FORBES: Chocolate And Cheese

Alexandra Zendrian, 01.12.10, 06:00 AM EST

Fishpond
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The Kraft/Cadbury deal might look good on the outside, but it has the potential to be soft on the inside.

Investors watching the Kraft and Cadbury merger dance might be salivating, but there’s reason to believe that it’s all much ado about nougat and that it could fall apart like a crème egg on Easter Sunday.

In the latest news on the potential chocolate and cheese combination, Kraft Foods Inc. ( KFT news people ) sold one of its American pizza units to Nestle ( NSRGY.PK news people ) for $3.7 billion. This cash can be put toward its acquisition of Cadbury ( CBY news people ). Kraft has been working to sweeten its offer to Cadbury and will approach the chocolate company with a new bid before Jan. 16. (See “Cash For Cadbury, Pizza For Nestle.”)

For Cadbury, a merger would helpful.

“With cocoa having moved from 2200 metric tons to 3244 metric tons in the last year, any economies of scale through size and efficiencies would make rising commodity prices less of a factor,” says LPL Financial Chief Investment Officer Burt White. This might even allow Cadbury to better set prices in the market and undercut its competitors, he adds.

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