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Not even four months after the event, we are already seeing a reevaluation of the U.N.’s\u00a0Copenhagen climate summit<\/a> and the accord that came out of it.<\/p>\n The Vine blog had a piece<\/a> yesterday reporting that the initiatives that came out of Copenhagen have a good chance of holding warming to 2 degrees celsius by 2100. Today, FT Energy Source follows up<\/a> with a report that is slightly more pessimistic but much sunnier than anything we were seeing in December.<\/span>The Vine leans heavily on research by Trevor Houser<\/a> at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, who found that the Copenhagen commitments give the world a 50 percent chance of limiting warming to 2 degrees by 2100.<\/p>\n Still, the blog notes that the United States\u2019 commitment to emissions curbs, or lack thereof, is the crucial variable.<\/p>\n FT Energy Source tempers Houser\u2019s conclusions with the projections from Project Catalyst and the Center for American Progress (CAP), both of which are guessing that warming could top out at 3 degree Celsius.<\/p>\n The U.N. says that 110 countries have signed onto the accord, FT reports.<\/p>\n The business-as-usual scenario is about 4.8 degrees, according to CAP.<\/p>\n One bonus: since the Copenhagen accord was not legally binding countries could still manage to negotiate a more ambitious goal.<\/p>\n Following the conventional wisdom, we were negative about Copenhagen in December too.<\/p>\n At best, it still looks like a work in progress.<\/p>\n Not even four months after the event, we are already seeing a reevaluation of the U.N.’s\u00a0Copenhagen climate summit and the accord that came out of it. The Vine blog had a piece yesterday reporting that the initiatives that came out of Copenhagen have a good chance of holding warming to 2 degrees celsius by 2100. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":854,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-517894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/517894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/854"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=517894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/517894\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=517894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=517894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=517894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"