Article Tags: Roy Spencer, World Temperatures
Click source to read FULL report by Dr. Roy Spencer
Source: drroyspencer.com
Author: Co2sceptic
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Climate Science Strikes Back by Doug L. Hoffman
Article Tags: Doug L. Hoffman
If a letter appearing in the May 7, 2010, issue of Science is any indication, it looks like climate science traditionalists are trying to stage a comeback. The article by P. H. Gleick and a cast of hundreds, entitled “Climate Change and the Integrity of Science,” states that “we are deeply disturbed by the recent escalation of political assaults on scientists in general and on climate scientists in particular.” Decrying the attacks on climate scientists by “deniers,” the letter reiterates the signatories’ support for dogmatic climate change theory. While admitting that the IPCC “quite unexpectedly and normally, made some mistakes,” they call for an end to “McCarthy-like threats” against themselves and their colleagues. Painting themselves as victims, they have gone on the offensive—like the evil Empire of Star Wars fame, climate science is striking back.Likening climate change to the theories of the origin of Earth, Evolution and the Big Bang, the letter’s signatories state: “There is compelling, comprehensive, and consistent objective evidence that humans are changing the climate in ways that threaten our societies and the ecosystems on which we depend.” They quickly play the uncertainty card, repeating the tired better-safe-than-sorry argument, saying “for a problem as potentially catastrophic as climate change, taking no action poses a dangerous risk for our planet.” Their song remains the same: we don’t have real proof but we should act anyway, just in case we are right.
A foreshadowing of the letter’s credibility was the use of a now famous photoshopped picture of a single polar bear, stranded on a small ice-flow (clicking on the small picture at the begining of the article will bring up the bogus “collage”). The Science article on-line contains this correction:
Due to an editorial error, the original image associated with this Letter was not a photograph but a collage. The image was selected by the editors, and it was a mistake to have used it. The original image has been replaced in the online HTML and PDF versions of the article with an unaltered photograph from National Geographic.
Source: theresilientearth.com
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New Hurricane research by Kirk Melhuish
Article Tags: Jim Elsner, Kirk Melhuish, Robert Hodges, Solar News
New research from the May hurricane conference of the American Meteorological Society sheds new light just ahead of the start of the season June first.
Evidence linking solar variability with USA hurricanes, by Robert Hodges and Jim Elsner of Florida State University. They showed that the probability of three or more hurricanes hitting the U.S. during a hurricane season with warmer than average sea surface temperatures increases dramatically during minima in the 11-year sunspot cycle. The odds increase from 20% to 40% for years when the sunspot activity is in the lower 25% of the sunspot cycle, compared to years in the upper 25% of the cycle. Near the peak of the sunspot cycle, the odds of at least one hurricane hitting the U.S. are just 25%, but at solar minimum, the odds increase sharply to 64%. The authors studied the period 1851 – 2008, and controlled for other variables such as changes in sea surface temperature and El Niño. Such a large impact of the sun on hurricanes might seem surprising, given that the change in solar energy at all light wavelengths is only about 0.1%. This relatively small change causes just a 0.1°C change in Earth’s mean surface temperature between the peak of the 11-year sunspot cycle (high solar activity) and the minimum of the sunspot cycle (where we are now.) However, variation in radiation between extrema of the solar cycle can be 10% or more in portions of the UV range (Elsner et al., 2008.) The strong change in UV light causes globally averaged temperature swings in the lower stratosphere of 0.4°C between the minimum and maximum of the sunspot cycle–four times as great as the difference measured at Earth’s surface (Lean, 2009). This sensitivity of the stratosphere to UV light is due to the fact the ozone layer is located in the stratosphere. Ozone absorbs a large amount of UV light, causing the stratosphere to heat up when solar activity is high. The authors speculate that a warmer stratosphere then heats up the upper troposphere, making the atmosphere more stable. An unstable atmosphere–with hot temperatures at the surface and cold conditions in the upper troposphere–are conducive for stronger hurricanes. Thus, we would expect to see reductions in hurricanes during the peak of the sunspot cycle.
Source: examiner.com
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Solar Scientists: Man Not Likely to Play Dominant Role in Climate by Lawrence Solomon
Article Tags: Lawrence Solomon, Solar News
Solar scientists worldwide are working to disprove the hypothesis that man is primarily responsible for climate change, according to Dr. Jeff Kuhn, Associate Director of the Institute for Astronomy at the University of Hawaii. In the view of Dr. Kuhn and other top scientists, the Sun changes Earth’s climate. “As a scientist who knows the data, I simply can’t accept (the claim that man plays a dominant role in Earth’s climate),” he states.
Dr. Kuhn last week announced breakthrough research on the role of the Sun – after years of precise satellite measurements, undistorted by Earth’s stratosphere, he and his team discovered that the Sun did not change much in size, as has generally been believed. Rather, the Sun is surprisingly stable, its diameter changing by less than one part in a million during the last 12 years.
Dr. Kuhn’s team, which includes scientists from Stanford University in California and Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa in Brazil, used NASA’s SOHO satellite to obtain resolutions 10 times better than telescopes on Earth, allowing them to measure the Sun’s diameter of approximately 865,000 miles to an accuracy of a few hundred feet. In 2017, when the world’s most powerful telescope — his institute’s Advanced Technology Solar Telescope — starts operating on Hawaii’s Mt. Haleakala’s summit at a resolution 10 times better still, he expects to zero in on details that unravel the mystery of how minute changes on the Sun’s surface affect climate on Earth. NASA’s SOHO satellite revealed that 100 metre high bumps 90,000 kilometres apart cover the Sun’s surface. With his new telescope, Dr. Kuhn expects to capture never-before-seen details of the solar surface.
“We can’t predict the climate on Earth until we understand these changes on the sun,” concludes Kuhn.
Source: thescienceisnotsettled.com
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Triple Crown of global cooling could pose serious threat to humanity by Kirk Myers
Article Tags: Kirk Myers
Global warming” may become one of those quaint cocktail party conversations of the past if three key climate drivers – cooling North Pacific sea surface temperatures, extremely low solar activity and increased volcanic eruptions – converge to form a “perfect storm” of plummeting temperatures that send our planet into a long-term cool-down lasting 20 or 30 years or longer.
“There are some wild cards that are different from what we saw when we came out of the last warm PDO [Pacific Decadal Oscillation] and entered its cool phase [1947 to 1976]. Now we have a very weak solar cycle and the possibility of increased volcanic activity. Together, they would create what I call the ‘Triple Crown of Cooling,’” says Accuweather meteorologist Joe Bastardi.
If all three climate-change ingredients come together, it would be a recipe for dangerously cold temperatures that would shorten the agricultural growing season in northern latitudes, crippling grain production in the wheat belts of the United States and Canada and triggering widespread food shortages and famine.
Cool Pacific Decadal Oscillation
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation refers to cyclical variations in sea surface temperatures that occur in the North Pacific Ocean. (The PDO is often described as a long-lived El Niño-like pattern.) PDO events usually persist for 20 to 30 years, alternating between warm and cool phases. During these long periods there are sometimes short-interval phase switches that can last several years.
Source: examiner.com
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You Could Not Make It Up: Strong Evidence on Climate Change Underscores Need For Actions
Article Tags: Education, You could not make it up
Click source to see THREE FULL reports of complete “Bull”
Source: americasclimatechoices
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CLIMATE CHANGE – RIP by Will Alexander, South African UN Scientist
Article Tags: Will Alexander
Wednesday 19 May 2010
Email 12/10
CLIMATE CHANGE – RIP
The attached memo 12/10 and its illustrations are an appropriate ending to my series of memos during the past eight years. Feel free to pass this on to anybody who has an interest.
Warning:
The photographs are not suitable for study by sensitive Western viewers. Perhaps they will understand why increasing the welfare of these people should be humanity’s principal objective – not all those millions of dollars and hundreds of hours spent on fruitless research efforts related to climate change.
Regards,
Will
Click PDF file to download latest and maybe the last report from Will Alexander
File attachment: Climate Change May It Rest In Peace.pdf
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Piers Corbyn Power Point at the European Coal Outlook Conference, 19 May
Article Tags: Piers Corbyn
Slide 1 summarizes the 4 points I have to make and the other 15 slides (some just background and also for elsewhere) back-up the 4 points. I have not developed point 2 in slide 4 because it is hard and full of pitfalls but the argument of slide 4 holds.
Please – anyone – show/report the predictions (SERIOUS STUFF) – slide 11.
Piers
Click to see Coal Outlook Conference Brochure
Click to see Piers Corbyn Power Point at the European Coal Outlook Conference
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Only morons, cheats and liars still believe in Man-Made Global Warming by James Delingpole
Article Tags: James Delingpole
Well of course I would write a headline like that having just spent the last three days in Chicago at the Heartland Institute’s 4th International Conference on Climate Change. This is the event the cackling, cloak-wearing, befanged AGW-denying community attends every year to glorify in their own evil. And naturally, in the wake of Climategate, a mood of uproarious triumphalism has prevailed as distinguished skeptical scientists, economists, and policymakers from around the world – Pat Michaels, Richard Lindzen, Ian Plimer, Bob Carter, Fred Singer.. you name them, they’re here – have gathered to dance on the smouldering ashes of the mythical beast ManBearPig.
Except we shouldn’t use that word “sceptic” any more. Richard Lindzen – Godfather of Climate Realism – told us so in one of the keynote addresses.
“Scepticism implies doubts about a plausible proposition,” he said. “Current global warming alarmism hardly represents a plausible proposition.” Not least, he pointed out, because the various activist scientists, greenies and government institutions pushing AGW theory have failed to “improve their case over 20 years.” So paper thin are the AGW movement’s arguments that pretty much the only defences left to them are desperate techniques like the appeal to authority (“the Royal Society believes in AGW and the Royal Society is, like, really old and distinguished, so AGW must be true”) and cheap slurs.
Source: blogs.telegraph.co.uk
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“Deniers” Meet and the Media Ignores Them…Again by Alan Caruba
Article Tags: Alan Caruba
“Denial” is not a river in Africa, nor is it a proper term for the legion of climatologists, meteorologists, geologists, and others like myself who have devoted decades to debunking the utter rubbish called “global warming.” So toxic has the term become, the charlatans pushing the fraud have long since abandoned it and begun to refer to “climate change” instead.
The Earth is 4.5 billion years old and I daresay that its climate has been changing since it first cooled, oceans formed, and one-celled forms of life began to develop into complex creatures like dinosaurs, Al Gore and politicians continuing to lie about global warming.
The Fourth International Conference on Climate Change concluded Tuesday in Chicago. Sponsored by The Heartland Institute, a non-profit, free market think tank, it brought together eminent (and legitimate!) scientists and other distinguished folk for panels and speeches addressing the arcane mysteries of climate.
Source: factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com
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MUST READ: Richard Lindzen’s PowerPoint Presentation at the Fourth International Conference on Climate Change Meeting
Article Tags: Richard Lindzen
Click WUWT link to download PDF file
Source: wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com
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Scientist Disputes EPA Finding that Carbon Dioxide Poses Threat to Humans by Gene J. Koprowski
Article Tags: Pat Michaels
EPA scientists say manmade carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are contributing to a warming of the global climate — and as such represent a threat to human welfare. But a leading climatologist says his research indicates that CO2 poses no threat to human welfare at all, and he says the EPA should revisit its findings.
CHICAGO — Carbon dioxide is hazardous to your health, the Environmental Protection Agency says. Oh really?
EPA scientists say manmade carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are contributing to a warming of the global climate — and as such represent a threat to human welfare. Officials went so far as to declare the gas a danger to mankind in early December. But a leading climatologist says his research indicates that CO2 poses no threat to human welfare at all, and he says the EPA should revisit its findings.
“There is an overestimation of the environment’s sensitivity to CO2,” said Dr. Patrick Michaels, senior fellow in environmental studies at the CATO Institute and a past president of the American Association of State Climatologists.
Source: foxnews.com
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Leading Global Warming Skeptic Lindzen: Time to Abandon the ‘Skeptic’ Label by Jeff Poor
Article Tags: Richard Lindzen
M.I.T. professor says ‘skepticism’ implies anthropogenic global warming theory a ‘plausible proposition.’
If you listened to Barack Obama back during the 2008 presidential campaign, you may recall him explaining that words matter. According to leading climate scientist and M.I.T. professor Richard Lindzen, there is a good bit of wisdom in that, as it pertains to the debate about global warming.
Lindzen, speaking at the Heartland Institute’s International Conference on Climate Change on May 17 in Chicago, explained that by assuming the “skeptic” label, the anti-global warming alarmist movement implies the theory is plausible. And according to the M.I.T. professor, it isn’t.
“One suggestion I’d make is we stop accepting the term ‘skeptic,’” Lindzen said. “As far as I can tell, skepticism involves doubts about a plausible proposition. I think current global warming alarm does not represent a plausible proposition.”
Lindzen told the audience the alarmists have simply failed to prove their case.
“For 20 years –more than 20 years unfortunately, 22 by now, since ’88 – of repetition, escalation of claims does not make it more plausible. “Quite the contrary,” he continued. “I would suggest the failure to prove the case of 20 years makes the case even less plausible, as does the evidence of ClimateGate and other instances.”
Source: businessandmedia.org
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Climategate 2010: The Inconvenient Facts About Global Warming by S. T. Karnick
Article Tags: Meetings
In the wake of the Climategate scandal, panelists and audience members at the Fourth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC4) indicated growing confidence that the tide is turning in favor of those who believe that manmade global warming is not a crisis.
More than 700 people — including a good many scientists, along with economists, policy analysts, and legislators — have gathered together since Sunday night, discussing the once-settled but increasingly controversial proposition of an anthroprogenic global warming (AGW) crisis. Any triumphalism was averted by a general agreement to explore real-world facts and test the assertions of alarmists. The presenters and audience members continually asked whether the data says what the modelers say it does.
The conference opened with a Sunday evening dinner at which Canadian statistical analyst Stephen McIntyre presented a meticulous history of the hugely influential “hockey stick” graph — which found an alarming rise of global temperatures since 1979 and led to the IPPC conclusion that AGW is causing a global crisis that requires drastic measures. McIntyre had begun publicly questioning the data several years ago, setting off an effort which ultimately led to the recent Climategate scandal, in which it was shown that the people behind the hockey stick graph knowingly altered the temperature record in a way that expanded a relatively common global temperature change into a shocking heat spike.
Source: pajamasmedia.com
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New Ice Age ‘to begin in 2014’ by Jerome R. Corsi
Article Tags: Habibullo Abdussamatov, YouTube
Russian scientist to alarmists: ‘Sun heats Earth!’
CHICAGO – A new “Little Ice Age” could begin in just four years, predicted Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at St. Petersburg’s Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia.
Abdussamatov was speaking yesterday at the Heartland Institute’s Fourth International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, which began Sunday and ends today.
The Little Ice Age, which occurred after an era known in scientific circles as the Medieval Warm Period, is typically defined as a period of about 200 years, beginning around 1650 and extending through 1850.
In the first of a two-part video WND recorded at the conference, Abdussamatov explained that average annual sun activity has experienced an accelerated decrease since the 1990s. In 2005-2008, he said, the earth reached the maximum of the recent observed global-warming trend.
Source: wnd.com
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Playing the Uncertainty Card by Doug L. Hoffman
Article Tags: Doug L. Hoffman
There is little doubt that the political forces promoting climate change hysteria are under attack and in retreat around the world. It has also become obvious that little global consensus exists among climate scientists regarding how to regain the public’s trust. There is, however, ample evidence that the climate change alarmists have not learned their lesson. At a recent conference held in Washington, D.C., an eminent climate policy expert urged that scientists and policy leaders embrace the persuasive power of uncertainty. If you cannot convince the public with the facts, frighten them into going along anyway seems to be the message. This is not science, it is subterfuge justified by blind faith.
“There is no doubt that humans are causing climate change and that existing technology can limit greenhouse gas emissions,” Mohamed El-Ashry said at the 10th Annual Science & Technology in Society Conference cosponsored by AAAS. But science and policy leaders might gain more traction in the public debate over emissions by “highlighting the uncertainty of what might happen over the next 50 years, which is much scarier,” he said. It is a sad state of affairs when an “eminent” climate scientist’s best argument in support of a theory is uncertainty, and that is because uncertainty can be used to scare the public.
This revealing statement was reported in the “AAAS News and Notes” section of the April 30, 2010, issue of Science, the flagship journal and official organ of the AAAS. El-Ashry called for more regional modeling of climate change and better assessment of how healthy ecosystems support local and national economies. Focusing on near term, local effects—like harsher weather conditions or changes in the timing of snowmelt used in agriculture—could help governments recognize that climate change has an impact “not just over there in the Arctic,” he said, “but on our farms and within our borders.”
Click source to read FULL report from Doug L. Hoffman
Source: theresilientearth.com
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Adiabatic Theory predicts slight cooling from Doubled CO2
Article Tags: Book, GV Chilingar, LF Khilyuk, OG Sorokhtin
Russian physicists OG Sorokhtin, GV Chilingar, and LF Khilyuk noted in their book Global warming and global cooling. Evolution of climate on earth. Developments in Earth & Environmental Sciences (Elsevier 2007) that conventional greenhouse theory is not based on sound physical derivation, with most calculations and predictions based on intuitive models using numerous poorly defined parameters and unproven positive feedback forcing from CO2. Most conventional interpretations and models, such as those of the IPCC, consider only one component of heat transfer- radiation- to create a flat earth radiation budget of the atmosphere, ocean, and land masses, and do not adequately address the impact of e.g. convection and circulation on a rotating sphere. In contrast, the Sorokhtin et al adiabatic theory considers earth as an open, dissipative system that can be described by non-linear equations of mathematical physics, taking into account the formation of stable thermodynamic structures in each compartment, between compartments, and ruled by strong negative feedbacks (e.g. convection, water cycles, clouds). They devised a model based on well-established relationships among physical fields describing the mass and heat transfer in the atmosphere and subsequently published the paper Cooling of Atmosphere Due to CO2 in Energy Sources
Click source to read more
Source: hockeyschtick.blogspot.com
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The ash cloud that never was: Inaccurate Met Office forecast causes airport chaos for 50,000
Article Tags: Front Page News, Headline Story, Met Office, Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre
The airport chaos that hit tens of thousands of travellers yesterday was based on a faulty ash cloud prediction.Officials closed south-eastern airspace for ten hours following a Met Office alert about dangerous levels of ‘black’ ash.
Yet when the forecasters took fresh soundings, and sent up a plane to check, they found their assessment was flawed: there was no such ash.
So how did they get it so wrong? By DAVID DERBYSHIRE
The decision to close the airspace over southern England was based on the word of an inaccurate Met Office computer.
It led again to angry complaints that airspace bans are based on theoretical models – rather than real-time.
The final word on whether to close UK airspace is made by officials at the Civil Aviation Authority. In turn, they rely on forecasts of the size, density and location of the Icelandic ash cloud provided by the Met Office’s volcanic ash advisory centre in Exeter.
There, a team of ten – including only one forecaster – work around the clock to monitor the movement of the ash cloud and run a computer model called NAME III.
Source: dailymail.co.uk
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You Could Not Make It Up: 2010: Warmest year on record by Doyle Rice
Article Tags: 2010 Forecast, World Temperatures, You could not make it up
Two separate sources of temperature data – the National Climatic Data Center and NASA – report that, through April, 2010 is the warmest year ever recorded.
The climate center (NCDC) reports that the Earth’s combined land and ocean average surface temperature from January-April was 56 degrees, which is 1.24 degrees above the 20th-century average.
El Nino — a periodic natural warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean — is partly to blame for the unusual warmth.
NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies also reports that 2010, so far, is the warmest out of 131 years. Both NCDC and NASA use data that goes back to 1880.
Last month, NASA issued a report that predicted 2010 would likely end up as the warmest year on record, due to the combintation of global warming and El Nino. The report states that “a new record global temperature, for the period with instrumental measurements, should be set within the next few months as the effects of the recent and current moderate El Nino continue.”
Source: content.usatoday.com
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MUST LISTEN: Sun Talk Radio Interview with Piers Corbyn about his UK Summer forecast
Article Tags: Audio, Piers Corbyn, UK Summer Forecast 2010
Click to listen to Piers Corbyn give his UK summer forecast to Sun Talk Radio, then slide the recording timer to 1:27:00
