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  • Airfare From Atlanta To Vegas Is … Sorry, Too Late

    How much will it cost you to fly from Atlanta to Las Vegas? Don’t bother checking; by the time you do, the price will have already changed. According to a new study from Yapta, the fare for flights between those two cities has changed 2,472,916 times so far this year, or once every six seconds. Better practice hitting that refresh button if you want to get a deal.

    Chris Elliott spoke to someone at Yapta (a company that tracks airfares, of course), who told him “pricing is very competitive and therefore more volatile” between certain destinations and that by tracking flights for planned trips way in advance you’re “almost be assured you’ll see a price drop that you can take advantage of.” However, Elliott raises a more fundamental question:

    Why is this allowed?

    If grocery store prices changed once every six seconds, people would be rioting in the streets. In fact, it’s hard to think of any other consumer product with such volatile prices. Even gas prices don’t change this frequently.

    And so I wonder — who is letting this happen, again? And should it be happening?

    Good questions, and worthy of some answers. Since it is allowed, though, you may want to keep an eye on prices for the more volatile city pairs. Here are the top 5; the rest are up on Elliott.org.

    1. Atlanta (ATL) to Las Vegas (LAS) – 2,472,916 price changes
    2. New York (JFK) to Las Vegas (LAS) – 2,412,759 price changes
    3. New Jersey (EWR) to Las Vegas (LAS) – 2,377,668 price changes
    4. Chicago (ORD) to Las Vegas (LAS) – 2,215,994 price changes
    5. New York (JFK) to San Francisco (SFO) – 1,959,873 price changes

    If it’s changed 2,472,916 times since January, no wonder we need a site like Yapta [Elliott.org]

  • BlackBerry Bold 9650 at Sprint

    Carrier: Sprint
    Retail Price: $449.99 or via ebay
    Phone Price: $199.99
    Hot Features: WiFi, 3G technology, 3.2MP camera with video capture

     


  • Honda “lacks confidence” in electric-car demand, still plans to offer EVs in the U.S.

    Honda EV-N Concept

    The head of research at Honda said that the company remains skeptical about electric-cars 10 years after it has stopped selling the EV-Plus battery-powered model. Nonetheless, the second-largest Japanese automaker plans to offer electric-vehicles in the United States.

    “We lack confidence” in the electric-vehicle business, Tomohiko Kawanabe, president of Honda’s research and development said. “It’s questionable whether consumers will accept the annoyances of limited driving range and having to spend time charging them.”

    Kawanabe said that Honda still plans to sell electric-cars in the United States to meet California emission rules, but its top priority is to improve fuel-efficiency of its current models.

    “We are definitely conducting research on electric cars, but I can’t say I can wholeheartedly recommend them,” said Kawanabe.

    On the other hand Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn says that he expects 10 percent of the global car market to be electric-vehicles by 2020.

    Note: Pictured above is the Honda EV-N Concept that made its debut at the 2009 Tokyo Motor Show.

    Honda EV-N Concept:

    Honda EV-N Concept Honda EV-N Concept Honda EV-N Concept Honda EV-N Concept

    – By: Kap Shah

    Source: Automotive News (Subscription Required)

    Read more: http://www.autonews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100518/COPY01/305189978/1135#ixzz0oJlvr5jP


  • Blandin Foundation Lightspeed Grant Update from Minnesota West Community & Technical College and South Central College

    This is posted on behalf of Duane Krueger, SBM Program Instructor, at the Minnesota West Community & Technical College and South Central College. I love the idea of the regular webinars on the quick hit topics!

    The Business to Business Networking & Training Lightspeed Grant from the Blandin Foundation to the Small Business Management Programs of Minnesota West Community & Technical College and South Central College. has enabled participants to see how Business to Business Networking can bring small business owners together for online training, discussion, and the of sharing ideas. These sessions began in September of 2009 and finished in March of 2010. Small business owners were able to obtain additional tools and ideas they could implement immediately in their business.

    The semi-monthly presentations, which were also recorded to allow participants to go back and review any session or view a session that they might have missed, covered topics that gave participants tools and ideas to improve the profitability of their business immediately. The first sessions had 25 participants from various communities in Southwest Minnesota. The program used Web-Ex Software which allowed the participants to access the Business to Business Networking and Training from their home, office, or business. Many participants reported they often accessed the training session recordings over and over again. Taking part in the real time discussion seems to be the biggest obstacle for participants. A second session of training topics will be run this fall. The web site for the project is http://www.southcentral.edu/lightspeed.

    Session Topics:

    Getting Comfortable with Online Workshops
    Coping in a Recession
    Business Planning in a Day
    Marketing on a Shoestring
    Is you Dislike Sales, This is for You!
    There’s an Elephant in Your Financial Living Room
    What You and Your Banker Need to Know About Financial Analysis
    I Made a Profit, So Why Don’t I have Any Cash
    How to Develop Winning HR Practices
    Five Things Every Employer Should Know
    How to Be On the Winning Side of the Marketing Revolution
    Using Social Networks to Market Your Business
    Business to Business Networking
    Mentorship
    Case Study: Admiral Byrd Bed & Breakfast

    Bonus Series
    Marketing Your Retail Store
    How to Bring New Customers Back Again
    Get You Customers to Shop More Often
    Keep Your Customers for Life
    Introduction to Quickbooks® Accounting Software
    Special Question and Answer Session on Quickbooks® Accounting Software

  • HP CEO: Expect webOS slates and printers

     

    HP is just finishing up their quarterly earnings call (hint: they’re doing just fine) and CEO Mark Hurd has just confirmed that we should expect HP to give us devices "beyond smartphones into form factors such as slates and web-connected printers." We’re not entirely sure how much value-add there is to a printer on webOS just yet, but our wheels are turning.

    As for the slate, well, at this point it would be a surprise if an HP executive didn’t drop a hint about a webOS slate on a call like this – or heck, while making dinner reservations. They’re really excited about a webOS slate.

    via @hpnews

  • A new oil rush endangers the Gulf of Mexico and the planet

    by Michael T. Klare

    The oil spill viewed from NASA’s Terra satellite on May 17.Photo: NASA’s Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Rapid Response Team Cross-posted from TomDispatch.

    Yes, the oil spewing up from the floor of the Gulf of
    Mexico in staggering
    quantities
    could prove one of the great ecological disasters of
    human history. Think of it, though, as just the prelude to the Age of Tough
    Oil
    , a time of ever increasing reliance on problematic,
    hard-to-reach energy sources. Make no mistake: we’re entering the
    danger zone. And brace yourself, the fate of the planet could be at
    stake. 

    It may never be possible to pin down the precise cause of the massive
    explosion that destroyed the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig on April
    20, killing 11 of its 126 workers. Possible culprits include a faulty
    cement plug in the undersea oil bore and a disabled cutoff device known
    as a blow-out
    preventer
    . Inadequate governmental oversight of safety procedures
    undoubtedly also contributed to the disaster, which may have been set
    off by a combination of defective equipment and human
    error
    . But whether or not the immediate trigger of the explosion
    is ever fully determined, there can be no mistaking the underlying
    cause: a government-backed corporate drive to exploit oil and natural
    gas reserves in extreme environments under increasingly hazardous
    operating conditions.

    The new oil rush and its dangers

    The United States entered the hydrocarbon era with one of the world’s
    largest pools of oil and natural gas. The exploitation of these
    valuable and versatile commodities has long contributed to the nation’s
    wealth and power, as well as to the profitability of giant energy firms
    like BP and Exxon. In the process, however, most of our easily
    accessible onshore oil and gas reservoirs have been depleted, leaving
    only less accessible reserves in offshore areas, Alaska, and the melting
    Arctic. To ensure a continued supply of hydrocarbons—and the
    continued prosperity of the giant energy companies—successive
    administrations have promoted the exploitation of these extreme energy
    options with a striking disregard for the resulting dangers. By their
    very nature, such efforts involve an ever increasing risk of human and
    environmental catastrophe—something that has been far too little
    acknowledged.

    The hunt for oil and gas has always entailed a certain amount of
    risk. After all, most energy reserves are trapped deep below the
    Earth’s surface by overlying rock formations. When punctured by oil
    drills, these are likely to erupt in an explosive release of
    hydrocarbons, the well-known “gusher” effect. In the swashbuckling
    early days of the oil industry, this phenomenon—familiar to us from
    movies like There Will Be Blood—often caused human and
    environmental injury. Over the years, however, the oil companies became
    far more adept at anticipating such events and preventing harm to
    workers or the surrounding countryside. 

    Now, in the rush to develop hard-to-reach reserves in Alaska, the
    Arctic, and deep-offshore waters, we’re returning to a particularly
    dangerous version of those swashbuckling days. As energy companies
    encounter fresh and unexpected hazards, their existing technologies—
    largely developed in more benign environments—often prove incapable
    of responding adequately to the new challenges. And when disasters
    occur, as is increasingly likely, the resulting environmental damage is
    sure to prove exponentially more devastating than anything experienced
    in the industrial annals of the nineteenth and early twentieth
    centuries.

    The Deepwater Horizon operation was characteristic of this trend. BP, the company which leased the rig and was overseeing the drilling
    effort, has for some years been in a rush to extract oil from ever
    greater depths in the Gulf of Mexico. The well in question, known as
    Mississippi Canyon 252, was located in 5,000 feet of water, some 50
    miles south of the Louisiana coastline; the well bore itself extended
    another 13,000 feet into the earth. At depths this great, all work on
    the ocean floor has to be performed by remotely-controlled robotic
    devices overseen by technicians on the rig. There was little margin for
    error to begin with, and no tolerance for the corner-cutting,
    penny-pinching, and lax oversight that appears to have characterized the
    Deepwater Horizon operation. Once predictable problems did arise, it
    was, of course, impossible to send human troubleshooters one mile
    beneath the ocean’s surface to assess the situation and devise a
    solution.

    Drilling in Alaska and the Arctic poses, if anything, even more
    perilous challenges, given the extreme environmental and climatic
    conditions to be dealt with. Any drilling rigs deployed offshore in,
    say, Alaska’s Beaufort or Chukchi Seas must be hardened to withstand
    collisions with floating sea ice, a perennial danger, and capable of
    withstanding extreme temperatures and powerful storms. In addition, in
    such hard-to-reach locations, BP-style oil spills, whether at sea or on
    land, will be even more difficult to deal with than in the Gulf. In any
    such situation, an uncontrolled oil flow is likely to prove lethal to
    many species, endangered or otherwise, which have little tolerance for
    environmental hazards. 

    The major energy firms insist that they have adopted ironclad
    safeguards against such perils, but the disaster in the Gulf has already
    made mockery of such claims, as does history. In 2006, for instance, a
    poorly-maintained pipeline at a BP facility ruptured,
    spewing 267,000 gallons of crude oil over Alaska’s North Slope in an
    area frequented by migrating caribou. (Because the spill occurred in
    winter, no caribou were present at the time and it was possible to scoop
    up the oil from surrounding snow banks; had it occurred in summer, the
    risk to the Caribou herds would have been substantial.) 

    If it’s oil, it’s okay

    Despite obvious hazards and dangers, as well as inadequate safety
    practices, a succession of administrations, including Barack Obama’s,
    have backed corporate strategies strongly favoring the exploitation of
    oil and gas reservoirs in the deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico and
    other environmentally sensitive areas. 

    On the government’s side, this outlook was first fully articulated in
    the National Energy Policy (NEP) adopted by President George W. Bush on
    May 17, 2001. Led by former Halliburton CEO Vice President Dick
    Cheney, the framers of the policy warned that the United States was
    becoming ever more dependent on imported energy, thereby endangering
    national security. They called for increased reliance on domestic
    energy sources, especially oil and natural gas. “A primary goal of the
    National Energy Policy is to add supply from diverse sources,” the
    document declared. “This means domestic oil, gas, and coal.”

    As the
    NEP made clear, however, the United States was running out of
    conventional, easily tapped reservoirs of oil and natural gas located on
    land or in shallow coastal waters. “U.S. oil production is expected to
    decline over the next two decades, [while] demand for natural gas will
    most likely continue to outpace domestic production,” the document
    noted. The only solution, it claimed, would be to increase exploitation
    of unconventional energy reserves—oil and gas found in deep offshore
    areas of the Gulf of Mexico, the Outer Continental Shelf, Alaska, and
    the American Arctic, as well as in complex geological formations such as
    shale oil and gas. “Producing oil and gas from geologically
    challenging areas while protecting the environment is important
    to Americans and to the future of our nation’s energy security,” the
    policy affirmed. (The phrase in italics was evidently added by the
    White House to counter charges—painfully accurate, as it turned out —that the administration was unmindful of the environmental
    consequences of its energy policies.)

    First and foremost among the NEP’s recommendations was the
    development of the pristine Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, a proposal
    that generated intense media interest and produced widespread opposition
    from environmentalists. Equally significant, however, was its call for
    increased exploration and drilling in the deep waters of the Gulf, as
    well as the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas off northern Alaska. 

    While drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge was, in the
    end, blocked by Congress, an oil rush to exploit the other areas
    proceeded with little governmental opposition. In fact, as has now
    become evident, the government’s deeply
    corrupted
    regulatory arm, the Minerals Management Service (MMS),
    has for years facilitated the awarding of leases for exploration and
    drilling in the Gulf of Mexico while systematically ignoring environmental regulations and concerns. Common practice during the Bush
    years, this was not altered when Barack Obama took over the
    presidency. Indeed, he gave his own stamp of approval to a potentially
    massive increase in offshore drilling when on March 30—three weeks
    before the Deepwater Horizon disaster—he announced that vast areas of the Atlantic, the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and
    Alaskan waters would be opened to oil and gas drilling for the first
    time. 

    In addition to accelerating the development of the Gulf of Mexico,
    while overruling government scientists and other officials who warned of
    the dangers, the MMS also approved offshore drilling in the Chukchi and
    Beaufort Seas. This happened despite strong opposition from
    environmentalists and native peoples who fear a risk to whales and other
    endangered species crucial to their way of life. In October, for
    example, the MMS gave Shell Oil preliminary
    approval
    to conduct exploratory drilling on two offshore blocks in
    the Beaufort Sea. Opponents of the plan have warned that any oil spills
    produced by such activities would pose a severe threat to endangered
    animals, but these concerns were, as usual,
    ignored. (On April 30, 10 days after the Gulf explosion, final
    approval of the plan was suddenly ordered withheld by President Obama, pending a review of offshore drilling
    activities.)

    A BP hall of shame

    The major energy firms have their own compelling reasons for a
    growing involvement in the exploitation of extreme energy options. Each
    year, to prevent the value of their shares from falling, these
    companies must replace the oil extracted from their existing reservoirs
    with new reserves. Most of the oil and gas basins in their traditional
    areas of supply have, however, been depleted, while many promising
    fields in the Middle East, Latin America, and the former Soviet Union
    are now under the exclusive control of state-owned national oil
    companies like Saudi Aramco, Mexico’s Pemex, and Venezuela’s PdVSA. 

    This leaves the private firms, widely known as international oil
    companies (IOCs), with ever fewer areas in which to replenish their
    supplies. They are now deeply involved in an ongoing oil rush in
    sub-Saharan Africa, where most countries still allow some participation
    by IOCs, but there they face dauntingly stiff competition from Chinese
    companies and other state-backed companies. The only areas where they
    still have a virtually free hand are the Arctic, the Gulf of Mexico, the
    North Atlantic, and the North Sea. Not surprisingly, this is where
    they are concentrating their efforts, whatever the dangers to us or to
    the planet.

    Take BP. Originally known as the Anglo-Persian Oil Company (later
    the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, still later British Petroleum), BP got
    its start in southwestern Iran, where it once enjoyed a monopoly on the
    production of crude petroleum. In 1951, its Iranian holdings were
    nationalized by the democratic government of Mohammed Mossadeq. The
    company returned to Iran in 1953, following a U.S.-backed coup that put
    the Shah in power, and was finally expelled again in 1979 following the
    Islamic Revolution. The company still retains a significant foothold in
    oil-rich but unstable Nigeria, a former British colony, and in
    Azerbaijan. However, since its takeover of Amoco (once the Standard Oil
    Company of Indiana) in 1998, BP has concentrated its energies on the
    exploitation of Alaskan reserves and tough-oil locations in the deep
    waters of the Gulf of Mexico and off the African coast. 

    “Operating at the Energy Frontiers” is the title of BP’s Annual Review for 2009, which proudly began: “BP
    operates at the frontiers of the energy industry. From deep beneath the
    ocean to complex refining environments, from remote tropical islands to
    next-generation biofuels—a revitalized BP is driving greater
    efficiency, sustained momentum, and business growth.” 

    Within this mandate, moreover, the Gulf of Mexico held center stage. “BP is the leading operator in the Gulf of Mexico,” the review
    asserted. “We are the biggest producer, the leading resource holder, and
    have the largest exploration acreage position … With new discoveries,
    successful start-ups, efficient operations, and a strong portfolio of
    new projects, we are exceptionally well placed to sustain our success in
    the deepwater Gulf of Mexico over the long run.”

    Clearly, BP’s top executives believed that a rapid ramp-up in
    production in the Gulf was essential to the company’s long-term
    financial health (and indeed, only days after the Deepwater Horizon
    explosion, the company announced that it had made $6.1
    billion
    in profits in the first quarter of 2010 alone). To what
    degree BP’s corporate culture contributed to the Deepwater Horizon
    accident has yet to be determined. There is, however, some indication that the company was in an unseemly rush to complete the cementing of
    the Mississippi Canyon 252 well—a procedure that would cap it until
    the company was ready to undertake commercial extraction of the oil
    stored below. It could then have moved the rig, rented from Transocean
    Ltd. at $500,000 per day, to another prospective drill site in search of
    yet more oil.

    While BP may prove to be the principal villain in this case, other
    large energy firms—egged on by the government and state officials—
    are engaged in similar reckless drives to extract oil and natural gas
    from extreme environmental locations. These companies and their
    government backers insist that, with proper precautions, it is safe to
    operate in these conditions, but the Deepwater Horizon incident shows
    that the more extreme the environment, the more unlikely such statements
    will prove accurate.

    The Deepwater Horizon explosion, we assuredly will be told, was an
    unfortunate fluke: a confluence of improper management and faulty
    equipment. With tightened oversight, it will be said, such accidents
    can be averted—and so it will be safe to go back into the
    deep waters
    again and drill for oil a mile or more beneath the
    ocean’s surface. 

    Don’t believe it. While poor oversight and faulty equipment may have
    played a critical role in BP’s catastrophe in the Gulf, the ultimate
    source of the disaster is big oil’s compulsive drive to compensate for
    the decline in its conventional oil reserves by seeking supplies in
    inherently hazardous areas—risks be damned. 

    So long as this compulsion prevails, more such disasters will
    follow. Bet on it.

    Related Links:

    U.S. bans more Gulf fishing as oil fears grow for Florida

    Obama’s ocean chief dismisses loop current threat: ‘Very little tarballs!’

    10 ways MMS makes FEMA look good






  • Virgin Media and T-Mobile UK Announce HTC Wildfire

    Two major UK operators announced that they will be offering the HTC Wildfire. Both Virgin Media and T-Mobile announced on  Twitter  that they will be offering the phone which has been described as a mix of the HTC Tattoo and Desire. T-Mobile have announced that they will have it from the 14th June (check their “coming soon” page) but Virgin Media have yet to announce a date.

    The initial thoughts are that Wildfire may target the lower end of the market and is the first Android phone to feature “App Sharing” which will allow users to share their favourite apps by email and other means.

    Have a look at the video below for a quick look at the HTC Wildfire.

    Click here to view the embedded video.

    Might We Suggest…


  • City using computers to track abandoned buildings

    Posted by John Byrne at 4:23 p.m.

    Mayor Richard Daley said today that the city is getting more aggressive about dealing with abandoned buildings that continue to proliferate in the down economy.

     

    Several city departments are now linked in a computer system that tracks complaints against "problem buildings" and automatically sends e-mails to the banks that often own them, Daley said. The centralized system came online about a month ago.

     

    "It just allows us to better manage these buildings, and alert us if we see problems," said Police Supt. Jody Weis, who said abandoned buildings are often havens for crime.

     

    And a Cook County Circuit Court finding that the city can sue in Housing Court rather than Chancery Court to take over and demolish abandoned buildings has sped up that process considerably, the mayor said.

     

    "It’s between a three-year process (in Chancery Court) and maybe 180 days, six months (in Housing Court), maybe shorter," Daley said at a news conference at the West Englewood branch library.

     

    Daley has pressed for legislation in Springfield that would make banks responsible for the upkeep of any properties they own, but the proposal has stalled in the General Assembly.

  • Here’s Why The Gold Run Is Just Getting Started

    Gold Trader

    The good news is that you no longer have to be crazy to buy gold.

    Until recently, certifiable believers chasing the barbaric relic were driven by a host of urban legends and conspiracy theories, such as the imminent bankruptcy of the US Treasury, Fort Knox holding only titanium bars that had been painted gold, Weimar style hyperinflation that is just around the corner, or the gold ETF (GLD) owning only paper, and not physical gold.

    No more. The long term structural demand for the yellow metal is now so well known, that I can read about it in the tabloids while waiting in line at Safeway.

    There is an emerging market central bank bidding war going on, with India and China trying to outmaneuver each other to raise their gold holdings to developed world levels.

    The EC or the IMF may sate that demand by selling off their remaining holdings to bail out Greece. A rising emerging market middle class also brings large, newly enriched consumers from countries that have long cultural preferences for owning gold and silver over paper fiat currencies.

    Now that we have decisively broken through to a new all time high, how high can we go? Surely peak gold is upon us.

    Barrick Gold (ABX), the world’s largest gold producer, would not be hacking out new mines under incredibly harsh conditions at 15,000 feet in the Andes if there were easier supplies to develop.

    My own long term gold forecast has been the old inflation adjusted high of $2,300. But, higher altitudes beckon. If you want to take gold up to its historic peak in world GDP last seen in 1980, that would see gold at $5,300. Also, keep in mind that the total world gold supply has increased since then from 110,000 tonnes to 170,000 tonnes.

    For gold to recover the old peak percentage of the world monetary base, M3, it would need to rise to $5,700. Then there is the granddaddy forecast of them all. After the US allowed the price of gold to float from $34/ounce in 1971, it rose 2,500% to $850. An equal move of the 1999 $250 bottom would take us up to $6,250. I think I’d be a seller there.

    The great thing about gold is that, absent a dividend or a coupon, you can never claim it is too cheap or too expensive. While the current production cost at the big mines is around $400/ounce., the only certainty is that there are now more buyers than sellers.

    [Compare] the performance of gold so far to other bull markets of the last three decades, and it is clear that we are only just getting started.

    ————-

    This guest post comes courtesy of The Mad Hedge Fund Trader >

    Join the conversation about this story »

  • mocoNews Quick Hits 05.18.2010


    Starbucks Coffee

    »  Intel’s Wireless Display technology could someday power your TV with smartphone content. [GigaOm]

    »  Kindle for Android will be available this summer. [TechCrunch]

    »  Foursquare Mayors of Starbucks can now get discounts. [Mashable]

    »  Visa officially announces its new case that enables your iPhone to be used as a credit card. [MobileCrunch]

    »  OnStar is using Google (NSDQ: GOOG) technology to build Chevrolet mobile apps. [Release]


  • 10 ways MMS makes FEMA look good

    by Randy Rieland

    1. You got a
    problem with paper towels? 
    One big reason
    the means of cleaning up oil spills have barely changed since the Exxon Valdez spill is that the Minerals
    Management Service’s budget for oil-spill research has been stuck at roughly $6
    million a year since 1990.  That’s one-tenth
    of a penny for every dollar MMS has collected in royalties from oil companies for
    offshore drilling rights over the same period.
    In real numbers, that’s $129 million spent on research over 20 years while
    $107 billion was collected. Almost two-thirds of what MMS spends on
    research goes to maintaining a wave pool in New Jersey where it tests cleanup
    equipment. The
    Houston Chronicle has more.

    2. What’s $10
    billion among friends?
    In January 2007, the head of MMS, a former energy
    exploration executive from Wyoming named Rejane “Johnnie” Burton, came under
    fire from the Interior Department’s inspector general for ignoring or not
    addressing a leasing error that could have let oil companies avoid paying up to
    $10 billion in royalties.  The auditor
    general described it as a “jaw-dropping example of bureaucratic bungling.”  Burton resigned four months later. See
    the New York Times story.

    3. They aim to
    please.
    Noting an annual savings of $340,000 per oil rig, the MMS in 1998 cut
    in half the number of pressure tests on valves of blowout preventers.  An industry executive praised the
    “flexibility” of MMS regulators.  The
    blowout preventer on the Deepwater Horizon rig failed.  Follow
    the AP’s investigation.

    4. Wonks just
    gotta have fun.
    In September 2008, the Interior Department’s inspector general
    delivered reports to Congress detailing a sex and cocaine scandal within MMS as
    well as numerous cases of employees getting gifts from energy companies,
    including golf and ski trips and even a paintball outing.  He characterized the agency as having “a
    culture of ethical failure.”  Get
    the lowdown from The New York Times.

    5. Now you see us,
    now you don’t
    . During the past five years, MMS became increasingly lax
    about making monthly safety inspections of the Deepwater Horizon rig.  Which explains why, since
    January 2005, inspectors had issued just one minor infraction for the rig. And
    that helps explain why last year MMS was able to single out the Deepwater well
    as an industry model for safety.  See the AP’s
    report.
     

    6. Ooooops. Last year, MMS gave BP an exemption from doing an environmental impact analysis
    on the Deepwater Horizon because a massive oil spill was
    considered unlikely. In fact, the agency over the past year has routinely
    issued drilling permits in the Gulf of Mexico without obtaining federal permits
    related to potential environmental threats.  Read
    about it in The Washington
    Post.

    7. Scientists
    are such
    drama queens. MMS
    routinely overruled its staff biologists and engineers who raised concerns
    about the safety and the environmental impact of certain drilling proposals in
    the Gulf and in Alaska, according to a half-dozen current and former agency
    scientists. Those scientists said they were also regularly pressured by agency
    officials to change the findings of their internal studies if they predicted
    that an accident was likely to occur or if wildlife might be harmed. See the New York Times article.

    8. Details, details. Recently, an MMS
    engineer who gave BP the go-ahead to drill an exploratory well under the
    Deepwater Horizon rig admitted he never got assurance from the firm that a
    last-ditch mechanism at the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico would be able to slice
    through its drill pipe to shut off the well in an emergency.  Get
    the full story from the New Orleans Times-Picayune.

    9. But they
    gave their hand such a slap.
    MMS red-flagged potential violations of
    government safety standards in five out of 20 accident investigations it
    completed at BP offshore operations since 2005, including rigs and platforms.
    But only one incident resulted in a fine, according to a
    Houston Chronicle investigation
    .

    10. You be safe now, okay? MMS apparently
    followed a pattern of setting broad safety goals for offshore drilling, but
    largely leaving it up to the oil companies to decide how—and whether—to
    meet them.  The
    Wall Street Journal has the details.

    Related Links:

    David Brooks to old folks: cities are better now

    U.S. bans more Gulf fishing as oil fears grow for Florida

    Obama’s ocean chief dismisses loop current threat: ‘Very little tarballs!’






  • 3 Ways the Greek Debt Crisis Might Be Good for the U.S.

    European states in the splash zone of the Greek debt crisis will almost certainly have to cut back on spending and raise taxes, triggering a double-dip recession throughout the European Union, and hurting US exports.

    But what if Europe’s debt disaster actually works out for the United States … kind of? Tim Duy finds three reasons:

    1. Capital Gains for the U.S. Scared investors are running from peripheral EU states that look like they could follow Greece into the abyss. (It’s called the contagion effect: explanation here.) Running from Europe, investors might seek shelter in US investments, driving down our interest rates and giving companies looking to hire more access to capital. Duy concludes, “the odds of sustainable recovery look better
    every day.

    2. No Tightening from the Federal Reserve. Some liberals and moderates are concerned that the Federal Reserve might try to prematurely tighten its monetary policy by selling assets to squeeze inflation before we’ve achieved sustainable recovery and consistent job gains. But the crisis in Europe makes it more likely that the Federal Reserve will sit tight and keep money easy. After all, a Greece default — which is all but certain — could shock high-debt, low-growth states like Portugal and Spain and send jitters throughout the global economy. The Fed, nervous about feeding those fears, will probably keep interest rates low for an extended period of time with the European debt bomb ticking.

    3. Cheap Oil. A weak Euro and a stop-start European economy means cheap oil, relief at the pump for the re-emerging American consumer, and marginally higher demand for cars. An exogenous oil shock helped to pop the housing bubble in the mid-2000s. Cheap gas is an economic lubricant.

    In short, Duy suggests that the European debt crisis “puts a lid” on interest rates and oil prices. Cheap borrowing and cheaper oil won’t offset a major debt tsunami if the European situation takes a turn for the worse and spooks banks and stock holders. But in the short term, the United States might reap the benefit of turmoil across the Atlantic.





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  • OtF Core: Ethical Futurism (from 2006)

    (This is the original Ethical Futurism piece I wrote for Futurismic in 2006; I intend to update and build on it, but I wanted to make sure the original could be found in its entirety here.)

    What does it mean to be an “ethical futurist?”

    I don’t mean just the basics of being an ethical human being, or even the particular ethical guidelines one might see for any kind of professional — disclosure of conflicts of interest, for example, or honesty in transactions. I mean the ethical conventions that would be essentially unique to futurists. What kinds of rules should apply to those of us who make a living (or a life’s goal) out of thinking about what may come?

    Futurists — including scenario planners, trend-spotters, foresight specialists, paradigm engineers, and the myriad other labels we use — have something of an odd professional role. We are akin to reporters, but we’re reporters of events that have not yet happened — and may not happen. We are analysts, but analysts of possibilities, not histories. We’re science fiction storytellers, but the stories we tell are less for entertainment than for enlightenment. And, much to our surprise, we may be much more influential than we expect.

    It’s not that no futurists have considered ethical issues before. Foresight professionals regularly grapple with the question of what kinds of ethical guidelines should govern futurism, in mailing lists, organizational debates, and academic papers. But — to my surprise — neither of the two main professional organizations for futurists, the World Future Society and the Association of Professional Futurists, have any lists, documents or debates on the subject available to the public. This doesn’t mean that futurists are inclined to behave unethically or amorally, but simply that there seems to be no overarching set of principles for the field, at least none open to the broader community in which futurists act.

    As I gave this some thought, it struck me that futurists are not alone in thinking about tomorrow professionally. Most business consultant types also concern themselves with what may come, with the results of corporate decisions and organizational choices. But the difference between that sort of business consulting and foresight consulting comes down to the difference between outcomes and consequences. Outcomes are the (immediate or longer-term) results of actions; consequences are how those actions connect to the choices and actions of others, and to the larger context of society, the environment, and the future itself.

    As I see it, then, where business professionals are responsible to the client and their various stakeholders, foresight professionals are responsible to the future.

    Here’s what I think that means:

    It means that the first duty of an ethical futurist is to act in the interests of the stakeholders yet to come — those who would suffer harm in the future from choices made in the present. This harm could come (in my view) in the form of fewer options or possibilities for development, less ecological diversity and environmental stability, and greater risks to the health and well-being of people and other species on the planet. Futurists, as those people who have chosen to become navigators for society — responsible for watching the path ahead — have a particular responsibility for safeguard that path, and to ensure that the people making strategic choices about actions and policies have the opportunity to do so wisely.

    From this, I would argue for the following set of ethical guidelines:

    An ethical futurist has a responsibility not to let the desires of a client (or audience, or collaborator) for a particular outcome blind him or her to the consequences of that goal, and will always informs the client of both the risks and rewards.

    An ethical futurist has the responsibility to understand, as fully as possible, the range of issues and systems connected to the question under consideration, to avoid missing critical potential consequences.

    An ethical futurist has the responsibility to acknowledge and make her or his client (audience, collaborators) cognizant of the uncertainty of forecasts, and to explain why some outcomes and consequences are more or less likely than others.

    An ethical futurist has the responsibility to offer unbiased analysis, based on an honest appraisal of sources, with as much transparency of process as possible.

    An ethical futurist has the responsibility to recognize the difference between short-term results and long-term processes, and to always keep an eye on the more distant possibilities.

    Futurists perform a quirky, but necessary, task in modern society: we function as the long-range scanners for a species evolved to pay close attention to short-range horizons. Some neurophysiologists argue that this comes from the simple act of throwing an object to hit a moving target. Chimpanzees and bonobos, even with DNA 98% identical to our own, are simply unable to do so, while most humans can (at least with a bit of experience). It turns out that the same cognitive structures that let us understand where a moving target will be may also help us recognize the broader relationship between action and result — or, more simply, how “if” becomes “then.”

    I’m not sure how many futurists recognize the weight of responsibility that rests on their shoulders; this is an occupation in which attention-deficit disorder is something of a professional requirement. But when we do our jobs well, we can play a pretty damn important role in shaping the course of human history. It’s incumbent upon us, then, to do our jobs with a sense of purpose and ethics.

  • Solar cell performs better with anti-reflective coating

    Solar panel performance is boosted with anti-reflective coating.  …

    …   “This same is true of conventional solar panels, which is why some industrial solar arrays are mechanized to slowly move throughout the day so their panels are perfectly aligned with the sun’s position in the sky. Without this automated movement, the panels would not be optimally positioned and would therefore absorb less sunlight. The tradeoff for this increased efficiency, however, is the energy needed to power the automation system, the cost of upkeeping this system, and the possibility of errors or misalignment.  Lin’s discovery could antiquate these automated solar arrays, as his antireflective coating absorbs sunlight evenly and equally from all angles.”   …

    Via RPI: Absorption of Sunlight.

  • Overly Litigious Company Claims Microsoft Xbox Infringes On Its Patents [Microsoft]

    A Las Vegas based company called Synchrome Technology has filed a lawsuit against Microsoft and DVD burner maker NEC Corporation for infringing on its patents: More »







  • “Law & Order” Looking For New Home At TNT

    Law & Order may be getting a new lease on life — on TNT, Variety reports.

    The police procedural — featuring Sam Waterson and S. Epatha Merkerson — ran for 20 seasons and spawned several spinoffs (Special Victims Unit, Criminal Intent, Trial By Jury) before the network axed the show last week. It is currently tied with Gunsmoke as television’s longest-running drama.

    NBC Universal is in talks with TNT about working out a licensing deal that would open the door for new episodes of the long-running crime drama to run on the cable network — which is already home to reruns of Law & Order.

    Last year, the networks reached a similar deal that paved the way for NBC’s gritty cult hit Southland to make the move to TNT after being booted from The Peacock.

    “The patient is not dead,” L&O creator Wolf said Tuesday. “It is in a medically induced coma, and we are hoping for a cure.”

    Wolf tells The New York Times that he is courting offers for the show from other networks, and there might even be a two-hour Law & Order TV movie in the works.

    A nationwide appeal to save the show has drawn more than 17,000 people to the Facebook group “Save Law & Order!”

    The New York City government is among the fans disappointed to see the series go: the show generates $79 million in business for the Big Apple each season.


  • HP joins Team AMD for release of more than a dozen notebooks

    HP is releasing more than a dozen new AMD-powered notebooks

    HP has boosted its range of laptops quite substantially, with its largest single introduction of AMD-powered notebook PCs to date. Fourteen new machines are on offer in total, pitched towards both business customers and home users. All of the models in HP’s new notebook range include updated AMD multicore processors. Among the new brood is a set of Phenom II Dual-Core N620 systems promising to offer users up to 69 per cent faster performance than previous models…
    Continue Reading HP joins Team AMD for release of more than a dozen notebooks

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  • Resistance (Book 1) by Carla Jablonski, illustrated by Leland Purvis, color by Hilary Sycamore

    Here’s something else that APAs and Jewish Americans have in common: we share the same heritage month! Yup, as of April 2006, May is not only our Asian Pacific American Heritage Month, but May is also Jewish American Heritage Month! Various stereotypes have long linked us together (i.e. Asians are the Jews of the East, etc. etc.), so how fitting to be headliners this month together …

    In celebration, here’s a quick but resonating read about a trio of brave, headstrong kids who decide they can and must make a difference in a war they don’t understand.

    It’s 1942 and most of France is occupied by the Nazi  German army. Paul and Marie Tessier long for news of their missing father. Their closest friend, Henri Levy, is Jewish, which puts him in grave danger . While the Tessier family remains loyal to the Levys, the rest of the nervous village can no longer be trusted. When the Nazis arrive, the Levy parents suddenly disappear. Paul and Marie decide to help their friend Henri at all costs … and find unexpected, necessary assistance with the local Resistance supporters.

    With a clear historical note to introduce the children’s story, Jablonski ensures that a frightening, chaotic time is carefully placed in context for even young readers. While the horror of the period is not ignored (a brutal murder occurs on a train journey), Jablonski and Purvis manage to balance the inevitable death and destruction with the age of their intended audience.

    That the cover is marked with “Book 1,” means more volumes are clearly planned. Here’s to looking forward to further evidence that even the youngest fighters can and did make memorable, worthy, heroic history.

    Readers: Middle Grade, Young Adult

    Published: 2010

    Filed under: ..Middle Grade Readers, ..Young Adult Readers, .Fiction, European Tagged: Coming-of-age, Family, Friendship, Historical, Parent/child relationship, Siblings, War

  • Trevor Hoffman blows up again in the ninth

    We’ve had a few Trevor Hoffman(notes) fire drills in 2010, so a lot of this is going to be a review. Ninth-inning leads have been a nightmare for the Brewers through six weeks, but there isn’t an obvious solution to the problem.

    Hoffman’s latest blown save came Tuesday at Cincinnati and it was a horror show. He faced five men and didn’t retire any of them: Paul Janish(notes) singled; Scott Rolen(notes) lost a ball in the left field seats; Chris Heisey(notes) doubled; Brandon Phillips(notes) walked; and Joey Votto(notes) ended the game with a single. Hoffman’s now got a 13.15 ERA, five blown saves and three losses – and the Brewers have a major dilemma on their hands.

    Hoffman’s at 596 saves and there’s a countdown area in play at Miller Park – everyone’s pulling for The Hoff to get to 600. But how long can you stick with a 42-year-old reliever on fumes? Hoffman hasn’t been getting beaten on flukes – he’s already allowed seven homers over 13 innings – and he’s been scored on in 8-of-14 appearances. Bernie Brewer doesn’t have the stomach for this.

    Okay, so what other options are available for manager Ken Macha? Round up the usual suspects.

    LaTroy Hawkins(notes) is on the disabled list with a sore shoulder and his rehab is progressing at a deliberate pace. Nothing happening here.

    Todd Coffey(notes) has been the eighth-inning man with Hawkins out, and for the most part Coffey’s been solid – he had 10 straight scoreless appearances into the middle of May. Alas, the Phillies got him for a run Sunday and the Reds threw a five-spot at him Monday.

    Carlos Villanueva(notes) jumps off the page from a skills perspective – he’s rolled up 27 strikeouts against eight walks over 20.2 innings, and the league is hitting just .182 against him. He’s been used in the sixth and seventh inning for most of the year, so if you’re following the usage-pattern theory (he who pitches the eighth gets promoted to the ninth), you wouldn’t pick him over Coffey. Villanueva is 5-for-12 in his career on save chances, but most of those opportunities have come before the ninth, so let’s not overreact to that misleading stat.

    Left-hander Manny Parra(notes) might be an option down the road, though he was pressed into a start Tuesday with Doug Davis(notes) hitting the disabled list. Parra is striking out three men for every walk and he’s keeping the ball on the ground (59 percent). His 3.70 ERA is something of a fluke, driven by a .381 BABIP. Keep him in mind for later in the year.

    Rollie Fingers still has the mustache, but he’s 63. Not an option.

    Last but not least, let’s look down to the farm. Closer Chris Smith is a 29-year-old journeyman of sorts, but he’s been getting the job done (1.84 ERA, 13 saves, 20 strikeouts against four walks over 14.2 innings). Lefty Zach Braddock has been electric for most of the spring (27 whiffs in 15 innings), but he lost his way during a crazy eight-run appearance on May 9. There’s no evidence that the Brewers are going to grab either of these guys and immediately thrust them into the closer’s chair, but for deeper formats, they are names to be aware of.

    Throw your dart, pick out your name. Who’s your Tuesday pickup? What should Ken Macha do? Let’s get through this together.