{"id":579902,"date":"2010-05-26T17:12:40","date_gmt":"2010-05-26T21:12:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/deficit-hawk-hypocrisy-is-getting-unbelievable-2010-5"},"modified":"2010-05-26T17:12:40","modified_gmt":"2010-05-26T21:12:40","slug":"deficit-hawk-hypocrisy-is-getting-unbelievable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/579902","title":{"rendered":"Deficit Hawk Hypocrisy Is Getting Unbelievable"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"float_right\" src=\"http:\/\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bfd875c7f8b9a4f0fee0000-332-249\/deficit-hawk.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"deficit hawk\" width=\"332\" height=\"249\" \/>How the elites are vying to undo the social safety net &mdash; and hurt  our chances for recovery.<br \/> <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Harold Meyerson <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/content\/article\/2010\/05\/25\/AR2010052504438.html?wpisrc=nl_cuzhead\">is  spot on<\/a>:  &ldquo;Of all the gaps between elite and mass opinion in  America today, perhaps the greatest is this: The elites don&rsquo;t really  believe we&rsquo;re still in recession. Or maybe, they just don&rsquo;t care.&rdquo;  What  is even more galling is that, having been the greatest beneficiaries of  the government&rsquo;s largesse over the past 2 years, these very same people  now decry the government&rsquo;s &ldquo;irresponsible&rdquo; and &ldquo;unsustainable&rdquo; fiscal  policy.<\/p>\n<p>The collective amnesia and moral turpitude of these elites is truly  mind-boggling.<\/p>\n<p>Why do we have a deficit of about 10% of GDP right now when it was  less than 2% about 3 years ago? The reasons are: the Obama stimulus, the  TARP, and the slower economy (which arose in response to a major  financial crisis, not because the government began an irrational and  irresponsible spending binge).  A slower economy leads to lower revenues  (less income=less taxes paid since most tax revenue is based on income,  and lower tax brackets) and higher spending on the social safety net.<\/p>\n<p>Conveniently lost in all of this furor about the deficit are the  beneficiaries of this recent government largesse.  It&rsquo;s certainly not  the unemployed or the vast majority of people who do not work in the  financial services industry.<\/p>\n<p>And let&rsquo;s stop with the now prevailing meme (regurgitated most  recently in John Heilemann&rsquo;s New Yorker Magazine piece, <a href=\"http:\/\/nymag.com\/news\/politics\/66188\/\">&ldquo;Obama is from Mars, Wall  Street is from Venus&rdquo;<\/a>) that the costs of the financial bailout are  minimal thanks to the &ldquo;successful&rdquo; measures taken to &ldquo;save&rdquo; our  financial system (as if it is worth saving in its current incarnation).   With the conspicuous exception of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newdeal20.org\/2010\/05\/04\/13-bankers-financialization-and-the-real-economy-10389\/\">Simon  Johnson<\/a>, virtually all analysts fail to factor in the fact that our  public debt to GDP ratio has moved from 40% of GDP to 90% in the space  of 2 years, directly as a consequence of the crisis of 2008.<\/p>\n<p>Naturally, the deficit terrorists are now out in force about this  fact, conveniently forgetting the underlying cause of this increase. So  are the journalists who cover it, Meyerson being a conspicuous  exception.  In a market economy, where most of us have to work to make a  material living, the threats posed by the likes of Pete Peterson and  the deficit hawk brigade represent a true impingement on our right to  work. As my friend <a href=\"http:\/\/bilbo.economicoutlook.net\/blog\/?p=9899#more-9899\">Bill  Mitchell notes<\/a>, &ldquo;the neo-liberals deliberately undermine the right  to work of millions and force them into a state of welfare dependence  and then start hacking into the welfare system to deny them the pittance  that the system delivers.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The elites who decry this government spending (especially the ones  from Wall Street) are akin to a person providing someone with 5 packs of  cigarettes a day and then bemoaning the fact that the recipient  irresponsibly contracted lung cancer.<\/p>\n<p>What will happen to the deficit as and when the economy finally  improves? The Obama stimulus and TARP go away in a few years regardless.  Tax revenues increase and safety net spending falls. We&rsquo;re back to  &ldquo;norma,l&rdquo; with deficits around 2-4% depending on the state of the  economy, which is where we&rsquo;ve been for the past 30 years aside from  1998-2001. Even <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/ftpdocs\/108xx\/doc10871\/01-26-Outlook.pdf\">CBO  agrees<\/a>, though what happens to the Bush tax cuts will have an effect  of about + or &#8211; 2% of GDP (depending on whether they are extended or  ended, respectively).<\/p>\n<p>In fact, full employment is also the best &ldquo;financial stability&rdquo;  reform we could implement, because with jobs growth comes higher income  growth and a corresponding ability to service debt.  That means less  write-offs for banks and a correspondingly smaller need to provide  government bailouts.<\/p>\n<p>Fiscal austerity, by contrast, won&rsquo;t cut it.  Our elites seem think  that you can cut &ldquo;wasteful government spending&rdquo; (that is, reduce private  demand further) and cut wages and hence private incomes and not expect  major multiplier effects to make things significantly worse. Of course,  that &ldquo;wasteful&rdquo;, &ldquo;unsustainable&rdquo; spending never seems to apply to the  Department of Defense, where we always seem to be able to appropriate a  few billion, whenever necessary.  &ldquo;Affordability&rdquo; principles never  extend to the Pentagon, it appears.<\/p>\n<p>Our policy-making elites also seem to have bought the IMF line that  the fiscal multipliers are relatively low and that the automatic  stabilizers (working to increase deficits as GDP falls) will not drown  out the discretionary cuts in net spending arising from the austerity  packages.  The overwhelming evidence is that this viewpoint is wrong and  implementation of policies based on it cause generational damages in  lost output, lost incomes, bankruptcy and lost employment (especially  denying new entrants from the schooling system a robust start to their  working life).<\/p>\n<p>The real issue is that those who are better off don&rsquo;t want to have  government intervention in economic affairs unless it benefits them.  With typical ingratitude, Wall Street is now threatening to cut campaign  donations for Obama and the Democrats because of their proposals to  impose more regulation on the financial sector. However, when the  government intervenes with bailouts, Wall Street stands first in the  queue, cap in hand. No one wants to bear the actual discipline of  markets if that means losses. Those at the high end of income  distribution aren&rsquo;t against every kind of government intervention, but  are frequently against certain types of government intervention that  might make the workers stronger, or create competition for private  businesses (in the case of a public option in health care reform, for  example).<\/p>\n<p>Full employment  is the real value that should guide economic policy,  not the bogus emphasis on financial ratios that just play into the  hands of the financial sector.  Somehow, I doubt that this is the  underlying principle guiding our &ldquo;counsel of wise men&rdquo; who are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newdeal20.org\/2010\/05\/11\/peterson-is-to-deficit-spendingas-hugh-hefner-is-to-dangers-of-sex-10688\/\">deliberating  the future of Social Security and Medicare<\/a> behind closed doors as  the rest of us debate this issue in the open.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.newdeal20.org\/2010\/05\/26\/2010\/05\/19\/2010\/05\/17\/2010\/05\/14\/2010\/05\/06\/2010\/04\/20\/2010\/04\/12\/2010\/04\/12\/2010\/03\/02\/?author=48\" >Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellow Marshall Auerback<\/a> is a market analyst and commentator. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newdeal20.org\/2010\/05\/26\/deficit-hawk-hypocrisy-11269\/\">Read more at New Deal 2.0 &#8211;&gt;<\/a><br \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/deficit-hawk-hypocrisy-is-getting-unbelievable-2010-5#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/KzpFUoRmaQc\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How the elites are vying to undo the social safety net &mdash; and hurt our chances for recovery. Harold Meyerson is spot on: &ldquo;Of all the gaps between elite and mass opinion in America today, perhaps the greatest is this: The elites don&rsquo;t really believe we&rsquo;re still in recession. Or maybe, they just don&rsquo;t care.&rdquo; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1738,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-579902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1738"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579902\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}