{"id":305623,"date":"2010-02-11T02:38:13","date_gmt":"2010-02-11T07:38:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/?p=6683"},"modified":"2010-02-11T02:38:13","modified_gmt":"2010-02-11T07:38:13","slug":"artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/305623","title":{"rendered":"Artificial intelligence at the human level"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p>KurzweilAI.net &#8212; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kurzweilai.net\/news\/frame.html?main=\/news\/news_single.html?id%3D11797\" >Maybe by 2050? <\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<table border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"2\" cellpadding=\"5\" width=\"100%\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\">How Long Till Human-Level AI?<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td bgcolor=\"#EEEEEE\">H+, Feb. 5, 2010<\/p>\n<p>A significant numbers of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Individual')\">individual<\/a>s informed about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Artificial%20intelligence%20(AI)')\">AI<\/a> believe it is likely that artificial general\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Intelligence')\">intelligence<\/a> (AGI) at the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Human')\">human<\/a> level or beyond will occur around the middle of this century, and plausibly even sooner, probably integrating a wide range of approaches, according to a survey of 21 AGI-09 conference participants.<\/p>\n<p>The experts were asked when they estimated\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Artificial%20intelligence%20(AI)')\">AI<\/a> would reach each of four milestones:<\/p>\n<li> passing the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Turing%20Test')\">Turing test<\/a> by carrying on a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Conversation')\">conversation<\/a>well enough to pass as a human<\/li>\n<li> solving problems as well as a third grade\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Element')\">element<\/a>ary school student<\/li>\n<li> performing Nobel-quality scientific work<\/li>\n<li> going beyond the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Human')\">human<\/a> level to superhuman\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/2010\/02\/11\/artificial-intelligence-at-the-human-level\/loadBrain('Intelligence')\">intelligence<\/a>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/hplusmagazine.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/articles\/feb10\/AIPollhplus_article_chart2.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/hplusmagazine.com\/articles\/ai\/how-long-till-human-level-ai\" >Read Original Article&gt;&gt;<\/a><\/li>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>  <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/gocomments\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/comments\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\" \/><\/a> <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/godelicious\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/delicious\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\" \/><\/a> <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/gostumble\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/stumble\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\" \/><\/a> <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/godigg\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/digg\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\" \/><\/a> <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/goreddit\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.wordpress.com\/1.0\/reddit\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/6683\/\" \/><\/a> <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/stats.wordpress.com\/b.gif?host=davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com&#038;blog=2464417&#038;post=6683&#038;subd=davidkirkpatrick&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>KurzweilAI.net &#8212; Maybe by 2050? How Long Till Human-Level AI? H+, Feb. 5, 2010 A significant numbers of\u00a0individuals informed about\u00a0AI believe it is likely that artificial general\u00a0intelligence (AGI) at the\u00a0human level or beyond will occur around the middle of this century, and plausibly even sooner, probably integrating a wide range of approaches, according to a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4050,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-305623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/305623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4050"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=305623"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/305623\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=305623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=305623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=305623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}