{"id":58191,"date":"2009-11-19T21:48:38","date_gmt":"2009-11-20T02:48:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.proteinpower.com\/drmike\/?p=3773"},"modified":"2009-11-19T21:48:38","modified_gmt":"2009-11-20T02:48:38","slug":"the-statinator-paradox","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/58191","title":{"rendered":"The Statinator Paradox"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pity the poor lipophobes and statinators.\u00a0 They\u0092ve just taken another grievous wound to their favorite theory and haven\u0092t even got sense enough to know it.\u00a0 In fact, not only do they not have sense enough to realize they\u0092ve taken the hit, they\u0092re actually crowing about it.<\/p>\n<p>The current issue of the <em>Journal of the American Medical Association<\/em> (<em>JAMA<\/em>) has an article titled <a href=\"http:\/\/jama.ama-assn.org\/cgi\/content\/short\/302\/19\/2104\">Trends in High Levels of Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in the United States, 1999-2006<\/a> that puts another major dent in whatever validity remains of the lipid hypothesis of heart disease.<\/p>\n<p>I\u0092m going to start categorizing the types of findings published in this paper under the rubric of The Statinator Paradox.\u00a0 I find it interesting that whenever scientists discover data that shows the opposite of what their hypotheses predict, they don\u0092t conclude that their hypotheses might be wrong; instead they deem the contradiction a \u0091paradox\u0092 and bumble on ahead with their hypotheses intact.<\/p>\n<p>The lipophobes hold the hypothesis dear that saturated fat causes heart disease.\u00a0 When the data began to surface that the French eat tons more saturated fat than do Americans yet suffer only a fraction of the heart attacks, the French Paradox was born.\u00a0 Nothing wrong with our hypothesis, it\u0092s just those pesky French people who are somehow different.\u00a0 It\u0092s a By God paradox, that\u0092s what it is.<\/p>\n<p>Same thing happened with the Spanish.\u00a0 Researchers looked at the food consumption data in Spain and discovered that Spaniards had been eating more meat, more cheese and more dairy while decreasing their consumption of sugar and other carbohydrate-rich foods over a 15-year period.\u00a0 And, lo and behold, during this same period, stroke and heart disease rates fell.\u00a0 Can\u0092t be.\u00a0 Saturated fat causes all these things.\u00a0 But the data show&#8230;\u00a0 Thus came the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ajcn.org\/cgi\/content\/abstract\/61\/6\/1351S\">Spanish Paradox<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Statinators and lipophobes believe with all their little fat-free hearts that LDL-cholesterol is bad and is the driving factor behind heart disease.\u00a0 So whenever I come upon data that gives the lie to this notion, I\u0092m going to start calling it the Statinator Paradox.<\/p>\n<p>This <em>JAMA<\/em> paper is a classic case of the Statinator Paradox.<\/p>\n<p>Researchers using the NHANES data looked at the change in the prevalence of elevated LDL cholesterol and found that it fell substantially from 1999-2000 to 2005-2006.\u00a0 In a period of about six years the prevalence of high LDL cholesterol dropped by a third, which is a lot of drop in a fairly short period of time.<\/p>\n<p>And since everyone knows that high LDL cholesterol causes heart disease, it should go without saying that during this same time period there occurred a significant decrease in the prevalence of heart disease.\u00a0 Right?\u00a0 Uh, well, no, not really.\u00a0 If anything, the prevalence of heart disease actually increased.\u00a0 But not to a statistically significant degree.\u00a0 So statistically there was no difference in the prevalence of heart disease during a time in which high LDL cholesterol levels were falling.\u00a0 But if high LDL cholestrol causes heart disease&#8230;? It\u0092s the ol\u0092 Statinator Paradox writ large.<\/p>\n<p>It was fun reading this paper because a basically fairly simple project was cloaked in all the regalia of academia and academic speak.<\/p>\n<p>It starts out with a great opening sentence that is a paragon of academic weaselry:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>High total blood cholesterol is recognized as a major contributing factor for the initiation and progression of atherosclerosis.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Recognized?\u00a0 What does that mean?<\/p>\n<p>I could substitute words in this sentence and come up with the following:<\/p>\n<p>The policies of Barrack Obama are recognized as a major contributing factor in the initiation and progression of socialism in America.<\/p>\n<p>What does that mean?\u00a0 Depends upon whom you say it to.\u00a0 If I were to shout this sentence at a Sarah Palin campaign event, I would be cheered loudly.\u00a0 If I said it at a Nancy Pelosi event, I would be tarred and feathered.\u00a0 Since the &#8216;truth&#8217; of the sentence is a function of the bias of the person hearing it, it&#8217;s not a meaningful sentence.\u00a0 As written, the sentence doesn\u0092t mean squat, which makes it perfect for academic writing.<\/p>\n<p>The authors, I\u0092m sure, are believers in the lipid hypothesis but just can\u0092t muster the gumption to write \u0091high total blood cholesterol IS a major contributing factor&#8230;\u0092\u00a0 Instead they use the word \u0091recognized,\u0092 which makes the sentence meaningless and lets them off the hook should the lipid hypothesis ever blow up in their faces.<\/p>\n<p>In setting up the study, the researchers went through a lot of rigmarole to allocate subjects to three different categories depending upon their degree of risk for developing heart disease.\u00a0 In determining this risk, researchers used the Framingham risk equation, which relies to a great extent on cholesterol levels to allocate that risk.\u00a0 Which is strange since the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.proteinpower.com\/drmike\/cardiovascular-disease\/framingham-follies\/\">Framingham Study <\/a>has never shown elevated cholesterol to be a risk factor for heart disease.<\/p>\n<p>Once subjects were divvied into these three groups, the researchers measured LDL-cholesterol levels and calculated what percentage of subjects in each group had high LDL-cholesterol levels.\u00a0 The threshold as to what was high varied as a function of the risk level of the group as a whole.\u00a0 The bar for what was high was lowest in the high risk group and highest in the low-risk group.\u00a0 In other words, if subjects had multiple risk factors, then an LDL-cholesterol level of anything over 100 mg\/dl was considered \u0091high,\u0092 whereas in subjects in the lowest risk category, an LDL-cholesterol level over 160 was considered \u0091high.\u0092<\/p>\n<p>Researchers calculated as a percentage the number of subjects who had high LDL-cholesterol in each risk group and did the calculations again six years later.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The weighted age-standardized prevalence of high LDL-C levels among all participants and among participants in each ATP III risk category decreased significantly during the study periods.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Which is what they were crowing about.\u00a0 Our therapy dramatically decreased the number of people at risk for heart disease.<\/p>\n<p>But as for heart disease itself:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>No significant changes were observed in the prevalence of CHD or CHD equivalents from 1999-2000 to 2005-2006.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>So what did our researchers conclude from the fact that there were one third fewer people with high LDL-cholesterol yet there was no decrease in heart disease?<\/p>\n<p>They concluded the obvious.\u00a0 There were still two thirds of people with LDL-cholesterol levels that were too high.\u00a0 And, no doubt, these people were not on statins.<\/p>\n<p>Don\u0092t believe me?\u00a0 Here it is in their own words.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>However, our study found that almost two-thirds of participants who were at high risk for developing CHD within 10 years and who were eligible for lipid-lowering drugs were not receiving medication.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>So, let me see if I\u0092ve got this straight.\u00a0 This study shows no evidence that lowering LDL-cholesterol levels decreases the prevalence of heart disease.\u00a0 And what we conclude from this data is that we simply need to treat more people.\u00a0 Brilliant!<\/p>\n<p>As I was reading this paper online, I got a bing alerting me that I had an email from Medscape bringing me the latest in mainstream medical thought.\u00a0 I opened the email and began scrolling through the various articles displayed when my eye fell on one titled &#8220;Lipids for Dummies.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I clicked on it, and what opened was a video of a statinator of the deepest dye interviewing an alpha statinator about how to best deal with the risk of heart disease.<\/p>\n<p>It was unbelievable.<\/p>\n<p>Here in a short interview is everything that is wrong with mainstream medicine today.\u00a0 We have two influential doctors at the pinnacle of their academic and clinical prowess &#8211; no doubt on the payrolls of multiple pharmaceutical companies &#8211; who are absolutely full of themselves blathering on about expensive treatments that have no true scientific grounding.\u00a0 And their BS is being disseminated to practicing doctors everywhere. Instead of &#8216;Lipids for Dummies&#8217; this interview should have been called Dummies for Statins.<\/p>\n<p>Watch and just shake your head.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.proteinpower.com\/drmike\/cardiovascular-disease\/the-statinator-paradox\/\"><em>Click here to view the embedded video.<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>These guys aren\u0092t really talking about reducing the risk for heart disease or early death; they\u0092re discussing how to use extremely expensive medications that are not particularly benign to treat lab values.\u00a0 As I\u0092ve written countless times, statins can quickly and effectively treat lab values, but there is little evidence they treat much else.\u00a0 So if you want to have lab values that are the envy of all your friends, statins are the way to go.\u00a0 But if you want to really reduce your risk for all-cause mortality, you might want to think twice before you sign up for a drug that will cost you (or your insurance company) $150-$250 per month, make your muscles ache, diminish your memory and cognition, and potentially croak your liver.<\/p>\n<p>If you wonder who underwrites these kinds of interviews, take a look at the actual Medscape link in which the video is embedded.\u00a0 See if you, like Sherlock Holmes, can figure it out.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.medscape.com\/viewarticle\/710573\">This link<\/a> requires requires free registration.<\/p>\n<p>(If I weren\u0092t so pleased with a nice <a href=\"http:\/\/thepauperedchef.com\/2009\/11\/experiments-with-sous-vide-chicken.html\">Sous Vide Supreme review<\/a> we got today, this kind of nonsense would make me contemplate seppuku.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.kqzyfj.com\/click-2588328-10313689\" ><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.awltovhc.com\/image-2588328-10313689\" width=\"468\" height=\"60\" alt=\"DietPower Calorie Counter Software\" border=\"0\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?a=D0GL3MHNiVI:qrUFzldAtss:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?a=D0GL3MHNiVI:qrUFzldAtss:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?i=D0GL3MHNiVI:qrUFzldAtss:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?a=D0GL3MHNiVI:qrUFzldAtss:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/drmikenutritionblog?i=D0GL3MHNiVI:qrUFzldAtss:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/drmikenutritionblog\/~4\/D0GL3MHNiVI\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pity the poor lipophobes and statinators.\u00a0 They\u0092ve just taken another grievous wound to their favorite theory and haven\u0092t even got sense enough to know it.\u00a0 In fact, not only do they not have sense enough to realize they\u0092ve taken the hit, they\u0092re actually crowing about it. The current issue of the Journal of the American [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58191\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}