{"id":566804,"date":"2010-05-17T15:09:59","date_gmt":"2010-05-17T19:09:59","guid":{"rendered":"tag:theatlantic.com,2010-05-17:mt-56838"},"modified":"2010-05-17T15:09:59","modified_gmt":"2010-05-17T19:09:59","slug":"2009-vintage-re-remics-downgraded-to-junk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/566804","title":{"rendered":"2009-vintage Re-Remics Downgraded to Junk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20602093&amp;sid=arnyykQtFRUM\" >this<\/a> is embarrassing. Remember last year when <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/business\/archive\/09\/10\/reremics-really\/27639\/\" >we learned<\/a> that the investment banks were using their toxic real estate assets to create fancy securitization products called re-remics? Turns out the new bonds aren&#8217;t any better than the poisonous ones. Rating agency S&amp;P is downgrading many of&nbsp;them, as some have deteriorated to junk. <\/p>\n<p>In case you forget how re-remics work, here&#8217;s a diagram from that post back in October, via the <a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB125434502953253695.html\" >WSJ<\/a>: <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mt-image-none\" alt=\"Re-Remic WSJ - 2.gif\" src=\"http:\/\/assets.theatlantic.com\/static\/mt\/assets\/business\/Re-Remic%20WSJ%20-%202.gif\" width=\"555\" height=\"305\" \/><\/p>\n<p>308 classes of re-remics created from 2005 through 2009 were downgraded, according to Bloomberg. Some were issued as recently as last July. You might have thought&nbsp;S&amp;P learned from its mistakes, but apparently not. <\/p>\n<p>This is a pretty awful result for the advocates of real estate securitization. In theory, it should be possible to design a well-performing bond backed by a pool of mortgages that sustains significant losses. It&#8217;s just unclear why the rating agencies can&#8217;t get it right. It&#8217;s one thing to get it wrong during the housing boom. But once they realized their mistakes, how did S&amp;P miss again, so soon? Clearly, its assumptions still aren&#8217;t conservative enough. <\/p>\n<p>But this news shouldn&#8217;t be taken as a verdict that condemns securitization. Certainly, there&#8217;s some amount of credit enhancement &#8212; excess cushion for mortgage losses &#8212; that could prevent senior bonds from taking a hit. Rating agencies just can&#8217;t seem to get the numbers right. As a result, investors should do their own work to determine more reasonable assumptions. <\/p>\n<p>This news could further delay the return of the mortgage securitization market. Now that the Federal Reserve is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/business\/archive\/2010\/03\/how-will-the-feds-mbs-exit-affect-mortgage-rates\/38249\/\" >done<\/a> buying mortgage securities, it needs private investors to re-enter the market. Although there were <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/business\/archive\/2010\/04\/will-the-first-mbs-in-2-years-jumpstart-the-market\/39510\/\" >some rumblings<\/a> last month that the private mortgage-backed-securities were coming back, S&amp;P&#8217;s continued bumbling could keep investors away. Without their funding, however, mortgage availability will suffer and mortgage interest rates will rise. <\/p>\n<p>(h\/t: <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.reuters.com\/felix-salmon\/2010\/05\/17\/the-farce-of-structured-credit-ratings\/\" >Felix Salmon<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:163bfacd53a5e915ac1c077da42822a4:KCZOEWfbicxphGg%2FlYKsKgjbUYmpkH0oCNUwBN5ojSDDR6jf%2FyPccaIll5EnwgPb%2BImntJmphbod'><img border='0' title='Email this Article' alt='Email this Article' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/emailthis.png'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:e6b8a5e5236dccc0d94f8f87fad67bc0:zLnp5Zbo95aBH3%2F%2FLZ4vJakwXRcXzf%2BNp8TKxDGEyLw%2FbhBgwaITavd5XbiQ%2Bh8pwkrlsBbWCGZs'><img border='0' title='Add to digg' alt='Add to digg' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/digg.gif'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:ef00401c4f6eaeebf1f4dbb0daa2858e:%2BQ87pKYTTOSVBtD2pnzeNPohhiii1OfxEekM8HTYad0GSCDcwTZF%2F2FeYENKMymj90SHReAh3shm'><img border='0' title='Add to Reddit' alt='Add to Reddit' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/reddit.png'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:9a27a88d8dad73536efa9feab78910c5:AvSczGnhM6mevsp4j%2B%2Fx17OZRuHJQIMNiiTPTtJ90jBsER5pwzpH4s%2F580CTrZmTiRf3fy50oGAiAQ%3D%3D'><img border='0' title='Add to Twitter' alt='Add to Twitter' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/twitter.png'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:ba37a4f43062ffe459353d035065fba6:4LFHMqU5%2FZesWEmW0vSnZxNu9NA66Mt7k%2BUUZubfX9hMm%2FF34zmGxTnq4tVVwXiAGkLmJqT1NDGh'><img border='0' title='Add to del.icio.us' alt='Add to del.icio.us' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/delicious.gif'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:45ed30b40227e6224e3740e0a5885fc5:L2AcH4etPmvDaCOaV%2Bga4Lj97XIEZrOX0un9Kvxsp5ul1wAAwQ5x0u7CI1z4XLoXQnyYB0jA2DBJVQ%3D%3D'><img border='0' title='Add to StumbleUpon' alt='Add to StumbleUpon' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/stumbleit.gif'\/><\/a><br \/>\n  <a style='font-size: 10px; color: maroon;' href='http:\/\/www.pheedcontent.com\/hostedMorselClick.php?hfmm=v3:39babc27fa6b7440a662113dec9cdef0:8MpbcW%2F5I0em3n4519%2F4d%2Fej5P6LvKRhnU1snrlEnCRwQ1BXsh26YTmJYGA4Bk5LqkYPZYuoVmX4zg%3D%3D'><img border='0' title='Add to Facebook' alt='Add to Facebook' src='http:\/\/images.pheedo.com\/images\/mm\/facebook.gif'\/><\/a><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/click.phdo?s=880f55abf186de6414b9ce0c51296f87&#038;p=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" style=\"border: 0;\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/img.phdo?s=880f55abf186de6414b9ce0c51296f87&#038;p=1\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n<img alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=%22http:\/\/a.triggit.com\/px?u=pheedo&#038;rtv=TechBiz\n&#038;rtv=p29959&#038;rtv=f33822\"\/><img alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=%22http:\/\/pixel.quantserve.com\/pixel\/p-8bUhLiluj0fAw.gif?labels=pub.29959.rss.TechBiz\n.33822,cat.TechBiz\n.rss\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/AtlanticBusinessChannel\/~4\/xO1WcKEU3Zw\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well this is embarrassing. Remember last year when we learned that the investment banks were using their toxic real estate assets to create fancy securitization products called re-remics? Turns out the new bonds aren&#8217;t any better than the poisonous ones. Rating agency S&amp;P is downgrading many of&nbsp;them, as some have deteriorated to junk. In case [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1535,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-566804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1535"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=566804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566804\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=566804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=566804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=566804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}