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  • Tracking the Oil Spill

    The New York Times: The “probable extent” of the oil slick is an estimate by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of where oil is mostly likely to go based on wind and ocean current forecasts, as well as analysis of aerial photography and satellite imagery. The “observed extent” show areas where oil was visible on the surface of the water during aerial surveys of the Gulf. The observed extents are not available every day. The extents may vary widely from day to day because of changes in wind patterns and ocean currents.

    The loop currents are from NOAA and from Roffer’s Ocean Fishing Forecasting Service.

    extent-of-oil-spill.PNGAbout the Estimates Used in the Chart

    The totals for the amount of oil spilled are calculated beginning from the initial explosion at 10 p.m. on April 20. While both oil and gas are leaking from the well, the estimates here are only for the amount of oil. This was done so that all the estimates can be compared equally, since some of the methods have no way to account for the amount of gas. BP announced on May 21 that the fluid leaking was roughly half oil, half natural gas.

    Totals are adjusted, beginning May 17, for oil diverted through a narrow tube that was inserted into the well’s damaged pipe. BP has made daily announcements of how much oil has been captured, which had been an average of 2,100 barrels per day, or a total of 8,400 barrels (352,000 gallons) through May 20.

    The “NOAA” estimate is based on a figure released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on April 28 when the government agency raised its estimate of the flow rate to 5,000 barrels (210,000 gallons) per day from its initial estimate of 1,000 barrels per day, over public objections by BP.

    The “MacDonald minimum” is based on an analysis by Ian R. MacDonald, an oceanographer at Florida State University that was published by SkyTruth on May 1. By studying the amount of the oil visible in aerial imagery, Dr. MacDonald calculated the flow rate to be at least 26,500 barrels (1.1 million gallons) per day. He called this a “minimum estimate” since his calculations could only account for oil that was visible on the surface and did not include oil that had evaporated, mixed in with sea water, sunk to the bottom or been collected by response crews.

     Read more>>

  • Report: GM, Opel agree to restructuring, clearing the way for German loans

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    To the German government authorities who think General Motors is financially sound enough to pay for Opel‘s restructuring without loan-guarantee assistance, Opel CEO Nick Reilly says that’s not the case. “You need to remember that GM is first of all founded by U.S. taxpayers,” Reilly was quoted as saying. “Frankly, GM needs the money it has got.”

    Not surprisingly, GM has found an ally in Opel’s German workers. The General has come to an agreement with the local labor heads who have agreed to forgo €1.26 billion ($1.586B U.S.) in earnings over the next four years. The deal requires that the money ‘saved’ be committed to developing Opel products, and if it isn’t, then GM has to pay it back.

    To help everyone keep track of the money and perhaps make financial assistance a more attractive option, Adam Opel AG will become a listed company. Germany hasn’t given any indication of when it will declare its position on giving aid, but with 24,000 workers added to the plea and everyone unsure of how long GM can wait before it needs to take other measures, Germany will probably want to close this chapter out rather soon.

    [Source: The Associated Press via Google]

    Report: GM, Opel agree to restructuring, clearing the way for German loans originally appeared on Autoblog on Mon, 24 May 2010 09:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • myTouch 3G Slide launches June 2nd for $179, original goes free

    Mid-range Android phones don’t normally generate a lot of buzz, but the myTouch 3G Slide will likely be T-Mobile’s biggest launch this summer.

    The myTouch 3G Slide will be available on June 2 at T-Mobile retail stores, select authorized dealers and partner locations, and online, with additional availability and an expanded marketing campaign beginning on June 16th. Customers can pick up the Slide in three colors (red, white, and black) from T-Mobile for $179.99 (after $50.00 mail-in rebate) with 2 year contract.

    T-Mobile has not revealed the no-contract pricing for Even More Plus customers (like me), but earlier leaks suggested the phone will retail for $399.

    If you are a current Android fan on T-Mobile, then I would probably suggest waiting a couple more months before upgrading. The myTouch 3G Slide does not offer a significant performance boost and higher-powered devices should be available in time for the holiday shopping season.

    On a related note, T-Mobile is now offering the older myTouch 3G with 3.5 mm headset jack for FREE with 2 year agreement.

    Related Posts

  • UK misses out on Nike World Cup ad, Rooney red-hot with anger (maybe)

    That Nike World Cup ad I mentioned the other day has aired, I think, 800 million times over the past few days on TV. I know I saw it at least once during the Champions League final at the weekend (which Inter thoroughly deserved to win). But get this: the very first time the ad aired in the UK the final six seconds of the ad never made it on the air! Someone’s getting fired…

    Here’s the LOL-worthy statement from ITV, where the ad was supposed to debut during said Champions League final:

    A technical problem affected play-out of a Nike advertisement for approximately 6 seconds to ITV1 regions in the south of England and Wales. ITV has apologised unreservedly to Nike and we are engaged in dialogue with the client regarding the issue.

    It’s estimated that Nike had to cough up anywhere from £350,000 to £500,000 ($503,000 to $719,000) to air the ad. That’s just to air the ad, mind you, not how much it cost to create. Drogba, Rooney, Ronaldo & Co. don’t come cheap.

    Nike called the mix-up “disappointing,” noting that the ad had some 5 million views online and, golly gee, it sure would have been neat for actual TV viewers to see it.


  • US Cellular launches the Samsung Messager Touch

    Sporting a 2.6-inch touchscreen display, Samsung’s TouchWiz UI, 2.0-megapixel camera, music player, Bluetooth, and 3G connectivity (where available), the Samsung Messager Touch can be purchased now in US Cellular retail stores and online for $49.95 after mail-in rebate.  While it’s not the latest Android smartphone, it’s a nice little mid-range device worth considering.  And hey, TouchWiz gives you a decent level of customization, so you can make the device a bit more “you.” 

    The full press release is below.  Anyone planning to pick one up?

    Samsung Mobile and U.S. Cellular® Launch the Samsung Messager Touch™
    Features a 2.6 inch touch screen, full QWERTY keyboard andbuilt-in 2.0 megapixel camera and camcorder
     
    DALLAS – May 24, 2010 – Samsung Telecommunications America (Samsung Mobile)1 the No.1 mobile phone provider in the U.S.2, and U.S. Cellular, today announced the availability of the Samsung Messager Touch™ (SCH-r630). The Messager Touch is a fashionable, feature-rich touchscreen messaging phone with a convenient slide-out QWERTY keyboard available in black and vibrant eye-catching blue.  
     
    “The Samsung Messager Touch is an exciting new addition to our messaging line-up,” said Ed Perez, vice-president of marketing and sales for U.S. Cellular. “It’s a very cool phone, and our customers can add their personal touch by customizing the functions.”
     
    The Samsung Messager Touch is equipped with a full 2.6 inch touchscreen display, which features Samsung’s unique TouchWiz™ interface. The TouchWiz interface incorporates specially designed widgets that allow users to customize and personalize their phone, with instant access to their favorite functions. The Samsung Messager Touch comes equipped with a widget tray, which stores a users most commonly used widgets.  The Messager Touch features preloaded widgets and other downloadable applications such as games, social networking applications and wallpapers through its easyedge(SM) services.
     
    The slide-out QWERTY keyboard and touch screen on the Messager Touch makes it easy to view and send texts, videos and pictures via text message instantly. Equipped with a 2.0 megapixel camera and camcorder with up to 16GB of MicroSD memory support, users can capture photos and videos and store them instantly. The Samsung Messager Touch also includes a built-in music player to listen to all of your favorite tunes while on-the-go, Bluetooth® capabilities for seamless hands-free communication, voice recognition software, speakerphone, three-way calling, speed dialing and one-touch dialing.
     
    Key features include:

    • 2.6 inch Touchscreen Display
    • QWERTY Keyboard
    • TouchWiz™ User Interface
    • 2.0 Megapixel Camera with Camcorder
    • Music and Video Player
    • Text, Picture and Video Messaging
    • easyedgeSM Services: Downloadable Ringtones, Wallpapers, Games and Business Applications
    • Bluetooth® Connectivity
    • Voice Recognition Software
    • Standard Rechargeable Lithium Ion battery: Up To 5 Hours
    • Dimensions: 2.12” X 4.13” X .59” Inches
    • Weight: 3.81 Ounces

    The Samsung Messager Touch is available today for $49.95 after mail-in rebate at U.S. Cellular retail locations or at www.uscellular.com. For additional information about the Samsung Messager Touch visit www.samsungmobileusa.com.
     


  • Cupertino Stand and Mouse Pad Compliments a Mac Perfectly

    29485 N0004 Cupertino Stand and Mouse Pad Compliments a Mac PerfectlyIf you are looking for a stand that compliments your Mac and iMac and doesn’t look like a chunk of big black plastic you would find at Staples, the Cupertino Monitor Stand and Cupertino Mouse Pad both have that Apple aesthetic –  the rounded edges, the shiny outer shell and the silver touches. The Mouse Pad also offers an under-side painted plastic, a shiny, outer shell and the contrasting silver accent. So a Mouse Pad meant for a Mac not a PC.  However, it is a bit big, giving you extra room to move on the pad and designed to give better traction for a roller-ball mouse ( who has those anymore?) or optical laser mice. The Cupertino Stand/Mouse Pad Bundle retails for $39.99.


  • Android Quick App – Gowalla 2.0

    user main

    Location based services have become very popular, as we all know. Gowalla, one of the more common applications, started as an iPhone application, and since their Android development has began the application has come a long way. Gowalla 2.0 was just released, and let’s take a look at it after the break.

    This is a post by Android Central. It is sponsored by the Android Central Accessories Store

  • Football skills, or lack of, that can change the world…

    I am sitting at my desk and on either side of me at their own desks, are two of my colleagues. The unusual thing about it is that they are both wearing football shirts. I really hate missing a fashion moment so politely asked why they didn’t flick the Wear Your Football Shirt to Work Day memo past me. Turns out it was just a spontaneous response to the fact that England are playing their first warm-up game for the World Cup tonight against Mexico.

    Ah, of course. How could I have missed it? This tournament has suddenly become The Big Thing, as if it has been waiting nervously in the wings for the last few months and then last week someone decided to push it out into the spotlight, centre stage, so it could work its magic on every advert, every big brand and every newspaper out there.

    Even the team here at Oxfam is getting on board; we have just launched a campaign called Don’t Drop the Ball on Aid- using Keepy Uppies to raise awareness about the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). These goals were agreed on by world leaders many moons ago, targets that would save lives and smash poverty, but that are not looking likely to be met. It makes sense when you realise that football season pre-empts a massive summit on the MDGs in September where the videos of people doing Keepy Uppies will be shown to world leaders, revealing just how many people want them to keep their MDG promises.

    So why not get in the spirit of things and go to www.dontdropaid.org where you can upload your own Keepy Uppy video. If you keep your eyes peeled you will see me up there doing about a million expert footy tricks that not even Beckham can do. (Whatever you do don’t mistake me for the lass that is overly chuffed with her one kick of a big giant globe.)

    In the next couple of days we’ll be putting up a few more ideas for those of you who are really keen. Watch this space and get involved to make sure we turn this footy season in to a world changing one.

  • Losers take all at Cablevision …

    On Friday morning, we noted that the U.S. Senate had passed a bill requiring, among many other things, that candidates for corporate boards tender their resignation if they failed to get a majority of votes cast by shareholders. Little did we know at the time, but Cablevision Systems (CVC) was busily preparing to beam us a case example later in the day.

    No, not some direct-to-cable snoozer on uncontested proxies. This example came via the Securities and Exchange Commission, by way of the 8-K the company filed at 4:58 p.m. Eastern time on Friday — the one giving the results of the company’s annual meeting earlier in the day.

    The filing told us up front that the company’s “Class A shareholders elected all five director nominees on which they voted.” But turning to page 3, it became clear that it wasn’t quite as simple as it sounded. Here’s the table:


    We’ll do the math for you: Reifenheiser, Ryan and Tese had more shares withheld than voted in their favor. None got more than 48.2% of the vote, and Tese got just 39.8%. Under the rules for any PTA election we’ve ever heard of, they would be out of a seat (and no longer eligible for the cash and stock that come with their board seats: $382,451 for Reifenheiser, $389,138 for Ryan and $228,331 for Tese).

    And yet, as Cablevision indicated in the 8-K, they were indeed elected. Such is the curiosity of corporate-board elections.

    The Senate bill isn’t law yet, of course. It first must be passed by the House or reconciled with the bill that chamber adopted in December, and it could face plenty of changes in the process. But what would have happened if the majority-voting provision had been in place in time for Cablevision’s annual meeting?

    According to the bill text posted on the Senate Banking Committee site, all three men would have had to tender their resignation. The board would then have a choice: Accept the resignations within a “reasonable” amount of time (to be determined by the Securities and Exchange Commission) or vote unanimously to decline them. Should the board decline the resignations, it would have 30 days to “make public” its decisions, “together with a discussion of the analysis used in reaching the conclusion.”

    Given Cablevision’s dual-class system, the Class A shareholders are a distinct second fiddle to their Class B counterparts. They elect separate directors — not a single Class B share went against the dozen directors they chose on Friday — and in matters in which both classes vote together, each Class B share counts as 10 Class A shares. The B shares, of course, are firmly in the hands of the Dolan family; its patriarch, Charles F. Dolan, remains chairman, and his progeny and relations are scattered throughout the upper echelons of the company. All told, our colleagues in Morningstar’s equity-research arm have observed, they have more than two-thirds of the voting power and less than a quarter of the economic interest in the company (which may help explain the nice perks we’ve previously reported).

    So in the end, majority rule in the Class A vote might not have made all that much difference in the company’s governance. But at least shareholders wouldn’t find themselves represented by directors they tried to boot off the board.

    Image source: public.resources.org via Flickr

  • 24 Ways to Celebrate ‘24′ Finale

    Aside from ‘Lost’, another great TV series will come to an end. We have to say goodbye to Jack Bauer as ‘24′ airs its final episode on May 24.

    Kim Potts of tvsquad.com suggests 24 ways on how to throw a party as the favorite TV drama ‘24′ ends. Here is some of the 24:

    1. Need a color scheme for your ‘24′ theme party? Black, white and that funky yellow-y/orange-y color (what the Crayola folks call “Sunglow”) are the colors we most associate with the show.

    2. Guns, obviously, have been a big part of ‘24′ action for all eight seasons. So, even though Jack Bauer and his CTU-ers don’t seem to ever engage in mundane activities like eating or drinking or going to the little federal agent’s room, surely they’d approve of this use of weaponry: Serve beverages in toy water guns.

    3. Another fun gun that’s totally appropriate for a ‘24′ party: Marshmallow shooters. It may be too late to order them online, but we’ve seen them at Bed, Bath and Beyond, Target, etc.

    4. Food idea: Jack Bauer is always on the move, so we’re thinking he’s a finger food kinda guy. Hot dogs, sandwiches, chips, popcorn … regular movie/TV-watching food, but served in ‘24′-colored (see above) bowls and platters.

    5. Food idea: Gummy handcuffs, or chocolate guns and chocolate numbers (2 and 4, of course), made in candy molds.

    6. Invitation idea: In homage to the iconic ‘24′ digital number logo, cheapy digital watches (we always see them in 99-cent stores), with a little tag tied to them that says “It’s time to catch the ‘24′ series finale this Monday night!’ (‘Damn it!’ optional).

    7. Decoration idea: Print out Chuck Norris Facts-ish Jack Facts on super size paper and make party banners and/or drink coasters out of them. A few of the best: “Don’t ask what Jack Bauer would do for a Klondike bar,” “The Boogeyman checks his closet for Jack Bauer” and “Superman has Jack Bauer pajamas.”

    Celebrate the success of ‘24′ by throwing a farewell party!

    Related posts:

    1. Chocolate May Cause Depression
    2. Does More Chocolate Mean More Depression ?
    3. Eat Chocolates to reduce Heart Risk

  • Here’s Why €530 Million Is Just The Beginning Of The Spanish Banking Bailout

    spain

    Spain’s bailout of regional bank CajaSur could get much worse as the company has much more bad debt on its books than €530 million.

    According to Expansion.com, the amount of bad debt on the books of CajaSur, that being debts which are unlikely to be paid back to the bank, could eventually rise to €2.7 billion. Many of these problem loans are associated with real estate projects gone wrong, as Spain’s real estate boom left many developers with assets they could not sell.

    Right now, according to the bank ING via FT Alphaville, prices have only fallen on Spanish real estate by 10%. That may only be 20% of how far prices have to fall to make sense, according to ING, and even a doubling of provisions would see Spanish banks lose 23% of overall capital.

    Now analysts across Europe are cutting their targets for Spanish banks, assuming that the problems of CajaSur are not the exception, but the norm.

    This could be just the beginning of the process where the national government of Spain takes on the debt of its banking system, leaving it even more indebted than it already is.

    Worried about Spain? See the charts that show how the country is about to get crushed here >

    Join the conversation about this story »

  • Lavasoft Ad-Aware Plus 8.2: FREE for 24-hours only, this Thursday!

    adaware-box.gifWe gave away Lavasoft Ad-Aware Plus 8.2 (one year license) back in early April and it was a success. One caveat from Lavasoft was that people had to register during the duration of the promotion, which was a fair request. Problem is that this didn’t always go to plan and the activation server was overwhelmed at times, leading to people unable to activate the product, thus ending up with the free version, instead.

    So, with Lavasoft’s permission, we’re repeating the 24 hour promotion and we’re giving you the full current Lavasoft Ad-Aware Plus 8.2 for one day, between 9am GMT Thursday and 9am GMT Friday. It ends Friday as we have another full promo over the weekend.

    Keep referring back to the V3.co.uk Software Store for more info and the go-live, this Thursday, but remember to activate your license during the 24-hour giveaway!

    V3.co.uk Software Store link.

  • Best Buy’s Anti-Sales Trick People Into Overpaying for Computers [Ripoffs]

    How’s this for scummy? Lately, Best Buy has been raising the price of and advertising one computer per week. People assume its on sale and get suckered into overpaying for items that drop in price the following week. More »










    Best BuyBusinessBusiness and EconomyShoppingOceania

  • Google Stops Deleting Personal Wi-Fi Data It Collected

    Google’s admission that it has, mistakenly, collected personal Wi-Fi data for over three years in countries where it has deployed its Street View program was unlikely to go unnoticed. After acknowledging the mishap publicly, Google offered to delete the data at the regulators’ requests. A couple of countries did just that, but t… (read more)

  • What Does South Central Think Of Justin Bieber’s BET Nomination?

    The residents of South Central Los Angeles has something to say about Justin Bieber’s buzzed-about 2010 BET Awards Best New Artist nomination.


  • Did the GOP hamper Obama administration oversight of oil drilling?

    Most of the blame for the BP oil disaster rests with BP, Big Oil, and its strong-arm supporters in Congress for the voluntary, “trust us,” self-regulation we have today (see St. Petersburg Times: “It’s becoming increasingly evident that self-regulation has not worked”).  Some of the blame certainly resides with the Minerals Management Service, which became absurdly cozy with the industry under the Cheney-Bush administration (see “Flashback to 2008 MMS sex-for-oil scandal“).

    That doesn’t let the Obama administration off the hook entirely.  In theory they could have cleaned up the MMS from day one, but in practice Republicans made that task infinitely harder.

    Newsweek’s Howard Fineman spelled out some of the key background on MSNBC a couple weeks ago (starting around minute 5:55):

    Olbermann: The BP shareholder who sued the company today, claiming that BP was knowingly cutting safety costs in violation of the commitments after the Texas refinery blast- Texas city.  And spending $16 million to lobby against tougher regulation, by which I mean fight against any regulation.  How long is that Bush era voluntary self-regulation regime going to last now?

    Fineman: Well I think it’s going to end because its got to end.  And I think that’s clear.  What happened here is that BP presented a plan for drilling this deep well that was based on an earlier environmental impact statement of the whole Gulf of Mexico that was done under the Bush administration.  And said “hey, the Bushies said it was fine, please approve this.”  And the person at the Minerals Management Service that was supposed to take a close look at it said “Well, ok, if the overall plan was approved for the whole Gulf and it won’t cause serious environmental dangers then ill approve this specific one.”  He basically waved the thing on through last April and now you see the result. As the Democrats I was talking to pointed out, there is a total conflict between what they said in that application for the lease, namely that they had systems that could control any damage that would happen, and what BP and Halliburton and everybody else is saying now which is “we’re trying everything because this is all a new thing to us.”

    Okay, but could the new senior political appointees at Interior have done more in March 2009 to block BP’s drilling plan (which was sent in to MMS late February and approved in early April)?

    Well, first, it’s worth pointing out that the Transocean platform had a very good safety record until this disaster, as 60 Minutes reported:

    … the Deepwater Horizon cost $350 million, rose 378 feet from bottom to top. Both advanced and safe, none of her 126 crew had been seriously injured in seven years.

    The safety record was remarkable, because offshore drilling today pushes technology with challenges matched only by the space program.

    That was, of course, until BP got heavily involved in the details of the cementing process and testing in order to save a few bucks (see “Should you believe anything BP says?).

    So I am not certain that this particular drilling plan would have had any obvious red flags — unless, of course, the handful of senior political appointees at Interior around in early 2009 were simply prepared to stop all new drilling.

    CAPAF’s Tom Kenworthy has more background on how the GOP made such a scenario extremely unlikely:

    You would think that in the wake of the catastrophic Gulf of Mexico oil spill that the petroleum industry’s water carriers in Congress would at least tamp down their “drill, baby drill” nonsense for a while. But not even what threatens to become the biggest environmental disaster in U.S. history keeps those oil-soaked lawmakers from their self-appointed rounds.

    Ten days after the explosion on the Deepwater Horizon oil rig killed 11 workers and the failure of the rig’s blowout preventer began a gusher of millions of gallons of crude oil into the Gulf, Sens. Robert Bennett (R-UT) and John Barrasso (R-WY) informed Department of Interior secretary Ken Salazar that they would introduce legislation to speed up oil and gas development on federal lands in the West and short-circuit the more thorough environmental reviews Salazar has undertaken.

    “We remain deeply concerned by the major changes you proposed in January 2010 to the onshore oil and natural gas leasing program and its impact on communities in Utah and Wyoming,” the senators wrote. “As we have discussed with you on a number of occasions, oil and natural gas production is very important to the nation and particularly our states.”

    This isn’t the first time Bennett and other western Republicans have interfered with the Obama administration’s ability to properly regulate oil and gas development. In early 2009 Bennett and Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) blocked the confirmation of David Hayes, Salazar’s choice to be deputy secretary of the Interior Department. Their beef: Salazar had cancelled 77 oil and gas lease sales on western lands that had been drummed up in the last days of the Bush administration as a final gift to Big Oil, even though many of the parcels were close to some of Utah’s most iconic landscapes, including Arches and Canyonlands national parks.

    As deputy secretary, Hayes is in charge of many day-to-day operations at Interior. He has been vital to the Obama administration’s response to the Gulf oil spill, and was on the scene on day two of the disaster.

    Also last year, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), slowed down confirmation of two other key Interior officials, assistant secretary for land and minerals Wilma Lewis and Bureau of Land Management director Bob Abbey over concerns about legislation for an Arizona land swap. Lewis oversees the Minerals Management Service that regulates offshore oil development; Abbey’s BLM oversees onshore energy development.

    During the Bush administration, as Salazar has noted, Interior became a “candy store” for the oil and gas industry. Between fiscal 2001 and fiscal 2009, the department approved nearly 42,000 drilling permits on federal lands, nearly two and a half times the pace of the previous eight years.

    Salazar, to his credit, put a stop to this open season assault on the West. Not only did he block the 77 Utah oil and gas leases pending further review, but he put the brakes on the Bush administration’s rush to develop oil shale deposits in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming so their impacts on western water and other natural resources could be better understood. He moved to clean up the scandal-soaked Minerals Management Service. And after a probe by the Government Accountability Office found that the Bush administration policy of short-circuiting environmental reviews of oil and gas leasing decisions did not comply with the law, he instituted a new approach that will make the government look before it leaps into Big Oil’s arms. Oil and gas interests, he said, “do not own the nation’s public lands; taxpayers do.”

    The Interior Department holds much of the responsibility for assuring that the nation’s oil and gas resources are developed in an environmentally responsible manner. As the GAO noted in a 2005 investigation, the department’s “ability to meet its environmental mitigation responsibilities for oil and gas development has been lessened by a dramatic increase in oil and gas operations on federal lands….”

    But that dramatic increase – there are now some 32 million acres of federal lands that have been leased but not yet developed by the oil and gas industry – isn’t enough for Sens. Bennett and Barrasso.

    Salazar’s policies, said Bennett in a news release, “would add new bureaucracy and red tape to the oil and gas leasing program and significantly lengthen the amount of time before energy production could begin.”

    Given what’s happening in the Gulf, a little more red tape and bureaucracy would be welcome.

    So while team Obama could no doubt have done more, and I suppose one can construct scenario where they could have stopped this thing a mere two months after they came into office with one hand tied behind their backs by the GOP, in fact, it remains clear that the blame for the BP oil disaster rests with BP, the entire industry, and its strong-arm supporters in Congress for the voluntary, “trust us,” self-regulation we have today.

  • How the Swedes became white | Gene Expression

    vikingsA few weeks ago I read Peter Heather’s Empires an Barbarians, but I had another book waiting in the wings which I had planned to tackle as a companion volume, Robert Ferguson’s The Vikings: A History. Heather covered the period of one thousand years between Arminius and the close of the Viking Age, but his real focus was on the three centuries between 300 and 600. It is telling that he spent more time on the rise and expansion of the domains of the Slavic speaking peoples than he did on the Viking assaults on Western civilization; an idiosyncratic take from the perspective of someone writing to an audience of English speakers. But within the larger narrative arc of Empires and Barbarians this was logical, the Slavs were far closer to the relevant action in terms of time and space than the Scandinavians who ravaged early medieval rather than post-Roman societies (where the latter bleeds into the former is up for debate). In Heather’s narrative the Viking invasions were a coda to the epoch of migration, the last efflorescence of the barbarian Europe beyond the gates of Rome before the emergence of a unified medieval Christian commonwealth. And these are the very reasons that Robert Ferguson’s narrative is a suitable complement to Peter Heather’s. Ferguson’s story begins after the central body of Heather’s, and most of its dramatic action is outside of the geographical purview of Empires and Barbarians. In The Vikings the post-Roman world has already congealed into the seeds of what we would term the Middle Ages, and it is this world which serves as the canvas upon which the Viking invasions are painted. Aside from what was Gaul the world of old Rome is on the peripheries of Ferguson’s narrative.


    It was refreshing to me that the author of The Vikings makes a concerted effort toward balance (despite what I perceive to be his clear identification as a scholar of the Vikings with the Scandinavian peoples of the period in a broadly sympathetic sense). He explicitly lays out the tendency of previous scholars and commentators to lean excessively toward the Vikings or their victims in weighing the veracity of narratives, or ascribing a moral high ground to one particular vantage point. More common perhaps of the two is the tendency toward depicting the Vikings in the manner that Christians of the time viewed them, as an avaricious force of nature whose role was to punish civilization for its sins (in our era we may secularize the events, but the tendency toward viewing barbarians as deterministic elements operating upon civilized agents often remains). As a reaction against such a one-sided classic framing some scholars have reinterpreted the Vikings as well-armed traders who were simply misunderstood and libeled by their Christian antagonists. In this telling the Vikings sacked the monasteries because they were locked out of trade networks due to their status as cultural outsiders. Raiding was simply a substitute for trading. Both of these normative and simplified frames really belong in a “First Book” for children; individual humans are more complex than that, and history is more complex than individual humans. When it comes to history true objectivity is probably impossible, but admitting that past workers have had strong biases is probably a good place to start.

    In The Vikings Robert Ferguson regales us with in large part is an ancient “Clash of Civilizations.” He notes that the sources invariably distinguish between Christians and Heathens as opposed to English and Norse (or Franks and Norse), and in keeping with this he lays out a dichotomy between Christian civilization and “Heathendom.” Our view of the past is colored by the reality of the victory of the former against the latter, but the slow and inexorable expansion of the arc of Christian civilization among the Scandinavians which we view in hindsight as a process which has a clear terminus actually took nearly five centuries, with most of the Christian success at the expense of the Heathens occurring within the last one hundred and fifty years (despite missionary endeavors across the whole period, mostly out of Bremen and Hamburg). Ferguson convincingly argues the Heathens had a sense of their own identity, distinctiveness, and even superiority, in relation to the Christians during this period when Scandinavia was outside of the boundaries of the West. This is actually most evident in Muslim sources, who had more distance from the pagan Scandinavian culture and so could view it with more ethnographic third party objectivity (the Muslim sources were often engaging in trade or diplomacy). They report for example the argument of one Scandinavian that his peoples’ practice of burning was far superior to the inhumation that was the norm among Christians, Muslims and Jews, because the transition to the afterlife is far faster with the rapid disintegration of the body, as opposed to decomposition and later consumption by “worms” (this critique is almost a trope from what I can tell when it comes to the perception of peoples who burn the bodies of their dead of the customs of those who bury). What we see here is not some deep philosophical sense of superiority, but the native chauvinism and ethnocentrism which most peoples have in regards to their own mores and traditions. Heathens were not simply a negation of Christian civilization, in contemporary parlance they were an indigenous folk of northern Europe resisting the expansion of an international and globalist Christian culture.

    A more historically grounded rationale for Heathen sense of distinction from Christians, and their hostility toward Christian civilization generally, is the real history of forced conversion which they experienced at the hands of Christian powers. In particular the author points to the conquest and conversion of the Saxons by Charlemagne as a turning point. These German tribes were on the margins of the Scandinavian world, so word of their oppression, and ultimate destruction of their native traditions at the hands of outsiders, must have percolated to the north (Saxon warriors took refuge among the Danes). In The Vikings the author explicitly suggests that the savagery of the Norse in their assaults on Christian monasteries may be connected to the fear and hostility engendered toward the Christian religion by these instances of mass forced conversion and aggression. The analogy here may be the Boxer Rebellion, where indigenous anger at the expansion of foreign powers and their cultural mores exploded in targeted violence. The brutal nature of Christian conversion is highlighted vividly by the anecdote of Olaf Tryggvason, Norway’s first explicitly Christian king, threating to kill the three year old son of a British Norse warlord in front of his father unless he and his people submitted to immediate baptism. Ferguson observes that the Christian chronicler records this action approvingly, but certainly this sort of behavior on the part of Christians against the Heathen Scandinavians integrated over centuries may account for some of the motive for the violence of the Vikings against Christian holy sites and institutions. For the Heathen the Christian was the threatening Other, and so thoroughly dehumanized.

    But the relationship of Heathendom to Christian civilization, and the local and indigenous Scandinavian tradition to global cultures, was not simply one of hostility and mutual exploitation and brutality. One of the interesting aspects of the Scandinavian expansion of the 8th to 10th centuries is its geographic range. Their presence on the northwestern fringes of Europe as Vikings is well known in the English speaking world. But Scandinavian raiders were prominent in Muslim Spain, and even broke into the Mediterranean. Of more permanence was the influence and power of a group known as the Rus across the vast swaths of land from the Baltic to the Caspian. It seems probably that Slavicized Rus were the core of the early polities of Novgorod and Kiev, which later gave rise to Russian identity. In the generation of the grandfather of Vladimir I of Kiev, credited with bringing the Russians to Christianity, the elite of the Kiev seemed invariably to possess Scandinavian names. This was an empire of war, trade and colonization along the fringe of early medieval Christendom, and sweeping down toward the margins of the world of Islam on the Caspian.

    Why the expansion? A conventional explanation has been overpopulation. This doesn’t hold water, in pre-modern societies Malthusian dynamics were always at play. That is, growth was very slow because high fertility was counterbalanced by high mortality. In the event of an epidemic there may be a period when demographic expansion is possible, but these would be transient phases. There is evidence that across northern Europe in the first millennium there was underway a transition toward more productive forms of agriculture which allowed for a larger basal population, but this was a general feature of European societies, not one restricted to Scandinavia. In fact the increase in population was probably most pronounced in two regions to which the Vikings were most drawn to plunder: northern France and the Low Countries. And this may explain a cause for the Viking expansion, they sought wealth, and more wealth was to be gotten in the Christian lands than within Heathendom.

    Ferguson seems to posit both push and pull dynamics. The push dynamics had to do with a restructuring of Scandinavian society in the centuries before 1000. This involved the emergence of more powerful apex leaders who marginalized the numerous figures lower down on the status hierarchy. A shift toward a more centralized political order would have concentrated power and wealth in the hands of few at the expense of the many. In this case the many in fact is going to be a minority of the population, free males who are part of the political and military class, and who collect rents from peasants and extract labor out of their human property (thralls). This dynamic is not conjecture, the migration of warlords to the British Isles in the wake of the rise of Harald I of Norway is apparently documented. The rise of a Great Man seems to invariably come at the expense of many less great men in a zero sum world. Similarly, the arrival of the reputed sons of Ragnar Lodbrok to British Isles may have had to do with political events in Denmark in the decades before the reemergence of the Jelling dynasty. But this push process can not be decoupled from wider social and historical events. In other words, the parameter is not purely endogenous. Rather, the events within Scandinavia were strongly shaped by the emergence of a global political and economic order which Heathendom was a participant, if at times a reluctant and belligerent party. Scandinavia’s political connection to other parts of Europe was clear even in the Late Antique period; Scandinavian warriors and kings were a presence at the courts of post-Roman figures such as Theodoric the Great of the Ostrogoths. Conversely, German peoples who were on the losing side in the post-Roman scramble would on occasion exercise an exit option of migration back to their homelands, which sometimes included southern Scandinavia.

    So the elites of Scandinavia were aware of the wider world well before the Viking Age, and certainly had a sense of the possibilities of unitary political systems as far back as Classical Antiquity. There is also a great deal of circumstantial evidence that the elaborated nature of late Scandinavian paganism has much do with the model which Christianity presented as a complex institutional religion. The mythos around Balder has often be assumed to have been influenced by the Christian mythos around Jesus, but we need not hinge our inference on literary recollections which may have been influenced by later generations who were Christian. There is a great deal of evidence from the Wends and Lithuanians, who persisted in their paganism even longer than the Scandinavians, of the development of a pagan “anti-Christianity” around which their ethnically based polities could coalesce (there are references to a shadowy pagan equivalent to the pope among the later Lithuanians during the apogee of their empire in the 14th century). In Empires and Barbarians and Empires of the Silk Road the authors argue that the emergence of more complex and large scale political and social orders beyond the limes of settled agricultural civilizations dominated by literate elites was a reaction to developments within the ecumene. For the nomadic confederations of the east Eurasian steppe it was the unification of China under Qin Shi Huangdi. For the Germanic tribes beyond the Roman limes it was Rome itself, which periodically erupted beyond its borders to engage in punitive expeditions (archaeology has been uncovering unrecorded Roman expeditions into Germania in the century following the defeat of Varus’ legions). For the Scandinavians it seems to have been the rise of the Frankish political order, and particular the Carolingian dynasty, which annexed and Christianized the lands of the Saxons just to the south of Scandinavia which served as a spur to their social and political revolution.

    With the rise of a powerful Christian state to its south bent on cultural, political and economic conquest and assimilation, there would naturally have been greater self-consciousness of the peoples of Scandinavia in regards to their indigenous traditions. Despite periodic attempts by powerful aristocrats and kings from the 9th century on there was stubborn resistance from sub-elites in acceding to the shift from their customary cults to the Christian religion. I think a little bit of Homo economicus in terms of rational behavior might allow us to explain this disjunction between the apex elites in the form of kings, and sub-elites. In societies without a tradition of autocracy under a singular individual a broad level of consent from numerous sub-elites of modest means was necessary for an individual to rise to kingship. But these sub-elites may not have been economically advanced enough to see any gains in integration into a globalized political order where their nations were part of a commonwealth of Christian monarchies. Rather, they perceived a dispossession of their traditional cultic roles under the aegis of a transnational church apparatus (albeit, one which operationally co-opted local elites rather rapidly after Christianization by assimilating them into the clerical superstructure). Put more simply, there was great gain to monarch in becoming part of the international order, but little for the population as a whole, even among the lesser nobility, who were dependent on local rents, not international trade or conquest.* In the world of the Malthusian trap the lives of the peasantry would be little changed by an ideological shift on high, so they were of no consequence (in fact, Protestant Reformers routinely complained that the Church had left the peasantry of many nations barely Christian in anything but name).

    Of course there was a way for sub-elites to become wealthy rather rapidly: steal from wealthier societies instead of depending on protection money (rent) from your poor peasants. It is notable that the Viking Age spans the period which saw the decline of Charlemagne’s political system, but before the emergence of the medieval antecedents of the nation-states which would crystallize in the early modern period. It was also during this time that northern France and the Low Countries, and to a lesser extent England, saw an expansion of aggregate wealth because of improved agricultural techniques and tools such as the three field system and the mould-board plough as well as the beginning of the Medieval Climatic Optimum. The idea that one could steal wealth was not an innovation of the Vikings, Charlemagne’s campaigns were in part motivated by the need to generate plunder to satisfy his vassals. Similarly the Roman wars of conquest were magnificently lucrative for the Republic’s aristocracy, and it can be argued that the wealth stolen from the early conquests were critical in maintaining Roman dynamism. It is possible that no imperial conquest after that of Dacia in the early second century was profitable, and it is this period which saw the high water mark of the Roman civilization, the century of the Good Emperors.

    Shifting back to the Vikings, the model then is rather easy to summarize. Step 1, Western civilization in the form of the Christian Frankish polities push north and east, toward the fringes of Scandinavia. Step 2, this results in a coalescence of counter-identities among the populations which are being impinged upon and destabilized. In the case of the Saxons under Widukind and his confederates resistance was futile, and they were absorbed into the new Christian order (in fact, Saxon Christian monarchs in the 10th century placed so much pressure on pagan Denmark that it probably facilitated the final absorption of the Jelling monarchy into the Christian state system as another lever to maintain their independence). But for populations further out, as in Scandinavia, or in the eastern marches which were inhabited by the West Slavs, the Frankish expansion lost its steam before it could fully absorb them. This left these populations in a stronger position in terms of the ability to engage in coordinated action than before, because they now had a common identity in the face of Christian expansion as well as more powerful military leaders who had come to the fore in the face of the threat from the alien superpower. Step 3, the collapse of the Frankish Empire into sub-states leaves the margins of Christian civilization more vulnerable as none of these polities now can bring to the fore overwhelming force against small groups of raiders. Step 4, the integrative phase within the cultures outside of Christian civilization combined with wealth differentials across civilizational boundaries produce the convulsions which result in the out-migration of militarized sub-elites. They are well aware enough of wealthier societies to understand the cost vs. benefit for them, and they lack ideological affinity with those wealthier societies, so their actions are unencumbered by any moral or ethical framework. In other words, Heathens and Christians exhibited a much less robust sense of empathy toward each other than they did those from within their own culture, so the depredation of one upon the other was particularly savage and utility maximizing (in the Middle Ages the paganism of many Baltic populations was somewhat convenient because Christians were allowed to enslave pagans, making them extremely economically profitable as tenants since they lacked human rights). Step 5, the military assault upon civilization by the barbarians eventually peters out and results in the assimilation to a great extent of the barbarians into the civilized order. Once the windfall wealth is spent the inevitable consequence is the absorption of the less numerous and organized society into the more numerous and organized one.

    These steps in general seem broadly applicable to the post-Roman and post-Han dynasty periods in Europe and China as well. In the end the barbarian societies which initially have a strong aversion to the civilized societies whom they oppose, are oppressed by, and often conquer, became ideologically identified with those societies. This generally occurs through religion, but also often through other aspects of assimilation in identity (e.g., the Franks became the Latinate French, the barbarian groups in China often became Chinese speaking and switch their ethnic identity to Han). The main exception to this general trend which I can think of is the case of the Arab Muslim conquest, and in this case the barbarians brought with them an ideology which was robust and in large part mimicked that of civilized societies.**

    We do not live in the world of the Vikings, where Malthusian parameters reign supreme, elites live off the toil of peasants, and religion is a matter of life and death (excepting parts of the Muslim world like Sudan or the Communist world like North Korea). But cultural identity still matters. Today when we speak of “indigenous people” we allude to relics of a bygone age, small-scale cultures on the margins. But as recently as one thousand years ago vast swaths of Europe, in particular its north and east, were populated by indigenous peoples, attempting to preserve their ancient traditions and customs in the face of Christian globalization. More broadly, in the period between 500 and 1000 numerous peoples outside of the Eurasian Rimland, to the north, east and west, contingent upon the point of reference, were affected by the expansion of ideological systems from the Rimland civilizations, which arrived through military, demographic and economic means. The Gauls of France lost almost all unique aspects of their identity, their language, their religion, even their name for themselves. Other populations, such as the Germans and the Turks retained much of their identity, and profited through integration into a broader civilization through which they channeled their cultural influence. But this process took centuries, and was not without tumult. The Viking Age was not an act of God, it was not an isolated case. It was rather an instance of a general process whereby the cultural configurations of the World Island were assigned in a manner which we would recognize today, with civilizational boundaries hardening into forms which were robust to exogenous shocks.

    One interesting aesthetic observation which I will take away from The Vikings: A History is that the peoples of the north were generally tattooed and made recourse to eye shadow and other such body adornment. Christian sources point to this only in a negative fashion, that is, the practice is explicitly banned for Christians in the north, presumably because this was previously a common practice (as well as the consumption of horseflesh, which had cultic significance). But the Muslim sources describe the obsession of the northern people with aesthetic detail thoroughly, and it notable to me that Otzi the Iceman was also tattooed. These sorts of markings have obvious functional purposes, in identifying a member of one tribe from another in an indelible fashion, but they also are perhaps reflective of societies where aesthetic expression was personalized and small scale. Their Pantheons were their bodies. This is familiar to us today from small-scale societies and small indigenous groups, who maintain these traditions and this outlook. It was only 1,000 years ago that many European peoples were still vigorously adhering to these folkways, before they became Christian, and therefore white.

    Note: I have avoided discussing the likely brisk trade between Scandinavia and the pre-Muslim and post-Muslim Middle East, which is vividly documented in coinage. The blockage of this trade by steppe powers such as the Khazars has been argued to be one of the major motives for the Rus exploration of the Dnieper and Volga river systems. It’s an interesting story, but takes us a bit afar, though illustrates another economic motive in the barbarian expansion.

    Additionally, in keeping with the tone of the book I have exhibited some broad empathy to the Viking societies transformed beyond recognition by assimilation into European society around 1000. But I will add into the record that as a personal normative preference I believe that cultural homogeneity, in particular in language and religion, can often be beneficial in generating economic and ethical economies of scale. Though I believe that there are diminishing returns on the margin here (there is harm when police states attempt to impose one language and one religion on the whole populace through extreme tactics).

    * In the late Roman Empire the aristocratic nobility remained pagan far longer than the Emperors and the service nobility dependent upon the Empire, as opposed their personal wealth.

    ** There is a great deal of debate as to how Islam arose, and some scholars argue that Islam is actually a relatively late development out of a sect of Arab Christians. If this is true the Islamic exception is no exception at all, but serves as an alternative history where the Goths remain Arian and assimilate their Roman subjects to their religion and language.

  • How the White House Lost the Public on Spending

    Congress will get moving on spending bills now that financial regulation has passed both houses of Congress and moved on to conference committee. Passing a self-described “jobs bill” when 16% of the country is unemployed or forced into part-time work should be a bipartisan cinch. Instead, Republicans and Democrats seem to have reach the opposite conclusion: that another $100 billion on items like public school and Medicaid payments will make them look like reckless spenders.

    Washington has created a strange feedback loop on the deficit. D.C. doesn’t explain where the red ink comes from (almost entirely from the revenue nosedive and automatic spending increases). So the public misunderstands and fears the deficit as proof of Big Government. So Washington, reflexively, misunderstands, fears, and kowtows to the public’s misinformed reaction. As a result, politicians treat an item like Sen. Harkin’s $23 billion public school rescue plan — which amounts to 0.6% of the budget — as dead in the water.

    Regular readers know that a leading concern of this blog is the way the White House talks about economic policy. Obama could have repeatedly and clearly explained that not all deficits are the same. Instead, he’s peppered his speeches with hackneyed false equivalencies — if families are tightening their belt, then government can, too — that have obscured the issue.

    Spending more than you earn during and immediately after a recession is an appropriate prescription. But the same way an injured patient shouldn’t be given a pillbox of Valium with infinite refills, our injured economy needs to wean itself off its deficit medication. Some of that spending-revenue gap comes down naturally when people earn taxable income. Some of that spending-revenue gap comes down naturally when states and families stop leaning on the government for emergency spending — whether in the form of public school rescue plans for states or jobless benefits for families.

    But some of the long-term spending-revenue gap is structural. After the recession clears up, we still won’t collect enough money to pay for the promises we’ve made to Americans. The economic term for those promises is debt. And the only way to solve our debt crisis is to fulfill those promises (which will require more revenue), or to change the promises themselves (which will require less spending).

    There is no reason why simple arithmetic should be beyond Washington’s power of explanation. But it is. And until the president learns to make the argument for spending, he’s trapped by a deficit-hawk vocabulary that’s hurting his party and, vastly more importantly, his economy.





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  • Rumor: Sprint to release iPhone in September

    Sprint logo

    We’ve been hearing rumors that the iPhone is headed to Verizon since just about when the original iPhone made its debut in 2007.  What we haven’t heard as often is that the iPhone would be headed to Sprint, but that’s exactly what the latest rumor seems to be.  MacRumors has received a couple of tips from sources affiliated with Sprint that have said that the iPhone will indeed be available on the No. 3 carrier later this year.  One of those sources went on to say that the device would be available on Sprint around September, which is approximately when the iPhone has been rumored to be headed to Verizon, as well.  While there’s no way to tell if any of these rumors are true until we hear it directly from Steve Jobs, I’m sure that Sprint would love to have the iPhone, as their CFO Robert Brust has stated in the past.  It may not be Verizon, but there would probably be quite a few people that would leave AT&T for Sprint and their considerably cheaper monthly plans.  When September rolls around, we may finally see the iPhone available on several carriers, perhaps even all of the big four, which would definitely help Apple and the iPhone compete with Android.

     


  • Italian fashion brand’s pink Hitler not receiving too many salutes

    Pink-hitler-300

    Latching onto the 2004 movie Downfall to indulge in a melodramatic Hitler meme is one thing. (It’s not even really Hitler. It’s actor Bruno Ganz having an epic meltdown that’s been co-opted zillions of times now.) But using a photo of the real Hitler as a sales tool? For shame. New Form, a fashion boutique in Sicily, has papered the city with 18-foot-high posters of Hitler in a pink uniform—with a heart on his sleeve instead of a swastika—under the tagline, "Change style. Don’t follow your leader." Even if it made sense, it would still be offensive. Local politicians and the citizenry are outraged, naturally. The ad agency, according to HuffPo, says the campaign doesn’t cozy up to the infamous Nazi but instead makes fun of him. And hopefully makes a buck off him, to boot. It’s just all so distasteful and wrong. And maybe the start of a trend? HuffPo says Chinese communist leader Mao Tse Tung is New Form’s next poster boy. Let’s hope that’s a (horrible) joke.

    —Posted by T.L. Stanley