{"id":219517,"date":"2009-11-12T03:47:54","date_gmt":"2009-11-12T08:47:54","guid":{"rendered":"tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83452455969e20120a685d4af970b"},"modified":"2009-11-12T03:52:52","modified_gmt":"2009-11-12T08:52:52","slug":"energy-vs-financials-final-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/219517","title":{"rendered":"Energy vs. Financials, FINAL RESULTS"},"content":{"rendered":"<div xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml\"><P><span style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Trebuchet MS\">Many of you may be familiar with this sectoral strategy that I have presented, which was due to the unusually wide&nbsp;extreme to which these two sectors had diverged from each other as of April 22, 2008. To review :<\/P><br \/>\n<P><A href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2008\/04\/energy-vs-finan.html\">On April 22, 2008, I decided to go short on Energy (XLE) and long on Financials (XLF).<\/A><\/P><br \/>\n<P><A href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2009\/05\/energy-vs-financials-results.html#comments\">Then, on May 20, 2009, I decided to cover the Energy short, and use the proceeds to double down on Financials.&nbsp; Up till that point, the trade had earned a loss of -5.36%, vs. a loss of -32.20% for the S&#038;P500<\/A>.<\/P><br \/>\n<P>Now, it is time to sell the Financials position, and assess the final performance over the entire 18-month period, against the S&#038;P 500.<\/P><br \/>\n<P><A style=\"DISPLAY: inline\" href=\"http:\/\/futurist.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d83452455969e20120a685ea19970b-pi\"><img decoding=\"async\"  class=\"asset asset-image at-xid-6a00d83452455969e20120a685ea19970b image-full \" title=Enerfin alt=Enerfin src=\"http:\/\/futurist.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d83452455969e20120a685ea19970b-800wi\" border=0 \/><\/A> <\/P><br \/>\n<P>The purple line indicates the May 20, 2009 transition from being short&nbsp;XLE to covering that short and using the full proceeds to double down on XLF.&nbsp; Note that the short of XLE was profitable, so that the amount that was redeployed to XLF was more than the existing value of the XLF position.&nbsp; <\/P><br \/>\n<P>Therefore, the final results are (with all dividends reinvested) :<\/P><br \/>\n<P><A style=\"DISPLAY: inline\" onclick=\"window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false\" href=\"http:\/\/futurist.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d83452455969e201287587db01970c-popup\"><img decoding=\"async\"  class=\"asset asset-image at-xid-6a00d83452455969e201287587db01970c \" title=Enerfin2 alt=Enerfin2 src=\"http:\/\/futurist.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d83452455969e201287587db01970c-800wi\" border=0 \/><\/A>&nbsp;<br \/>This strategy yielded a&nbsp;gain of <span style=\"COLOR: #007f40; FONT-FAMILY: \">21.92%<\/span> vs. a loss of <span style=\"COLOR: #ff4040; FONT-FAMILY: \">-17.19%<\/span> for the S&#038;P500.&nbsp; This is a huge gap of almost 40 points, and means that $10,000 deployed to this strategy would have yielded $12,192, vs. just $8,281 if placed in the S&#038;P500 over this period.&nbsp; Also note how the gap widened from what it was on May 20, 2009.&nbsp; <\/P><br \/>\n<P>This continues <A href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2009\/01\/the-futurists-stock-portfolio-for-2008-results.html\">our track record here at The Futurist of&nbsp;collectively beating the market by a wide margin<\/A>, with portfolios that beat the market greatly exceeding the deficit of those that do not.&nbsp;&nbsp;Of course, these trades are for entertainment purposes only, and should not be taken as professional advice.&nbsp; <\/P><br \/>\n<P>Related :<\/P><br \/>\n<P><A href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2008\/10\/a-history-of-stock-market-bottoms.html\">A History of Stock Market Bottoms<\/A>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/P><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many of you may be familiar with this sectoral strategy that I have presented, which was due to the unusually wide&nbsp;extreme to which these two sectors had diverged from each other as of April 22, 2008. To review : On April 22, 2008, I decided to go short on Energy (XLE) and long on Financials [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5748,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-219517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5748"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=219517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219517\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=219517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=219517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=219517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}