{"id":57567,"date":"2009-12-01T13:06:00","date_gmt":"2009-12-01T18:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/socgens-albert-edwards-even-the-bulls-should-know-theyre-screwed-2009-12"},"modified":"2009-12-01T13:06:00","modified_gmt":"2009-12-01T18:06:00","slug":"socgens-albert-edwards-even-the-bulls-should-know-theyre-screwed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/57567","title":{"rendered":"SocGen&#8217;s Albert Edwards: Even The Bulls Should Know They&#8217;re Screwed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The market is rallying, but so what. SocGen&#8217;s uber-bearish analyst Albert Edwards says you should be terrified if you&#8217;re a bull, and that if you&#8217;re not terrified, you&#8217;re probably deluding yourself.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ftalphaville.ft.com\/blog\/2009\/12\/01\/86431\/deep-down-even-the-fiercest-equity-bulls-must-be-doubting-themselves\/\">FT: Alphaville<\/a> has his latest report:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span class=\"quote\"><span><strong>We have just had the worst decade&rsquo;s performance for equity investors on record<\/strong>. Relative to government bonds, equities have been an even bigger disaster. Surely after such a terrible decade for equity investors things can only get better?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span class=\"quote\"><span><strong> On a ten year view, equities may indeed prove to be a good investment<\/strong>. On a 1-2 year view, however, we still see much pain to come. After what we have been though so far, where the bulls&rsquo; optimism has been crushed in 2001\/2 and in 2007\/8 surely there must be a heavy weight of self-doubt yoked onto the shoulders of the bulls &#8211; but apparently not!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span class=\"quote\"><span><strong>The lesson from Japan is that while de-leveraging plays itself out, the global economy will remain extremely vulnerable<\/strong>. The Great Moderation is dead. It was built on a super-cycle of private sector debt. We know from Japan, we now return to what was before, i.e. highly volatile and unpredictable cycles. Recession will quickly follow recovery.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"quote\"><span>And he concludes with this terrifying slide:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"quote\"><span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/static.businessinsider.com\/~~\/f?id=4b155ade0000000000ba1943&amp;maxX=455&amp;maxY=366\" border=\"0\" alt=\"inflation\" width=\"455\" height=\"366\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"quote\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"quote\"><span><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/ftalphaville.ft.com\/blog\/2009\/12\/01\/86431\/deep-down-even-the-fiercest-equity-bulls-must-be-doubting-themselves\/\">Read the whole thing at FT Alphaville &gt;&gt;<\/a><\/strong><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/socgens-albert-edwards-even-the-bulls-should-know-theyre-screwed-2009-12#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>See Also:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/socgen-analyst-warns-investors-to-beware-misstated-earnings-2009-12\">SocGen Analyst Warns Investors To Beware Misstated Earnings<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/albert-edwards-here-comes-a-trade-war-a-yuan-revaluation-and-a-stunning-chinese-trade-deficit-2009-11\">Albert Edwards: Here Comes A Trade War, A Yuan Revaluation, And A Stunning Chinese Trade Deficit<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/socgen-prepare-yourself-for-the-worst-case-scenario-2009-11\">SocGen: Prepare Yourself For The Worst Case Scenario!<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/9JNPo_9ivKk\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The market is rallying, but so what. SocGen&#8217;s uber-bearish analyst Albert Edwards says you should be terrified if you&#8217;re a bull, and that if you&#8217;re not terrified, you&#8217;re probably deluding yourself. FT: Alphaville has his latest report: We have just had the worst decade&rsquo;s performance for equity investors on record. Relative to government bonds, equities [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57567","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57567"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57567\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}