Author: Co2sceptic

  • Tree rings: Chainsaws at dawn by Holly Williams

    Article Tags: TreeGate

    Tree rings were thought to prove global warming – now climate-change deniers say they show the reverse. Both views are flawed

    As every amateur naturalist knows, trees provide a record of their own history, in the pattern of rings seen in a horizontal cross-section. Trees growing at the same time will show similar patterns, and each year is distinctive enough to allow those who study tree rings – dendrochronologists – to date the rings, establishing chronologies stretching back thousands of years.

    But trees tell us more than just when they were growing – they also reveal what the climate was like. Rings are formed as the tree grows, adding layers of new wood beneath its bark. How thick that layer – and how wide the resultant ring – depends on various factors, but most importantly the climate. A warm, wet summer will result in a wide ring; a cold summer or drought will produce a narrow ring.

    Trees can therefore function as archives, invaluable sources of information for climatologists – and for those attempting to prove or disprove climate change.

    And that’s where it gets controversial. It turns out not all trees hold a reliable record of temperature. But as temperature-related data is hot property in the climate change debate, scientists who suggest that some tree data may not be helpful risk being accused of hiding important findings.

    Last month, Queen’s University Belfast was ordered by the UK Information Commissioner’s Office to hand over data from 40 years of research into Irish tree rings to Doug Keenan. A City banker turned climate analyst – and climate change denier – Keenan believes the Irish tree-rings could provide evidence that there was a “medieval warm period” 1,000 years ago. If this were true, it would disrupt the notion that warming during the 20th century is unique and man-made.

    Source: independent.co.uk

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  • Oxford Union Debate on Climate Catastrophe – Army of Light and Truth 135, Forces of Darkness 110

    Article Tags: Lord Monckton

    For what is believed to be the first time ever in England, an audience of university undergraduates has decisively rejected the notion that “global warming” is or could become a global crisis. The only previous defeat for climate extremism among an undergraduate audience was at St. Andrew’s University, Scotland, in the spring of 2009, when the climate extremists were defeated by three votes.

    Last week, members of the historic Oxford Union Society, the world’s premier debating society, carried the motion “That this House would put economic growth before combating climate change” by 135 votes to 110. The debate was sponsored by the Science and Public Policy Institute, Washington DC.

    Serious observers are interpreting this shock result as a sign that students are now impatiently rejecting the relentless extremist propaganda taught under the guise of compulsory environmental-studies classes in British schools, confirming opinion-poll findings that the voters are no longer frightened by “global warming” scare stories, if they ever were.

    Source: sppiblog.org

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  • El Nino 2009/10 Over – La Nina, Warm Summer and Global Cooling Coming by Joseph D’Aleo CCM

    Article Tags: 2010 Forecast, Headline Story, Joe Daleo, World Temperatures

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    Extract….

    Unprecedented solar levels and long period of quiet solar may enhance the global cooling effect as La Nina comes on. Note the rapid global temperature (MSU satellite lower atmospheric temperatures shown) declines in prior La Nina episodes post strong El Ninos (red arrows).

    Note similarity of sunspot activity to cycle 5 at the start of the Dalton Minimum. Cycle 14 a century ago is also shown and has been regarded by some as another possible analog/ Note the more rapid recovery that cycle. That was also a cold period though not as cold as the Dalton.

    Click source to read PDF download from Joseph D’Aleo at IceCap.US

    Source: icecap.us

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  • Effect of Change to Atmospheric CO2 Level on Average Global Temperature by Dan Pangburn PE

    Article Tags: Dan Pangburn, [email protected]

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    INTRODUCTION

    The analysis at Reference 1 presents a method and equation that accurately calculates average global temperatures since 1895 without considering any influence from change to the level of carbon dioxide or any other greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. The coefficient of determination, R2, for that calculation is 0.8686 (all of those digits are as calculated and are shown only to reveal the tiny differences between calculated values.

    There is no presumption that real-world precision is this close) which means that the equation explains 86.86% of the measured average global temperature (agt) anomalies.

    This is far better than has been achieved by any Global Climate Model. The agt anomaly identified in Ref 1 as a prediction is more correctly called a calculation up to the present and a projection (for the condition of no sunspots) thereafter.

    The present paper includes a determination of the contribution that added atmospheric CO2 makes to average global temperature. It is a refinement of the previous work which was presented in Ref 1. The present work produced the rather startling discovery that, although assuming no effect of added atmospheric CO2 produced an excellent correlation with measured agt, when a significant contribution from added atmospheric CO2 is
    included, an excellent correlation was also produced, in fact, a tiny bit better.

    Click to download “Effect of Change to Atmospheric CO2 Level on Average Global Temperature” by Dan Pangburn

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  • Climate change concern declines in poll by Owen Bowcott

    Article Tags: Public Polls

    Only 62% of Britons interested in subject, down from 80% in 2006, according to YouGov survey

    Popular concern about climate change has declined significantly, following this year’s harsh winter and rows over statistics on global warming, a survey has found.

    The numbers of those interested in where Britain’s electricity comes from have also slipped back, according to a survey commissioned by the energy company EDF, demonstrating what appears to be growing consumer complacency in an era of electric-powered gadgetry.

    At the same time resistance to building new nuclear power stations appears to be slackening. The results of the YouGov poll, based on a sample of 4,300 adults questioned during the week after the general election, show that interest in climate change fell from 80% of respondents in 2006, to 71% last year and now stands at only 62%. Only 80% say they are interested in where electrical power is made, down from 82% the previous year.

    Other recent polls have recorded a similar drop in public alarm about the imminence of climate-triggered disaster. The number of climate change agnostics – those unsure whether human activity is warming the planet – has risen from 25% in 2007 to 33% now.

    Click source to read more from Owen Bowcott

    Source: guardian.co.uk

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  • Reply to article by Don Easterbrook: Don Easterbrook hides the incline by Tim Lambert: Deltoid

    Article Tags: Don Easterbrook, Headline Story, Reply To Article

    As some of you may know, my recent paper at the Heartland global climate conference has been attacked by Gareth Renowden and posted by Tim Lambert on his blog.

    Although I don’t normally even read this kind of garbage, I responded to an inquiry by Andy Revkin with the attached.

    Don Easterbrook

    “When you are losing an argument on the basis of facts and evidence, the oldest trick in the world is to invent some outrageous lie, the more outrageous the better, and while people are reacting to the lie, attention is diverted from the real issue. It is a sure sign of desperation in distracting attention from facts and data. The outrageous charge of fraud made by a self professed “photographer and truffle grower” (Gareth Renowden) is not worthy of response, but because the charge is so easily refuted, I will do so……

    Please click PDF file to download FULL response to “hides the incline” from Don Easterbrook

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    File attachment: Responsetohidestheincline.pdf
      


  • El Niño could make 2010 the hottest year ever by Jonathan Leake

    Article Tags: 2010 Forecast, John Christy, Met Office

    CLIMATE scientists have warned that 2010 could turn out to be the warmest year in recorded history.

    They have collated global surface temperature measurements showing that the world has experienced near-record highs between January and April.

    Researchers working independently at the Met Office and Nasa are soon to publish data that reveal the trend is likely to continue for the rest of the year.

    James Hansen, director of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (Giss), a world centre for climate monitoring, said: “Global temperatures, averaged over the past 12 months, were the warmest for 130 years.

    “December to February was also the second-warmest of any such period.”

    Vicky Pope, head of climate change advice at the Met Office, said: “It was a cold winter in Europe but, globally, January to March was one of the seven warmest starts to the year on record.

    “This year has more than a 50% chance of being the warmest on record.”

    Source: timesonline.co.uk

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  • You Could Not Make It Up: Just a little ray of sunshine ended ice ages by Jonathan Leake

    Article Tags: Comment, You could not make it up

    This very silly report in the Times gives an insight how “cause and effect” have been mixed up so that CO2 drives the climate. I have extracted the following to show the struggle in making the analysis fit the facts i.e. the “effect is the cause”: These people call themselves scientists! Oh boy, oh boy, have they got it wrong!

    …..The British Isles are among the regions most strongly affected by ice ages. Over the past 700,000 years they have been deserted and resettled by humans about a dozen times, according to researchers at London’s Natural History Museum. Humans last returned only 11,500 years ago.

    Another puzzle is why ice ages started, but this is closer to resolution with massive changes in atmospheric CO2 levels being the main suspect. Last year scientists from the University of California, Los Angeles, used ocean sediments to plot CO2 levels over the past 20m years. They found that, at the start of that period, volcanic eruptions raised the levels of CO2 in the air to about 400 parts per million, pushing global temperatures up to several degrees higher than they are now. As CO2 levels fell to between 180ppm and 280ppm, the world cooled and the ice ages set in.

    Could Europe and North America once again be threatened by an ice age? In theory yes, but humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions have probably deferred such a freeze for many millenniums. CO2 levels are already close to those of 20m years ago and could be significantly higher within a few decades. Most climate scientists predict a global temperature increase of several degrees within the next century.

    Eric Wolff of the British Antarctic Survey commented yesterday: “The work by Larry Edwards and colleagues to put a precise date on the end of ice ages as seen in the Chinese caves is a great advance, because it lets us get a first look at the absolute timing of the different events at the end of ice ages. It gives very strong support to the idea that the orbital changes really do ‘pace’ the so-called ‘glacial terminations’.”

    There were still questions to be asked about the effects that changing levels of sunshine have on ice sheets, he said, but “we have made great strides in understanding this problem”. He added: “I think we can be very sure that, with CO2 levels already 30% higher than at any time in the previous 800,000 years, there is no chance of a new ice age any time soon.

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  • Prepare for a bit of cooling predicts geologist by Dennis T. Avery

    Article Tags: Dennis T. Avery, Don Easterbrook

    “Global warming is over—at least for a few decades,” geologist Don Easterbrook, professor emeritus from Western Washington University told the Heartland Institute’s Fourth International Conference on Climate Change on May 19. He warned, however, us not to rejoice. Colder winters kill twice as many people as hot weather while crop production suffers from shorter growing seasons and weather-disrupted harvests.

    Dan Miller, climate expert with the Roda Group and ardent believer in Anthropogenic Global Warming, responded to Easterbrook at Fox News: “It’s absurd to talk about global cooling when global heating is with us and accelerating.” But Miller is referring to the current temperature spike from an El Nino in the Pacific Ocean—a short-term climate event already ending, according to Pacific sea surface temperatures. The key question now is where the temperatures will go after the El Nino fades.

    Easterbrook offered geological evidence that the earth has had ten big “recent” warmings that dwarf the 0.7 degree temperature increase estimated for the 20th century. Over the past 15,000 years, those temperature shifts drove the earth’s temperatures radically up or down by 9–15 degrees C within a single century. He also noted 60 sharp-but-smaller temperature changes in the past 5,000 years. All of these occurred before 1945, when the post-war Industrial Boom began to ramp up human-emitted CO2 levels.

    Source: canadafreepress.com

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  • Must See: Vice President Al Gore at the Monterey CA Golden State Theater

    Article Tags: Climate Protest, YouTube

    Former television weather meteorologist and KSFO morning man Brian Sussman led a delegation of about 100 to Monterey last week to give a “Climate-gate hello” to the “warming guru” Al Gore. (Sussman’s book, “Climate-gate” is a New York Times best-seller and “the” expose of the 20-year fraud of global warming.)

    Click source to read FULL report

    See below for the Dr. Hansimian’s Hurricane Forecast YouTube

    Source: uncoverage.net

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  • MalariaGate now infects More Global Warming Conspirators by John O’Sullivan

    Article Tags: Headline Story, John O'Sullivan, MalariaGate

    Image AttachmentImage source

    Controversial climate scientist, Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann is still up to his old tricks; he’s now alleged to have assisted a university colleague in obtaining a cool two million dollars for discredited research into malaria.

    Ace skeptic investigator, Barry Woods has unearthed another useful lead in the corrupt and immoral world of climate science-this time linking the breaking Malaria-gate scandal with Penn. State University bad boys, Michael Mann and Matthew Thomas.

    We all know the stink of Michael Mann but who is Thomas? He’s Penn. State’s Professor of Entomology and like Mann has been doing overtime trying to salvage the remnants of the discredited man-made global warming theory.

    No Link Whatsoever between Malaria and Climate

    Thomas is under the spotlight because he’s just been discredited as an expert in the field due to the recent publication of ground-breaking research on malaria in Nature (Gething et al. (2010)). The new study proves there is no link whatsoever between malaria and climate. In fact, Gething’s data shows the mortality rates from malaria are actually in decline-a body blow to the hype of doomsaying establishment junk scientists.

    The Nature study is a gamechanger on climate issues involving malaria so that politicized alarmist advocates like Thomas will soon be classed as ‘sub-prime’ experts in this field. Thomas had steadily built a lucrative business for himself as Professor of Entomology, at Penn State’s Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics. He boasts a published exploration of the ecology and evolution of “enemy-victim” interactions (malaria).

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  • Greenies: the Red, the Dumb and the Angry by James Delingpole

    Article Tags: James Delingpole

    Just back from the Oxford Union where, last night, we debated the motion: This House Would Put Economic Growth Before Combatting Climate Change. Though I wouldn’t necessarily say I sucked, my performance definitely wasn’t as strong as the one I gave at Heartland. Luckily I had the benefit of a blindingly good team in the form of Lord Lawson of Blaby, Lord Leach and Viscount Monckton – who temporarily ennobled me to Lord Delingpole of Blogosphere so I didn’t feel too left out.

    Much to my surprise the motion carried. (133 Ayes; 110 Noes) I suppose I oughtn’t to be surprised, what with all the arguments so obviously in favour of our side and none in favour of theirs. But you never quite know with undergraduates – even frightfully clever Oxford ones – because, never having inhabited the real world, they can all too easily incline to dreamy idealism combined with an utter failure to grasp economic reality.

    What really struck me about the occasion, though, was the unspeakable direness of the opposition. I don’t mean the nice girl from Trinity College: as an officer of the Union, she had to take whatever side of the debate she was given to argue. I mean the three others, who embodied pretty much everything wrong with the green movement: its crypto communism; its woeful ignorance; and its sphincter-popping rage.

    Source: blogs.telegraph.co.uk

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  • Springwatch finds the BBC in cloud cuckoo land by Christopher Booker

    Article Tags: Christopher Booker, World Temperatures

    Sadly the flowers have refused to follow the BBC’s climate change rules.

    Last Monday, in its obsession with global warming, the BBC got comically caught out. It devoted a whole hour-long edition of its popular nature programme Springwatch to one of the more familiar themes of warmist propaganda, the way in which springs have been noticeably moving forwards in recent decades, with flowers, tree leaves and much else appearing weeks earlier than they used to do.

    A familiar instance to any observer of the countryside has been the dramatic advance in flowering times of those three hedgerow indicators, blackthorn, hawthorn and elder. These used to blossom with unfailing regularity in the closing days of April, May and June, and their recent flowering weeks earlier has undoubtedly been a reflection of a warming climate. But contradicting any belief that this change in our climate is “irreversible” has been the fact that this year, after the hardest of three cold winters running, nature’s calendar has dramatically reverted to “normal”. The blackthorn burst into flower with unusual intensity in late April, may blossom is only now appearing, as it used to do, in the last 10 days of May.

    Source: telegraph.co.uk

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  • In Defense of the Globally Averaged Temperature by Dr. Roy Spencer

    Article Tags: Roy Spencer, World Temperatures

    I sometimes hear my fellow climate realists say that a globally-averaged surface temperature has little or no meaning in the global warming debate. They claim it is too ill-defined, not accurately known, or little more than just an average of a bunch of unrelated numbers from different regions of the Earth.

    I must disagree.

    The globally averaged surface temperature is directly connected to the globally averaged tropospheric temperature through convective overturning of the atmosphere. This is about 80% of the mass of the atmosphere. You cannot warm or cool the surface temperature without most of the atmosphere following suit.

    The combined surface-deep layer atmospheric temperature distribution is then the thermal source of most of the infrared (IR) radiation that cools the Earth in response to solar heating by the sun. Admittedly, things like water vapor, clouds, and CO2 end up also modulating the rate of loss of IR to space, but it is the temperature which is the ultimate source of this radiation. And unless the rate of IR loss to space equals the rate of solar absorption in the global average, the global average temperature will change.

    Source: drroyspencer.com

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  • Is Global Warming Really Cause for Alarm? by Paul Driessen, Willie Soon and David R. Legates

    Article Tags: David R. Legates, Paul Driessen, Willie Soon

    We’re often asked, “What really causes all these alarms about global warming disasters?”

    As scientists and policy analysts who’ve studied our ever-changing climate for a combined 65 years and attribute the changes primarily to natural forces, we’ve wondered that ourselves and also asked: Why is warming always framed as bad news? Why does so much “research” claim a warmer planet “may” lead to more childhood insomnia, more juvenile delinquency, war, juvenile delinquency, violent crime and prostitution, death of the Loch Ness Monster – and even more Mongolian cows dying from cold weather?

    We’re not making this up. In fact, this is just the tip of the proverbial melting iceberg of climate scare stories chronicled at Number Watch. Clearly, too much money is being spent on one-sided global warming advocacy cloaked as “research,” not enough on natural causes and adaptation. Despite the best of intentions, too much money can corrupt, or at least skew the science.

    As they say, follow the money. Remember Indiana Jones’ immortal words: “Fortune and glory.”

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  • UN says case for saving species ‘more powerful than climate change’ by Juliette Jowit, The Guardian

    Article Tags: A Moment Of Clarity, Front Page News

    Image AttachmentGoods and services from the natural world should be factored into the global economic system, says UN biodiversity report.

    The economic case for global action to stop the destruction of the natural world is even more powerful than the argument for tackling climate change, a major report for the United Nations will declare this summer.

    The Stern report on climate change, which was prepared for the UK Treasury and published in 2007, famously claimed that the cost of limiting climate change would be around 1%-2% of annual global wealth, but the longer-term economic benefits would be 5-20 times that figure.

    The UN’s biodiversity report – dubbed the Stern for Nature – is expected to say that the value of saving “natural goods and services”, such as pollination, medicines, fertile soils, clean air and water, will be even higher – between 10 and 100 times the cost of saving the habitats and species which provide them.

    To mark the UN’s International Day for Biological Diversity tomorrow, hundreds of British companies, charities and other organisations have backed an open letter from the Natural History Museum’s director Michael Dixon warning that “the diversity of life, so crucial to our security, health, wealth and wellbeing is being eroded”.

    Click source to read FULL report from Juliette Jowit

    Source: guardian.co.uk

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  • The Great Dying of Thermometers by Joanne Nova

    Article Tags: Joanne Nova, World Temperatures

    It’s like watching the lights go out over the West. Sinan Unur has mapped the surface stations into a beautiful animation. His is 4 minutes long and spans from 1701-2010. I’ve taken some of his snapshots and strung them into a 10 second animation.

    You can see as development spreads across the world that more and more places are reporting temperatures. It’s obvious how well documented temperatures were (once) in the US. The decay of the system in the last 20 years is stark.

    For details on just how sinister the vanishing of data records is, see my previous post on Anthony Watts and Joe D’Aleo’s extraordinary summary of Policy Driven Deception.

    Click source to read FULL report from Joe Nova

    Source: joannenova.com.au

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  • Climate sceptics rally to expose ‘myth’ by Roger Harrabin

    Article Tags: BBC

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    Click source to read FULL report by Roger Harrabin

    Source: bbc.co.uk

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  • It’s the Sun, stupid by Lawrence Solomon

    Article Tags: Jeff Kuhn, Lawrence Solomon

    Solar scientists are finally overcoming their fears and going public about the Sun-climate connection

    Four years ago, when I first started profiling scientists who were global warming skeptics, I soon learned two things: Solar scientists were overwhelmingly skeptical that humans caused climate change and, overwhelmingly, they were reluctant to go public with their views. Often, they refused to be quoted at all, saying they feared for their funding, or they feared other recriminations from climate scientists in the doomsayer camp. When the skeptics agreed to be quoted at all, they often hedged their statements, to give themselves wiggle room if accused of being a global warming denier. Scant few were outspoken about their skepticism.

    No longer.

    Scientists, and especially solar scientists, are becoming assertive. Maybe their newfound confidence stems from the Climategate emails, which cast doomsayer-scientists as frauds and diminished their standing within academia. Maybe their confidence stems from the avalanche of errors recently found in the reports of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, destroying its reputation as a gold standard in climate science. Maybe the solar scientists are becoming assertive because the public no longer buys the doomsayer thesis, as seen in public opinion polls throughout the developed world. Whatever it was, solar scientists are increasingly conveying a clear message on the chief cause of climate change: It’s the Sun, Stupid.

    Jeff Kuhn, a rising star at the University of Hawaii’s Institute for Astronomy, is one of the most recent scientists to go public, revealing in press releases this month that solar scientists worldwide are on a mission to show that the Sun drives Earth’s climate. “As a scientist who knows the data, I simply can’t accept [the claim that man plays a dominant role in Earth’s climate],” he states.

    Source: fullcomment.nationalpost.com

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  • Will Satellite Mean Sea Levels Continue to Rise? by Jonathan Drake

    Article Tags: Jonathan Drake, Sea Level Gate

    article image

    Click source to read FULL report from Jonathan Drake, you can also download PDF here and Sea level trends for NOAA tide gauges and satellite data here:

    Regards

    Jonathan

    Source: trevoole.co.uk

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