Author: Serkadis

  • Running Start ‘Parent-Student Night’ set for March 16

    NEWS RELEASE
    March 12, 2010                                                           Contact: Frank Murray, 542-4835

    Columbia Basin College’s Running Start program will hold its annual Parent-Student Information night Tuesday, March 16 at 6:30 p.m. in the Byron Gjerde Center on the CBC Pasco campus.

    Students who will be high school juniors or seniors in the 2010-2011 school year are eligible for Running Start. Home-schooled students are also welcome to attend. Running Start offers college level classes for high school juniors and seniors with no tuition charges. For more information, call 542-4481.

  • Eleanor Roosevelt lecture planned at CBC

    Published March 12, 2010
    By the Tri-Ctiy Herald staff

    Joan Wolfberg will speak on “Eleanor Roosevelt: No Ordinary Woman,” starting at 7 p.m. March 18 at Columbia Basin College’s HUB Main Stage. The free lecture is part of the CBC Community Lecture Series.

    Additional news stories can be accessed online at the Tri-City Herald.

  • Dental hygiene students hold fundraiser in Kennewick

    Published March 12, 2010
    By the Tri-Ctiy Herald staff

    KENNEWICK — The student members of the Columbia Basin Dental Hygiene Society will be holding a pancake breakfast fundraiser from 7:30 to 10 a.m. Saturday at Applebee’s on Columbia Center Boulevard.

    Tickets are $7 each, or four for $25. Money raised will support student activities and a portion of the proceeds will be donated to the CBC Foundation Dental Hygiene Patient Fund, a fund created to provide dental care for patients who are unemployed, uninsured and cannot afford dental care.

    These patients are first seen at Grace Clinic before their dental care is completed at the Columbia Basin College Dental Hygiene Clinic in Pasco.

    For children, a special appearance by the Tooth Fairy and photo opportunity is planned.

    Tickets may be purchased by calling the CBC Dental Hygiene Clinic at 542-4571.

    Additional news stories can be accessed online at the Tri-City Herald.

  • Fitch: Watch What’s About To Happen To Mortgage Investors When The Fed Pulls Out The Supports

    If you don’t think the housing market is still floating on a Washington-inflated lifeboat, think again.

    Here’s Fitch analyzing what’s about to happen to Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities values once the fed pulls out the scaffolding:

    Fitch  Ratings-NY-12  March  2010:  Loss  severities  on distressed U.S.
      residential  mortgage  loans are likely to rise this year as several key
      government support programs expire, according to Fitch Ratings.

      Low  mortgage  rates,  homebuyer  tax  credits  and  government directed
      loan-modification programs have led to an improvement in home prices and
      loss  severities  since  second  quarter-2009. But the expiration in the
      coming months of both the homebuyer tax credit and the Federal Reserve’s
      $1.25  trillion  MBS purchase program will increase negative pressure on
      home  prices  and  loss  severities,  according to Senior Director Grant
      Bailey.

      Additionally,  an increase in the liquidation of loans with unsuccessful
      loan  modifications  is  expected  to  add  to  the supply of distressed
      inventory  in  the  housing  market.  ‘Servicers  are  further  along in
      identifying  borrowers  ineligible  for modifications and will likely be
      more  aggressive in liquidating those loans this year compared to last,’
      said   Bailey.   ‘Less  costly  alternatives  to  foreclosure,  such  as
      short-sales,  should  help  stem rising loss severities due to the lower
      costs and speed of the resolution.’

      Loss  severities on loans resolved through short-sales are approximately
      10%  lower  than  loss  severities  on loans in which the servicer takes
      possession  of  the  property.  Additionally,  the  seasonal increase in
      housing  activity  through  the  summer may delay the full impact of the
      withdrawal of the government support programs until later this year.

      Loss  severity  trends  continue  to be strongly dependent on home price
      trends,  as  shown  in  Fitch’s  most  recent ‘RMBS Performance Metrics’
      results. In the two years prior to the recent improvement, national home
      prices  dropped  approximately  30% while loss severities on loans which
      incurred  losses  doubled to record highs of 43% for private-label Prime
      loans, 58% for Alt-A loans and 72% for Subprime loans.

      Fitch’s  RMBS  Performance  Metrics  combines loan level data from Fitch
      Ratings  and  LoanPerformance  to  show  delinquency  trends,  roll rate
      movement  and  loss rates across vintage, sector, and mortgage type. The
      report  also  includes  data  on  mortgage  servicing  trends,  such  as
      modification activity and advancing percentages, as well as a summary of
      bond rating changes.

    Join the conversation about this story »

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  • Classmates.com Accepts Defeat, Launches Facebook App, Gets Sued in the Process

    In the world of social networks, Classmates.com is to Facebook like dinosaurs are to humans. After Facebook practically took its place in the eyes of Internet users as the best place to find old school and college friends, Classmates.com has accepted the fact that is no longer an important competitor on the social mark… (read more)

  • Climategate: Once Respected Nature Now Staffed By Moaning Ninnies by Christopher Monckton, PajamasMedia.com

    Article Tags: Lord Monckton

    “Let us condemn them to reading out their own editorials to each other until they realize how silly they are, or for all eternity, whichever be the sooner.”

    The once-respected science journal Nature recently published a whining editorial to the effect that climate scientists are not criminals, really; that attacks on them by increasingly-skeptical news media are soooo unfair; and that the fundamental science showing that the planet is doomed unless the economies of the West are shut down at once is unchallengeable.

    No doubt most climate scientists are not criminals. However, some are. Many of the two dozen Climategate emailers, who have for years driven the IPCC process, tampered with peer review in the learned journals, and fabricated, altered, concealed, or destroyed scientific data are criminals. Whether they or Nature like it or not, they will eventually stand trial, and deservedly so.

    After all, the biofuel scam that is one of many disfiguring spin-offs from the “global warming” scare — driven by the poisonous clique of mad scientists whom Nature so uncritically defends — has taken millions of acres of farmland away from growing food for people who need it and towards growing biofuels for clunkers that don’t. Result: a doubling of world food prices, mass starvation, and death, leading to food riots in a dozen major regions of the globe.

    Click source to read FULL report by Christopher Monckton

    Source: pajamasmedia.com

    Read in full with comments »   


  • First Look: Ford Taurus based Police Interceptor Concept

    As mentioned yesterday, FoMoCo will unveil its replacement for the Crown Victoria Police Interceptor to a bunch of cops in Las Vegas later today – well, here are the first pictures of the Taurus based Police Interceptor you might end up seeing in you’re rear-view mirror in 2012.

    The Crown Victoria will end production in Sept. 2011 and will be replaced by this Ford Taurus turned Police Interceptor.

    We don’t have all the tech specs yet, but we’re pretty sure that the V6 EcoBoost and the AWD system will all be part of the game.

    Click here to get prices on the 2010 Ford Taurus.

    The Taurus Police Interceptor will go head-to-head with the Dodge Charger cruiser (which may also see a redesign in 2011) and the Chevrolet Caprice Police Patrol car.

    Stay tuned for more pictures and the official press release.

    2012 Ford Police Interceptor Concept:

    – By: Omar Rana


  • Video: The Red Bull RB6 is ready to race

    Filed under: ,

    The Red Bull F1 team prepares for the Bahrain GP – Click above to watch video after the jump

    The Formula One season begins this weekend at what is expected to be a scorchingly hot circuit in Bahrain.

    As we’ve been discussing for months, this has the potential to be one of the best seasons in more than a decade, with no less four World Champion drivers in the strongest cockpits. Even better, four teams are acknowledged to be at the top, and according to Mercedes test driver Nick Heidfeld, the Red Bull could be the class of the field. Follow the jump to hear Sebastian Vettel talk about the team’s new racer and see it in action.

    [Source: Red Bulletin]

    Continue reading Video: The Red Bull RB6 is ready to race

    Video: The Red Bull RB6 is ready to race originally appeared on Autoblog on Fri, 12 Mar 2010 11:01:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

    Read | Permalink | Email this | Comments

  • Japanese hardware sales for March 1 to 7: PSP sales jump, still on top of the charts

    The PSP enjoyed a huge surge in sales in Japan for the first week of March. According to data released by Media Create, the Sony handheld jumped to almost 65,000 units from 37,338 the previous week.

  • High Altitude Korean Kite Tied to Ship to Create Hydrogen At Sea

    Now this may sound like something dreamed up in a mad scientist’s laboratory, but a few wacky researchers at the Korea Aerospace Research Institute have come up with an idea of using a giant kite pulling a ship at sea to create hydrogen.

    How this is proposed to work is that a 6 1/2 million sq ft. parafoil will be deployed upwards of one mile skywards towing a catamaran-like vessel. This ship will basically be dragged through the water by the huge kite.

    Underneath the ship will be mounted a hydroelectric turbine that will turn as the vessel makes its way through the water. The turning of the turbine will create electricity, which in turn will be used to electrolyze seawater into hydrogen. The H2 will then be stored upon the vessel for later use (to run through a fuel cell on land to create electricity or as hydrogen fuel for cars).

    In the past I’ve talked about high altitude wind energy hydrogen production from kites. I’ve also mentioned the WindHunter ship that uses wind turbines upon a vessel at sea to create hydrogen from seawater and store it on the boat.

    This Korean Aerospace idea seems to combine both other ideas into one kite-ship-hydrogen generation package. This is one idea that is just so wacky it may just work. I think over the weekend, I’ll have to rent the movies “Kite Runner” and the latest “Pirates of the Caribbean” and watch them at the same time.

  • Nissan’s top U.S. designer to retire at month’s end

    Nissan USA’s vice president of design, Bruce Campbell (exciting name), is set to retire as the company’s top U.S. designer at the end of this month. Campbell is well known for his San Diego design studio turning out the design for the 370Z, morphing the somewhat dull 350Z into a true pocket rocket.

    He has also working on the Xterra SUV and oversaw the current Altima and the Maxima.

    Click here to get prices on the 2010 Nissan 370Z.

    Campbell will be replaced by Alfonso Albaisa, vice president of Nissan Design Europe. He has headed up the European design group since 2007.

    Interesting fact about Campbell: He typically rides a bike 30 miles a day and up to 60 on the weekends.

    – By: Kap Shah

    Source: Automotive News (Subscription Required)


  • Unwilling To Compete, Canadian Booksellers Association Tries To Block Amazon Distribution Center

    jprlk was the first of a few of you to send in the news that the Canadian Booksellers’ Association is apparently so afraid of competition from Amazon, that it’s asking the government to block the company from building a distribution center north of the border. Apparently, they’re relying on some ridiculous rules about “foreign ownership,” which is really an excuse to screw Canadian citizens by making things more expensive by limiting competition. The “moral” claim (one we’ve heard before in other contexts) is that Amazon shouldn’t be allowed in Canada because it “won’t promote Canadian authors” enough. Of course, the real reason they’re afraid is that Amazon will likely be cheaper, which would actually benefit Canadian citizens and authors, by making it easier and cheaper to buy the books of those Canadian authors.

    Permalink | Comments | Email This Story





  • Rosenberg: Here’s Why Things Are Frighteningly Similar To The 2007 Peak

    david rosenberg

    In his latest note, Gluskin-Sheff’s David Rosenberg gets a bit reflective, as the market continues to batter away at his bearish standpoint:

    I’m not sure if you all had a chance to read Dave Parkinson’s column in
    yesterday’s Globe & Mail (page B13 — Hibernation).  When he interviewed me,
    he asked what it was like to be “alone.”  I told him that “alone” was not the
    same as being “lonely” … it’s actually a comfortable place for me to be.  I told
    Mr. Parkinson that the last time anyone asked me that was back in the fall of
    2007 — actually, after a day at the Fed when I was viewed as being a nutcase for
    calling for a recession seeing as the S&P 500 had just hit a record high.  

    Indeed, the S&P 500 did hit 1,565 on October 9, 2007, a double-top after rising
    to 1,553 on July 19 of that year.  It was a failed test, with 20/20 hindsight.  That
    got me thinking, are double-tops danger signs?  Well, have a look at what
    happened as the parabolic upmove ended in March 24, 2000 — the S&P 500
    rallied to 1,527 and then corrected to back and do a retest of the highs on
    September 1 when it stalled out at 1,520.  

    In the cycle before that one, we saw the same thing occur in 1990 — a surge to
    367.4 on June 4 followed by a brief corrective phase and then a retest of that
    high on July 16 (at 368.9).  

    The market did the exact same thing in 1987 too — a frenetic runup to the
    336.8 high on August 25, a brief respite that got the bulls refreshed, and then a
    sudden move back above 328 on October 5 … and the rest was history.  
    Go back to the end of the cyclical bull-run in 1980.  On November 28, the S&P
    500 was sitting at 140.5, it then slipped back to only then retest above 138 on
    January 6 … and that was all she wrote.  

    So what has happened this time?  We hit an interim peak at 1,150 back on
    January 19, 2010.  We had a brief corrective phase and now the S&P 500 has
    matched its January 19 high.  In other words, we could be at an inflection point,
    but keep in mind that there are countless examples of the market blowing
    through interim highs as well.  We only know in hindsight where the double-tops
    truly existed.  

    So I asked Walter Murphy (www.wminsights.com), one of my favourite technical
    strategists who was schooled by the likes of the legendary Bob Farrell, what
    clues we should be looking for to assess whether or not this is a classic double-
    top or just a pause that refreshes.  Here is what he sent back to me:  

    Dave,
    I usually use a “weight of the evidence” approach.  I first want to find
    the “internal” peak or trough and then look to find the divergences. 
    Most people look at breadth; so do I.  But breadth oscillators are
    more important than the A-D line itself.  That said, breadth was way
    out of character in 2000, so it wasn’t much help.  

    In 2007, both the A-D line and oscillators did not confirm October’s
    high relative to July’s high.  The A-D line made new bear market lows
    in 3/09, but the McClellan Summation Index & S&P’s Short Range
    Oscillator (which combines both breadth and the DJIA) did not.
    Momentum is another indicator to watch.  The weekly Coppock
    Curve peaked in early 1999 and in late 2006.  It bottomed in 12/08.
    Sentiment often behaves very much like momentum.  The 10-week II
    bull/bear bear ratio peaked in 7/99 and 2/2007 and 7/2007; it
    bottomed in 12/08.

    I also look at the indexes — if only a few big cap indexes are making
    a new high or low, that is a sign of a change.  If they all do it together
    that’s a sign of a trend change.

    Finally, I look at the Bullish Percentage Index (a P&F indicator).  Like
    breadth, it was out of character in 2000, but the fact is that it
    peaked well before the market peak.  In 2007, it peaked in Feb.  It
    bottomed in October 2008.

    So using that history, I would make the case that the internal peak
    prior to 2000 was in 1999; in 2007, it occurred no later than July. 
    At the recent bear market low, the internal low was October 2008.
    Currently, the A-D line is making new highs, but the McClellan and
    SRO are not. The former peaked last September and the latter
    peaked last July.  Both are in uptrends, so there is still a chance that
    they can challenge their earlier peaks.
    The weekly Coppock Curve peaked last June.
    The bull/bear ratio peaked in January, so I tend to consider that a
    confirmation.

    Virtually all of the popular indexes (except the DJIA and S&P) are
    making new highs.  The troops are leading the generals.
    The BPI peaked in September.

    So, I think that, until proven otherwise, the internal peak was
    recorded last summer.  However, with breadth oscillators in a new
    uptrend and with most averages at new highs, the divergences
    aren’t full in place yet.
    Hope that helps,
    Walter

    Join the conversation about this story »

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  • Hep C Update: New Evidence for Milk Thistle

    A recent study from Columbia University Medical Center on milk thistle gives those who are unsure about using herbal supplements for Hepatitis C reason to reconsider.

    by Nicole Cutler, L.Ac.

    An estimated four to five million Americans are chronically infected with the Hepatitis C virus (HCV). While approximately half of those with HCV are able to clear it from their liver with the current standard of treatment, the remaining fifty percent must protect their liver from this virus. One of the most advised and respected ways to accomplish this goal is with the herb milk thistle. Despite decades of studies demonstrating milk thistle’s ability to protect and support the liver, skeptics have always doubted herbal medicine’s potential. New research released from Columbia University Medical Center gives those with Hepatitis C one more reason to supplement with this amazing herb.

    For those who are not candidates for, or who don’t respond to Hepatitis C treatment, there is little a physician can prescribe to prevent HCV from progressing to advanced liver disease. To prevent further damage to this key organ, alternative medical practitioners often turn to herbal supplements that support the liver via:

    1. aiding in detoxification
    2. neutralizing threats to the liver (like free radicals)
    3. helping liver cells deflect potential hazards

    Milk thistle is believed to accomplish all three of these goals. Thus, it is no surprise that those with Hepatitis C choose milk thistle more than any other vitamin or herbal supplement.

    A plant native to Europe, milk thistle has a long history of use as a folk remedy for liver and gallbladder disorders. Although milk thistle does not possess antiviral properties, hundreds of studies have concluded that it helps maintain liver health – even in the presence of a liver-damaging virus.

    Even with all of the documented benefits of milk thistle, many people remain wary of herbal medicine. This viewpoint could stem from the following:

    · Not having enough information – From the moment we are born, our culture is steeped in western medical practices. Learning about herbal medicine requires expanding what we know about human health.

    · A trusted physician’s influence over their patients – Physicians without training in herbal medicine often discourage their patients from taking herbs because they do not know how they will react with pharmaceuticals.

    · Wanting fast results – In lieu of patiently strengthening a weakened body system (as herbs usually do), many people desire a quick fix (as pharmaceuticals usually do).

    · Fear of herb quality – Because they are not held to strict government regulation, many herbs are not subject to the same kind of standardization and purification specifications as drugs are. Thus, un-researched herbs have the potential for having contaminants or not being as potent as advertised.

    There are admitted limits to both western medicine and herbal medicine. Those whose health seems to benefit the most are individuals who combine the strengths of both disciplines. To evaluate the potential of herbal medicine in the western setting, Elena Ladas, MS, RD, of Columbia University Medical Center and colleagues set out to test whether milk thistle could help treat people with chemotherapy-associated liver problems. As published in the December 2009 edition of the journal Cancer, milk thistle’s ability to treat chemotherapy-associated hepatotoxicity was investigated.

    Upon administering milk thistle to children who had acute lymphoblastic leukemia with liver toxicity related to chemotherapy, the research team found the following:

    · Those who had received milk thistle had improvements in their liver enzymes (significantly lower levels of AST and ALT) compared to the children in the placebo group.

    · Milk thistle also seemed to help keep fewer patients from having to lower the dose of their chemotherapy drugs (61 percent vs. 72 percent).

    · Milk thistle did not interfere with chemo’s cancer-fighting properties.

    Ladas’ study has little to do with Hepatitis C. However, it does provide those with chronic liver disease more reason to trust milk thistle’s ability to safely shield the liver from toxins.

    As more professionals in both the fields of western medicine and alternative healthcare recognize how these disciplines can help one another, the use of herbs alongside pharmaceuticals will continue to grow. Western medicine has been making great strides in developing a drug regimen that will see a greater percentage of people triumph over Hepatitis C. Until a cure is ensured for everyone with HCV, people will be searching for ways to keep their liver healthy. Thanks in part to studies like this one from Columbia University Medical Center, supplementing with milk thistle is becoming a standard practice for those with Hepatitis C, both in alternative healthcare environments AND in most western medical physicians’ offices.

    References:

    http://altmedicine.about.com/cs/herbsvitaminsad/a/Milk_Thistle.htm, Milk Thistle, Cathy Wong, Retrieved December 24, 2009, About.com, 2009.

    http://www.hepatitis-central.com/mt/archives/2009/08/four_more_benef.html, Four More Key Benefits of Milk Thistle, Nicole Cutler, L.Ac., Retrieved December 25, 2009, Natural Wellness, 2009.

    http://www.ktradionetwork.com/2009/12/15/herb-may-treat-chemotherapy-liver-damage/, Herb May Treat Chemotherapy Liver Damage, Steven Reinberg, Retrieved December 24, 2009, The Kevin Trudeau Show, 2009.

    http://www.webmd.com/cancer/news/20091214/herb-may-treat-chemotherapy-liver-damage, Herb May Treat Chemotherapy Liver Damage, Bill Hendrick, Retrieved December 23, 2009, WebMD, LLC, December 2009.

    http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/123211007/abstract, A randomized, controlled, double-blind, pilot study of milk thistle for the treatment of hepatotoxicity in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), Elena J. Ladas, MS, RD, Retrieved December 23, 2009, Cancer, December 2009.

  • News from Freddie, SunTrust, Wells’ broker dealer, BofA; FDIC acts on a Thursday; Rates moving higher on Retail Sales

     

    pipeline-press

    rob-chrisman-daily

     

    Don’t forget to “Spring ahead” this Sunday morning. We lose an hour of sleep, but it will be lighter during barbecuing.

    The FDIC made a rare Thursday move and shut down LibertyPointe Bank This bank catered to the Orthodox Jewish community in Manhattan and Brooklyn, and will be taken over by Valley National.

    For anyone hedging with securities, there’s a new broker dealer in town. Well, maybe not so new, but Wells Fargo Securities, who apparently is making a market in trading MBS’s, according to news sources will add Kevin Jackson to its residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) team. Jackson is leaving Merrill Lynch Bank of America to join Wells as part of a broader move to expand that platform.

    Did you hear the one about the parrot and Bank of America? A nun and a parrot walked into a branch… never mind. Seriously, last October BofA employee erroneously believed a house in Pennsylvania (state motto: Cook with Coal) was vacant when the borrower defaulted and sent a contractor there with instructions to install a new lock and otherwise “secure” the property” although it turned out that the owner wasn’t in default and the house wasn’t vacant. Regardless, BofA has apologized for its contractor entering the home of a mortgage borrower when she was away, cutting off utilities, padlocking the door, and confiscating her 11-yr old pet parrot, Luke, for over a week. The result was supposedly emotional distress and a prescription medication for anxiety.    Here is the story. 

    Janet Yellen, ex-Cal teacher, apparently is expected to accept President Obama’s offer to replace Donald Kohn as Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

    Aristotle once wrote in “Politics”, “It remains true that the greatest injustices proceed from those who pursue excess, not from those who are driven by necessity.” “Can a real estate broker who sells homes also do FHA loans?” This question came up yesterday. “I would imagine it would not work when the broker is selling a home and doing the loan in the same transaction, but would it be possible to sell homes and do FHA loans as long as they are not in the same transaction?” As it turns out, HUD does not allow it. A veteran government compliance expert told me, “To do an FHA loan you must be an employee of the lender.  As an employee doing FHA loans you cannot have a second job that is in a real estate related field.  This is spelled out in the HUD mortgagee approval handbook.  Brokers have disregarded this for years but I would not in today’s world. Punishment could be swift and painful.”

    Freddie Mac fired off quite a bulletin yesterday, directed at its credit and property eligibility requirements. Recently Freddie has begun adding application date requirements, although smaller lenders should remember that their investors may pad these somewhat to allow for a time cushion. The 50,000 view is that Freddie will no longer purchase Initial Interest Mortgages or any Mortgage with an interest only option, changing the “Minimum Indicator Score” requirements with increases for certain manually underwritten mortgages and adding a Minimum Indicator Score of 620 for non-assumable Rural Housing Service mortgages, amended requirements for “age of credit and capacity documentation, seasoning, and eligible Borrowers for Mortgages for Newly Constructed Homes, and permitting super conforming Mortgages to be sold as a Mortgage for a Newly Constructed Homes,” is requiring sellers to use specified versions of FICO scores, addressed mortgages secured by properties with incomplete improvements and discussed the appraising of leasehold estates.

    Freddie had come out with the IO news a few weeks ago, but now we have actual dates: mortgages with applications dated on or after June 13, and for mortgages with settlement dates on or after September 1. Usually I try to make investor updates readable, and condense them, but in this case if you are interested, you should read the actual bulletin to get a head start on what investors will soon be doing:

    The trend toward increased documentation is continuing. Recently, for example, SunTrust, for FHA and VA loan applications, stated that it requires an initial Uniform Residential Loan Application (FNMA 1003), as well as “pages one and two of the HUD/VA Addendum to Uniform Residential Loan Application (HUD-92900-A/VA-26-1802a) to be fully executed by all borrowers and the lender’s interviewer prior to submission.” And for conventional loans,SunTrust requires “the initial Uniform Residential Loan Application (FNMA 1003) to be fully executed by all borrowers and the lender’s interviewer prior to submission.”

    Although my personal opinion is that mortgage rates won’t skyrocket relative to other rates during that first week in April when the Fed’s purchase program goes away, there are many that believe that mortgage rates will indeed increase relative to Treasury rates. One argument, of course, is that the market has become complacent around the artificially low rates and low spread volatility. The bulk of its purchases have been in 4.5% securities, containing current coupon mortgages, roughly matching current production. Obviously traders have had to take this into account during their daily activities, and when it goes away, “the smartest guys in the room” will have to adjust to a new dynamic. In addition, the spreads between mortgages and Treasuries is the tightest/best/lowest it has ever been – is there any where to go but up? And there is some anticipation, already, that the first Friday of April’s Non-farm Payroll will show some strength, possibly leading to higher rates in general.

    But heck, origination isn’t exactly setting records, and mortgage investors who have their delinquent loans bought back by Fannie/Freddie will be buying more in future months. Traders are seeing buying at every dip in price, in spite of spreads being tight. Insurance companies, traditional buyers of some of this stuff, have been creeping back in. The current production of loans is arguably the best in credit quality, most likely to stay on the books, and least likely to give investors problems down the road.

    Yesterday’s $13 billion 30-yr (theoretically, 29 year and 11 month, since they “re-opened” last month’s issue) bond sale went pretty well. Almost 24% went to indirect bidders, the bid-to-cover was 2.89:1, and the yield was 4.68%. How ‘bout the ol’ yield curve?  Prior to the auction, the difference between the 2-yr note and the 30-yr bond was 378 basis points (3.78%), close to the all-time high. And the 2-10-year spread was 280 basis points.

    This morning’s Retail Sales figure, expected to show a slight decrease, was up .3%, ex-autos were up .8%. Overall, these were strong numbers for a market that hasn’t had much news lately, and should push the equity markets higher. Interest rates, however, as you would expect were not helped by this, and the yield curve has once again steepened – a sign of future strength in the economy. The yield on the 10-yr moved to 3.77%, and mortgage prices are worse, depending on coupon, between .250 and .50.

    As a bagpiper, I play many gigs. (Just go along with this, ok?) Recently I was asked by a funeral director to play at a grave side service for a homeless man.  He had no family or friends, so the service was to be at a pauper’s cemetery in the Kentucky back-country. 
    As I was not familiar with the backwoods, I got lost; and being a typical man I didn’t stop for directions. I finally arrived an hour late and saw the funeral guy had evidently gone and the hearse was nowhere in sight. 
    There were only the diggers and crew left and they were eating lunch .I felt badly and apologized to the men for being late. I went to the side of the grave and looked down and the vault lid was already in place. I didn’t know what else to do, so I started to play. 
    The workers put down their lunches and began to gather around. I played out my heart and soul for this man with no family and friends. I played like I’ve never played before for this homeless man.
    And as I played “Amazing Grace,” the workers began to weep. They wept, I wept, we all wept together. When I finished I packed up my bagpipes and started for my car.  Though my head hung low my heart was full.
    As I was opened the door to my car, I heard one of the workers say, ” I never seen nothin’ like that before and I’ve been putting in septic tanks for twenty years.”

    Rob

    (Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx . For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com  )

  • Australia Is on Its Way to Becoming an 'Enemy of the Internet'

    The Internet is changing all the time, not that this is a surprise to anyone, but some of the recent trends are beginning to be worrying. While the Internet started out with the promise of free access to information, free expression and speech, it is now becoming more and more regulated and even censored. The efforts from dictatorial … (read more)

  • Report: Geely may need to come up with $1.4B to fix damaged Volvo after purchase

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    It’s going to cost up to $2 billion for Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co. to take ownership of Volvo, but according to a new report out of BusinessWeek, that lofty figure is just the cost of entry. Volvo union members and the board have apparently told the Chinese automaker that it will need at least $1.4 billion to repair the storied Swedish automaker.

    Union head Glenn Magnusson reportedly says the money will be needed for the next year’s product development, marketing, production and distribution. Magnusson tells BW that Geely has yet to demonstrate that it has the financials to sustain Volvo, adding “we haven’t seen anything yet and we’re not satisfied.”

    Further, Volvo board member Magnus Sundemo feels $1.4 billion may be a little low, adding that Geely will need to invest “at least as much as they’re paying to buy us.” One reason Volvo insiders feel the company will need plenty of cash is to satisfy Geely’s desire to build up Volvo in China, with the goal of assembling 200,000 vehicles per year in The Land of the Great Wall.

    Ford Motor Company and Geely, who have been in talks seemingly forever, are looking to get a deal done by the end of March. Regulatory filings are expected to draw out the process of officially handing over ownership of the Swedish automaker to June 30 at the earliest.

    [Source: BusinessWeek]

    Report: Geely may need to come up with $1.4B to fix damaged Volvo after purchase originally appeared on Autoblog on Fri, 12 Mar 2010 10:28:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • Stocks Broadly Lower, But Retailers Are On Fire

    After this morning’s announcement that February retail sales jumped 0.3% (and even higher if you exclude autos), associated stocks were rising quickly.

    But then the weak consumer confidence numbers began to take their toll, plowing stocks and the indices into negative territory.

    However, there’s still a few winners out there. Let’s take a look at the gainers:

    • SUPERVALU Inc (SVU): $17.15 / +6.72%
    • Aeropostale Inc (ARO): $28.44 / +5.14%
    • Citi Trends (CTRN): $31.32 / +4.61%
    • Lifetime Brands Inc (LCUT): $10.63 / 11.32%
    • Saks Inc (SKS): $8.21 / +3.13%

    retail stocks march 12th

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  • Richard Harris, Award-Winning NPR Science Correspondent to Speak at UT Knoxville March 16

    KNOXVILLE — Richard Harris, award-winning science correspondent for National Public Radio, will give the University of Tennessee, Knoxville’s annual Alfred and Julia Hill Lecture at 8 p.m. on Tuesday, March 16, in the Shiloh Room of the University Center.

    Harris will speak on “Covering Climate Change in a Changing Media Climate.”  The program is free and open to the public.

    For the past 24 years, Harris has visited every continent, reporting from Timbuktu, the South Pole, the Amazon rain forest, Siberia and Haiti. His stories — about science, technology and medicine — have won many awards, including two from the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the Council of Scientific Society Presidents, the American Medical Writers Association, and the National Association of Science Writers.

    A California native, Harris earned a bachelor’s degree in biology with highest honors from the University of California at Santa Cruz.  He now lives in Washington, D.C., where he commutes to work at NPR by bicycle, logging more than 2,500 miles a year.

    The Hill Lecture series brings distinguished science journalists to campus to share their thoughts on science, society, and the mass media.

    The lectures are made possible by an endowment created by Tom Hill and Mary Frances Hill Holton in honor of their parents, Alfred and Julia Hill, founders of The Oak Ridger.  The Hill family’s endowment of the lecture series was a gift to the UT School of Journalism and Electronic Media in the College of Communication and Information.

    The University Center, site of Richard Harris’ Hill Lecture, is at the corner of Cumberland Avenue and Phillip Fulmer Way.  Paid parking is available in the garage on Phillip Fulmer Way next to the University Center.  Refreshments will be served before and after the lecture.

    C O N T A C T :

    Mark Littmann (865-974-8156, [email protected])

    Jay Mayfield (865-974-9409, [email protected])

    For more UT news, visit http://www.utk.edu/tntoday/

    Check out our faculty experts guide at http://www.utk.edu/tntoday/media/experts-guide/

    See UT faculty, staff and students making news at http://www.utk.edu/tntoday/category/in-the-news/

  • JPMorgan: The Uncertainty Is Over, Keep Riding This Risk Rally

    (This guest post previously appeared at the author’s blog)

    Love ‘em or hate ‘em few have ridden the recovery rally as well as JP Morgan’s equity team.  They continue to trade the rally from the bullish side (and the correct side).  They say the strength of the recovery is underestimated and skeptical investors will slowly continue to pile into risk assets.  Of course, they aren’t the only big bank with a very positive outlook.  BlackRock recently released very similar commentary.

    Just a few weeks ago JP Morgan said the concerns about China’s tightening and Greece’s debt fears were overblown and investors should buy the dip (see here for more).  But this doesn’t mean there aren’t continuing risks to their outlook.  Among the main risks are the following:

    • Premature policy tightening
    • Unfinished delevering.

    In terms of strategy, they are getting more and more aggressive.  They like Greek government debt, US small caps and a tactical long in oil:

    • Fixed income: Close shorts in US 2s, but stay short in the UK. Buy Greek government debt.
    • Equities: Stay long, focused on small caps and cyclical sectors. We are reluctant to overweight EM equities despite their higher beta.

    In order of importance, we like most equities (small caps and cyclicals), then higher-yielding credits, followed by commodities (base metals), and rounded off with a small long in US HG. This strategy is not mega bearishbonds, where we trade tactically from the short side.

    • Credit: Investors are becoming more bullish US HG spreads but have yet to adjust their positions. Stay long US HG.
    • FX: Take profit on long USD positions against EUR, GBP, and commodity currencies.
    • Commodities: Stay long commodities, favoring base and precious metals near term.  They have a $90 year-end target on oil

    Source: JPM

    Get more market commentary at The Pragmatic Capitalist >

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