{"id":415085,"date":"2010-03-11T06:06:32","date_gmt":"2010-03-11T11:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/futuresavvy.net\/?p=1215"},"modified":"2010-03-11T06:06:32","modified_gmt":"2010-03-11T11:06:32","slug":"%e2%80%98we-need-to-find-a-way-to-make-futurism-dull%e2%80%99-says-mr-foresight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/415085","title":{"rendered":"\u2018We need to find a way to make futurism dull,\u2019 says Mr Foresight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Paul <a href=\"http:\/\/www.saffo.com\/aboutps\/index.php\" >Saffo<\/a> is always good value, and doesn&#8217;t shy from polemic. In this talk at the Foresight Institute 2010 conference, Saffo, emeritus and alumnus of the the foresight industry for over 20 years has a full swipe at &#8216;futurists&#8217; who participate in &#8216;future-entertainment&#8217; or profess to &#8217;see into the future;&#8217; but calls for the broad infusion of foresight into public debate, including the restitution of the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment (OTA) scrapped by Newt Gingrich in 1995.<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><code><object classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" width=\"400\" height=\"300\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/vimeo.com\/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=9508049&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=1&amp;show_byline=1&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=&amp;fullscreen=1\" \/><embed type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"400\" height=\"300\" src=\"http:\/\/vimeo.com\/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=9508049&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=1&amp;show_byline=1&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=&amp;fullscreen=1\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\"><\/embed><\/object> <\/code><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/vimeo.com\/9508049\">&#8220;Profiles of the Future&#8221;<\/a> at the <a href=\"http:\/\/vimeo.com\/foresightinst\">Foresight Institute 2010 conference<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Says Saffo: &#8220;Futurists today are talking to the wrong people, don&#8217;t have good methods (for the most part,) and are still doing the kinds of silly things we did (or they did) when futurism got started&#8230;We should have an instant prohibition on anyone who writes an article titled: &#8216;Top 10 Trends to Watch&#8217;&#8230; We&#8217;ve got to get rid of this &#8216;future entertainment&#8217; stuff and &#8216;top-10 trends&#8217; stuff, and get serious.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Part of the raison d&#8217;etre of <em>Future Savvy<\/em>, of course, is to demythologize exactly this kind of self-promoting infotainment foresight, and give real-world managers a way to see through it. Thinking long-term is too important to allow it to be tainted by snake-oil salesmen. Saffo admits he&#8217;s ranting on this topic (as I do too.) In a less ranting mode, he would probably admit there are also many high-quality thinkers doing exemplary foresight work. Certainly he&#8217;s all in favor of thinking long-term, and doing it better.<\/p>\n<p>Saffo&#8217;s solution? &#8220;Move foresight to the masses; make policy conversations cool; engage powerful myopics (short-term thinkers on Wall Street and other financial institutions); engage politicians (incl. via the OTA). But he doesn&#8217;t say how, and of course therein lies the rub.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><a class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/home\/?status=http:\/\/r4rnn.th8.us\" title=\"Post to Twitter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb\" src=\"http:\/\/futuresavvy.net\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/tt-twitter-micro1.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" title=\"We need to find a way to make futurism dull, says Mr Foresight\" \/><\/a> <a class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/home\/?status=http:\/\/r4rnn.th8.us\" title=\"Post to Twitter\">Tweet This Post<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Saffo is always good value, and doesn&#8217;t shy from polemic. In this talk at the Foresight Institute 2010 conference, Saffo, emeritus and alumnus of the the foresight industry for over 20 years has a full swipe at &#8216;futurists&#8217; who participate in &#8216;future-entertainment&#8217; or profess to &#8217;see into the future;&#8217; but calls for the broad [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5646,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-415085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/415085","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5646"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=415085"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/415085\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=415085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=415085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=415085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}