Author: Serkadis

  • Asia Tumbles, US Futures Heading Lower

    Yesterday violence broke out in Greece but nobody seemed to care in the markets.

    Today the mood seems to be heightened, and investors are paying attention to the risks — perhaps because Moody’s came out and explicitly connected the riots to Greece’s chance of pulling through the crisis.

    So right now the mood is negative.

    Asian markets fell broadly last night, and US futures — with about four hours until the opening bell — are heading lower, though not dramatically so.

    chart

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  • Google Real-Time Search Now Includes Facebook Pages

    Google has been adding new sources to its real-time search from time to time and after the recent addition of MySpace status updates comes a new one that is much more interesting in the big picture. Google has announced that real-time results from Facebook Pages are now live on the search engine, making it the 12th source for real-time data. A… (read more)

  • Lydia Lassila Wins Second Gold Medal For Australia In Vancouver

    Lydia Lassila celebrates on the Podium at the Flower Presentation Ceremony immediately following her event.

    Lydia Lassila won her Gold Medal for the Womens Aerials in the Freestyle Skiing.

    This is one of the newer Sports that have started to come into the Winter Olympics, even though it’s been there for a while now. For the traditionalists who think that some of these new events are not like those Sports we associate with Winter Games, consider this for a minute.

    Lydia, as well as the other 11 finalists have to complete two successful jumps.

    She launches herself down a steep slope. At the end of that slope is a steep ramp going up, and at the top of that ramp, it is almost vertical. Her speed at the bottom of the slope as she starts to go up the ramp is in the vicinity of 40 to 45 MPH, after only a 100 yard run down the steep slope. Then she launches herself into the air off that ramp. Whilst in the air, she has to complete three full reverse somersaults. During each somersault, she also has to do a complete twisting rotation of her body. All this has to be accomplished while keeping her body straight, her arms by her side and spread straight out in a sequence as she spins and somersaults. That’s three full reverse somersaults, and three full twists. She then has to time the landing so perfectly that her skis are facing directly down the slope, absorb the compression and have her arms out in front of her without placing them or any other part of her body onto the snow, and then ski out to the bottom of the slope without falling. She is marked for style of the aerial performance and also for the landing. Her score is then multiplied by the degree of difficulty, so the harder jumps have a higher degree of difficulty.

    If you think that sounds relatively difficult, then further consider this. After launching from the steeply sloped ramp, she reaches a height well above the tip of that ramp. From the apex of that height and then back to where she lands on the steep slope after the jump, the distance is the same as the height of a four storey building, and during the landing she has to absorb four times her own body weight in compression.

    Lydia was one of 12 girls who made the final. There were also two other Australians, Jackie Cooper, and Elizabeth Gardner.

    Lydia came to this event as the reigning World Champion in the event, and has won numerous World Cup events in this discipline. She successfully completed her first jump, and was in second place at the start of the second jump, meaning she was the second last girl to jump. She absolutely ’stomped’ the jump in the terminology of the event, and her combined score for the two jumps now placed her easily as the highest scorer. The final jumper did not land her jump, and Lydia now had the Gold Medal.

    Lydia has come back from two complete knee reconstructions and numerous other injuries, as you might imagine, leaping as it is from a four storey building onto a semi hard surface.

    You have to feel for Jackie Cooper, one of the other Australian finalists. This was her fifth Winter Olympics, and now aged 37, after a life of injury, she laid it all on the line for her very last Olympic jump, a jump she had not even heard of, or even thought possible when she started competing at Olympic level. She also nailed that jump, and that put her in first place until those jumping after her also completed their jumps. She ended up in fifth place, a wonderful finish to a sterling career for her Country. The youngest competitor in this final was not even born when Jackie competed at her first Olympic Games.

    As I mentioned in an earlier post, Australia has virtually no facilities for Winter Sports, and nearly every athlete has to compete overseas where those facilities do exist. Here in Australia, we do have some snow resorts, but there is only snow at those resorts for three or months each year, and while there are some facilities, for year round competition, Australian athlete’s just have to follow the Winter circuit where those facilities do exist.

    So when it comes to the Winter Olympic Games, Australia is one of the absolute minnows. We have however now produced 5 Gold Medallists over the last three Games, and to that we have added one Silver Medal and three Bronze Medals. These Games in Vancouver have been our most successful with two Gold Medals and one Silver Medal.

    Lydia Lassila is an Australian who is now in very select company.

    Filed under: Australia Tagged: 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympic Games, Lydia Lassila, Winter Olympic Games

  • Oak Lawn bike plans promise pedal-powered future

    Proponents of a bike-friendly Oak Lawn stake the future of the village on making its attractions easier to access by bicycle, reducing motor traffic and creating a more progressive and eco-friendly village.

    Others say adding bicyclists to the village’s already busy roads would spell disaster for motorist and cyclists alike.

    Do the two really need to be at odds?

    Oak Lawn spent $12,000 to find out.

    A Bicycle Master Plan study, conducted by the Active Transportation Alliance, formerly known as the Chicagoland Bicycle Federation, began in 2008 and was pushed forward with public input meetings and wrapped up in January.

    According to the study, which is available online at blogs.southtownstar.com/oaklawn, the village is emphasizing improved bicycle access to businesses, parks and schools; and more convenience and safety for current and future bicyclists. The village also wants to get into a better position to receive grants and other cash to make it the projects happen.

    Roadmap to the future

    Oak Lawn’s forefathers created a tidy blueprint for local roads, courtesy of the grid system, which organizes streets and avenues into easy-in, easy-out arteries.

    Steve Buchtel, the Active Transportation Alliance’s Southland coordinator, said that gives Oak Lawn a big head start in making the village more bike friendly, but there’s a big catch: Some of Oak Lawn’s main roads – 95th Street, Cicero Avenue and Southwest Highway – have become clogged with motor traffic, which not only spells danger for cyclists but also carries a hidden cost for local business.

    Take 95th Street between Central and Cicero Avenues: The road is lined with small businesses, but foot traffic on the adjacent sidewalks is light and motor traffic on the street is heavy.

    And that’s the problem.

    Busy 95th Street, while good for connecting nearby towns, seriously inhibits passing motorists from stopping or shopping.

    Under the alliance’s proposal, parts of the main roads would get makeovers. 95th Street, for example, would see motor lanes removed and replaced by bike lanes, medians installed and parking spots created.

    A stretch of 52nd Avenue between 91st Street and 107th Street would become a “bike boulevard,” where bicycles are given high priority through marked lanes.

    The study also calls for the village to add parking bays – landscaped strips that jut out from the sidewalk onto 52nd Avenue – and to encourage “underutilized” on-street parking, which would add parked cars to the road and narrow the street, slowing down drivers.

    An existing path near Richards High School called the Wolfe Nature Trail would also get an extension toward Stony Creek and ending at Central Avenue, just north of 105th Street.

    Among the longer-term projects would be a tie-in to improvements along the Cal-Sag Trail, a multi-use path adjacent to the Calumet Sag Channel that stretches across parts of the Southland and is already getting a major makeover.

    But any big changes would take hold slowly, if at all. And they’ll be tackled on a case-by-case basis.

    Village officials are pledging to solicit more input from those affected by possible changes to their residential streets.

    “The neighborhood will have a say and have their concerns,” village manager Larry Deetjen said. “As we go to each section (of the plan), there has to be input and there could be changes.”

    In addition, because it is a state road, any changes to 95th Street would need to first be approved by the state.

    Little changes add up

    For all of the major changes under consideration, the plan also calls for little tweaks to the commuter culture in Oak Lawn.

    Most could be accomplished with minor adjustments, such as posting directional signs, marking residential streets and installing strategically placed bike parking racks.

    Couple that with safety classes, a bike fleet available to municipal workers and special events to promote the cycling lifestyle promotion, and the dream of a pedal-powered Oak Lawn becomes that much closer to reality.

    But any shift in culture must start with a change of attitude, Buchtel said.

    That’s possible through visibility and promotion.

    “You can build all the bike lanes you want, but without some way to seed bicycling culture, those facilities don’t get utilized,” he said. “Frequency is going to breed familiarity.”

    But are the people of Oak Lawn ready?

    Change of pace?

    When the final bike plan was presented at a recent Oak Lawn Village Board meeting, there were a handful of cycling enthusiasts in attendance. But others in the audience sneered and snickered, dismissing the plan’s vision for “Oak Lawn as a grown-up community,” as Buchtel put it.

    Recently, resident Louis Segina took the podium to express his displeasure.

    Increasing bike traffic, he said, is “very dangerous and wrong,” before adding that the installation of medians and parking bays is a “waste of money and looks ugly.”

    The people behind the plan are prepared for the backlash, so much so that the plan cautions village officials that reactions to big changes, particularly on 95th Street, will range from “excitement to confusion to open hostility.”

    “Every south suburb is old school — and any change in suspect,” Buchtel said. “That’s not always a bad thing.”

    But for all of the hostility, expressed or otherwise, bicycling proponents say the benefits of the lifestyle far outweigh the concerns.

    It’s just a matter of time before it catches on.

    “Bicycling helps improve some people’s lives,” Buchtel said. “It’s going to be hard to argue that it doesn’t.”

    GETTING BIKE FRIENDLY

    In addition to the big changes that could be in store, the backers of Oak Lawn’s bicycling study suggest other ways to make Oak Lawn more bike friendly:

    • Publish a bike trail map.

    • Institute a bike-to-work week and bicycle commuter challenges.

    • Promote a seasonal “shop by bike” and “bike and dine” programs.

    • Establish a local bike fleet for village employees.

    • Create a bike sharing plan for Metra commuters.

    • Host educational seminars for motorists and cyclists.


    MAJOR CHANGES

    Oak Lawn’s bike plan would call for giving local roads a facelift, including markings for special shared or dedicated bike lanes, as well as the reconfiguration of existing streets and paths to accommodate safe cycling. Among the possible changes:

    • About two dozen residential streets would get “shared lane markings,” which identify space for cyclists adjacent to motor traffic.

    • Oak Park Avenue between 87th and 93rd Streets and between 95th and 97th streets would receive dedicated bicycle lanes, which separate motor traffic from bicycle riders.

    • 95th Street between Cicero and Central avenues would get dedicated bike lanes and right-turn only lanes, as well as on-street parking and the installation of landscaped center medians.

    • One traffic lane would be removed and a two-way center turn lane and dedicated bike lanes would be added to Southwest Highway between 95th Street and Cicero Avenue, and Central Avenue between 87th and 107th streets.

    • Parts of sidewalks on 103rd Street and 104th Street would be turned into a 10-foot-wide “multi-use trails” that would have room for cyclists and pedestrians.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services


  • Benefit to raise money for children of fire victim

    Family and friends of Bianca Hedinger, a Tinley Park woman who died in a fire last year, are hosting a fundraiser to benefit the three children she’s left behind.

    The Friday event will feature live music, food, a raffle and a cash bar.

    The goal is to raise money for the three young children who still have years of schooling ahead of them, said Kellie Brotan, Hedinger’s cousin.

    The kids – Gavin, 7, and 6-year-old twins, McKenzie and Griffin – are being cared for by Hedinger’s parents and sister, relatives said.

    Hedinger, a 31-year-old hairdresser, was killed in a fire Aug. 2 in her Tinley Park townhome.

    The cause of the fire remains unknown.

    IF YOU GO …

    What: Dreams for the Hedinger Children

    When: 6 p.m. Friday

    Where: Gaelic Park, 6119 W. 147th St., Oak Forest

    Admission: $25

    Information: visit dreamsforthehedingerchildren.org.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services


  • Homer Glen looks to form water agency

    As higher water and sewer rates in Homer Glen appear increasingly inevitable, village officials are pushing forward with a plan to wrest control of their water and sewer service from Illinois American Water.

    Homer Glen officials met Monday with representatives from Bolingbrook, Romeoville, Woodridge, Plainfield and Shorewood to draw up plans for forming a joint water agency, the same day the Illinois Commerce Commission released its initial recommendations on Illinois American’s latest proposed rate increase.

    Illinois American, which provides water and sewer service to Homer Glen, Orland Hills and other Southland communities, has asked for an additional $60 million in revenue statewide to help fund its operations.

    Administrative law judge Larry Jones wrote in his recommendation that he thought $45 million of that request was justified, an ICC spokesman said. The ICC’s board will make a final decision on the case in April.

    Homer Glen has been at odds for years with Illinois American over the for-profit utility company’s rates, customer service and billing practices.

    Trustee Mary Niemiec, who heads Homer Glen’s water and sewer task force, said Wednesday that while the village is still combing through the 200-page ICC report, “on the surface, it’s disappointing.”

    “Part of the issue with this rate increase is that there were capital improvements being done with a business perspective, but not a community perspective,” she said.

    An Illinois American spokeswoman declined to comment Wednesday on the ICC’s proposed order.

    Homer Glen’s bid to form a water agency is an effort to nix future pocketbook pain for residents, Mayor Jim Daley said. The partner towns would pool their resources to buy the transmission line from Bedford Park, and then each town would pony up to buy its local distribution system.

    “When I became mayor I pretty much told Illinois American, ‘I’m tired of these rate increases,’” Daley said. “The only way we’re going to resolve this is to take over the business.”

    The Homer Glen Village Board plans to discuss the issue at its board meeting March 9, and could vote to form the agency by the end of March.

    Taking control of the utility wouldn’t be cheap: Officials have estimated the Bedford Park transmission line would cost $50 million alone. But that price tag could change if a bill sponsored this month by state Rep. Renee Kosel (R-New Lenox) to change how utilities’ assets are valued makes headway in Springfield.

    Right now, there are a number of ways to calculate the value, Kosel said, but the bill would set a specific formula for the asset’s worth.

    “It lets the community know how much it’s going to cost,” she said.

    Illinois American said Wednesday it opposes Kosel’s bill, calling it “a legislative attempt to misuse government’s power of eminent domain,” and cautioned towns against trying take over the system.

    “It’s unfortunate that leaders of these communities continue to pursue eminent domain, which is a long process that will likely mean higher water rates, taxes or both,” spokeswoman Kathryn Foster said.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services


  • Oak Lawn considers video gambling

    As Oak Lawn’s officials debate the merits of allowing video gambling in local bars and restaurants, the most important component of the debate – the amount of possible new revenue the village would get from legalized betting on the machines – is up for dispute.

    According to Back to Work Illinois, a civic and labor group backing the state’s massive capital improvement plan, Oak Lawn would be in line to receive about $540,000 in tax revenue from the machines.

    That estimate assumes each business that holds one of the 48 liquor licenses issued in Oak Lawn would install the maximum five gaming machines as allowed by the state.

    But Oak Lawn officials did their own homework and came up with a list showing less than half of the establishments cited by Back to Work Illinois’ estimates – about 20 – would even be eligible for video gaming machines.

    Using figures from an outside study cited in an Illinois Municipal League report, village officials estimate an annual intake of about $225,000 in tax revenue.

    The state Legislature last year legalized gambling terminals in taverns, restaurants and clubs, but allowed communities to prohibit the machines.

    The state expected to reap some $287 million if 45,000 new video gaming machines were installed, but has not yet implemented a plan to regulate them.

    The proceeds would fund a $31 billion capital improvement program that includes roadwork and construction projects throughout the state.

    Oak Lawn officials have outlined several projects that would get funding from video gaming revenues.

    But what remains unclear – in Oak Lawn and around the state – is whether Illinois would withhold funding to communities that ban video gaming.

    A recent bill would require towns and counties that bar video poker to make up revenue themselves that would have been generated by the machines.

    If they don’t repay the state, then Illinois would deduct funds for other projects in their areas.

    So far, Oak Lawn hasn’t banned the machines outright.

    Now the question getting tossed around village hall amounts to this: How bad does Oak Lawn need the money?

    It’s hard to say.

    Oak Lawn’s officials have had little public discussion about it.

    They’ve said they’d like to learn the basics before any discussions can get underway.

    A little more light could be shed on the issue during a special public meeting scheduled for Monday at village hall.

    One top voice in the village is cautiously pessimistic.

    “My personal belief is that it’s not the way you should try to get revenue … I’m just not a big fan of it,” Mayor Dave Heilmann said. “But it’s incumbent upon me to make sure all the facts are out there.”

    HAVE YOUR SAY

    Oak Lawn officials will gather next week to discuss the merits of allowing video gaming in some local establishments.

    The meeting is geared toward local business owners but is open to the public.

    The meeting is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. Monday at village hall, 9446 S. Raymond Ave. Residents are encouraged to stick around for a roundtable discussion among the village board scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services


  • Moody’s Warns Greece To Get Its Handout Mobs Under Control Or Be Slammed With A Multi-Notch Downgrade

    greece strike no. 2

    After Standard and Poor’s threatened to downgrade Greece’s BBB+ rating as much as two notices on Wednesday, now Moody’s is coming out with its own threat.

    They simply don’t appear confident that Greece can do as it says when it comes to fiscal austerity (which simply means living within their means).

    Reuters:

    “We have to look at the facts and whether the government of Greece is going to do what it has promised to do,” he said.

    “Or if we see, based on evidence, that there is a deviation from the plan, we will change our rating accordingly. So a small deviation would lead to a small downgrade and a large deviation — which we think is unlikely — would lead to a large downgrade,” Cailleteau said.

    Moody’s said earlier this month that debt-stricken Greece could face the risk of a multi-notch rating cut if its public finances remained unsustainable. Moody’s currently has Greece’s long-term debt rating at A2 with a negative outlook.

    Greece needs to convince markets that it can get its fiscal act together and control its mobs of handout-seekers if it wants to avoid crushing crushing credit downgrades across the board.

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  • Goldman: Treasury Yields Will Crash Because Inflation Is Dead And Bernanke’s A Dove

    paulson bernanke whisper

    Believe it or not, Goldman Sachs is calling a top for U.S. Treasuries in their latest global daily.

    The firm believes inflation and interest-rate hike expectations have been overdone for U.S. government bonds.  They also appear further emboldened in their call for no major interest rate hike through 2011 after Bernanke's words with Congress.

    Get ready for disinflation (falling inflation, down to very low levels):

    Goldman Sachs:

    Core inflation now beginning its second deceleration phase

    Under these circumstances, we continue to expect disinflation in core consumer prices. We have argued for quite some time that core inflation has been sticky up until January because of two temporary inflationary forces —tobacco and car prices. These two factors alone were responsible to nearly a half of year-on-year reading in core inflation. Tobacco prices rose more than 30% last year, as local governments raised taxes in order to make up for their budget shortfalls. While vehicle prices have risen steeply largely because car dealers are now selling their new car inventory at normal prices (as oppose to the ‘liquidation’ prices offered after the collapse of Lehman Brothers).

    ...

    Treasuries are forming a top

    At 3.70%, 10-yr Treasuries are at the top-end of the trading range. Our Sudoku model suggests that based on consensus expectations for growth, inflation and policy rates, 10-yr yields should trade at around 3.50%. If we were to plug our below-consensus macro forecasts, Sudoku would put the fair value closer to 3.0%. In our Bond Snapshot, released at the start of the week, we argued that while are currently on the sidelines, we would be inclined to play it from the long side, provided that the outlook for growth fails to improve. Yesterday’s consumer confidence was one important marker in this regard.

    (Via Goldman Sachs, Global Markets Daily, Michael Vaknin, 25 Feb 2010)

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  • Gmail Gets 6 New Tools from Labs

    Google introduced Gmail Labs as a way to test out the more experimental or niche features before deciding if they were to be a part of the regular product. Some of the Labs experiments are very important for the people that use them, but most users don’t need them, so they’re stuck in Labs. Every once in a while, though, Google decides to ‘graduate’ some tools a… (read more)

  • Dear Conservatives, you’ll have to overcompensate in some other manner

    Because soon no one will be providing or selling hummers…

    …oh, sorry, providing or selling Hummers™.

    General Motors says it will discontinue Hummer after its bid to sell the brand to a Chinese company failed.

    Yes, the offensive symbol of excess and primary resting place of yellow ribbon magnets and bumper stickers proclaiming certain colors don’t run will expire — the end of a ridiculous and offensive era.

    Good riddance.

    The prototypical Hummer bling

    (pic from here)

  • Rickrolling Dead for Several Hours

    For a brief period of time, the web was shaken by the news that one of the most popular Internet memes in Internet meme history, the Rickroll, was to be no more, as YouTube pulled down the original Rickroll video. Thankfully, it was all just a big misunderstanding and the video has now been restored and is ready to punk unsuspecting web surfers once again.
    read more)

  • Haiti: The foreign aid worker’s conundrum

    Alexandros Yiannapoulos in Haiti describes the daily dilemmas faced by aid workers delivering effective aid to large numbers of people in a way that is safe and respects their dignity.


    It is a strange life being a humanitarian worker. The funeral of two of Oxfam’s workers who died in the earthquake got me to look back over this last month in Haiti. I started to think about the different perspectives people may have of humanitarian workers and what we are doing.

    Friends, family and many people I meet believe you are doing something worthwhile – helping save lives and improve the way Haitians live.

    “They seem to do a good job”

    On the other hand, I remember an interview that was reported on the UN news service IRIN: where an old lady was asked her perspective of aid workers, she said (as far as I can remember) “yes they seem to do a good job, they claim to help people but all they do is drive around in their 4×4 and don’t even give me a lift when I am carrying a heavy load!”

    As you see from this statement, we might be seen by the people we have come to help as: wealthy and possibly arrogant driving around in white 4×4s, always in a hurry, never time to stop and listen to each person’s issues. Unfortunately sometimes that is the case: often security rules prohibit us from carrying non-staff members; the time pressures of our work in an emergency; and also the fact that we have to been seen as fair to everyone, not showing any sign of favoritism – which is difficult with so many people in need around you.

    The conundrum we face

    This is part of the conundrum we are here to “help people” whilst at the same time we are limited by our resources, our rules and the fact we are also human. So we have to make choices between who will receive something and who will not. Even our actions have to be calculated carefully, for example I remember in Sri Lanka we helped a number of shopkeepers with a grant to build a small shop and to buy some goods. This was a great idea. However in one area we funded too many shops for the amount of demand, resulting in two out of three going bankrupt. Even with the best intentions we can still occasionally do harm.

    Moral and social pressures

    There are a number of social and moral pressures that are put on us both by the outside world and by ourselves, to the extent that, here in Haiti, you would feel guilty in going to a restaurant or to the beach on Sunday to relax. Which is very much a normal thing done by Haitians and people back home. It is a fine line that we tread when living in an urban area where you are living in the “affected zone”, where all groups of people from the poorest to the wealthiest have been affected, and we have come as strangers to help. How do we keep our morale up, in a responsible manner, whilst at the same time surrounded by the consequences of the earthquake?

    Taking a step back

    Why the funeral got me to think about these issues was because I felt empathy for the loss of two colleagues but at the same time I was alien and a stranger to the two people who died and to the society in Haiti. I am a visitor, and to many, a stranger.

    Sometimes when you are in an emergency, trying to get your work done as quickly as possible, you have to take a step back, realize that you are working with fellow human beings and treat them with the level of respect and dignity they deserve. This can be as simple as a greeting, asking how they are or having a chat. At the same time we are not different to anyone else.

    This post originally appeared on Channel 4 News Online.

    Find out more about Oxfam’s Haiti Earthquake response

  • Mandelson Gets To Choose How Long Your ‘Temporary’ Suspension Would Be

    Remember how the UK was just playing a word game by claiming that it wouldn’t disconnect users from the internet via Peter Mandelson’s Digital Economy Bill? That was quickly debunked, as people realized that the gov’t was simply changing how it described the disconnection, calling it a “temporary account suspension” instead. Of course, that’s still a disconnect. Another unresolved question, however, was how long is temporary? Turns out the answer is however long Peter Mandelson thinks is appropriate.

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  • Sea Ice Escape Route




    This is a strongly suggestive finding.  These sea ice arches which gave way in 2007 effectively block losses of multiyear ice jammed up against the arctic islands.
    I think that the ongoing deteriation of the sea ice is most likely caused by an increase in the inflow of warm surface waters into the Arctic some years ago and that this is ongoing.  I will go even further.  This process will be sustained for centuries and it will also mean warmer north Atlantic waters.  These waters were two degrees warmer during the Bronze Age so it is not impossible at all.
    What is very important is that we have in the Nares Strait a critical choke point that if cleared annually will impact hugely on any sustained ice build up.
    Conjecture:  clearing the strait every spring will accelerate and maintain sea ice removal until the bulk is gone and can also prevent any possible multi season recovery.  In short, if we want a lever to manage sea ice, this is it.
    The next question is how?  I posted two years ago on the topic of nuclear ice breakers.  These are huge craft as large as aircraft carriers able to operate on an aircushion between twin hulls.  Nuclear power is a necessity.
    The craft passes over the ice pack and in the process, forces air under the ice causing it to lift up and break leaving a trail of easily flushed out crushed ice.  There is no doubt that the arches can be removed in this manner fairly easily at the beginning of the season and will allow a steady removal of heavy ice all summer.
    No one has ever imagined that we could manage the sea ice.  Now it appears to be at least a possibility.
    Missing ‘Ice Arches’ Contributed to 2007 Arctic Ice Loss
    02.18.10
    Large, thick floes of ice can be seen breaking off of the Arctic sea ice cover before entering the Nares Strait in this Dec. 23, 2007 radar image from the European Space Agency’s Envisat satellite.


    PASADENA, Calif. – In 2007, the Arctic lost a massive amount of thick, multiyear sea ice, contributing to that year’s record-low extent of Arctic sea ice. A new NASA-led study has found that the record loss that year was due in part to the absence of “ice arches,” naturally-forming, curved ice structures that span the openings between two land points. These arches block sea ice from being pushed by winds or currents through narrow passages and out of the Arctic basin.
    Beginning each fall, sea ice spreads across the surface of the Arctic Ocean until it becomes confined by surrounding continents. Only a few passages — including the Fram Strait and Nares Strait — allow sea ice to escape.
    “There are a couple of ways to lose Arctic ice: when it flows out and when it melts,” said lead study researcher Ron Kwok of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. “We are trying to quantify how much we’re losing by outflow versus melt.”
    Kwok and colleagues found that ice arches were missing in 2007 from the Nares Strait, a relatively narrow 30- to 40-kilometer-wide (19- to 25-mile-wide) passage west of Greenland. Without the arches, ice exited freely from the Arctic. The Fram Strait, east of Greenland, is about 400 kilometers (249 miles) wide and is the passage through which most sea ice usually exits the Arctic.
    Despite Nares’ narrow width, the team reports that in 2007, ice loss through Nares equaled more than 10 percent of the amount emptied on average each year through the wider Fram Strait.
    “Until recently, we didn’t think the small straits were important for ice loss,” Kwok said. The findings were published this month in Geophysical Research Letters.
    “One of our most important goals is developing predictive models of Arctic sea ice cover,” said Tom Wagner, cryosphere program manager at NASA Headquarters in Washington. “Such models are important not only to understanding changes in the Arctic, but also changes in global and North American climate. Figuring out how ice is lost through the Fram and Nares straits is critical to developing those models.”
    To find out more about the ice motion in Nares Strait, the scientists examined a 13-year record of high-resolution radar images from the Canadian RADARSAT and European Envisat satellites. They found that 2007 was a unique year – the only one on record when arches failed to form, allowing ice to flow unobstructed through winter and spring.
    The arches usually form at southern and northern points within Nares Strait when big blocks of sea ice try to flow through the strait’s restricted confines, become stuck and are compressed by other ice. This grinds the flow of sea ice to a halt. 
    “We don’t completely understand the conditions conducive to the formation of these arches,” Kwok said. “We do know that they are temperature-dependent because they only form in winter. So there’s concern that if climate warms, the arches could stop forming.”
    To quantify the impact of ice arches on Arctic Ocean ice cover, the team tracked ice motion evident in the 13-year span of satellite radar images. They calculated the area of ice passing through an imaginary line, or “gate,” at the entrance to Nares Strait. Then they incorporated ice thickness data from NASA’s ICESat to estimate the volume lost through Nares.
    They found that in 2007, Nares Strait drained the Arctic Ocean of 88,060 square kilometers (34,000 square miles) of sea ice, or a volume of 60 cubic miles. The amount was more than twice the average amount lost through Nares each year between 1997 and 2009.
    The ice lost through Nares Strait was some of the thickest and oldest in the Arctic Ocean.
    “If indeed these arches are less likely to form in the future, we have to account for the annual ice loss through this narrow passage. Potentially, this could lead to an even more rapid decline in the summer ice extent of the Arctic Ocean,” Kwok said.
    For more information about NASA and agency programs, visit: http://www.nasa.gov .
    JPL is managed for NASA by the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena.
    Alan Buis

    818-354-0880
    [email protected] 
  • State Owned Banking Gaining Momentum

     It appears that the idea of state owned banks is seriously catching on.  North Dakota and Alberta proved decades ago that it works.  This monumental crisis in super banking has made it very clear what the real advantages are in the face of fiscal recklessness.  Canada avoided the bullet, not because the banks had any wisdom or prudence whatsoever (they tried hard to join the party) but because the political and regulatory culture was long inoculated and fully awake to unregulated speculation with other peoples money.
    The advent of these banks will introduce welcome competition to the commercial banking industry as presently constituted.  The super bank industry has not only become too big to fail, it has also become too big to compete.  Thus we were given the spectacle a year ago of seven super banks shoring each other up because they all had the same bad paper on their books.  In the end, one went down in order to shore up the rest for a moment until they could convince congress to print money.
    As posted before, I have no sense of humor and view the rake’s progress of the past decade as outright treason.  A system that did work well enough until the late nineties was hijacked by the greedy and the criminal.  They all knew it would not last and they all grabbed and largely ran.  No one has even begun to ask the right questions.
    It is obvious that America will be well served with a competitive state owned independent banking system sticking to the interests of its depositors and the state who is naturally the largest depositor and customer.
    It is also obvious that it will also be well served with many more independent securities firms associated with these banks but never owned.  This way the customer can be properly served without loading super costs on either.
    What is clear is that concentration of capital merely means the making of unwieldy bets.  No one would care if the new bank of California loaded up on too many local building loans because it would never affect anyone else.  The damage is self limiting.  However, when the bank of Goldman et al loads up on twenty percent of the nation’s mortgages and then offloads them to funds around the globe, there is no simple way to unravel the bet.
    So yes, it seems as if someone is listening.  Ellen is beating the drums on state banking and many others are joining the party as this article makes clear.
    Solution to the Credit Crisis? The Campaign for State-owned Banks
    By Ellen Brown
    Global Research, February 21, 2010
    Web of Debt – 2010-02-17
    While bank bailouts fatten Wall Street, states continue to battle the credit crisis.  In the search for innovative solutions, some political candidates are proposing that states generate their own credit by setting up their own banks.
    State budgets for 2010 face the largest shortfalls on record, totaling $194 billion or 28 percent of state budgets; and 2011 is expected to be worse.  Unemployment has already officially hit 10 percent, and many economists expect it to rise higher. Continued high unemployment will keep state income tax receipts at low levels and increase demand for Medicaid and other essential services states provide.  The existing alternatives are spending cuts or tax increases, but both will just serve to make the downturn deeper.  When states cut spending, they lay off employees, cancel contracts with vendors, eliminate or lower payments to businesses and nonprofit organizations that provide direct services, and cut benefit payments to individuals. The result is a reduction in overall demand.  Tax increases also remove demand, by reducing the amount of money people have to spend.  
    Amanda Paulson, writing in The Christian Science Monitor, quotes Arturo Pérez, fiscal analyst with the National Conference of State Legislatures, which released its survey of state budget situations in December:
    Unless you’re North Dakota , youre probably a state that has had some degree of difficulty or crisis involving finances. Its the worst situation states have faced in decades, perhaps going as far back as the Great Depression in some states.
    Unless you’re North Dakota a state with a sizeable budget surplus, and the only state that is adding jobs when other states are losing them.  A poll reported on February 13 ranked that weather-challenged state first in the country for citizen satisfaction with their standard of living.  North Dakota s affluence has been attributed to oil, but other states with oil are in deep financial trouble.  The big drop in oil and natural gas prices propelled Oklahoma into a budget gap that is 18.5% of its general-fund budget.  California is also resource-rich, with a $2 trillion economy; yet it has a worse credit rating than Greece .  So what is so special about North Dakota ?  The answer seems to be that it is the only state in the union that owns its own bank.  It doesnt have to rely on a recalcitrant Wall Street for credit.  It makes its own. 
    Candidates Across the Political Spectrum Pick Up on the Public Bank Model
    In the quest to find ways to divorce the well-being of their states from the financial sector, a growing number of candidates are picking up on the public bank alternative.  Florida , Illinois , Oregon , Massachusetts , Idaho and California all have candidates whose platforms contain this proposed solution to the credit crisis. 
    A publicly-owned bank has also been proposed on the federal level.  Nationalizing the Federal Reserve (which is not actually federal but is owned by a consortium of private banks) was advocated by 2008 Presidential candidates Dennis Kucinich, a Democrat, and Cynthia McKinney, the Green Party candidate.  In 2009, Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz said the government would have been better off funding a federally-owned bank than doling out trillions of dollars to private investment banks and CEOs who speculated their way into bankruptcy. Speaking at the New York Society for Ethical Culture on March 6, 2009, he said:
    If we had used the $700 billion to create a new financial institution, allowed it to lever 10 to 1, which is very modest compared to the 30 to 1 that we were doing, 10 to 1 would have generated $7 trillion of new lending capacity, far in excess of what our country needs.  So the issue here is not about lending.  Its really about saving the bankers. And what we confused was saving the banks versus saving the bankers and their shareholders.
    But nationalizing the Federal Reserve faces powerful opponents in Congress.  Meanwhile, on the state level the public bank concept is gaining ground, attracting proponents across the political spectrum, including Democrats, Republicans and Greens. The issue transcends party lines.  In North Dakota , a Republican state, the state-owned bank was inaugurated by a political party appropriately called the Non-Partisan League. 
    Oregon: The Bankers Bank Model
    In OregonBill Bradbury has included a state bank platform in his bid for governor.  Bradbury, a Democrat, was formerly secretary of state and has been endorsed by former Vice President Al Gore.  His website declares:
    It is time to put Oregonians back to work. It is also time to declare economic sovereignty from the multi-national banks that in large part are responsible for much of our current economic crisis. We can achieve these two goals by creating our own bank.
    The Oregonian, Oregon s largest newspaper, reported that Bradbury plans to deposit tax revenues in the public-interest bank, keeping Oregon s money in Oregon .  The bank would then lend the money to get the economy going again, targeting small and medium-sized businesses.  Interest would be poured back into the state through more loans to start-up businesses, agriculture, and other key sectors. Currently, Oregon deposits hundreds of millions of dollars in tax revenues into large out-of-state banks, siphoning the money off from productive in-state uses. Many of these banks are the very banks needing federal bailouts to keep from failing in 2008, after years of handing out risky mortgage loans. These banks have now grown tight-fisted with Main Street borrowers, making Bradburys plan to get money flowing again especially appealing to Oregonian voters.
    Bradbury uses the Bank of North Dakota (BND) as his model. Like the BND, the Bank of Oregon would return a dividend to the state based on its earnings, while creating jobs and stimulating the economy through lending. The state bank would not replace private banking institutions but would partner with them, particularly with community banks, providing them with new customers and helping them provide new services. To assure the state banks independence from existing financial powers, Bradbury proposes that a board of directors appointed by Oregon s Senate should govern the bank, while taking advice from an advisory committee of experts.
    Idaho: Keeping State Assets in the State
    In IdahoJames Stivers, a Republican candidate for the State Senate, has also proposed a state bank to fill state coffers and protect the local economy. In the first indication of a political shift among grassroots Republicans, Stivers swept a closed-ballot preference poll at the GOP District 2 Central Committee meeting in Coeur dAlene on February 13, winning the non-binding poll 10-0. Stivers declares:
    An important part of sovereignty is the monetary authority. Currently, banks are allowed to multiply many times over the tax receipts deposited in their institutions. This special privilege is partly responsible for the sucking sound in our local economies, as regional banks send their assets to central banks that are playing the derivatives markets of the world.
    A state bank would restore this privilege to the people in a public trust and would give us the opportunity to back our deposits with the wealth from our public lands.
    Stivers sees the bank as a way to facilitate small business startups, end the ability of private banks to cream profits from the public treasury, protect key budget items, and stave off excessive influence from the federal government.  He suggests the novel approach of expanding the role of Idaho s Bond Bank authority into a full-fledged state bank.  The current banking system, he says, causes inflation, one of the greatest detriments to a living wage:
    Inflation is caused by the secret tax of the banking industry in which lenders use the multiplier effect to the benefit of their cronies.  This secret tax takes the form of a decline in the value of the dollar and results in higher prices. Wages never keep up with this process because its very purpose is to extract wealth from the wage earner to support the privileged classes who curry the favor of lenders. A state bank would restore this privilege to the people in a public trust and would give us the opportunity to back our deposits with the wealth from our public lands.
    Illinois: Using a State-owned Bank to Fund Infrastructure
    In Illinois , Green Party gubernatorial candidate Rich Whitney has other ideas for a state-owned bank.   Illinois is listed by thePew Center for the States as one of nine states confronting historic budget problems.  In a recent response to the governors State of the State Address, Whitney said:
    I am the only candidate in this race who proposes to fund public improvements, and promote economic health, without any further tax increases, through the establishment of a state bank, a progressive idea that North Dakota adopted years ago, and that has helped keep that state debt-free even in these troubled economic times. Instead of going into more and more debt, to further enrich private banks, we should be using our tax revenue to further invest in our own State and its people, for the enrichment of our own economy.
    The bank would use tax revenues and pension contributions as the financial base to expand credit where it is most needed. Illinois bank would borrow from the Federal Reserve at the same 1 percent rate as commercial banks.  Once the budget was balanced, Whitneys top priorities would be to use the new money to modernize energy infrastructure and promote solar and wind power. To achieve this, property owners of land where wind and solar generators could be located would be lent money through the state bank at a minimal 1 percent interest rate. To secure repayment, Whitney would require utilities to buy power from the solar and wind-based producers at a premium rate. One option would then be to require part of this premium to be paid to the state bank until the loan is returned.  This arrangement, says Whitney, would create a win-win situation:
    The bank is paid back. The homeowner, farmer or business investing in solar or wind generation realizes immediate savings on energy costs and in many cases will go from being a net consumer to a net producer of energy. Their greater income will further stimulate the economy. The utilities will have to pay the cost of the premium rate but in the long run will realize the benefits of having a greater, stable, more diversified and decentralized energy grid, ultimately cheaper in the face of rising fossil fuel prices. As economies of scale are realized in wind and solar power generation, the costs will fall, as will the necessary premium rate. And we all benefit from the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.
    Florida: The Commercial Bank Model
    Economist and author Farid Khavari, a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Florida , proposes a state-owned bank that would lend directly to borrowers. The Bank of North Dakota usually uses a lead lender such as a bank, savings and loan company, or credit union rather than doing commercial lending directly.  Dr. Khavari maintains that the Bank of the State of Florida could be launched at no cost to taxpayers by using the states assets as the reserves for making loans, employing the same fractional reserve lending rules used by private banks today.  In this way, he says, the bank could drive an economic miracle in Florida, instigating massive job creation, cutting costs in half or more, providing low interest financing to homeowners and businesses, and improving teacher salaries and care for veterans and the elderly, while at the same reducing taxes.
    The economy is collapsing due to lack of demand. The economy needs money, but the banks are cutting credit, and then sucking all the cash out of the economy by raising interest rates to make sure no one has any cash left at the end of the month. The cost of interest is built into the cost of everything. People already work ten years of their lives just to pay interest in one form or another. The Bank of the State of Florida will end that for Floridians. And this model will work for every state. . . .
    We can pay 6% interest on savings. Using the same fractional reserve rules as all banks, we can create $900 of new money through loans for every $100 in deposits. We can loan that $900 in the form of 2% fixed rate 15-year mortgages, for example, and the state can earn $12 every year for every $100 in deposits. That means Floridians can save tens of billions of dollars per year while the state earns billions making it possible for them.
     State and local government budgets will balance without higher taxes when the BSF cuts interest costs.  6% BSF credit cards will save people billions per month, money that stays in Florida instead of going to the big banksand the state will make huge profits on that, too.  Saving billions in interest costs will create millions of jobs without subsidies just by keeping those billions circulating in Florida . Eventually the state will earn enough to reduce and eliminate state and local taxes while every Floridian has economic security in a recession-proof Florida .  
    The Federal Reserve states on its website that the banking system as a whole leverages $100 in deposits into $900 in loans, but whether a single bank can do it alone has been challenged.  Critics say that while banks do create money as loans, they have to replace the deposits when the checks leave the bank in order for the checks to clear.  How this all works is a bit complicated and will be the subject of another article, but suffice it to say here in response that if a bank does not have the deposits to cover its outgoing checks, it borrows from the interbank lending market at very low rates, or issues commercial paper or CDs; and the state bank could do the same thing.  It would not be fighting with the other banks for old deposits. Loans create new deposits, which can be borrowed back from the pool of excess deposits thereby created.  Ninety-seven percent of the money supply has been created by commercial banks by turning loans into deposits, but that credit machine has frozen up.  A state bank could get it flowing again.
    California: Catching the Wave
    California leads the nation in the sheer size of its budget gap.  It too now has a gubernatorial candidate proposing to alleviate the states credit woes with a state-owned bank.  Running on the Green Party ticket, Laura Wells is a former financial analyst who received 420,000 votes in her 2002 bid for State Controller, more than any other Green Party candidate has earned in a partisan statewide race.  According to her website:
    Rather than drowning in debt and begging Wall Street for loans, California can institute a State Bank that invests in California‘s infrastructure, and future generations.
    She stated in a comment, A state bank for California is part of my platform as a candidate for the Green Party nomination for Governor. I ran for State Controller to Follow the Money. Now, we need to Fix the Money. A state bank would keep California ‘s wealth in the state. Rather than invest in Wall Street (we’ve hit the wall on that one) we can invest in our infrastructure and our future generations.
    Legislative Proposals
    It is not just political hopefuls who are exploring the public bank option.  Therese Murray currently presides over the Massachusetts State Senate.  She has introduced legislation that would study the formation of a state-owned bank with the principal aim of boosting job creation in the state.  Massachusetts now faces a 9.4 percent unemployment rate.  It wouldnt be in competition with our small community banks, she says.  Weve got to free up some credit, and mortgage companies and banks have got to do a better job of allowing people to redo their mortgages. 
    In Virginia, Congressman Bob Marshall, a Republican, introduced a bill in January to study whether to establish a bank that was owned, run, and controlled by the state.  However, the plan was tabled in committee. 
    On February 16, the front page of the Huffington Post featured an article on the Bank of North Dakota and the precedent it sets for financially-strapped states.  Besides political candidates promoting this option, it noted that a Washington State legislator and a Vermont House committee were exploring it.
    North Dakota hit the Wall Street wall in 1919, when the Bank of North Dakota was established by the state legislature specifically to free farmers and small businessmen from the clutches of out-of-state bankers.  For over 90 years, it has demonstrated the success of the public banking model.  Other credit-choked states are finally taking notice and devising their own variations on the theme.
    Ellen Brown developed her research skills as an attorney practicing civil litigation in Los Angeles . In Web of Debt, her latest book, she turns those skills to an analysis of the Federal Reserve and the money trust. She shows how this private cartel has usurped the
    power to create money from the people themselves, and how we the people can get it back. Her eleven books include Forbidden Medicine, Natures Pharmacy (co-authored with Dr. Lynne Walker), and The Key to Ultimate Health (co-authored with Dr. Richard Hansen). Her websites are www.webofdebt.com,www.ellenbrown.com, and www.public-banking.com.
    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Centre for Research on Globalization. The contents of this article are of sole responsibility of the author(s). The Centre for Research on Globalization will not be responsible or liable for any inaccurate or incorrect statements contained in this article.

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    The CRG grants permission to cross-post original Global Research articles on community internet sites as long as the text & title are not modified. The source and the author’s copyright must be displayed. For publication of Global Research articles in print or other forms including commercial internet sites, contact: [email protected] 

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  • Organic Feed Influences Chicken Gene Expression






    Just in case you thought the science of genetics and DNA is settled, read this.  Of course we do not know if this means anything at all, but it surely means that more cherished beliefs on the subject will come under question.
    Life is a woven tapestry of biochemistry that holds together under an unusual logic system that it may be possible to reconstruct someday.  This continues to reveal the richness of the tapestry.  What it is not is a system that responds well to the simple logic our own minds enjoy.
    Instead it is a huge intellectual challenge that has remained well beyond our present reach.
    So what is the cause of this difference in gene expression?  Good luck.  I find it confounding myself.
    Organic feed influences gene expression in chickens
    January 7, 2010 by Albert Sikkema
    (PhysOrg.com) — Organically fed chickens develop a different process of gene expression in their small intestines than that of chickens which get conventional feed. The organic chickens have higher expressed genes involved in the creation of cholesterol, but do not have raised cholesterol levels in their blood. This surprising conclusion was drawn by Wageningen animal researchers (The Netherlands) last month in the British Journal of Nutrition.
    We had not expected much difference in gene expression between the two groups of chickens because the same ingredients were found in both types of feed, and these differed only in the way they are cultivated’, says researcher Astrid de Greeff of Livestock Research in Lelystad. ‘But it appears that another cultivation method can result in significant differences at the expression level. Much to our surprise, 49 genes seemed to be regulated differently.’ The research was commissioned by the Louis Bolk Institute in Driebergen as part of a bigger research project into possible health effects of feed from different production methods.
    De Greeff and her colleagues compared the gene expression of two generations of chickens which received organically cultivated feed with the gene expression of chickens which received the usual feed. They isolated RNA from the small intestines of the chickens. The amount of RNA is a measurement of the expression of a particular gene. The RNA of the organically fed chickens was labelled with a green colour; the RNA of the conventional chickens had a red label. Both RNA’s were brought together in a micro-array which comprises almost all chicken genes, and comparison was carried out. De Greeff compared pairs of five organically fed chickens and five conventionally fed chickens. She concluded afterwards that there were significant differences in expression.
    A differential expression of 49 genes among a total of twenty thousand chicken genes may seem subtle, says De Greeff. But if you consider the fact that the cultivation method is the only difference in the feed, this is in fact a big difference. Moreover, seven of the 49 genes are involved in cholesterol biosynthesis, when only thirty genes are involved in total in the process.
    What happens biologically when these genes become expressed higher is still unknown. ‘Cholesterol is a building material for many substances, such as hormones. We don’t know yet what the cholesterol does in the chickens.’

    Provided by Wageningen University
  • U.S. Steel Unions Score Yet Another Huge Victory As China Slammed With New Steel Tariffs

    Steel Factory

    One has to envy the amount of pull U.S. steel workers have. The majority of U.S.-China trade agitation is caused by this one relatively tiny part of the U.S. economy.

    China Daily:

    The United States on Wednesday imposed preliminary duties ranging from 11 to 13 percent on steel pipe from China to offset government subsidies, the Commerce Department said.

    The decision puts further strain on US-China trade relations, already tested by disputes over other US trade actions and China’s currency policy.

    It is a victory for US Steel Corp and the United Steelworkers union, which filed a petition in October asking for protection against the Chinese imports.

    China’s steel industry is undoubtedly supported in various manners, and as a result the country is threatened by massive steel overcapacity. But at the same time, maybe some Americans would be happy to have stupidly cheap steel in the future. Nevertheless, expect calls for steel tariffs to intensify as the China steel glut unravels which we feel is likely even in a China soft-landing scenario. U.S. steel will likely be slammed even with government support, so this tariff game is probably causing more harm than help.

    Here’s a little reminder about the state of things:

    steel

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  • How to make a free capacitive stylus

    Pocketnow has come across a quick and easy way to make a capacitive stylus for your HTC HD2. They found that anti-static which is often found shipped with electronics, work quite well on the glass screen, and is of course pretty malleable too.

    Besides sausages, has anyone else come up ways of improving your capacitive screen usage? Let us know below.

  • Home Depot Sees Housing Rebound Across All Regions

    Home Depot

    Home Depot is on fire right now despite continued housing market concerns.

    They raised their guidance and hiked their dividend in their latest earnings release, prompting analysts to increase their forecasts as well.

    As Deborah Weinswig at Citi highlights, Home Depot is experiencing a demand rebound across all of its regions.

    Deborah Weinswig @ Citi:

    State of the Housing Market and Sales Performance

    Regional Sales Performance. Out of HD’s top 40 markets in the U.S., all but two markets experienced SSS improvement in 4Q09. Every HD region experienced SSS improvement in the quarter YOY. The Northern division (HD’s largest division with eight regions), had positive SSS for the quarter. There was also sequential improvement in CA and FL, with a return to positive comps in some of these markets. The business performed very well in Canada in the quarter, with double-digit positive SSS driven by: (1) better performance by the business; (2) recovery from the underperformance LY due to the new IT systems; (3) improving economic conditions; and (4) a government stimulus program designed to support homeowners updating their houses. In Mexico, the business continued to achieve positive comps in the quarter and the year despite a very tough economic environment.

    PFRI Improving but Below 60-Year Average. Private Fixed Residential Investment (PFRI) as a percent of GDP has stopped its dramatic and historic decline, but still remains well below the 60-year average. Additionally, the housing industry remains at distressed levels, as mortgage defaults continue to increase, unemployment remains high, and the PRO customers are still under pressure. As a result, HD expects 2010 to be a transitional year.

    It should be emphasized that things are still soft, which most people know, but what’s notable is that they are improving. When we listened to Home Depot’s conference call, the major concern was whether or not HD could catch a rebound properly after having scaled back during the crisis, rather than anything in regards to a new crisis. The company clearly sees housing market stabilization from its ground-level view.

    (Via Citi, Home Depot 4Q09 EPS Review, Deborah Weinswig, 23 Feb 2010)

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