{"id":576337,"date":"2010-05-24T08:07:10","date_gmt":"2010-05-24T12:07:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/opec-oil-quota-compliance-2010-5"},"modified":"2010-05-24T08:07:10","modified_gmt":"2010-05-24T12:07:10","slug":"how-opecs-bad-behavior-could-send-oil-prices-into-a-self-reinforcing-tailspin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/576337","title":{"rendered":"How OPEC&#8217;s Bad Behavior Could Send Oil Prices Into A Self-Reinforcing Tailspin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"float_right\" src=\"http:\/\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bfa6b3c7f8b9a4449f20800-400-\/chavez.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Chavez\" width=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Oil has recovered from its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/flash-crash-in-oil-2010-5\">flash crash last week<\/a>, but it has by now breached key psychological levels.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, lower prices could counter-intuitively beget <em>increased<\/em> supply as many OPEC members could now be forced to cheat on their production quotas even more so than before in order to support their national budgets:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hellenicshippingnews.com\/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=102590&amp;Itemid=95\">Hellenic Shipping News:<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">According to OPEC&rsquo;s leading official, now that oil prices have fallen to $68-70 per barell, the first line of defence will be a better compliance. But if OPEC members cheat on exporting volumes when prices are high, things are more difficult when prices falling under the psychological level of $70 per barrel as their revenues are also falling.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">At the same time, another problem for OPEC members is that non-OPEC supply is rising in a fast way especially from Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Lower prices could push higher production beyond quotas, which push down prices even further, etc. Could this create a self-reinforcing cycle for the next, say $10, of downward action for oil prices?<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s probably a limit to this kind of behavior, but some OPEC members aren&#8217;t in the best of shape, such as Venezuela. Thus OPEC non-compliance could increase until it gets too obvious, via crashing oil prices, at which point OPEC members would be forced to come back into line with their cartel.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/opec-oil-quota-compliance-2010-5#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~at\/y9NC4qG5z5jzB68K1qkUZiTlGXY\/0\/da\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~at\/y9NC4qG5z5jzB68K1qkUZiTlGXY\/0\/di\" border=\"0\" ismap=\"true\"><\/img><\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~at\/y9NC4qG5z5jzB68K1qkUZiTlGXY\/1\/da\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~at\/y9NC4qG5z5jzB68K1qkUZiTlGXY\/1\/di\" border=\"0\" ismap=\"true\"><\/img><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?a=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?a=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?i=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?a=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?i=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?a=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?a=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/greensheet?i=9xq6XR_zPGk:2z0PeYr5wz4:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/greensheet\/~4\/9xq6XR_zPGk\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil has recovered from its flash crash last week, but it has by now breached key psychological levels. Moreover, lower prices could counter-intuitively beget increased supply as many OPEC members could now be forced to cheat on their production quotas even more so than before in order to support their national budgets: Hellenic Shipping News: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6205,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-576337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/576337","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6205"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=576337"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/576337\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=576337"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=576337"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=576337"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}