Author: Serkadis

  • Buffet Partner Believes ‘Its Over”



    I really hate to say much about the developing condition of the USA economy.  Read this and weep.  Somehow economic planning in the USA devolved upon financial engineers who inevitably produced a house of cards of which I have said plenty.
    I repeat, our only way out is to reconstitute the mortgage foreclosure process as per earlier postings.  I think though it is getting late.  We must now suffer through a second wave of debt liquidation in the banking system.  This will take us through to the next president.
    Personal credit will be scarce at the end because of the complete lack of action by the government.  This is a repeat of Hoover’s actions in the early thirties.
    A year ago we did not know how bad the situation was.  The bills have been counted and we now know.  The fraudsters have been uncovered and this includes Greece.  We now know the cost.  It is awesome and the credit system is contracting because of it.
    Mr Obama has announced further actions on health care.  He has forgotten that millions are out of work and will soon be on the street.  They are becoming desperate.  It is going to get ugly and congress bleating over health care is right up there with Marie Antoinette’s admonition to let them eat cake.  This whole crowd is out of touch and clueless.
    I still think it can all be put right.  I just do not see anyone able to do it and most certainly not in the teeth of the attitudes of the nation’s politicians who live as though entitled.  Here we have Charlie Munger trying to get someone to listen.
    Buffett’s Partner: ‘It’s Over’ for U.S. Economy
    Monday, 22 Feb 2010 11:42 AM
    by: Dan Weil

    Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s longtime business partner in Berkshire Hathaway, warns in a new column that the U.S. economic empire is crumbling before our eyes, thanks to federal debt and poor planning.

    In an 
    article penned for Slate.com, Munger uses the form of a parable to explain how Wall Street’s love affair with gambling has destroyed America’s Main Street.

    The article leads with this headline: “Basically, It’s Over.”

    The Berkshire Hathaway vice chairman describes the economic history of Basicland, which happens to match
    U.S. history. 

    Early in its history, debt is unknown except for home mortgages and some consumer loans, and people live within their means. Speculation is discouraged, and commodities markets are small and tightly regulated.

    Under this rational system, economic growth skips merrily along at a steady 3 percent, Munger explains.

    Taxes are limited and pay for only “essential services” like fire protection, courts, and defense. Most taxes are collected on imports, and government spending matches that tax income. Debt via government bonds is limited.

    Then things take a turn for the worse. 

    “The extreme prosperity of Basicland had created a peculiar outcome: As their affluence and leisure time grew, Basicland’s citizens more and more whiled away their time in the excitement of casino gambling,” Munger writes.

    Financial services soon grow to account for too big a portion of the economy, Munger says.

    “The winnings of the casinos eventually amounted to 25 percent of Basicland’s GDP, while 22 percent of all employee earnings in Basicland were paid to persons employed by the casinos, many of whom were engineers needed elsewhere.”

    Then, a shock: Imported energy costs rise, and low-cost labor competition from abroad appears, Munger writes. 

    “Suddenly Basicland had to come up with 30 percent of its GDP every year, in foreign currency, to pay its creditors,” Munger writes.

    The
    U.S. deficit — just the gap between spending and income in one year — is projected to hit $1.6 trillion in 2010. Total debt is project to exceed 100 percent of GDP starting in 2011.

    In the parable, Munger strongly suggests that the United States take seriously the campaign of Reagan-era Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, who wants the big banks to cease pretending to be banks if they expect the freedom to trade securities on the side.


    “He suggested that Basicland should strongly discourage casino gambling, partly through a complete ban on the trading in financial derivatives, and it should encourage former casino employees — and former casino patrons — to produce and sell items that foreigners were willing to buy,” Munger writes.

    As the parable ends, none of the politicians listen, and Basicland turned into “Sorrowland,” Munger concludes.
  • Exhibition: Tutankhamun’s Funeral

    Art Daily

    In 1908, while excavating in the Valley of the Kings in Egypt, American archaeologist Theodore Davis discovered about a dozen large storage jars. Their contents included broken pottery, bags of natron (a mixture of sodium carbonate, sodium bicarbonate, sodium sulphate, and sodium chloride that occurs naturally in Egypt), bags of sawdust, floral collars, and pieces of linen with markings from years 6 and 8 during the reign of a then little-known pharaoh named Tutankhamun. The Metropolitan Museum of Art was given six of the vessels and a good part of their contents in 1909.

    In time, Herbert Winlock, curator and field director of the Metropolitan’s Egyptian excavations and in the 1930s Director of the Museum, came to realize that the natron and linen were the embalming refuse from the mummification of Tutankhamun. He also suggested that the animal bones, pottery, and collars might have come from a funeral meal. Winlock’s analysis was an important clue that led to Howard Carter’s 1922 discovery of Tutankhamun’s tomb some 110 meters away.

    Opening March 16 at the Metropolitan Museum, the exhibition Tutankhamun’s Funeral will explore the materials and rituals associated with the burial of the pharaoh. The presentation will include some 60 objects, primarily from the Metropolitan’s own collection.

    There’s a rather sad photograph on the page. It shows Hawass gesticulating with one arm and the other leaning in Queen Tiye’s glass cabinet, with a wall of photographers surrounding him. In some ways it is ludicrous to be sentimental about the dead, but there’s precious little dignity here for the dead, and no respect from the living. Poor Tiye.

  • Where everyday is ‘Opposite Day’

    Plans coming together

    Oh, how Fox & Friends newly minted insanity disguised as facts always end up coming together:

    Right-wing media figures have seized on comments Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid made linking unemployment to a rise in domestic violence by suggesting that if he loses his re-election bid, then Reid, whose mother was a victim of domestic abuse, will subsequently become abusive toward his wife.

    Other than Harry Reid being factually correct, this goes beyond mere talking points. The same day Steve Doocy decides to say that Democrat Harry Reid will abuse women if he loses reelection in Nevada the actual Republican Governor of Nevada Jim Gibbons had this revealed:

    The federal civil suit was brought by Chrissy Mazzeo, a cocktail waitress who says that Gibbons assaulted and groped her in a parking lot after spending hours drinking at a Las Vegas restaurant…on February 5 of this year, the governor was deposed for four hours … [d]uring the deposition, Gibbons claimed that he hasn’t been sexually intimate with any woman since 1995, and that he’s “living proof that you can survive without sex for that long.”

    So he couldn’t have abused a woman because he’s sexually frustrated…oh THAT never happens.

    Yet, Republican Jim Gibbons is never mentioned on Fox & Friends.

    Funny that.

  • Emails re how the pyramids were built

    Someone sent me an email recently with their personal theory about how the Giza pyramids were built.

    In general I should probably explain that I receive a two or three “how they built the pyramids” emails a month. They are usually well thought out and presented, as far as I can tell, and their authors seem universally nice. But there really is nothing I can do with them on this blog and as I don’t have any civil engineering knowledge myself so it is impossible to comment sensibly. The only useful thing I have to say is that at this moment in time there is no evidence to favour one entirely plausible theory over any other. There have been some viable theories, and many of them are (I am told) entirely possible in engineering terms. But there is not suffient data to confirm or deny that any single one of them was the one employed.

    Vincent Brown very helpfully provided a series of posts on his Talking Pyramids blog about some of the best regarded theories about pyramid construction. All I can suggest, at this moment in time, is that if you have a theory about how the pyramids were built you should check it against the existing theories on Vincent’s site and if someone hasn’t already come up with it, perhaps set up your own website promoting your own theory. Here are the links (thanks Vincent!):

    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-egyptian-pyramids-built/
    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-egyptian-pyramids-built-part-2/
    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-egyptian-pyramids-built-part-3/
    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-ancient-egyptian-pyramids-built-part-4/
    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-egyptian-pyramids-built-part-5/
    http://www.talkingpyramids.com/how-were-the-egyptian-pyramids-built-part-6/

    To the person who emailed recently with their theory, I so sorry but I have lost the email somewhere in the labyrinthine ghastliness of my laptop’s email folders. If you’re reading this, I cannot recall if you were asking me a specific question. Do feel free to email again if I can help with something specific.
  • Xf-Mobile – Xfire Gamer IM client for Windows Mobile

    winxfire Xfire  is a freeware instant messaging service targeted at gamers, that also serves as a game server browser and has various other features, and currently has over 15.2 million registered users.

    XfMobile is a mobile version of the software developed independently by XF-Mobile.com and features:

    – Set up your status.
    – Access your contacts directly from your mobile.
    – Chat over WiFi, EDGE, 3G or even GPRS data connections.
    – Search for and feed your contact list
    – Change your Xfire status.
    – Follow what games your Xfire friends are playing.
    – See your friends’ avatar.
    – See when your friends are writing to you.

    The software should be arriving in the Windows Mobile Marketplace soon and can be found by searching xf-mobile.

    Read more about the app at XF-Mobile.com here.

  • Rivermen get out of the cellar

    The stars aligned Tuesday night for the Peoria Rivermen as they snapped a six-game home-ice losing streak and climbed out of the basement in the AHL West Division.

    The Rivermen put up a good offensive effort, put up enough defense and got some goaltending to beat the Texas Stars, 4-3, before 3,814 at Carver Arena.

    Peoria got goals from Pascal Pelletier, Brett Sonne, Nicholas Drazenovic and Chris Porter — who scored the game-winner — and got a strong blue-line outing from Nate Guenin.

    “We were scattered around and they collapsed the front of the house on us at the end there, but we held ’em off,” Guenin said in reference to Texas’ last-ditch charge after pulling its goaltender for an extra attacker in the final minute. “Losing is a habit. But winning is a habit, too. That’s the one we want.”

    The Rivermen took a 1-0 lead 93 seconds after the opening faceoff when Pelletier skated in from the right circle and sent a shot off goaltender Todd Ford’s glove and inside the right post.

    Texas tied it at 9:04 when defenseman Andrew Hutchinson’s 50-foot drive  from the top of the slot forced a rebound off goaltender Hannu Toivonen and left the puck just outside the goal line, where Aaron Gagnon jammed it across amid a scramble.

    The Rivermen got traffic to the net and built a 2-1 lead at 7:11 of the second period as a result.

    Peoria wingers Adam Cracknell and Ryan Reaves camped against Texas defensemen Matt Stephenson and Dan Jancevski, and that set the stage for Sonne to bury a rebound as he moved in from the right circle.

    Texas had a huge chance midway through the period, a five-on-three power play for1:02. But the Rivermen erased most of it using two forwards and one defenseman. The Stars did the rest when Gagnon slapped the stick out of Toivonen’s hand and was boxed for interference.

    Texas tied it at 15:42 when winger Scott McCulloch skated around the back of the net, stopped and stuffed the puck around the right post and past Toivonen’s outstretched left skate.

    But Drazenovic smacked a bouncing puck from the left edge of the crease past Ford for a 3-2 lead at 5:48 of the third. Porter made it 4-2 at 13:50 when he powered in from the right circle and one-handed his own rebound inside the right post.

    Texas picked up a power play goal from defenseman Maxime Fortunus at 17:13 and pulled for Ford for an extra attacker in the final 64 seconds.

    “There’s a point where pucks go in for you and you start to feel confident, and that’s what is happening right now,” Sonne said. “The team needed a big effort tonight, and I think we did that, and it’s what we need to do to get to the playoffs.

    “At the end of the game, every guy in the room can reflect on the game and know they played a solid 60 minutes.”

    RIVER READINGS: The Rivermen sent defenseman Jason Lepine back to IHL Bloomington after the game…Peoria will send rookie enforcer Anthony Peluso to ECHL Alaska on Wednesday morning…Rivermen center-winger Julian Talbot was a healthy scratch. … Peoria defensemen Bryce Lampman (concussion) and Danny Richmond (back spasms) missed the game. … The NHL was in full force at Carver Arena as scouts packed press row, including Claude Larose (Carolina), Dirk Graham (San Jose), Garth Joy (Colorado), Scott Mellanby (Vancouver), Dave Brown (Philadelphia), Archie Henderson (Ottawa) and Rob Ramage (St. Louis). … Rockford general manager Mark Bernard also was on hand, as was Bruce Southern, a scout for Manitoba. … IHL Bloomington coach Jarrod Skalde was at the game.

    Dave Eminian can be reached at 686-3206 or [email protected].

    Developing …

    Read the original article from Journal Star.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services


  • Pendulum Swings Back: Insource Your IT To Save Money

    Sun / Intel This post is part of the IT Innovation series, sponsored by Sun & Intel. Read more at ITInnovation.com.
    Of course, the content of this post consists entirely of the thoughts and opinions of the author.

    It’s kinda funny how various “trends” in IT get taken so far that they reach the point where finally people realize the extreme might not have made sense. For years, “outsourcing” was all the rage and it made a few companies an awful lot of money. While many warned that outsourcing something as critical as IT could lead to unintended consequences, many execs swallowed the kool-aid and did deals without thinking through all of the consequences. This isn’t to say outsourcing IT never works. In many cases, it does. But it seemed to be taken to such an extreme that that you knew eventually the pendulum would swing back the other way.

    So here we are with articles popping up about how a company has saved millions of dollars by “insourcing” its IT and taking it back from an outsourced provider. Of course, the more cynical among you might suggest that the trend towards outsourcing was pushed mainly by consultants who made their money making those deals work — and the trend in the other direction may be equally pushed by those same consultants looking for new business. The real story, of course, is that depending on the business and what a company is trying to do, there are always pros and cons to outsourcing or keeping IT in-house, but the claims of miraculous savings in either direction tend to overstate the benefits while ignoring the downsides.

    Permalink | Comments | Email This Story





  • Proanthodyn Grapeseed Ext ( 200mg, 120 caps )

    Proanthodyn Grapeseed Ext ( 200mg, 120 caps ) Source Naturals Grape Seed Extract is a rich source of procyanidins – water soluble antioxidant flavonoids that are excellent free radical scavengers and have been shown to support the capillaries and circulatory health. Grape seed extract also has been shown in preliminary research to cross the blood/brain barrier and provide powerful antioxidant protection to the brain.
  • COQ10 ( 100 mg, 150 Softgel )

    COQ10 ( 100 mg, 150 Softgel ) Coenzyme Q10 is a vitamin-like compound also Coenzyme Q10 is a vitamin-like compound also called ubiquinone. It is an essential component of cells and is necessary for mitochondrial energy production. Years of research has shown that CoQ10 supports healthy cardiovascular and Defense mechanism of body functions in addition to its vital role in energy production.
  • Super Omega 3-6-9 ( 1200 mg, 180 Softgel )

    Super Omega 3-6-9 ( 1200 mg, 180 Softgel ) Super Omega 3-6-9 is a blend of Fish, Borage and Organic Flax Seed Oils. This combination of well-known nutritional oils provides a unique balance of Omega-3 and Omega-6 Essential Fatty Acids plus Omega-9, a non-essential, but beneficial fatty acid. The Omega-3’s, Alpha Linolenic Acid, EPA and DHA, and the Omega-6, GLA, are necessary for the maintenance of cardiovascular, nervous system and skin health. Oleic Acid, an Omega-9, has also been shown to promote a healthy vascular system.
  • Body Rescue pH Testing Tape ( 15 Feet )

    Body Rescue pH Testing Tape ( 15 Feet ) This easy-to-use testing tape allows you to test the pH value of saliva and urine anywhere, anytime. The handy dispenser features an easy-to-read 12-color chart for accurate readings. With Body Rescue pH testing Tape, it’s simple to monitor your acid/alkaline balance and witness the effects your diet has on your body.
  • MenoChange ( 100 + 50 Tabs )

    MenoChange ( 100 + 50 Tabs ) Planetary Herbals MenoChange Cimicifuga-Vitex Compound is a comprehensive botanical preparation, used to support a woman’s changing cycle through menopause. It contains a standardized black cohosh extract, along with wild yam root extract from Native American herbal traditions, and Europe’s premier female regulator, Vitex agnus-castus (chaste tree berry). These are combined with traditional Chinese herbs, including dong quai, renowned for their ability to support a healthy reproductive system.
  • Green Tea ( 450 mg, 100 Caps )

    Green Tea ( 450 mg, 100 Caps ) Green Tea originated in China where it has been used for thousands of years, primarily as a tea. Tea is the most popular beverage in the world.
  • L-Lysine Free-Form ( 500 mg, 120 Caps )

    L-Lysine Free-Form ( 500 mg, 120 Caps ) This product is an amino acid produced naturally by a microbiological fermentation process and is an essential component of protein found naturally in the human body.
  • Lutein ( 6mg, 100 Caps )

    Lutein ( 6mg, 100 Caps ) Lutein is the most abundant carotenoid found in fruits and vegetables, and is a potent antioxidant, espeicially concetrated in the macula of the eye. Twinlab Lutein is in a dry, water dispersed form, with no added oils or fats. Natural mixed tocopherols and rosemary extract are added as antioxidants for greater stability and shelf life.
  • Calcium Citrate Complex ( 250 Caps )

    Calcium Citrate Complex ( 250 Caps ) Calcium is necessary for proper teeth/bone development and muscle function.This calcium formula contains a blend of citrate, malate and carbonate forms for optimal absorption and utilization within the body.
  • Council agrees to Washington Street changes

    The City Council generally approved Tuesday all of the Public Works Department’s recommended changes to Washington Street, including a proposal to add parking on both sides of the street through the Warehouse District.

    But whether most of these changes are ultimately approved depends on how they are viewed by the Illinois Department of Transportation, which will consult with the city in the coming weeks about them.

    “We have a lot of talking to do (with IDOT),” Public Works Director David Barber said. “It is their street. It is under their control.

    Barber said he will discuss with IDOT the council’s wishes to transform Washington Street/U.S. Route 24 into a more pedestrian-friendly road that was described in the city’s Heart of Peoria Plan several years ago. He said if the changes are not endorsed by IDOT, it could lead to a potential relocation of the state-maintained route from Washington Street.

    “I hope we don’t have to go that far,” Barber said.

    The $41.6 million project, if all goes according to plan, could be under construction by 2013, Barber said.

    Council members expressed a need to move quickly on some portions of a project that divides the 3 1/2-mile stretch of Washington Street from Interstate 74 to Interstate 474 into four districts: the Business District (I-74 to the Bob Michel Bridge), Warehouse District (Bob Michel Bridge to MacArthur Boulevard), Commerce District (MacArthur to the Adams/Washington streets split), and the Gateway District (the split to I-474).

    At-large City Councilman Ryan Spain said a concern for him is the length a Phase 1 study of the entire stretch of Washington will take. According to Barber, the Phase 1 work – which compiles a detailed analyses of engineering work and infrastructure along the road – could take 18 months or longer, and that process might not begin until April or May.

    “Given some of the current (development) opportunities before the city, I’m curious if there is a way we don’t have to do a Phase 1 for everything,” Spain said.

    Barber said he will discuss with IDOT officials the request to move forward on certain sections of the project over others, although he felt the state might want the entire road analyzed at once.

    Barber said the state will be asked to help support the Phase 1 study of the road, which is estimated to cost $2 million to $2.5 million.

    As far as the council’s recommendations for the road, they included:

    – Changing the Gateway District from seven to four lanes, with a flushed median in the middle.

    Council members expressed an interest in removing the raised median.

    At-large City Councilman George Jacob also asked for the city to look at ways to make this stretch of the road in South Peoria near the future Harrison School a more “green” development.

    – Reducing the Commerce District to three lanes with a flushed median. Also, 1st District City Councilman Clyde Gulley asked if the city could continue looking for ways to limit truck traffic off Washington Street near the Archer Daniels Midland plant.

    – Adding parking on both sides of Washington through the Warehouse District. Previous plans, endorsed by IDOT, show the street should include on-street parking on the east side of the street only.

    “I think it’s really a great proposal and far superior to the IDOT approved plan,” Spain said.

    – Adding a raised median within the Business District near the museum block, while reducing the road to three lanes.

     

    John Sharp can be reached at 686-3282 or [email protected].

     

    Read the original article from Journal Star.

    Distributed via Chicago Press Release Services