David Spiegelhalter‘s Personal Home Page.
Professor Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge
Understanding Uncertainty and Risk
I work with a small team, all part time, comprising Arciris Garay-Arevalo (administration and research), Hauke Riesch (social scientist), Mike Pearson and Ian Short (web and animation), and Owen Smith (web). Our work focuses on the appropriate use of quantitative methods in dealing with risk and uncertainty in the lives of individuals and society. Our work falls into the broad category of ‘public understanding of science’, while our work with schools can be considered as ‘maths outreach’. However we try to take a view of the subject that extends beyond the application of probability and statistics, acknowledging that there are deeper uncertainties that cannot be easily put into a formal framework, and that social and psychological issues necessarily play a vital role. (more at link).
This leads to the following useful link:
Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty
Posted November 29th, 2007
Welcome to the site that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability. Mathematics won’t tell us what to do, but we think that understanding the numbers can help us deal with our own uncertainty and allow us to look critically at stories in the media.
David Spiegelhalter’s Personal Home Page
