Author: Serkadis

  • How The Rambus “Fat Finger” Incident Was Really An Algorithm Gone Wild (RMBS)

    HFT Cyborg Trading Thumbnail

    Earlier today we had the chance to speak with Ben Bittrolff of Cyborg Trading and had the opportunity to discuss the world of high-frequency algorithmic trading at length.

    Eventually we came across the topic of the Rambus (RMBS) “fat finger” incident in which RMBS stock fell nearly 35% in a matter of minutes, only to later rebound.

    Traders called the incident a “fat finger” or human error. According to Ben, such is not the case.

    As Ben argues, human interaction is largely gone from major trades involving large blocks of stock. An algorithm will not allow a huge order to go out all at once. If anything, it’ll slowly begin to breakup the block into smaller orders, whether you like it or not. The algorithms have fail-safes of sorts built into them, so when a large caliber order comes through, it’s immediately checked and processed into smaller orders.

    A better theory for Rambus is that incorrect data was fed to an algo, setting off a chain reaction across the market. All an algo needs to go haywire is a false tip or data point and everything goes off. After all, it’s just a computer model and can’t play a market like the human mind can.

    RMBS fat figner HFT

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  • Rising seas threaten fertile Nile Delta

    From Green Right Now Reports

    Nile Delta. Photo: Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC

    Nile Delta. Photo: Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC

    Half a million inhabitants displaced. About 70,000 jobs lost. A major source of both food and revenue drowned by salt water.

    That’s the grim forecast for Egypt’s Nile Delta, as rising seawaters threaten the nation’s legendary  food-producing region.

    Over the last century, the Mediterranean Sea has risen about six inches, according to a recent government study. The introduction of so much salt water already has forced some farmers off their land, while others struggle to find ways to protect their homes and livelihoods.

    As industrialized nations wrestle with how to handle their impact on the environment, Egypt may be left to deal with the mistakes of others.

    “Egypt is only responsible for 0.6 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions,” Mohammed al-Raey of the Regional Disaster Response Centre told the AFP news agency. “There is no doubt that (climate change) poses a threat to food security and a threat to social systems.”

    Currently, the Nile Delta provides around a third of the crops for Egypt’s population of 80 million. Excess yields are exported, an important source of revenue.

    While some farmers have simply given up, others of greater means attempt to adapt by covering their land with beds of sand to isolate it against seawater infiltrations. Engineering firms specializing in underwater projects are experimenting with more permanent fixes.

    Hamza Associates has proposed to build a waterproof wall that would effectively separate the sea from the land and raise the shore by six feet. The project has been on the drawing board since 2007. Opponents argue that a wall would negatively impact Egypt’s Mediterranean beach resorts, crippling the lucrative tourist trade.

  • Let’s Create a New Tech Startup Myth

    The National Venture Capital Association today released data that confirms what we’ve known for a while: Without 1999’s fat exits, the venture industry is looking pretty tired, from a returns perspective. The chart below shows how much every dollar invested in a venture fund returned to its limited partners; for example, in 1996 every dollar invested generated 4.7 times that back to the LP.  The solution for perking up returns seems to be a smaller industry and smaller funds seeking to place smaller amounts of money into startups, but I think there’s more to this story. I think we need a new startup myth.

    We’re already seeing the habits of successful entrepreneurs change as a result of it being a lot cheaper to start up a business and easier to connect to an audience. Maybe the ideal technology startup doesn’t need venture capital. Maybe it can be bootstrapped or backed by angels. Maybe the ideal technology startup isn’t really about making it big through an initial public offering. Maybe it’s about selling a compelling feature to a larger company and setting the agenda at a Google or a Microsoft or a Cisco. Or perhaps success could be determined by getting a huge share of the market, releasing a product that changes everything or building out a business that employs a lot of people in your hometown?

    Many of the definitions of a successful entrepreneur in the technology community are tied deeply to an IPO or a fat exit. But if the new tech startup myth doesn’t require a venture capital funding, then success doesn’t have to be defined by a relatively rapid, huge exit. I see plenty of startups that are doing well take venture capital even when they don’t have to, fueled by this desire to get bigger, faster. They are buying into the myth and may end up pushing their business in a direction they didn’t want it to go. This isn’t bad, but it’s also internalizing a “truth” popularized back in the mid-90s when being a technology startup was synonymous with having venture backing.

    Thanks to the rush of capital, that time frame also made that myth of tech success  through a huge IPO look far more achievable than it really is. So I wonder if we need to redefine what a technology startup looks like and how it can achieve success? The venture capital world measures success in money, but there are plenty of businesses and entrepreneurs who think money is only part of the reason to built out a business. Readers, what do you think?

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  • The e-Book Wars Rage On

    Amazon went on the offensive over the weekend in a brief battle with publisher Macmillan, pulling the publisher’s physical and digital titles on Friday from Amazon.com and the Kindle Store. By late Sunday, Macmillan was back and Amazon was beaten. While this is a victory for Apple and the iPad, it’s a loss for consumers, at least in the short term, and probably forever.

    As of today, Amazon’s policy of standard pricing for e-books at $9.99 effectively ended, at least for Macmillan books, but it’s hard to imagine other publishers won’t follow with new pricing from $12.99 to $14.99. While many will blame Apple for this outcome, it’s a little more complicated than that.

    Author Charles Stross gives his opinion on the matter, as well as offering a description of the competing business models, which look something like this:

    Supply Chain Model: Author -> Publisher -> Wholesaler -> Bookstore -> Consumer
    Agency Model: Author -> Publisher -> Fixed-price distributor -> Consumer

    In the supply chain model, Amazon is both the wholesaler and bookstore. Amazon profits by buying in bulk from publishers at a discount and selling for what they can, and in the case of digital books that’s $9.99. It’s a great business model, unless you are a publisher or author. The agency model gives the publishers control over pricing and relegates Amazon to being a book store.

    This is a zero-sum game, one which the publishers were losing until Steve Jobs introduced the iPad. Since Apple is interested in selling iPads and wanted to attract publishers, the agency model was adopted for iBooks, even if it meant higher, variable priced e-books.

    Macmillan tried to negotiate a new deal with Amazon, or to continue the current deal with changes like delays for publishing cheaper e-books to protect hardcover sales. Amazon refused and Macmillan’s books got pulled. That resulted in a paid advertisement in Publishers Lunch on Saturday from Macmillan CEO John Sargent defending the agency model and saying nice things about Amazon.

    On Sunday, Amazon posted a not-so-nice letter in the Kindle Community, saying that “regardless of our viewpoint,” Macmillan wants the agency model. Of course, Amazon expressed that “viewpoint” by “temporarily ceasing the sale of all Macmillan titles,” not nice at all, but in the end was forced to “capitulate.” However, Amazon doesn’t believe all publishers will switch to the agency model. Sure, they won’t.

    So, the bad news is we can all expect to pay $12.99 to $14.99 for what used to cost $9.99. The good news is, if there is any, that competition between Amazon and Apple could ultimately force prices lower in the long term. After all, there is no rule that says either company must take a 30 percent cut of each book sold, except the one where it would destroy Amazon’s business not to.

    Finally, if this entire saga doesn’t sound familiar, it should. It’s not unlike Apple’s fight with the music industry, with Apple in the position of Amazon and arguing for flat pricing of 99 cents per song. The music industry demurred and went to Amazon with DRM-free songs. They got their variable pricing with Amazon, and Apple ultimately capitulated. We now pretty much pay $1.29 per song at the iTunes Store.

    Not to say Steve Jobs is a vengeful iGod or anything, but you can almost see him smirking down from The Campus in Cupertino right now.

  • Spy Shots: Next BMW M5 spotted braving the cold

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    The phrase “new BMW M5” has always found the words “immense anticipation” lurking somewhere close by, and this latest version maintains that union. An HGH-injected iteration of the 5 Series was spotted apparently testing its traction control in some northern land of frosted flakes, wearing a very subtle look.

    As outlined by CAR recently, the M-fünf is expected to pump out 570 horsepower through a direct-injected, twin-turbo V8. Auto Express suggests that the changes to the car will be less extensive than in previous editions. Still, this prototype is probably still missing a few of the burly bits we can expect to see on the final car, which should show its face at the Paris Motor Show later this year.

    [Source: Auto Express]

    Spy Shots: Next BMW M5 spotted braving the cold originally appeared on Autoblog on Mon, 01 Feb 2010 10:58:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • BlueKai Raises $21 Million For Online Target-Marketing Data Exchange

    BlueKai, an online auction-based data exchange, has raised $21 million in funding from GGV Capital, Redpoint Ventures and Battery Ventures. This round of funding brings the startup’s total funding to $35 million.

    Launched in 2008, BlueKai aggregates data from shopping and research activities across the Internet and provides this data on-demand for marketers, ad networks or publishers to boost the quality and scale of their ad targeting initiatives. Data buyers include many of the top ten US online ad networks. The new funding will be used to further product development. In particular, BlueKai is looking to incorporate realtime technologies into its platform.

    The company recently launched an analytics feature that offers deep insight into consumer shopping behavior on the web. lBlueKai faces competition from fellow data exchange eXelate.


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  • MAG on the PS3 is flawed, imperfect… still a gem




    While I’m busy playing both Bioshock 2 and Heavy Rain for future reviews, forum-goer and Ars Riot Squad member Casey Crouch has been playing the hell out of the PlayStation 3 exclusive MAG and has shared this thoughts on the final product.

    At Sony’s 2008 E3 press conference, the company unveiled a new game from veteran developer Zipper, simply titled MAG. The game’s selling point is its 256-player capacity, where every gunshot and every explosion on the battlefield that you hear is the direct action of another player. After a long wait, Zipper’s freshman effort for the PlayStation 3 is on store shelves, and the war among global private military contractors is about to begin.

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  • Microsoft busts out SideWinder X4 anti-ghosting keyboard

    Microsoft’s just outed a new gaming keyboard — the SideWinder X4 — which promises to hold up in even the most intense situations. Boasting what the company says is the “most advanced” anti-ghosting technology around, the X4 allows the pressing of up to 26 keys at once for the ultimate gaming moves. Other features include macro recording and auto macro repeat functions, plus profile and mode switching allows your ‘board to remember all your moves for different games. So, you probably want it right now, but you’re going to have to wait a little longer — the SideWinder X4 will arrive in March, and it’ll run you $59.95. Full press release is after the break.

    Continue reading Microsoft busts out SideWinder X4 anti-ghosting keyboard

    Microsoft busts out SideWinder X4 anti-ghosting keyboard originally appeared on Engadget on Mon, 01 Feb 2010 11:07:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • Toshiba Satellite E205 (with Intel Wireless Display) review

    So it’s been a long day, you plop down on the couch, turn on the TV and grab your the laptop and a cold beverage. But while you’re watching that re-run of The Office on TBS you come across an awesome video on the web – probably the Engadget Show – and instead of watching that expensive 40-inch HDTV you end up starring at the smaller screen. Okay, so maybe that’s our specific scenario, but you’d probably hook up your laptop to a TV in a number of different situations if it didn’t involve cables, dongles, and extra software — basically if it were just easier. Well, it’s supposed to be with the $999 Toshiba Satellite E205 and its included Netgear Push2TV adapter.

    Exclusively sold at Best Buy as part of its Blue Label program, the 15-inch Core i5-powered laptop is outfitted with Intel’s Wireless Display — what we’ve taken to calling WiDi — which wirelessly connects the laptop to any HDTV using the included Netgear with just the push of a button. But can you really watch Hulu on the big screen without leaving your couch? And is the E205 even a laptop you’d want to use in the first place? We’ve been “testing” it — or watching loads of web video on our TV — for the last couple of days to find out. Read on for our full review!

    Continue reading Toshiba Satellite E205 (with Intel Wireless Display) review

    Toshiba Satellite E205 (with Intel Wireless Display) review originally appeared on Engadget on Mon, 01 Feb 2010 10:46:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • Hitachi, Panasonic and Toshiba to deliver 60GHz wireless products in 2H 2010

    The year’s 2010, yet we’re still leering at the dusty pile of cables behind our AV equipment and wondering, “O UWB, where art thou?” Well, the folks at Tech-On have got a little update for us: Hitachi, Panasonic and Toshiba are reported to be delivering products donning 60GHz wireless chips — which sip little juice but churn out 7GHz of colossal bandwidth and 1.5Gbps of data rate — in the second half of this year. While none of the manufacturers are directly pimping either WirelessHD or WiGig, it appears that Hitachi and Panasonic are siding with WiGig’s extra functionalities like media access control (MAC), and the latter even envisions “embedding the functionality into portable gear” for downloading digital content from kiosks. Either way, it’s nice to see some progress here — we don’t want things to drag on any longer, do we?

    Hitachi, Panasonic and Toshiba to deliver 60GHz wireless products in 2H 2010 originally appeared on Engadget on Mon, 01 Feb 2010 10:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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  • Even The Recording Industry Is Criticizing ACS:Law/DigiProtect Pre-Settlement Letter Program

    With more and more attention being paid to the efforts by firms like ACS:Law and DigiProtect to profit from blasting out hundreds of thousands of letters demanding payment to avoid file sharing lawsuits (which almost never seem to actually get filed), it seems that the companies involved in such things may finally be facing some pretty serious criticism that could force them to curb the practice. First up, politicians. A few different UK officials are coming out loudly against ACS:Law, with some even suggesting that the firm’s efforts are like a “scam” or “legal blackmail.”

    Meanwhile perhaps the most surprising of all is that BPI, the UK’s version of the RIAA has also come out against the practice, saying that they don’t feel it is appropriate. Perhaps it’s not a huge surprise — given that the clients of ACS:Law/DigiProtect have tended to be video game and porn producers rather than the recording industry. However, when even the recording industry finds your actions against file sharing too draconian, it suggests you’ve really stepped over the line. At some point, you get the feeling that ACS:Law is going to get slapped down legally.

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  • On Shelves This Week: January 31 – February 6, 2010

    It’s been a very long wait, but the time for White Knight Chronicles to go international is this week. In case JRPGs aren’t your cup of tea, then there’s S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Call of Pripyat for your shooter fix,

  • The Air Force connects 2,000 PS3s to create a supercomputer

    Did you know that the PS3 was military ordnance? The Air Force Research Laboratory has been given a $2 million to build a Playstation 3 cluster out of about 2,000 PS3s. Their goal? To create a Neuromorphic system designed to find examples of images stored in a massive database using systems that “mimic human nervous systems.”

    Keeping with the off-the-shelf mentality, the Air Force is using metal shelves found at most department stores to house the PS3 cluster. They are also using Linux, which is a free, open source operating system.

    The system will use 300 to 320 kilowatts at full bore and about 10 percent to 30 percent of that in standby, when most supercomputers are using 5 megawatts, Linderman said. However, much of the time the cluster will only be running the nodes it needs and it will be turned off when not in use.

    via Stars and Stripes


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  • The Acer GD235HZ 23-inch LCD monitor is ready for 3D even if you aren’t


    In case you didn’t notice, CES 2010 was full of 3D. It was everywhere and the Acer GD235HZ is ready to play with all of it. The 23.6-inch, 1080p LCD is specifically designed to work nicely with NVIDIA’s 3D Vision active shutter glasses, but of course they don’t come with it.

    The NVIDIA kit costs an extra $199 on top of the monitor’s $399 MSRP and require the right graphics card, too. But if you’re ready to test the 3D waters, this option is still less expensive even with all that extra stuff than refitting your home theater with a new 3D display and Blu-ray player. That is, of course, if you won’t mind watching Avatar on a 23.6-inch display. If this sounds like you, Amazon has the set available.


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  • Chicago Bancorp approved as an HUD/FHA direct endorsement lender

    Status makes it easier and quicker for Chicago-area residents to buy homes

    Chicago Bancorp today announced that following a review by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) the bank will now be permitted to underwrite and close mortgage loans without prior HUD review.

    According to the federal agency, participating in what is known as the Direct Endorsement Program “is a privilege accorded only to mortgagees who continue to demonstrate the ability to originate mortgage loans in accordance with HUD underwriting policy.”

    To qualify, lenders must be able to demonstrate a history of conducting business “in accordance with sound lending ethics and standards.”

    Stephen M. Calk, founder, chairman and CEO of Chicago Bancorp, said the Direct-Endorsement designation means the bank now will be able to serve prospective borrowers quicker and at a lower cost.

    “Among other things, the designation allows us to grant low-cost Federal Housing Administration mortgage insurance to creditworthy homebuyers who nevertheless might not be able to meet conventional underwriting requirements,” Calk said.

    “We are proud that while many lenders and banks are going out of business or being shut down or seized by the government, Chicago Bancorp is expanding and building on its stellar 15-year reputation.”

    About Chicago Bancorp

    Chicago Bancorp is one of the largest Independent Mortgage Banks in America. It offers an exceptional array of loan programs, including first-time homebuyer, VA, Jumbo and Asset-Based loans. As a mortgage bank, it controls the entire loan process – origination, processing, underwriting, closing and funding.

    Its centralized loan operation is the industry’s benchmark for efficient service and its team of professional mortgage bankers and operations specialists is committed to closing loans by the requested date.

    The men and women at Chicago Bancorp understand the concerns inherent to the loan process and are dedicated to simplifying that process so the borrower’s experience is uncomplicated and worry-free.


  • 175 Million People Use Facebook Every Day

    Nobody has any doubts that Facebook is huge at this point. The social network reports 350 million monthly active users, analytics firms show huge traffic coming its way each month and Facebook Connect is everywhere you look. But the numbers can be a bit misleading, registered users aren’t the same as the number of people actually using the service and … (read more)

  • Fusion Garage Files to Dismiss TechCrunch Lawsuit as JooJoo Wars Escalate [Lawsuits]

    In the ongoing sadness that is the legal battle between TechCrunch and Fusion Garage over the JooJoo tablet, Fusion Garage has moved to dismiss Michael Arrington’s lawsuit entirely.

    The Fusion Garage claim seems to center around there being a “lack of any formal legal relationship or contract” between the two companies, despite their openly working jointly on JooJoo’s development. Much of the filing is the legalese version of JooJoo’s previous response, and in parts reads like a terribly depressing (and one-sided) history of what could have been a terrific device. That is, before it became pretty much irrelevant.






  • Apple Makes at Least $200 Per iPad Sold: Report

    Maybe it’s a hangover from my days working in electronic retail sales at Best Buy, but I love hearing about the profit margins companies have for their devices. It’s amazing to me that companies like Sony are willing to take a hit and sell devices at a loss in order to sell more software down the road. Apple is clearly no fan of this kind of sales strategy, and the brand new iPad is no exception.

    A new report by BroadPoint AmTech analyst Brian Marshall about the cost of production of the iPad based on the going rate for component parts, manufacturing cost and built-in warranty repair costs reveals quite a wide profit margin on a per device basis. The entry-level $499 model apparently generates $208 in profit, while the top of the line $829 model more than doubles that, raking in $446 per unit.

    Marshall estimates that the cost of making the 16GB Wi-Fi model of the iPad runs around $270.50, plus $20 for warranty costs for a total of $290.50. Most of that cost accounts for the 9.7-inch touchscreen display, which Marshall guesses costs around $100. Apple sees considerable savings on its own in-house A4 chips, which run around $15 per unit. With a cost of $290.50 and a selling price of $499, Apple stands to see a profit margin of 42.9 percent with each sale.

    On other models that margin ranges from 48 to 55.1 percent, giving the iPad line as a whole an overall profit-generating power of about 50 percent, a number which assumes that the Wi-Fi models will sell considerably more than the 3G-capable devices, a reasonable assumption. Computerworld points out that while the number seems fairly high, it is in fact on par with Apple’s other hardware offerings:

    High profit margins are standard for Apple, which earlier in the week boasted that its corporate margin for 2009’s final quarter was 40.1%. Some products, in fact, have estimated margins even higher than Marshall’s iPad numbers: The consensus for the iPhone 3GS is above 60%, for example.

    iSuppli, a research firm which is well-known for its Apple product tear-downs and component analyses, has refrained from making any estimates about the iPad’s cost to build as of yet, though it does acknowledge that there’s reason to believe many costs will be similar to those found in the manufacture of the iPhone and iPod touch:

    We really want to wait until we know a little more about what’s inside. We’d rather not just throw numbers at it yet. It does seem like a gigantic iPod Touch, which means that although some costs would just scale up from the iPod, like the display and the touch screen, a lot won’t.

    Considering that the iPad is a brand new product just getting out of the gate, news that it already enjoys such a wide profit margin is a very promising sign of things to come for future Apple customers. Just like it eventually became profitable for Apple to sell the iPhone 3G at a subsidized $99 price point as parts became cheaper and manufacturing costs went down, so too is it conceivable that we will eventually see a significant dip in the price of the iPad. If the 1G iPad sticks around when Apple eventually introduces a 2G camera-equipped model, for instance, 1G pricing could drop to a point where it would decimate netbook sales.

    There’s also the possibility that the iPad will eventually get the same subsidy treatment the iPhone currently enjoys, though Apple doesn’t appear to want to go that route with consumers just yet, preferring instead to keep the device unlocked and therefore theoretically available to a broader buyer-base. Subsidies attached to contracts could reduce the initial purchase price considerably, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see $199 as the cost of entry for the 16GB Wi-Fi/3G model.

  • Third annual ‘Heart of Glenview’ aims to cure Chicago cabin fever, aid local charities

    Event at Wyndham Glenview Suites to showcase 28 area restaurants

    Organizers of the 3rd Annual Heart of Glenview are aiming to cure Chicago cabin fever Feb. 1 at the third annual Heart of Glenview.

    The fund-raising event will showcase the house specialties of 28 top area restaurants at the Wyndham Glenview Suites here.

    Proceeds from the event to be held from 5:30 to 8 p.m. will benefit seven local charities.

    Since its inception, the Heart of Glenview event has raised more than $185,000.  100% of all ticket sales are donated to the charity, and everything at the event is donated.

    A donation of $40 will give attendees access to all of the food and beverage offerings. The hotel has donated its 5,200-square foot Grand Ballroom to set up 28 mini-restaurants with tastings of everything from crab cakes to truffles, sushi to carrot soup.

    Additionally, the hotel is donating 10 percent of all room proceeds on behalf of any guest who references the event.

    “We all get a little crazed with cabin fever as the winter continues to drag on and the Heart of Glenview event is designed as a great excuse to get out and enjoy some great food and wine for a great cause,” said Maria Rucci-Blazek, Wyndham Hotel director of sales & marketing.

    “People can pop over to the event or make a weekend out of it at the hotel, enjoying our indoor swimming pool and oversized suites.  Glenview is a tight-knit community and local resident Chris Krueger has created an event that has become one of the city’s most anticipated annual events.”

    Cuisine from 8 different countries will be featured at the event, including Italian, German and French.

    A full list of restaurants and dishes may be found at glenviewgivingfoundation.org/events.html.  Complimentary parking also is provided.

    In addition to hosting the event, the Wyndham Glenview Suites will provide a 3-foot-high fountain featuring classic Belgian chocolate, as well as special appetizers.

    Receiving charities include Clearbrook, Connections for the Homeless, Glenkirk, Northfield Township Food Pantry, Sister Paulanne’s Needy Fund, Wesley Child Care and Youth Services of Glenview/Northbrook.


  • Three Pass Firebox Packaged Boiler Series 100

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