Category: News

  • Amazon Grabs Exclusive Streaming Rights to CBS’ ‘Under the Dome’

    Amazon has just landed another exclusive content deal for its Prime Instant Video service. This time it’s the upcoming CBS drama Under the Dome.

    Here are the specifics of the deal: Just four days after each episode airs on CBS, they will pop up on Amazon Prime Instant Video. The episodes will be available to stream on CBS.com, but only for the first three days after airing.

    Under the Dome is based on a 2009 Stephen Kings novel of the same name that’s about a small New England town that is suddenly cut off from the rest of the world by an giant, transparent dome. It’s being produced by Steve Spielberg’s Amblin Television and will premiere on CBS on June 24th.

    “With creative forces of Stephen King and Steven Spielberg’s Amblin Television behind Under the Dome, we think our customers will love this new show and we’re excited to be able to offer this highly-anticipated series at no additional cost to Prime members,” said Brad Beale, Director of Digital Video Content Acquisition for Amazon. “Adding a current season major network TV series like Under the Dome to the Prime Instant Video library so shortly after its live airing enables us to increase our exclusive selection of great TV shows and give customers access how, when and where they want to watch it.”

    Last week, Amazon made another big play when they stole Downton Abbey away from Netflix and Hulu. Per that deal, Prime Instant Video will be the only subscription-based streaming service where viewers can watch episodes of Downton Abbey – past, present, and future (starting some time this year).

  • Tony Romo Plays Golf, Twitter Makes Fun Of His Football Skills

    Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo has been golfing over the weekend at Pebble Beach, and reportedly (along with his partner) lost a lead during the final day of the Pro-Am.

    Some NFL fans see a familiar pattern.

    “So apparently, Thursday, Friday and Saturday are golf’s regular season, and Sunday is its playoffs,” writes Darin Gantt at NBC’s ProFootballTalk.

    Romo’s taking a lot more abuse than that on Twitter.

    That’s a small sampling. Unfortunately for poor Tony, we’re not seeing many stick up for his football abilities in the current Twitter conversation. Twitter can be so cruel.

  • Antarctic Ozone Could be Returning, Shows New Images

    New satellite imagery has shown that the hole in the ozone layer over Antarctica is shrinking. In 2012, the hole was the smallest it has been in the past ten years.

    The images were taken by the European Space Agency’s (ESA) MetOp satellite, which has a ozone sensor. The satellite monitors atmospheric ozone over the Antarctic.

    Since the 1980s, the ozone layer over the Antarctic developed a hole – a decrease in ozone concentration of up to 70% – that stays from September to November. The depletion is noticeable in Antarctica because of high winds that cause a vortex of cold air, causing low temperatures. These conditions make it easier for chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) to deplete the ozone. The arctic does not see this effect because the northern hemisphere’s landmasses prevent circumpolar winds.

    Since the mid-1990s CFC concentrations have been falling as a result of international agreements. The ESA states, however, that it could take until the mid-21st century for the ozone to recover to 1960s levels.

    “Unusual” weather and atmospheric conditions can also greatly affect the behavior of the ozone. ESA scientists are using data from satellites and other sensors, along with atmospheric models to predict the future of the ozone. The ESA Climate Change Initiative is generating ozone climate data records that have predicted the ozone layer hole could close “in the next decades.”

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  • Where the Green Jobs Really Are

    There’s much brouhaha about “green jobs” those that arise from new clean-tech companies, created to help solve the climate crisis. I’m all for this — we need this kind of innovation — but green jobs are hardly the economic cure-all they are often made out to be. In fact, they only account for a small fraction of the U.S. workforce.

    It’s time to take a different approach to green jobs. We can transform the way people work to achieve change on a mass level, and every manager can encourage sustainability by making one modification that would benefit the environment. Additionally, this change can positively affect employee morale and productivity, as well as company efficiency and profitability. So here’s what you need to do:

    Stop working in the office. Offices and office hours once made good sense. Before the advent of the Internet and personal computers, you had to go to work to gain access to information. If you weren’t at work you couldn’t do work.

    Today, of course, that’s unbelievably outdated. We’ve seen the advances technology brings to our everyday lives: we can pay bills online and shop 24/7; we don’t need to wait for the morning newspaper to be delivered to the driveway; and we can check in for a flight online instead of waiting in line. More than 2 billion people use broadband Internet, up from perhaps 50 million a decade ago. Now, it’s estimated that approximately 40% of jobs could be performed remotely, at least part of the time.

    In addition to not needing the office to communicate, we are doing a poor job of utilizing the office space we do have. Studies by the U.S. General Services Administration show that at any given time, over half the workspace in the United States and Europe is not being used.

    So what does this have to do with the environment? Offices account for about 38% of all greenhouse gas emissions. And according to the U.S. Green Building Council, over approximately the next 20 years, greenhouse gas emissions from offices are expected to grow faster than those in any other sector.

    Getting to the office also generates problems; American workers spend on average 40 minutes a day commuting — this amounts to eight weeks a year spent in the car. In total, this can waste more than 3.7 billion hours in lost productivity and 2.3 billion gallons of gas annually. What a price for something most of us don’t like doing: sitting in traffic.

    What about my bottom line? Let’s say you are like me: a business executive, not a Greenpeace ambassador. You want to know how this affects your company.

    For most, real estate is the second-largest expense. Sun Microsystems, now part of Oracle, embraced a telework initiative in 2000 that ultimately resulted in more than half of the company’s employees working remotely and a net savings of $80 million a year in facility costs. Sun was so pleased with the results it achieved that, in 2008, it spun the initiative into a separate company, now called Better Workplace, to bring these benefits to other companies throughout the world.

    Defense contractor Northrop Grumman worked with Better Workplace to develop a mobile work strategy, devising a plan to achieve annual savings of $110 million based on 20% employee participation. In 2008 TIAA-CREF, a Fortune 100 financial services organization, started using Better Workplace’s software tools to manage and scale a flexible work initiative that resulted in the reduction of 75 thousand square feet of office space in midtown Manhattan and cost savings of $15 million a year.

    But how does working outside the office affect employees? At TIAA-CREF, managers were initially concerned about performance issues with employees working remotely. But after the program’s implementation, nearly every manager who participated in a survey responded that employees performed as well — or better — when working from home. More than anything else, employees want flexibility: almost 80% of employees say they would like to work from home part of the time, and more than a third say they’d choose the option to work from home over a pay raise.

    Happy employees yield healthier companies. Home-based workers are sick or absent less often than people who work in an office. That’s not because of contagious germs circulating office buildings, but because there is a whole population of people who fake an illness to shirk work. Some two-thirds of employees who call in sick aren’t really sick. That’s costly: these unscheduled absences cost employers $1,800 per employee per year — totaling $300 billion per year to U.S. companies. On the flip side, allowing people to work from wherever they want enhances attraction and retention.

    Successful companies of tomorrow will evolve their office plan into a no-office plan. I understand that change is hard. People resist disrupting the status quo. But I’m asking you to think differently about how we work so that we all can enjoy a much smoother ride into the future. The long-term environmental cost is too great not to try. The journey alone — which will reduce costs and enable happier and more productive employees — is well worth it.

  • Tomb Raider Developers Walk Us Through Combat, Exploration

    Crystal Dynamic’s Tomb Raider reboot will be out in less than a month, and the hype machine has been going steady for a few months now. The developers now have a bit of extra time to show players more of the game, and what they can expect when the game launches on March 5.

    In a developer walkthrough released today, the game’s creative director walks players through a short section of the game that has Lara Croft making her way to a monastery on the island where the game’s plot unfolds. Most of the playthrough is focused on what players can expect from the game’s combat and exploration.

    Through most of the gameplay demo, the creative director focuses predominantly on tactics and the decisions players can make when approaching enemies. It’s a little disappointing then that most of the gameplay looks like a run and gun kind of experience. Here’s hoping the title will encourage more variety when it launches next month.

    Tomb Raider hits the Xbox 360, PS3 and PC on March 5.

  • Carly Rae Jepsen’s YouTube Smash Fails To Win Her A Grammy

    It’s official. Massive Internet popularity does not win you a Grammy. That’s what Carly Rae Jepsen learned on Sunday night, as her viral hit song Call Me Maybe failed to win her an award.

    She’ll probably be able to continue to sleep at night, as the song earned her two nominations: Song of the Year and Best Pop Solo Performance.

    As of the time of this writing, Call Me Maybe has over 402 million YouTube views. It has about a million and a half likes. And that doesn’t even begin to count all of the parodies and covers that have saturated the the biggest video site on the Internet.

    Song of the Year winner “We Are Young” only has over 167 million YouTube views (about 800,000 likes).

    View all nominees and winners here.

  • Twitter’s Promoted Trends Now Cost $200,000 a Pop

    If you’re looking to promote your brand with one of Twitter’s most visible ad products, the Promoted Trend, you’re going to have to shell out a little bit more money than you did last year.

    Peter Kafka at All Things D reports that the asking price for a Promoted Trend has been raised, and now sits at $200,000 per trend. The previous price for an all-day Promoted Trend was $150,000, and the change occurred back in January.

    When Twitter first launched Promoted Trends back in 2010, they were only $80,000.

    Promoted Trends are one of Twitter’s major ad offerings, working alongside Promoted Tweets and Promoted Accounts. Promoted Trends always take the top spot on the trends list and are seen on the web, mobile, and all Twitter apps. Clicking on a Promoted Trend prompts a search (it’s usually a hashtag), in which tweets about the trend are surfaced organically.

    Of course, Promoted Trends can generate tons of publicity for your business, site, or brand. But since the trends generate content organically, without any tweaking for the trend-buyer, things don’t always go as planned.

    Still, Twitter has been able to generate plenty of revenue through the Promoted Trends product, and this significant increase in the asking price suggests that Twitter is confident that brands will continue to pay a premium to direct the conversation on the site.

    There is usually only one Promoted Trend per day, and it runs all day. Twitter doesn’t always run a Promoted Trend, but they do on a large majority of days. If they were to run a promoted trend at this price point every day for the next year, it would generate $73 millon in revenues.

  • 3 Killed In Reality Show Crash In California

    Three people lost their lives in a helicopter crash on Sunday morning during the filming of a Discovery Channel show, authorities said.

    “A production company was shooting a show for Discovery Channel when this tragic accident occurred,” a rep for Discovery said in a statement. “We are all cooperating fully with authorities. Our thoughts and prayers go out to the families.”

    The tragic accident occurred at Polsa Rosa Ranch, a popular filming spot in a rural area of Los Angeles. Authorities are still investigating the cause of the crash and have not released the names of the victims. The show’s production company, Eyeworks USA, had a permit to fly in the area but did not have a monitor on set at the time.

    The L.A. Times has reported that reality shows are getting more dangerous due to a combination of tight budgets, lack of trained safety personnel, and a desire to capture the most dramatic and candid footage.

    Image: ABC7.com

  • First Surface Pro commercial is uninspiring

    Weather may have ruined the Surface Pro launch event, but the “laptop in tablet form” started selling on February 9, in Canada and United States, nonetheless. And just like with its Windows RT-powered sibling, Microsoft aired a video ad that is meant to increase awareness and promote Surface Pro as a business-oriented device. But does it?

    Interestingly titled “The Vibe”, the Surface Pro video commercial bears a strong resemblance to the Surface RT one that debuted in mid-October. It’s a very dynamic advert with business people dancing, smiling, signing, throwing things around, acting cool and generally doing things that business people don’t normally ever do while at the office. It even starts with the same guy that opened up the Surface RT ad. The Vibe is a nice concept, but a poor choice for Surface Pro.

    The first issue with The Vibe: Microsoft pointlessly tries to pit the Surface Pro target audience as a cool crowd, capable of breaking away from the corporate norm, stripped of any preconceptions and let loose. That has absolutely nothing in common with the day-to-day life of business users, nor does it help promote the tablet among the intended audience.

    The Vibe does not highlight any of the Surface Pro strong-suits and only shows that the device features a detachable stylus and USB port that can be used to tick something and plug in a microphone, respectively. It’s a missed opportunity for Microsoft, considering that Surface Pro can do plenty more.

    The Redmond, Wash.-based corporation could have emphasized the benefits of having a stylus by drawing a small sketch, plugging an external hard drive into the USB port, connecting a mini DisplayPort-compatible external display, running some resource-intensive software on Surface Pro and many more, but instead did none of that.

    The Surface brand does not need to break ground anymore through an impressively-hip ad or make tablet buyers look cool because it did that before with the Surface RT. With the Surface Pro commercial I expected Microsoft to rest on its laurels and tell viewers what makes it a good choice for them by connecting with them at a more mature level. After watching The Vibe I wonder: How can anyone know that Surface Pro is not just another tablet?

  • Bug Hunt Is The First Planned DLC For Aliens: Colonial Marines, Will Be Out In March

    Aliens: Colonials Marines comes out tomorrow, and that means Gearbox and Sega will now be directing its attention towards DLC for the title. Sega outlined its plans over the weekend on how it intends to support the title throughout 2013.

    Sega says that Aliens: Colonial Marines will receive four DLC add-ons throughout 2013 that add more campaign and multiplayer content. The first of which is called Bug Hunt, and it features a cooperative multiplayer mode that has players taking down hordes of Xenomorphs across three new maps based on the Aliens film. The DLC is scheduled to arrive at the end of March.

    As for the other DLC add-ons, Sega says that everything will be out by the end of August of this year. You can preorder all of the DLC now as part of the season pass that gives players all four add-ons for $29.99. The content will be available separately as well, but it will apparently cost 40 percent more that way.

    The Season Pass is already available for preorder on Steam for 10 percent off. It will be available on Xbox Live and the PSN soon.

    There’s still no word on when the Wii U version of Colonial Marines will be made available, or if it will get the same offer of a season pass. The delayed release of the Wii U version may also mean that Gearbox will include the first DLC add-on for free with the Wii U version, or at least we can hope.

  • Wasteland 2 Development Video Update Released

    In general, the gaming industry is fairly secretive. Developers rarely reveal much about their games until a few months before the launch day, other than the requisite teaser trailer.

    With the rise of Kickstarter-funded game projects, however, that sort of black-box development could (and should) change. Developers who take money from fans upfront owe it to their investors to keep them informed of how the project is coming along, and to seek out input from them.

    InXile Entertainment appears to be doing just that with its Kickstarted Wasteland 2 RPG. The developer this weekend released an early developer preview video for the title.

    Wasteland 2 was kickstarted almost one year ago. InExile was asking for only $900,000 for the project, but received nearly $3 million.

    The developer video includes a look at the customizable UI, combat, skills, and the dialogue system. There is also a blog post that provides an overall update on the game’s progress. As of right now, the developers are “just past the halfway mark.”

  • The Walking Dead: AMC Posts Behind-The-Scenes Videos Of Last Night’s Episode

    The Walking Dead is finally back. The show returned to AMC after taking a couple months off, and now the network has uploaded a couple of new videos, giving fans an inside look at the mid-season premiere.

    Don’t watch them if you haven’t watched the episode yet, as the do contain spoilers.

    More The Walking Dead fun here.

  • Edith Houghton Dies: Baseball Legend Was 100

    Edith Houghton was making a name for herself in baseball long before the ladies who inspired “A League Of Their Own” were doing their thing in skirts, and as awesome as every woman in the game was, Houghton stood out for her drive and early ambition.

    In 1922, at age ten, she was the starting shortstop for the Philadelphia Bobbies, an all-girl professional team. As the youngest player on the team, she earned the nickname “The Kid” and wowed audiences and fellow players alike with her skills. She would go on to play against men’s teams as the Bobbies traveled extensively, even going overseas to Japan. When WWII began, she made the move to the Navy and played for their team, as well.

    By the time she was 35, Houghton decided she’d done all she could for her teams on the field and wanted to make her mark elsewhere in the game. When she got home from the war, she landed herself a job as a scout for the Phillies and was the first woman hired to do so in the major leagues.

    In 2006, Houghton was honored to be featured in the National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, where one of her uniforms is on display. The legendary player passed away on February 2 at the age of 100.

    edith houghton dies

    edith houghton

    Image: MLB.com

    edith houghton dies

    Image: Philly.com

  • Before You Innovate, Ask the Right Questions

    Albert Einstein is often quoted (perhaps apocryphally) as saying, “If I had 20 days to solve a problem, I would spend 19 days to define it.” Innovation is a particularly sticky problem because it so often remains undefined. We treat it as a monolith, as if every innovation is the same, which is why so many expensive programs end up going nowhere.

    So how should we go about it? Should we hand it over to the guys with white lab coats, an external partner, a specialist in the field, crowdsource it, or what? Before handing them off, you need a clear framework for defining innovation problems and approaches that are most likely to resolve them.

    Defining a managerial approach to innovation starts with developing a better understanding of the problem we need to solve. I’ve found asking two basic questions can be enormously helpful.

    How well is the problem defined? When Steve Jobs, who was a master at defining a clear product vision, set out to build the iPod, he framed the problem as “1,000 songs in my pocket.” That simple phrase defined not only the technical specifications, but the overall approach. Unfortunately, some problems, like how to create a viable alternative to fossil fuels, aren’t so easy to delineate. So your innovation strategy will have to adapt significantly depending on how well the problem can be framed.

    Who is best-placed to solve it? Once Jobs defined the iPod problem, it was clear that he needed to find a disk drive manufacturer who could meet his specifications. But, sometimes the proper domain isn’t so cut and dried. Once you start asking these questions, you’ll find that they clarify the issues quite quickly. Either there is a simple answer, or there isn’t.

    Once we’ve asked the framing questions, we can determine which approach to innovation makes the most sense:

    innovationmatrix.gif

    Basic Research: When your aim is to discover something truly new, neither the problem nor the domain is well defined. While some organizations are willing to invest in large-scale research divisions, others try to keep on top of cutting edge discoveries through research grants and academic affiliations. Often, the three approaches are combined into a comprehensive program.

    While most basic research happens in academic institutions, some businesses can excel in it as well. In 1993, IBM research accomplished the first quantum teleportation, a technology isn’t likely to result in a product until after 2020. They continue to lead in patents. Basic research requires a long time horizon in order to pay off and therefore must be combined with other methods, either internally or through partnerships.

    Breakthrough Innovation: Sometimes, although the problem is well-defined, organizations (or even entire fields) can get stuck. For instance, the need to find the structure of DNA was a very well defined problem, but the answer eluded even the most talented chemists. Usually, these types of problems are solved through synthesizing across domains. Watson and Crick solved the DNA problem by combining insights from chemistry, biology, and X-ray crystallography.

    Many firms are turning to open innovation platforms such as Innocentive, which allow outsiders to solve problems that organizations are stuck on. Proctor and Gamble has built its own Connect + Develop platform which allows them to benefit from expertise in a variety of domains across the world.

    Sustaining Innovation: Every technology needs to get better. Every year, our cameras get more pixels, computers get more powerful and household products become “new and improved.” Large organizations tend to be very good at this type of innovation, because conventional R&D labs and outsourcing are well suited for it.

    Apple, for example, is a superior sustaining innovator. They didn’t invent the digital music player, the smartphone, or even the tablet computer. However, they improved on earlier designs to such an extent that they seemed like they’re something completely new. In a similar vein, Toyota makes cars just like any others, except better.

    What both companies have in common is that they are masters at adapting breakthrough innovations for existing markets. In essence, great sustaining innovators are great marketers. They see a need where no one else does.

    Disruptive Innovation: The most troublesome area is disruptive innovation, which target light or non-consumers of a category and require a new business model, because the value they create isn’t immediately clear. While every new Apple product turns heads, when Google comes out with something most people won’t even understand what it is, much less how they’ll make money on it. From Google Maps to autonomous cars, they manage to fill needs we didn’t even know we had. 3M, the company that pioneered scotch tape and post-it notes, derives up to 30% of its revenue from products launched in the past 5 years.

    Both companies use a version of the 15% / 20% rule, where employees are required to devote a fixed portion of their time to projects unrelated to their jobs. Other firms have dedicated innovation labs where they can “test and learn” without excessive risk. A VC approach, in which small investments are made in emerging firms, can also be successful.

    While focus is important, no company should limit itself to just one quadrant. Apple, for instance, is mainly a sustaining innovator, but iTunes was certainly an important disruptive innovation. While Google might be the greatest disruptive innovator on the planet, they spend considerable resources to improve existing products.

    So it’s important to develop an effective innovation portfolio that has one primary area of focus, but also pursues other quadrants of the matrix and builds synergies between varied approaches. Innovation is, above all, about combination.

  • Netflix Loses Out as Sony Pictures Stays with Starz

    It looks like Netflix’s interest in Sony films wasn’t strong enough to shake things up.

    Starz and Sony Pictures Entertainment have just announced an expansion of their previous deal that will see Starz remain the exclusive home for Sony Pictures theatrical releases through 2021. The old deal saw the same agreement through 2016.

    Starz has been the exclusive pay-TV home for Sony Pictures’ films since 2005.

    “Starz has been a terrific partner and we are excited to be extending our relationship with them through the 2021 slate,” said John Weiser, President, U.S. distribution for Sony Pictures Television.

    Recent reports suggested that Netflix was interested in grabbing Sony films for its streaming service. When asked about it during January’s earnings call, Netflix CEO Reed Hastings said that his interest in Sony content was “just like it was for Disney. It’s strong.”

    “We’re interested. We’ll see how it works out,” Hastings said.

    In December, Netflix inked a huge deal with Disney to become the exclusive source for Disney, Walt Disney Animation Studios, Pixar, and Marvel theatrical releases, inside the pay-TV window, starting in 2016.

    Back in September of 2011, Netflix and Starz were unable to come to an agreement to keep Starz Play content (which included many Sony films) on the service.

  • BlackBerry Z10 Available in the U.S. – For $999

    Mobile service provider Solavei this weekend announced it is the first U.S. provider to offer BlackBerry’s new BlackBerry Z10 smartphone.

    Unfortunately, BlackBerry fans in the U.S. will have to pay-up significantly if they want to be early adopters. Solavei is offering the Z10 through its retail partner gsmnation for $999.

    Solavei is a contract-free mobile virtual network operator on T-Mobile’s network. The service offers a $49 unlimited everything plan, but does not sell or subsidize mobile devices. The company is attempting to grow itself through word-of-mouth viral marketing, rather than traditional advertising.

    “We believe in giving our members access to the latest phones and wireless capabilities,” said Ryan Wuerch, founder and CEO of Solavei. “Solavei not only gives its members the opportunity to pay less for unlimited mobile service, but even the opportunity to earn income by sharing Solavei with others.”

    It sounds sketchy when put that way, but it’s basically a referral discount. And BlackBerry Z10 users are going to need plenty of those to offset the huge upfront cost of their smartphone.

    Those who can’t afford, or don’t want to pay, the early adopter mark-up will have to wait around one month to grab the smartphone via a subsidized subscription plan. All major U.S. carriers have announced they will carry the BlackBerry Z10 or BlackBerry Q10 starting in March.

    (Via BGR)

  • President Obama To Do A Google+ Hangout On Thursday

    Members of the Obama administration have been regularly talking in Google+ Hangouts in recent weeks, and this week, President Obama himself will participate in one.

    The hangout will come two days after Obama delivers the State of the Union address on Tuesday, when he will discuss the agenda for his second term in office.

    Recently, Vice President Joe Biden participated in a Hangout, discussing gun violence. More recently, Domestic Policy Director Cecilia Munoz discussed immigration reform.

    “Much like the Fireside Hangouts held by Vice President Biden and Domestic Policy Director Cecilia Munoz over the past few weeks, the President’s Fireside Hangout will include a group of people who regularly discuss important issues of the day online,” explains Google+ Politics’ Ramya Raghavan. “During the conversation, the selected participants will ask the President their own questions—but we’d also like to hear from you before the Hangout.”

    Submit questions here.

    The State of the Union address will be streamed live on YouTube, as will the Republican response from Senator Marco Rubio.

  • After a Blizzard, What’s a Fair Price for a Shovel?

    Last weekend, as snowstorm Nemo hit Boston and the snow was falling at record levels, I recalled an informal — admittedly unscientific — poll I conducted a few years ago among friends on the touchy subject of fairness in pricing.

    Here’s the question I asked: “Suppose you own a hardware store. There’s been a heavy snowfall throughout the night and you know the moment your store opens at 8 AM, the limited supply of snow shovels will sell out. Should you raise price?”

    To be clear, this is not an issue of how to set prices in a life-threatening situation (e.g., bottled water after a disaster). That’s an entirely different and far more complex discussion. In this case, if someone can’t afford a shovel due to a price hike, they have the option to borrow one from a neighbor or hire the local entrepreneurial kid to clear their driveway.

    This simple exercise raises an array of fairness questions. For instance, if price is held steady, is it fair that those who show up right when the store opens get to purchase at less than the market clearing price? What about those who can’t arrive at 8 AM because they are working or tending to children? Or should the storeowner follow the mantra of economists to raise price until the market clears? In other words, allocate the limited supply of shovels to those who value them the most (i.e., are willing to pay a high price).

    This pricing dilemma weighs heavily on the storeowner too. Is it worth it to potentially alienate customers for a quick profit windfall? Or, to take another view of the situation, if storeowners take the risk of purchasing a large inventory of shovels for the winter season, don’t they deserve to profit? After all, what if they purchase too many shovels and have to liquidate inventory at the end of the season at a money-losing price? If that happens, how many customers will say, “I’ll pay you more than the clearance price because I appreciate that you had shovels ready in case of a blizzard?” Nada. Is it fair to store owners to take all of the risk but not fully profit from their investment?

    I was surprised at the responses to my survey question. Most felt it was okay to raise prices, not necessarily to the market clearing price, but enough to earn a tidy extra profit. I had predicted that my mostly non-business related friends would be adamant about maintaining price and selling on a first come, first served basis.

    Here’s where it got really fascinating. I then followed-up by asking survey-takers how they’d feel if “two guys” set up shop in a parking lot and sold shovels at a high market-clearing price. Many had no problem with the sky high prices. In fact, some even expressed gratitude to the two guys for providing an essential service!

    On the surface, these results don’t appear to synch with those reported by Daniel Kahneman, Jack L. Knetsch, and Richard H. Thaler in their 1986 article titled “Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market.” In a Canadian telephone survey, Kahneman et al. asked respondents how they felt if a hardware store raised prices on shovels from $15 to $20 after a snow storm. 82% of respondents judged this action to be “unfair.”

    There are many potential explanations for these seemingly contradictory results, including different time periods (1986 vs. 2010), geographies (Canada vs. U.S.), and perspective (they asked from the consumer’s perspective, I from the seller’s). But most likely it’s the interpretation of the pricing implications. I wouldn’t expect consumers to judge a price increase that purely enriches a seller (i.e., not simply passing along a cost increase) to be fair. Few of us are willing to say, “Sure, charge me more so you can fatten your bank account.” That said, a price hike judged to be unfair may not affect a purchasing decision. After all, I am not too pleased about the jacked up Valentine prices for flowers and “special menus” at restaurants this week. But I’ll pay the premiums and won’t hold a grudge against the sellers, because I understand it’s just supply and demand at work.

    The way you set prices is part of your relationship with customers, and part of your brand. Sure, it’s a safe and easy default to keep prices low in times of high demand. But there are likely to be enhanced profit opportunities by revisiting and challenging your company’s pricing norms. Consumers may be more accepting of price increases than you’d expect.

  • Obama’s CAFE: Efficiency over Safety

    In automobile design, there is a trade-off between efficiency, horsepower and mass (safety) that manufacturers must deal with in coming up with their new car designs each year. The Obama Administration, however, has seized decision-making from auto manufacturers and their consumers when it chose to increase the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standard to 54.5 miles per gallon by 2025, about twice its current level. The problem with this huge increase in CAFE is that we can only go so far in achieving this increase without affecting driver and passenger safety due to weight reductions.

    The Process to Increase Automobile Efficiency

    Automobile manufacturers employ various engine technologies to obtain improved efficiency, including direct-injection combustion, variable valve timing, sophisticated air management including turbo-charging, and fine-tuning engines with sophisticated sensors and algorithms. All of these processes are used by the industry to meet current CAFE standards. Automobile manufacturers also evaluate transmission processes to help save fuel by allowing the engine to run at lower revolutions per minute (rpm). Some of today’s vehicles employ as many as 8 gears that automatically maintain engine rpm within a certain range; far from the original 2-gear automatic transmissions.

    However, engine and transmission modifications cannot achieve a 54.5 mile per gallon average vehicle efficiency without reducing car weight significantly.[i] Obviously, it takes less energy to propel a lighter car at a particular speed than a heavier car. In the past, automobile manufacturers reduced weight by removing the spare tire, making thinner glass components such as windshields and employing plastic in vehicle design.

    But weight reduction also can mean less safety. For instance, a Dodge Ram pick-up in a head-on collision with a Ford Focus would surely be the winner, i.e. the Dodge Ram owner would walk away with minor injuries while the Ford Focus driver may not survive the crash. Bigger and heavier is better when it comes to car accidents as many a soccer Mom knows since they choose SUVs to haul their children to and from school functions.

    The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) ran a series of tests in which it pitted a smaller vehicle against the next size larger vehicle from the same manufacturer. Specifically, they ran a Honda Fit into a Honda Accord, a Toyota Yaris into a Toyota Camry, and a Mercedes C Class into a Smart Fortwo (owned by Mercedes). In 40 mph offset-collision tests, the small cars were basically obliterated by the larger models.

    Of course, the industry has improved safety by installing air bags, using high-tech materials like carbon fiber, and employing seat belts. But these initiatives can only do so much. While traffic fatalities had reached the lowest level in more than six decades in 2011, in the first nine months of 2012, traffic deaths increased 7.1 percent compared to last year’s figures, which is the largest increase for that calendar period since the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration began keeping records in 1975.[ii] And, in fact, it reversed a downward trend that had continued for 6 years.[iii] The historical six-year decline in the fatality rate is believed to be due to improvements like safer vehicles and roads; more effective laws such as graduated driver licensing laws that govern teenage driving; better technology such as  electronic stability control; and awareness efforts that, among other things, have led to increased use of seat belts.

    Technological innovations such as electronic stability control, anti-lock brakes, and air bags may have reduced the number of fatalities. But, none the less, it is clear that smaller vehicles forced on the public by the federal government to increase efficiency cannot compete against larger vehicles in crashes.  Mass is key to safety, all things being equal.

    Horse Power, Vehicle Weight and the American Public

    It is no surprise to automobile manufacturers that the American public has historically preferred greater horse power and more weight than increased efficiency in its vehicle purchases. To evaluate this, Christopher Knittel, a professor of applied economics at the M.I.T. Sloan School of Management, determined that if weight, horsepower and torque were held to their 1980 levels, and efficiency-boosting technologies were employed, fuel economy for both passenger cars and light trucks would have increased by almost 60 percent from 1980 to 2006. That means, instead of an average fuel economy of 23 miles per gallon across the fleet, fuel economy would have reached about 37 miles per gallon. The actual fuel economy gain during that period, however, was only 15 percent.[iv]

    According to Mr. Knittel, the addition of robust safety equipment to vehicles caused some of the weight gain, but changing preferences among consumers was a greater contributor to the lower increase in fuel economy. For example, in 1980, 18 percent of new cars sold in the United States were light trucks, but by 2004, the percentage of those vehicles freely chosen by consumers was 60 percent. As a result, horse power doubled and weight increased by 30 percent over that time period.

    Conclusion

    The Obama Administration has determined that the average new car fuel efficiency must meet 54.5 miles per gallon by 2025, regardless of what that means to horse power, vehicle weight and mass, and passenger safety. While we do not have the data that indicates the number of fatalities that have occurred because of the push for lighter and more environmentally friendly cars, we do know that the public has chosen performance and weight (and likely safety) over fuel economy in the past. Plus, now we see that the number of automobile fatalities grew in 2012. The federal government, however, has decided that the preferences of the American public are no longer relevant and that a doubling of new car fuel economy must occur by 2025. The total cost of that decision for drivers and their passengers is unknown.



    [i] National Review, Our Cars’ Weight Problem, January 8, 2013, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/337110/our-cars-weight-problem-robert-e-norton?pg=1

    [ii][ii] Auto Blog, U.S. traffic deaths climb 7.1% in first 9 months of 2012, December 21, 2012, http://www.autoblog.com/2012/12/21/us-traffic-deaths-climb-7-1-in-first-9-months-of-2012/

    [iii][iii] New York Times, After Six Years of Decline, Traffic Deaths Begin to Inch Upward, October 4, 2012, http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/04/after-six-years-of-decline-traffic-deaths-begin-to-inch-upward/

    [iv] New York Times, How Weight and Horse Power Nullify Gains in Efficiency, January 4, 2012, http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/04/m-i-t-professor-high-weight-and-horsepower-nullify-gains-in-efficiency/

  • Carrie Underwood: Dress, Necklace Steal Grammys

    Carrie Underwood wowed everyone on the red carpet before she even took the stage at the Grammy awards last night, and it had a little something to do with the $31 million necklace she was rocking.

    The country star paired the jewels with a black strapless Roberto Cavalli dress and admitted it was on her mind the entire night.

    “It’s heavy on my soul,” Underwood said. “I’m afraid someone is going to tackle me and steal it … It’s worth more than me.”

    The necklace consisted of 381 carats worth of dazzling white diamonds. Later, Underwood owned the stage during her performance of “Blown Away” and “Two Black Cadillacs”, wearing a full ball gown which featured images projected on it that changed from butterflies to a galaxy.

    “It took a lot of precision,” she said of the projections. “They can do a lot of amazing things with projectors these days. We had a dress especially made. I said I should take that home and we can watch movies on it.”

    Underwood ended up taking home a Grammy for her hit “Blown Away”.

    “I love making country music that I feel like anybody can get into, no matter what genre you listen to. I just want to make good songs, sing good songs, write good songs,” she said.