate value.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .2in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 22.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">The response and progress<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The technology roadmap<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Research directions toward molecular manufacturing have been charted in the subsequent<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/07\/00\/1204TechnologyRoadmap.html\"><em><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems,<\/span><\/em><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>the result of a project led by the Battelle Memorial Institute, the manager of research at U.S. National Laboratories that include Pacific Northwest, Oak Ridge, and Brookhaven. These labs hosted several Roadmap workshops and provided many of the participating scientists and engineers; I served as the lead technical consultant for the project.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The Roadmap is responsive to the NRC request above, and recommends research that includes work along the lines I describe below.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Molecular engineering methodologies<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The crucial research objective is the development of systematic experimental and design methodologies that enable the fabrication of large, multicomponent, atomically precise nanostructures by means of self-assembly. This research direction fits the NRC committee\u2019s criteria: it is, by nature, strongly experimental, and in mimicking macromolecular structures and processes in biology, it holds promise for near-term biomedical applications.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Structural DNA nanotechnology<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">In the year the NRC report reached print, a<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dna.caltech.edu\/Papers\/DNAorigami-nature.pdf\"><em><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">Nature<\/span><\/em><span class=\"apple-converted-space\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">paper<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>reported a breakthrough-level development, \u201cDNA origami\u201d. This technology opened the door to systematic, atomically precise engineering on a scale of hundreds of nanometers and millions of atoms.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Since then, we\u2019ve seen rapid progress in structural DNA nanotechnology. I discussed recent landmark achievements<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/05\/22\/a-third-revolution-in-dna-nanotechnology\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">here<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>and<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/05\/10\/a-dna-origami-box\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">here<\/span><\/a>.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Polypeptide foldamer nanotechnology<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">There\u2019s also been rapid progress in design methodologies for complex, atomically precise nanoscale structures made from<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/03\/19\/a-high-performance-polymer-for-nanosytems-engineering\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">polypeptide foldamers<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>(aka proteins). In recent years, protein engineering has achieved a functional milestone: systematically engineering devices that perform controlled molecular transformations (see<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/19297237\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cComputational tools for designing and engineering biocatalysts\u201d<\/span><\/a>).<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Framework-directed assembly of composite systems<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Looking forward, promising next steps involve integrating structural DNA frameworks with polypeptide foldamers, other foldamers, and other organic and inorganic materials. These classes of components have complementary properties (as discussed in my comments on<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2008\/11\/10\/modular-molecular-composite-nanosystems\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cModular Molecular Composite Nanosystems\u201d<\/span><\/a>).<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Here, too, progress has been extensive. For DNA-centered perspectives, see<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/19448288\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cDNA origami as a nanoscale template for protein assembly\u201d<\/span><\/a>,<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/18818351\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cAssembling Materials with DNA as the Guide\u201d<\/span><\/a>, and<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rsc.org\/publishing\/journals\/CS\/article.asp?doi=b718440a\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cDNA-templated nanofabrication\u201d<\/span><\/a>. For a review of polypeptide-centered perspectives, see<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/gemsec\/publications\/pdfs\/RSTA20090018p-1.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cMolecular biomimetics: nanotechnology and<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">&nbsp; <\/span>bionanotechnology using genetically engineered peptides\u201d<\/span><\/a>.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Why these developments are important<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">As is now well recognized, \u201cexisting biological systems for protein fabrication could be harnessed to produce nanoscale molecular machines with designed functions\u201d (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.biotechniques.com\/multimedia\/archive\/00001\/BTN_A_000112336_O_1220a.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cComputational protein design promises to revolutionize protein engineering\u201d<\/span><\/a>). Further, as biological systems demonstrate, programmable molecular machine systems can be harnessed to build programmable molecular machine systems.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/12\/27\/the-molecular-machine-path-2-exploiting-better-methods-and-building-blocks\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">As I\u2019ve discussed,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>this capability could be exploited to pursue a spiral of improvement in materials, components, and molecular machine systems.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The path ahead<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">This spiral of development, in which molecular tools are used to construct more capable next-generation molecular tools, could be exploited to develop products with expanding applications, falling cost, and increasing value.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">As I discussed in<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/02\/25\/making-vs-modeling-in-nanotechnology\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cMaking vs. Modeling: A paradox of progress in nanotechnology\u201d,<\/span><\/a>each generation of tools can be expected to enable fabrication processes and products that are more robust, more susceptible to computational simulation, and better suited to established systems engineering design methodologies. This indicates the potential for an accelerating pace of development toward a technology platform that can support the implementation of high-throughput atomically precise fabrication.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">This path is being followed today, yet the level of support and organization, of mission and urgency, does not come close to matching its potential for solving long-term yet urgent problems.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">Appropriate and inappropriate responses to the NRC report on molecular manufacturing<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The evaluation of the feasibility of molecular manufacturing and recommendations for research form the concluding section of the body of the NRC\u2019s<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/d\/06\/00\/2006_NNI_Review.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">Triennial Review of the National Nanotechnology Initiative.<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>In the three years since the publication of the NRC report, I have seen no document from a Federal-level source that acknowledges these conclusions, and, of course, none that offers a substantive response.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">This is of concern, because the NRC report calls for a sharp break with past thinking. To put it bluntly, much of the opinion in general circulation about molecular manufacturing (both pro and con) is rubbish because it is based on mythology, and not on the scientific literature. The NRC report can be criticized on several points, but it isn\u2019t rubbish.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Fulfilling the initial promise of nanotechnology<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Atomically precise fabrication technologies exist today, and<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/e-drexler.com\/p\/04\/03\/0325nanoMeanings.html#NNI_defs\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">as I have noted,<\/span><\/a>advanced atomically precise fabrication is the promise that initially defined the field of nanotechnology. I believe the record shows that advanced atomically precise fabrication is also the promise that got it funded.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Building on recent advances, strategically targeted research in atomically precise fabrication could draw on and contribute to fields across the spectrum of modern nanotechnologies, from materials to deviced, and could bring them together to elevate the technology platform for further advances. Ultimately, as the NRC report suggests, those advances could potentially deliver what was promised at the inception of the field.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Make no mistake: the path to high-throughput atomically precise manufacturing will not be short, and it will not be direct. It will be a multi-stage development process, and<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/12\/19\/molecular-manufacturing-where%e2%80%99s-the-progress\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">as I have discussed,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>the early steps differ greatly from the ultimate results in both their form and their potential applications.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Growing urgency<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Today, the potential promise of high-throughput atomically precise manufacturing must be regarded as credible. As a consequence of its inherent productive capacity, it offers a credible potential solution to problems of<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2009\/01\/01\/greenhouse-gases-and-advanced-nanotechnology\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">energy production and climate change.<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>The National Research Council of the <st1:country-region w:st=\"on\"><st1:place w:st=\"on\">U.S.<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine has called for the support of research explicitly directed toward the development of this technology. This has become urgent.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .2in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 22.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\">The strength and limitations of current research support<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"line-height: 14.65pt; margin-bottom: .2in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 22.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">It is both laudable and problematic that the research I\u2019ve reported above is chiefly funded by programs in biology and medicine. This support has enabled great progress, and I know from long discussion that researchers in these areas have ambitious visions for the future. There are, however, limits to what can be achieved while developing molecular engineering within the framework of biotechnology, much as there would have been if aeronautical engineering research had been developed as a field of ornithology.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The critical need today is not for new scientific results, but for an integrative approach to molecular systems engineering, directed toward strategic technology objectives. The science is ready. The institutions are not.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">A word to readers:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 9.0pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/h4>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">The implications of the NRC report call for reconsidering views that have shaped policy in the research disciplines critical to progress toward molecular manufacturing, yet like many other NRC reports, it is virtually unknown. Directing other readers to what I have written here could help to remedy this problem.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">(And a further note to readers who are bursting with frustration: Please don\u2019t. It is counterproductive, and generates far more heat than light.)<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .15in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">Note: I say in the first paragraph that Congress voted for \u201c\u2026what in the House version had been described as a \u2018Study on molecular manufacturing\u2026to determine the technical feasibility of the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale\u2019\u201d to reflect an oddity of the legislative history behind the study: After the House transmitted the bill to the Senate, a nanotechnology business association successfully lobbied to replace \u201cmolecular manufacturing\u201d, thereby calling for a (puzzling) \u201cStudy on molecular self-assembly\u201d.<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nanotech-now.com\/MNT-12092003.htm\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">An uproar followed.<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>In the end, the NRC did a study of molecular self-assembly, as directed in the final bill, but also responded to the request by the House for a study of molecular manufacturing. In the end, molecular manufacturing dominated the agenda of the workshop.<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><em>[I corrected the main text and this description after reviewing the GPO documents, several hours after the initial posting.]<o:p><\/o:p><\/em><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">In a later section, I note that \u201cI have seen no document from a Federal-level source that acknowledges these conclusions\u201d. There is, in fact, a document that quotes from the conclusions, but the quoted material is edited in a way that wrongly indicates that the recommendations regarding molecular manufacturing are, instead, recommendations regarding molecular self-assembly (see<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nano.gov\/PCAST_NNAP_NNI_Assessment_2008.pdf\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">\u201cThe National Nanotechnology Initiative: Second Assessment and Recommendations of the National Nanotechnology Advisory Panel\u201d,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>p.43).<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">[Dec 8: Updated to add the paragraph beginning \u201cI should note that the<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><em>tone<\/em><span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span>of the report is skeptical&#8230;\u201d I would expect this tone to strongly influence the impression left on casual readers, blunting the impact of what, in substance, amounts to a sharp rebuke to the conventional wisdom.]<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 18.85pt; text-align: justify;\"><i style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\"><span style=\"color: #111111;\">An open comment thread for this post can be found<span class=\"apple-converted-space\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/metamodern.com\/2010\/01\/07\/open-comment-thread-for-nrc-study-post\/\"><span style=\"color: #3355a0;\">here.<\/span><\/a><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\"><img width='1' height='1' src='https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/tracker\/1752027331714385066-6432611226600920692?l=globalwarming-arclein.blogspot.com' alt='' \/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In fairness to all, nanotechnology is in early days.&nbsp; We are seeing a lot of exciting proof of principal type work. &nbsp; We can make some predictions. &nbsp; We need an engineering template idea similar to the integrated circuit to organize and use this knowledge.&nbsp; Otherwise we will be studying thousands of noncompatible dead ends.&nbsp; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-218420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=218420"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218420\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=218420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=218420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=218420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}