{"id":476975,"date":"2010-03-26T18:46:03","date_gmt":"2010-03-26T22:46:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/washingtonindependent.com\/?p=80715"},"modified":"2010-03-26T18:46:03","modified_gmt":"2010-03-26T22:46:03","slug":"into-the-guts-of-new-start-how-to-get-from-here-to-zero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/476975","title":{"rendered":"Into the Guts of New START: How to Get From Here to Zero?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So we knew earlier today that the U.S.-Russia New START nuclear reductions treaty <a href=\"http:\/\/washingtonindependent.com\/80594\/new-start-details\">caps deployed warheads at 1,550<\/a>, a 30 percent reduction from the Bush-Putin &#8220;Moscow Treaty&#8221; of 2002, and sets a limit of 700 deployed intercontinental and submarine-launched ballistic missiles and heavy bombers. What we didn&#8217;t know from today&#8217;s press conference is that there&#8217;ll be 18 annual on-site inspections &#8212; meaning a guy will be observing the destruction of stuff and counting warheads on missiles at missile bases and storage facilities &#8212; to ensure compliance.<span id=\"more-80715\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Unlike under previous accords, there won&#8217;t simply be a reliance on data provided by the parties to make sure the deployed missiles, subs, bombers and warheads numbers add up. (Ironically, if the treaty relied entirely on so-called telemetric data &#8212; basically, <a href=\"http:\/\/nukesofhazardblog.com\/story\/2010\/1\/14\/16947\/4472\">observing this stuff from long distance and by technological inference<\/a> &#8212; that might be bad for U.S. missile-defense plans.) Verification will be a key aspect of getting the treaty through the Senate.<\/p>\n<p>The question that arms controllers are going to have isn&#8217;t going to concern New START. It&#8217;s going to concern what comes <em>after <\/em>New START<em>. <\/em>The lifespan of the treaty is ten years. After ten years, the U.S. and Russia will each possess &#8230; up to 1,550 deployed warheads and 700 deployed things with which to deliver them. But last year in Prague &#8212; where this treaty will be signed &#8212; President Obama outlined an ultimate vision of a nuclear-free world. How to get from here to there?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A great deal depends on the presidential statements in Prague &#8212; what they say about what the next steps are,&#8221; said Joe Ciricincione, president of the Ploughshares Fund. If they &#8220;rest on their laurels&#8221; in Prague on April 8, then it won&#8217;t be enough. And that&#8217;s going to be a moment of great momentum: It&#8217;ll build up to a 44-nation conference in Washington next month on nuclear security, which will then build up to a spring summit in New York about strengthening the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. In other words, to other nations, both non-nuclear and nuclear &#8212; recall that the U.S. and Russia account for over 90 percent of the world&#8217;s nuclear weapons &#8212; the gains of New START don&#8217;t look as great as the gap between <em>their<\/em> capabilities and the U.S.&#8217;s and Russians&#8217;. And on the path to a nuke-free world, that&#8217;s a big deal.<\/p>\n<p>Obama has &#8220;got to stay with the vision he articulated a year ago,&#8221; Cirincione continued, urging the nuclear negotiating teams &#8212; exhausted after months of arduous work to cobble together New START &#8212; to &#8220;enjoy the victory of the moment, get some R&amp;R and come back for another tour of duty.&#8221; If Obama shows the rest of the world that he really is committed to lead on nuclear security and disarmament, even beyond New START, &#8220;this could be one of the defining moments of his presidency.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So we knew earlier today that the U.S.-Russia New START nuclear reductions treaty caps deployed warheads at 1,550, a 30 percent reduction from the Bush-Putin &#8220;Moscow Treaty&#8221; of 2002, and sets a limit of 700 deployed intercontinental and submarine-launched ballistic missiles and heavy bombers. What we didn&#8217;t know from today&#8217;s press conference is that there&#8217;ll [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4314,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-476975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476975","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4314"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=476975"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476975\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=476975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=476975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=476975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}