Obviously, I am interested in China’s hit-to-kill program, whether it is aimed at satellites or ballistic missiles.
Someone posted a very interesting analysis of the Chinese hit-to-kill program on a Chinese bulletin board (in Chinese of course). (I am not sure which is the original version, though I think it may be one of two.)
It is starting to make its way around — the post was extensively cited in a IISS Strategic Comment, and was reviewed by the blog TaiwanLink (which I have been meaning to recommend to readers.) Since Strategic Comments are unsigned and TaiwanLink is anonymous, two or even all three may have the same author. I honestly don’t know. But it seems that this little bbs posting is worthy of a closer look.
I don’t know yet how to evaluate the claims in the article — the author warns “草草而成，讹误难免，仅供参考.” I’ll let you decide what to make of that injunction. (My Chinese just isn’t good enough.) But (s)he offers names, dates and places that can be confirmed, which is always encouraging.
Also, the author is apparently a reader — (s)he reproduces an image from Geoff’s post, SBIRS—Two Heads are Better than One).
So.
I thought we might have a useful discussion of the post. And, since the author is at least familiar with the website, perhaps (s)he’d like to participate. I think it is a little early to annoint a random BBS post as the definitive account of the test, but on the other hand the author — in haste or not — seems to have put in a fair amount of research.