{"id":278732,"date":"2010-02-04T19:04:01","date_gmt":"2010-02-05T00:04:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/in-which-it-feels-like-everything-has-come-to-a-full-stop\/"},"modified":"2010-02-04T19:04:01","modified_gmt":"2010-02-05T00:04:01","slug":"the-climate-post-in-which-it-feels-like-everything-has-come-to-a-full-stop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/278732","title":{"rendered":"The Climate Post: In which it feels like everything has come to a full stop"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\tby Eric Roston <\/p>\n<p><strong>First things first:<\/strong> President Barack Obama<br \/>defended a market-based system to limit the pollution of heat-trapping<br \/>gases, a core part of his legislative agenda, even as he acknowledged<br \/>the Senate may pursue an energy bill without one. He spoke to a &#8220;town<br \/>hall&#8221; meeting in Nashua, N.H., about the potential of Senators removing<br \/>technology-and-jobs legislation from the context of a larger climate<br \/>bill: &#8220;We may be able to <a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB10001424052748704022804575041632860721438.html\" >separate<\/a> these things out. And it&#8217;s conceivable that that&#8217;s where the Senate ends up.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Unlike last year, the White House&rsquo;s proposed 2011 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/omb\/factsheet_key_clean_energy\/\" >budget<\/a>,<br \/>which came out Monday, assumes no revenue from a &#8220;cap-and-trade&#8221;<br \/>program. In a footnote, the administration says that in the event<br \/>revenues materialize, they should be used in &#8220;climate-related purposes&#8221;<br \/>for industry and consumers. The budget eliminates fossil-fuel<br \/>subsidies, boosts EPA funding to implement its greenhouse gas<br \/>regulations, and triples loan guarantees to the nuclear industry, to<br \/>$54 billion, an olive branch to the GOP that is likely to rankle the<br \/>left.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The key Republican in the Senate climate debate, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/gwire\/2010\/02\/03\/03greenwire-sen-graham-slams-push-for-a-half-assed-energy-54765.html\" >pushed back<\/a> at his colleagues who favored an energy-only bill, saying, &#8220;If the<br \/>approach is to try to pass some half-assed energy bill and say that&#8217;s<br \/>moving the ball down the road, forget it with me.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Washington beyond politics:<\/strong> The Defense<br \/>Department includes a dense, serious four pages on climate change and<br \/>energy security in its 128-page Quadrennial Defense <a href=\"http:\/\/www.defense.gov\/QDR\/\" >Review<\/a> [pp 84-88]. Planners write that global warming will challenge the kinds<br \/>of missions the military will carry out. The authors rely on official<br \/>U.S. scientific reports, including the U.S. Global Change Research<br \/>Program&#8217;s 2009 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalchange.gov\/publications\/reports\/scientific-assessments\/us-impacts\" >overview<\/a>,<br \/>and intelligence sources. The QDR observes that &#8220;climate-related<br \/>changes are already being observed in every region of the world,<br \/>including the United States and its coastal waters.&#8221; Climate change, to<br \/>Defense planners is &#8220;an accelerant of instability or conflict.&#8221; The<br \/>military will also have to adapt to changes along with everyone else: &#8220;In 2008, the National Intelligence Council judged that more than 30<br \/>U.S. military installations were already facing elevated levels of risk<br \/>from rising sea levels.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Politics beyond Washington:<\/strong> The Quadrennial Defense Review provides a sobering dose of reality to<br \/>the political arena, where the driving motivation for strong policy is<br \/>employment. And that message faces strong headwinds.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>In California, fiscal woe is undermining public support for<br \/>leadership in climate and environmental policy. A bill to repeal the<br \/>state&#8217;s climate solutions law, known as A.B. 32, has failed in the<br \/>legislature. It would have suspended the law&#8217;s implementation, due in<br \/>2012, until California&#8217;s state employment rate falls to 5.5 percent,<br \/>from the current 12.4 percent. Opponents are <a href=\"http:\/\/newsmanager.commpartners.com\/cipammr\/issues\/2010-02-01.html\" >pressing<\/a> for a November public referendum to repeal. Separately, the oil, chemical, and trucking industries are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/local\/la-me-oil-suit3-2010feb03,0,4569077.story\" >suing<\/a> California over its low-carbon fuels regulations, which took effect<br \/>last month. The suit charges that the state rules violate the<br \/>constitution by interfering with interstate trade. The rules, they<br \/>argue, discriminate against out-of-state fuel companies.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Internationally, the Guardian <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/environment\/2010\/feb\/01\/climate-change-deal-impossible-2010\" >concludes<\/a> from chats with international climate specialists that &#8220;a global deal<br \/>to tackle climate change is all but impossible in 2010,&#8221; leaving an<br \/>uneasy trajectory.&nbsp; Jan. 31 was the &#8220;soft&#8221; deadline for nations to<br \/>submit to the UNFCC their emissions reduction commitments or national<br \/>mitigation actions. Fifty-countries complied with the deadline set out<br \/>in the Copenhagen Accord, including the European Union members. Top<br \/>U.N. officials who <a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/s\/ap\/20100201\/ap_on_re_us\/un_un_climate\" >assessed<\/a> the pledges have expressed concern that the numbers are very unlikely<br \/>to meet the political aspiration of keeping global warming limited to<br \/>two degrees. The U.S. submitted language similar to what Obama promised<br \/>at Copenhagen, a 17 percent emissions cut below 2005 levels in 2020.<br \/>Europe would reduce 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020. China and<br \/>India have pledged reductions in the carbon-intensity of their fuels.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Intergovernmental Panel for Corrections and Clarifications: <\/strong>Twenty-six percent of the Netherlands is below sea level. This unremarkable fact surfaced this week after a Dutch magazine <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nrc.nl\/international\/article2476086.ece\/New_mistake_found_in_UN_climate_report\" >discovered<\/a> the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) put 55 percent of<br \/>the land below the threshold in its 2007 report (55 percent of the land<br \/>is vulnerable to flooding). Finger-pointing ensued. Perhaps the IPCC<br \/>was thinking not of the modern Netherlands, but the Batavian Republic<br \/>of the late 18th century, which was smaller and more concentrated by<br \/>the sea?<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>How can such mistakes be avoided in the future? If you ask<br \/>cryptographers how to reduce the potential for mistakes, they&#8217;ll tell<br \/>you to publish everything about a cryptographic system publicly. If<br \/>there are security flaws, some enterprising hacker will find them. The<br \/>same idea applies to Wikipedia, whose quality control is only as good<br \/>as its volunteer community gardeners. It&#8217;s not a new idea. Attending a<br \/>livestock exhibition a century ago, the scientist Francis Galton was<br \/>surprised to discover that in a contest, no individual accurately<br \/>guessed the weight of an ox, yet the average of more than 800 guesses<br \/>hit the mark.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>If so many of us are interested in helping scrutinize the second<br \/>review draft of the fifth IPCC report, perhaps there is a way to make<br \/>it easier for good Samaritan fact-checkers to root out what turn out to<br \/>be dumb mistakes. The IPCC is already an openly collaborative<br \/>work&#8212;scientific peer review is the original &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wired.com\/wired\/archive\/14.06\/crowds.html\" >crowdsourced<\/a>&#8221; enterprise. And the organization is up front about the process by which it produces its comprehensive reports [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/pdf\/ipcc-principles\/ipcc-principles-appendix-a.pdf\" >pdf<\/a>]. How can public readers of Web-published drafts strengthen the next final report?<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Concerns about a lack of crowdsourcing go to the heart of<br \/>accusations over what, if anything, was wrong or distasteful about the<br \/>tranche of more than 1,000 e-mail messages hacked out of University of<br \/>East Anglia servers late last year. Yesterday, an ad hoc committee of<br \/>Pennsylvania State University administrators cleared paleoclimatologist<br \/>Michael Mann on three of four concerns arising from the UEA e-mails [<a href=\"http:\/\/theclimatepost.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/04\/in-which-everything-feels-like-its-come-to-a-full-stop\/Findings_Mann_Inquiry.pdf\" >pdf<\/a>]:<br \/>that he made up or falsified data; disregarded protections on other<br \/>researchers; and failed to disclose financial conflicts of interests. A<br \/>fourth inquiry&#8212;&#8220;failure to comply with other applicable legal<br \/>requirements governing research or other scholarly activities&#8221;&#8212;will be<br \/>looked at by a group of faculty members, because the administrative<br \/>committee wasn&#8217;t in a proper position to evaluate.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>Question of the week:<\/strong> If you&#8217;ve read this far down, and do every week, you officially are a friend of the Climate Post. Thank you. Lunch with a couple friends of Climate Post turned on a&#8212;perhaps the&#8212;central<br \/>question in talking about this stuff: How (on Earth) can we tell<br \/>experiential, photo-friendly stories about a phenomena experienced most confidently<br \/>only by satellites, digitized ocean buoys, and air-sipping,<br \/>laser-blasting, carbon-dioxide-molecule counting <a href=\"http:\/\/cdiac.ornl.gov\/trends\/co2\/graphics\/machine.jpg\" >machines<\/a>? In the post-Copenhagen world of Waxman-Markey purgatory, what do we talk about when we talk about climate change?<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Have you personally experienced global warming? And how do you know<br \/>that, exactly? Let&#8217;s hear about it. We can crowdsource the big story embedded in<br \/>them.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>IPCC, brown-paper cover edition:<\/strong> In a move no one could have foreseen, embattled IPCC chief Rejendra Pachauri last month published a lascivious romance <a href=\"http:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/home\/sunday-toi\/book-mark\/Return-to-Almora-A-spiritual-potboiler-\/articleshow\/5491811.cms\" >novel<\/a>, Return to Almora, which he wrote during recent years traveling the world as a celebrity scientist. Full stop.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related Links:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2010-02-04-a-chat-with-bernie-sanders-on-his-new-10-million-solar-roofs-bil\/\">A chat with Sen. Bernie Sanders on his new 10 million solar roofs bill<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/a-ballot-initiative-by-any-other-name\/\">Anti-jobs &#8216;California Jobs Initiative&#8217; crew threatens suit over name change<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.grist.org\/article\/2010-02-01-digging-into-obamas-2011-budget\/\">Digging into Obama&#8217;s 2011 budget on energy and the environment<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/click.phdo?s=62bf8bd9f441da9009020c684f0b70f6&#038;p=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" style=\"border: 0;\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/img.phdo?s=62bf8bd9f441da9009020c684f0b70f6&#038;p=1\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=\"http:\/\/a.rfihub.com\/eus.gif?eui=2223\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Eric Roston First things first: President Barack Obamadefended a market-based system to limit the pollution of heat-trappinggases, a core part of his legislative agenda, even as he acknowledgedthe Senate may pursue an energy bill without one. He spoke to a &#8220;townhall&#8221; meeting in Nashua, N.H., about the potential of Senators removingtechnology-and-jobs legislation from the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":765,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-278732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/765"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=278732"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278732\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=278732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=278732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=278732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}