{"id":84917,"date":"2009-12-16T08:04:00","date_gmt":"2009-12-16T13:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cmswatch.com\/Trends\/1761-Assessing-2009-Predictions?source=RSS"},"modified":"2009-12-16T08:04:00","modified_gmt":"2009-12-16T13:04:00","slug":"how-did-our-2009-predictions-fare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/84917","title":{"rendered":"How did our 2009 predictions fare?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday we issued our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmswatch.com\/Trends\/1760-2010-Technology-Predictions\">twelve predictions for 2010<\/a>.  Once again, I&#8217;ll look back at our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmswatch.com\/Feature\/189\">2009 predictions<\/a> and see how we did.  (You can see how we assessed our 2008 predictions <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmswatch.com\/Trends\/1447-Looking-ahead-to-2009----and-evaluating-2008\">here<\/a>.)  The 2009 predictions were:<\/p>\n<p>1. Open source ECM players get an initial boost<br \/>\nYes, the recession gave them a boost, though smart customers are still asking tough questions about multi-year total cost of ownership.<\/p>\n<p>2. Office14 casts long shadow on SharePoint<br \/>\nYes, and no.  SharePoint 2010 has energized Redmond&#8217;s consulting channel.  The new version is mostly casting a long shadow on 3rd-party SharePoint add-ons and some enterprise procurement teams looking to delay strategic decisions.<\/p>\n<p>3. &quot;Taxonomies are dead. Long live metadata!&quot;<br \/>\nDefinitely less interest in complicated, human-maintained hierarchies.<\/p>\n<p>4. Regulatory-compliance concerns reignited<br \/>\nYes, though somewhat sector-specific.<\/p>\n<p>5. Renewed interest in pro-active e-discovery<br \/>\nNot sure there was a major wave here in 2009.  What do you think?<\/p>\n<p>6. SaaS vendors expand offerings<br \/>\nYes, though perhaps not as much as we predicted.  Salesforce has certainly been active.<\/p>\n<p>7. Oracle falls behind in battle for knowledge workers<br \/>\nYes, but that was an easy one.<\/p>\n<p>8. New emphasis on application search<br \/>\nI think so, but then again, we predict it again this year, albeit with some new twists.<\/p>\n<p>9. Social computing diffuses into the Enterprise<br \/>\nDefinitely.<\/p>\n<p>10. Long-awaited consolidation comes to the WCM space<br \/>\nNo way.  <em>What<\/em> was I thinking?!?<\/p>\n<p>11. Mobile and multimedia web analytics become key requirements&#8230;and disrupters<br \/>\nMultimedia for sure, mobile only half way.<\/p>\n<p>12. Buyers remain in driver&rsquo;s seat<br \/>\nYes.  This is another easy one.  Just remember that vendors don&#8217;t chase every lead in this economy, either.<\/p>\n<p>So, I give us a cumulative score of 9 out of 12, or pretty much the same average as last year.  Maybe .75 is a good co-efficient to apply to our 2010 predictions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday we issued our twelve predictions for 2010. Once again, I&#8217;ll look back at our 2009 predictions and see how we did. (You can see how we assessed our 2008 predictions here.) The 2009 predictions were: 1. Open source ECM players get an initial boost Yes, the recession gave them a boost, though smart customers [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84917\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.media\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}