{"id":380724,"date":"2010-03-02T15:19:24","date_gmt":"2010-03-02T20:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/davidkirkpatrick.wordpress.com\/?p=6911"},"modified":"2010-03-02T15:19:24","modified_gmt":"2010-03-02T20:19:24","slug":"is-health-care-reform-going-to-pass","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/380724","title":{"rendered":"Is health care reform going to pass?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Looks like it. Here’s a solid analysis from Jonathan Bernstein<\/a> guest-blogging at the Daily Dish.<\/p>\n

From the link:<\/p>\n

\n

Item:\u00a0Ten House Dems<\/a> who voted against the bill the first time around are telling the AP (via<\/a> Jonathan Chait) that they might vote yes this time around.\u00a0 Chait is right about the incentives here as far as public statements are concerned.\u00a0 I’d put it this way: there’s an easily understandable story of going from no, to maybe, to yes…but it makes no sense at all to go from no, to maybe, to no.<\/p>\n

I should emphasize here that it is very, very rare for the majority to lose a high-stakes vote on final passage on the House floor.\u00a0 You just don’t bring a bill to the floor unless you know you’re going to win.\u00a0 I can’t imagine a reason that Nancy Pelosi and the White House would bring this to the floor knowing that they were going to lose, for some sort of spin advantage.\u00a0 They either know that they have the votes, or it’s the biggest bluff in who knows how long.\u00a0 Keep watching: does the president really announce the schedule tomorrow that was leaked today?\u00a0 Does the Speaker really keep to that schedule, or do leaks start appearing about pushing it back a few days?\u00a0 I don’t think so, however.\u00a0 I think they have the votes.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\"\"<\/a> \"\"<\/a> \"\"<\/a> \"\"<\/a> \"\"<\/a> \"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Looks like it. Here’s a solid analysis from Jonathan Bernstein guest-blogging at the Daily Dish. From the link: Item:\u00a0Ten House Dems who voted against the bill the first time around are telling the AP (via Jonathan Chait) that they might vote yes this time around.\u00a0 Chait is right about the incentives here as far as […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4050,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-380724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4050"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380724\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}