{"id":574691,"date":"2010-05-21T11:00:04","date_gmt":"2010-05-21T15:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/?p=121463"},"modified":"2010-05-21T11:00:04","modified_gmt":"2010-05-21T15:00:04","slug":"it%e2%80%99s-a-long-way-to-widespread-lte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/574691","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s a Long Way to Widespread LTE"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s going to take <a href=\"http:\/\/www.samknows.com\/broadband\/news\/profile-america-will-lead-4g-adoption-but-not-overnight-says-analyst-keith-mallinson-10703.html\">almost 10 years for the sale of LTE devices<\/a> to overtake 3G devices, according to an analyst who follows the industry. Keith Mallinson, founder of WiseHarbor, estimates the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wiseharbor.com\/forecast.html\">tipping point between LTE and 3G<\/a> will occur in 2019 and said the U.S. will be an early leader when it comes to deploying the technology, in part because of the National Broadband Plan&#8217;s reliance on mobile. Mallinson also expects China to move quickly to LTE because its largest mobile operator, China Mobile, doesn&#8217;t like being forced to use Chinese developed 3G technology.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.files.wordpress.com\/2010\/05\/diagram-big.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/gigaom.files.wordpress.com\/2010\/05\/diagram-big.gif?w=604&#038;h=456\" alt=\"\" title=\"diagram-big\" width=\"604\" height=\"456\"  class=\"alignleft size-large wp-image-121492\" ><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the last few days, I&#8217;ve received <a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/14\/bummer-today-i-got-a-lte-reality-check\/\">several LTE reality checks<\/a>, such as the news that by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abiresearch.com\/press\/1654-2012+Will+Be+a+%E2%80%9CBellwether%E2%80%9D+Year+for+4G,+Says+ABI+Research\">2014 there will only be 150 million LTE<\/a> subscriptions, or <a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/17\/exclusive-the-details-on-atts-bridge-to-lte\/\">AT&amp;T&#8217;s belief that true LTE handsets<\/a> that are as diverse in features as the current 3G handsets won&#8217;t even hit the market until 2014 (even though Verizon is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.engadget.com\/2010\/05\/17\/verizon-to-offer-up-to-five-lte-handsets-by-next-may-android\/\">bringing five LTE handsets<\/a> to market next year).<\/p>\n<div id=\"inline-related-posts-121463\" class=\"widget inline-related-posts alignleft clearfix\">\n<div class=\"widget-wrap\">\n<div class=\"widget-title-wrap clearfix\">\n<h2 class=\"widget-title\">More on <span><a class=\"category-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/topic\/lte\/\" title=\"LTE\">LTE<\/a><\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<ul class=\"inline-related-posts\">\n<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-related-posts-article\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/20\/americas-amazing-rise-to-3g-dominance\/\">America\u2019s Amazing Rise to&nbsp;3G\u00a0Dominance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"brand-icon gigaom\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\" title=\"Visit: GigaOM - This is a description.\">Tech Insider<\/a><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-related-posts-article\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/17\/exclusive-the-details-on-atts-bridge-to-lte\/\">Exclusive: The Details on AT&#038;T&#8217;s Bridge to&nbsp;LTE<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"brand-icon gigaom\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\" title=\"Visit: GigaOM - This is a description.\">Tech Insider<\/a><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-related-posts-article\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/14\/bummer-today-i-got-a-lte-reality-check\/\">Bummer &#8211;Today I Got an LTE Reality&nbsp;Check<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"brand-icon gigaom\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\" title=\"Visit: GigaOM - This is a description.\">Tech Insider<\/a><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"inline-related-posts-article\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/12\/t-mobile-loses-customers-hopes-its-3-5g-bet-pays-off\/\">T-Mobile Loses Customers, Hopes Its 3.5G Bet Pays&nbsp;Off<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"brand-icon gigaom\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\" title=\"Visit: GigaOM - This is a description.\">Tech Insider<\/a><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<div class=\"widget-bottom clearfix\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Still, I&#8217;m optimistic, mostly because I can see faster speeds on the horizon. For <a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/05\/17\/exclusive-the-details-on-atts-bridge-to-lte\/#comments\">those upset at my focus on speeds<\/a> at the expense of network quality and capacity, I&#8217;m encouraged by LTE for two reasons: the technology itself is more efficient, which means we can cram more bits into each hertz, but it is also being deployed in new spectrum, which will help meet capacity and bandwidth needs as well. Of course, it&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/gigaom.com\/2010\/03\/05\/whats-slowing-down-verizons-lte-speeds\/\">not going to provide the quality or consistency<\/a> of wireline broadband, but expecting that would be kind of like believing in the tooth fairy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related GigaOM Pro content<\/strong> (sub req&#8217;d):<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/pro.gigaom.com\/2010\/02\/everybody-hertz-the-looming-spectrum-crisis\/?utm_source=gigaom&#038;utm_medium=editorial&#038;utm_content=shigginbotham&#038;utm_campaign=related\">Everybody Hertz: The Looming Spectrum Crisis <\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/stats.wordpress.com\/b.gif?host=gigaom.com&#038;blog=1149864&#038;post=121463&#038;subd=gigaom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1\" \/><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\n\t<a href='http:\/\/gigaom.com\/sponsor\/alcatel-lucent\/?utm_source=RSS&amp;utm_medium=Banner&amp;utm_campaign=RSS%2BLucent'><br \/>\n\t\t<img src='http:\/\/a.gigaom.com\/feed-injector\/img\/lucent-2010-05-17.gif' alt='Alcatel-Lucent NextGen Communications Spotlight &mdash; Learn More &raquo;' border='0' \/><br \/>\n\t<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?a=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?a=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?i=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?a=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?i=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?a=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?a=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:D7DqB2pKExk\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/OmMalik?i=ijOf7OfBRcQ:zhsKC4gWD2A:D7DqB2pKExk\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/OmMalik\/~4\/ijOf7OfBRcQ\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s going to take almost 10 years for the sale of LTE devices to overtake 3G devices, according to an analyst who follows the industry. Keith Mallinson, founder of WiseHarbor, estimates the tipping point between LTE and 3G will occur in 2019 and said the U.S. will be an early leader when it comes to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2813,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-574691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mobile","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2813"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=574691"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574691\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=574691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=574691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=574691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}