{"id":263213,"date":"2010-02-01T17:16:04","date_gmt":"2010-02-01T22:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2010-02-01-obamas-nuclear-error\/"},"modified":"2010-02-01T17:16:04","modified_gmt":"2010-02-01T22:16:04","slug":"obamas-nuclear-budget-error","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/263213","title":{"rendered":"Obama&#8217;s nuclear budget error"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tby Daniel J. Weiss <\/p>\n<p>President Barack Obama&#8217;s proposed FY 2011 budget includes<br \/>some important proposals to invest in clean energy, but it also<br \/>includes a nuclear bombshell. The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/2010\/01\/31\/obama-administration-push_n_443586.html\" rel=\"external\">budget will seek<\/a> at total of $54 billion in loan guarantees for nuclear power. This would require a $36 billion increase over the existing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxpayer.net\/user_uploads\/file\/Energy\/LoanGuarantee\/TCS_LG_applicants_breifer_January2010.pdf\" rel=\"external\">$18.5 billion for nuclear loan guarantees<\/a>,<br \/>a program created under the Energy Policy Act of 2005&#8212;none of which<br \/>has been issued yet. And while they loan guarantee proposal cheered<br \/>some pro-nuclear senators, it has not garnered their support for<br \/>comprehensive, bipartisan clean energy and climate change legislation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>None of the four &#8220;top-tier&#8221; project proposals inspire confidence:<br \/>all have &#8220;rising cost estimates, delays related to reactor designs, and<br \/>credit downgrades,&#8221; according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxpayer.net\/resources.php?category=&amp;type=Project&amp;proj_id=3130&amp;action=Headlines%20By%20TCS\" rel=\"external\">Taxpayers for Common Sense<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>For instance, one of the top four pending applications for a loan<br \/>guarantee for reactors in Texas may be withdrawn by the utility<br \/>proposing it, NRG Energy. The project was supposed to be a joint<br \/>venture with San Antonio&#8217;s municipal utility, but the latter is having<br \/>second thoughts due to enormous estimated cost increases that would<br \/>bring the project from the initial $5.4 billion to at least $17 billion.<\/p>\n<p>The San Antonio city council was poised to approve a<br \/>$400 million bond issuance in late October but held back when new<br \/>numbers came to light that indicated the nuclear project could cost<br \/>more than it expected.<\/p>\n<p>The nuclear industry wants loan guarantees because Wall Street<br \/>investors are unwilling to lend money to these projects because of<br \/>their high level of risk&#8212;they are too prone to default. The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/ftpdocs\/42xx\/doc4206\/s14.pdf\" rel=\"external\">Congressional Budget Office<\/a> found that nuclear investments are very risky.<\/p>\n<p>CBO considers the risk of default on such a loan<br \/>guarantee to be very high-well above 50 percent. The key factor<br \/>accounting for this risk is that we expect that the plant would be<br \/>uneconomic to operate because of its high construction costs, relative<br \/>to other electricity generation sources.<\/p>\n<p>Despite this high potential for losses from default, <a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/business-a-lobbying\/78943-nuclear-energy-industry-seeks-more-than-loan-guarantees-for-revival\" rel=\"external\">The Hill<\/a> reports that the nuclear industry wants a very low assumption of default risk to lower its credit costs.<\/p>\n<p>It wants to keep the &#8216;credit cost&#8217; at 1 percent or below<br \/>the anticipated total cost to build a new plant. A company would be<br \/>required to pay DoE $100 million to reduce the risks for a $10 billion<br \/>project, but industry critics have sought a much higher percentage.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The guarantees would mean the government would step in to repay 80 percent of a loan should a company default.<\/p>\n<p>Since the going rate of a nuclear power plant is $8 billion or more,<br \/>such an approach could stick taxpayers with at least a $6 billion bill<br \/>for every plant that defaults. A $54 billion loan guarantee program<br \/>with a fifty percent default rate could cost taxpayers billions, and<br \/>provide no electricity benefits. During this time of trillion dollar<br \/>deficits, this is a very imprudent use of taxpayers&#8217; money.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The nuclear energy industry has sold itself as a large potential<br \/>source of low-carbon electricity. The Energy Information Agency has<br \/>predicted that by putting a price on global warming pollution under the<br \/>American Clean Energy and Security Act, H.R. 2454, would lead to a big<br \/>increase in electricity generated by nuclear power.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>According to the Energy Information Administration&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.doe.gov\/oiaf\/forecasting.html\" rel=\"external\">2010 Annual Energy Outlook<\/a> business as usual scenario, electricity generation from nuclear power<br \/>will increase by 9 percent from 2010-2020, and only another .3 percent<br \/>by 2030. It is important to note that EIA assumes that new plants will<br \/>be much less expensive than real world experience. Under <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.doe.gov\/oiaf\/servicerpt\/hr2454\/figure9.html\" rel=\"external\">ACES, nuclear electricity<\/a> will increase by 11 percent from 2010-2020, and by 77 percent from 2010<br \/>to 2030. Putting a price on global warming pollution would make<br \/>nuclear power more economically competitive.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>If EIA&#8217;s projections are accurate, then enactment of global warming<br \/>pollution reductions would provide a huge boost in nuclear energy<br \/>generation without additional loan guarantees beyond the existing<br \/>program or the ACES Clean Energy Deployment Administration that can<br \/>provide up to 30 percent of its funds for loan guarantees for new<br \/>nuclear technologies.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Tripling of the loan guarantees is also dubious political strategy<br \/>because it provides huge subsidies for nuclear power without securing<br \/>the support of pro-nuclear senators for comprehensive, bipartisan<br \/>global warming pollution reduction legislation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/content.usatoday.com\/communities\/greenhouse\/post\/2010\/01\/obama-creates-panel-seeks-loan-guarantees-to-spur-nuclear-power-\/1\" rel=\"external\">USA Today<\/a> noted that<\/p>\n<p>Obama&#8217;s pitch to expand U.S. nuclear power is seen by<br \/>some members of Congress and analysts as an effort to win GOP support<br \/>for his legislation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, passed by the<br \/>House of Representatives last year but pending in the Senate.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), whose state is suffering more<br \/>than any other from global warming, spoke positively about the loan<br \/>guarantee proposal, calling it &#8220;a good first step toward expanding our<br \/>use of clean nuclear energy.&#8221; She is also the author of the &#8220;Dirty Air<br \/>Act,&#8221; to block the Environmental Protection Agency from establishing<br \/>limits on global warming pollution. Sen. Murkowski has yet to join<br \/>Sens. John Kerry (D-Mass.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), and Joe Lieberman<br \/>(I-Conn.) in their efforts to craft a bipartisan bill.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/2010\/01\/31\/obama-administration-push_n_443586.html\" rel=\"external\">Associated Press<\/a> reported on long-time opponent of global warming legislation Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.):<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;I see an evolving attitude on energy by the<br \/>president,&#8217; said Sen. Lamar Alexander, who has called for 100 plants to<br \/>be built in the next 20 years.<\/p>\n<p>Yet <a href=\"http:\/\/alexander.senate.gov\/public\/index.cfm?p=PressReleases&amp;ContentRecord_id=946d6790-fceb-4a4b-a548-6ef49686a3dd&amp;ContentType_id=778be7e0-0d5a-42b2-9352-09ed63cc4d66&amp;Group_id=80d87631-7c25-4340-a97a-72cccdd8a658&amp;MonthDisplay=1&amp;YearDisplay=2010\" rel=\"external\">Sen. Alexander continues to oppose<\/a> comprehensive clean energy jobs and reductions in global warming pollution legislation.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>In 2009, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eenews.net\/EEDaily\/print\/2009\/01\/28\/3\" rel=\"external\">Senate Appropriations Committee<\/a> (subs. req&#8217;d) approved Sen. Robert Bennett (R-Utah) proposal to add<br \/>$50 billion in nuclear loan guarantees to the pending Recovery bill.<br \/>Fortunately, it was dropped due to the opposition of the Obama<br \/>administration and the House Appropriations Committee. Sen. Bennett remains a fierce opponent of reductions in global warming<br \/>pollution, yet his proposal was revived by the administration for the<br \/>2011 budget.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Nuclear power will likely play a role in the effort to reduce global<br \/>warming pollution. Yet it does little good to provide Senate nuclear<br \/>proponents with an expanded loan guarantee program without first<br \/>securing their support for global warming pollution reductions, such as<br \/>the bill that Sens., Kerry, Graham, and Lieberman are drafting. At<br \/>the same time, tripling the loan guarantee program before the existing<br \/>funds are exhausted does not make fiscal sense. The Obama administration should withdraw this flawed proposal or failing that,<br \/>Congress should reject it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related Links:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2010-02-03-sen.-lindsey-graham-on-the-importance-of-passing-climate-legesla\/\">Sen. Lindsey Graham on the importance of passing climate legislation<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/a-critical-moment-for-energy-leadership\/\">A Critical Moment for Energy Leadership<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2010-02-01-obama-on-why-he-supports-nuclear-and-coal\/\">Obama talks about &#8216;clean coal&#8217; and solar during YouTube Q&amp;A<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/click.phdo?s=332542d960741aa4d549a51eec8b1389&#038;p=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" style=\"border: 0;\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/img.phdo?s=332542d960741aa4d549a51eec8b1389&#038;p=1\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=\"http:\/\/a.rfihub.com\/eus.gif?eui=2223\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Daniel J. Weiss President Barack Obama&#8217;s proposed FY 2011 budget includessome important proposals to invest in clean energy, but it alsoincludes a nuclear bombshell. The budget will seek at total of $54 billion in loan guarantees for nuclear power. This would require a $36 billion increase over the existing $18.5 billion for nuclear loan [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":765,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-263213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/765"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263213"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263213\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}