{"id":77200,"date":"2009-12-11T20:52:00","date_gmt":"2009-12-12T01:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/techdirt.com\/articles\/20091210\/0532007292.shtml"},"modified":"2009-12-11T20:52:00","modified_gmt":"2009-12-12T01:52:00","slug":"that-random-coin-toss-not-so-random-afterall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/77200","title":{"rendered":"That Random Coin Toss?  Not So Random Afterall&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of my all-time favorite scenes in a play and movie, is the scene in Tom Stoppard&#8217;s <i>Rosencrantz &#038; Guildenstern Are Dead<\/i> where every coin toss <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=NbInZ5oJ0bc&#038;feature=related\" >comes up heads<\/a>, leading to a bit of a philosophical discussion on probability.  Of course, the randomness of the coin toss is the quintessential example of a random event and is used regularly for a variety of situations in which randomness is required, let alone expected.  Except&#8230; it turns out the common wisdom may be wrong.  Paul Kedrosky has the news of a test that showed <a href=\"http:\/\/paul.kedrosky.com\/archives\/2009\/12\/beware_canadian.html?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A%20InfectiousGreed%20%28Paul%20Kedrosky%27s%20Infectious%20Greed%29\" >that if you ask people to try flip a coin and get more heads than tails, they will<\/a>, and not by a small margin either.  In the test, 13 people were asked to flip a coin 300 times, trying to get as many heads as possible.  <i>All 13 participants<\/i> got more heads than tails.  Seven out of the thirteen had statistically significant margins of heads over tails (meaning almost certainly not a matter of chance).  The highest was one individual had 68% of the coin flips land heads.  In other words, a coin toss isn&#8217;t particularly random.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/techdirt.com\/articles\/20091210\/0532007292.shtml\">Permalink<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/techdirt.com\/articles\/20091210\/0532007292.shtml#comments\">Comments<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/techdirt.com\/article.php?sid=20091210\/0532007292&#038;op=sharethis\">Email This Story<\/a><br \/>\n <br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<br clear=\"both\" style=\"clear: both;\"\/><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/click.phdo?s=1af9691f4bb7ea0b759686c6b70c3858&#038;p=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" style=\"border: 0;\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/ads.pheedo.com\/img.phdo?s=1af9691f4bb7ea0b759686c6b70c3858&#038;p=1\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" height=\"0\" width=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"display:none\" src=\"http:\/\/a.rfihub.com\/eus.gif?eui=2225\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.techdirt.com\/~ff\/techdirt\/feed?a=0xwxOE3mrsM:3d6sWu8gFR0:D7DqB2pKExk\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/techdirt\/feed?i=0xwxOE3mrsM:3d6sWu8gFR0:D7DqB2pKExk\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.techdirt.com\/~ff\/techdirt\/feed?a=0xwxOE3mrsM:3d6sWu8gFR0:c-S6u7MTCTE\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/techdirt\/feed?d=c-S6u7MTCTE\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/techdirt\/feed\/~4\/0xwxOE3mrsM\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of my all-time favorite scenes in a play and movie, is the scene in Tom Stoppard&#8217;s Rosencrantz &#038; Guildenstern Are Dead where every coin toss comes up heads, leading to a bit of a philosophical discussion on probability. Of course, the randomness of the coin toss is the quintessential example of a random event [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77200","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77200"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77200\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}