Category: News

  • PTC Extension Passes; Layoffs and Cancellations Continue

    Congress passed an expansion of the wind production tax credit (PTC) in the recent “fiscal cliff” legislation, but employee layoffs and wind project cancellations continue. Why? Because, as we have previously written, the market has become saturated in areas where renewable portfolio standard mandates have been reached—or more than reached—and issues surrounding the use of wind are becoming more apparent including costs, visual and noise pollution, bird kills, and havoc to other more reliable and affordable technologies due to the instability it causes to the electric grid.  U.S. energy policy as represented by the PTC’s expansion continues the “reality debt” being accrued by the government, which ultimately will have to be paid by U.S. citizens.

    Last week, the Danish company Vestas announced additional personnel cutbacks at several of its Colorado facilities in spite of the PTC extension that should be sending people in the wind industry back to work. Vestas put its workers at several of their Colorado facilities on a 24-hour work week this month.[i] Further, Vestas still plans on eliminating 2,000 jobs this year reducing its work force from 18,000 to 16,000 employees by the end of the year. These job losses will occur in several countries including the United States. According to a company statement, “The extension of the PTC does not affect Vestas’ projections to deliver about 5 gigawatts this year and to employ about 16,000 people by the end of 2013.”[ii]

    Iberdrola Renewables, a Spanish company, has confirmed that it will no longer pursue developing a wind farm in Hammond, New York. Further, a spokesperson for the company indicated that Iberdola is cancelling 100 wind projects in the United States.[iii]

    The Production Tax Credit Extension

    Congress extended the production tax credit for wind for ‘one year’ in the ‘fiscal cliff’ bill that passed January 1. The credit provides 2.2 cents per kilowatt hour for electricity generated for the first 10 years of operation of the wind unit. Therefore, if wind investors are eligible to receive the PTC, they get it for 10 years in a row. While the original PTC stipulated that the wind unit must begin operation in the year of the credit, the extension that was passed only indicates that the project must begin construction in the initial year and that the unit has 2 more years to become operational. According to Senator Udall, “So if you put a shovel in the ground on Dec. 31, at the end of this year(2013), the tax credit will apply, in effect a two-year extension, and some might argue it would take the form of a three-year extension because some projects take more than a year” to get off the ground.  It is therefore a significant expansion of the current law.

    The wind industry is hoping that the Obama administration defines beginning “construction” very loosely; even more loosely than when Sen. Udall suggested they would qualify by putting a “shovel in the ground.” According to Politico, wind developers hope the federal government follows the Department of Energy’s example in the 1603 grant program and defines “construction” merely as when 5 percent of the total cost of the project has been invested.  According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, the expansion of the qualifying criteria for the PTC means that the credit will cost taxpayers over $12 billion over 10 years, or over a billion dollars per year.

    Xcel Energy, which is one of the top 10 biggest utilities in the country and had the largest wind capacity of any utility in 2011, is concerned that the PTC helps wind developers to the exclusion of customers. The PTC is a tax credit that goes to wind-energy developers, but does not benefit customers paying electricity bills or the utilities buying wind from renewable-energy generators.  As a result, a spokesperson for Xcel Energy indicated that the company may not buy any more wind power.[iv]

    Impact of Renewable Portfolio Standards on Wind Power

    Thirty states and the District of Columbia have renewable portfolio standards (RPS) that mandate specific levels of power to be generated by qualifying renewable technologies on a given timeline, and 7 other states have voluntary goals. Since onshore wind is the lowest cost qualifying renewable generating technology, it has been the major recipient of the mandate, obtaining 90 percent of the RPS market. As the graph below shows, the PTC was first passed in 1992, but it did little to generate interest in the wind industry in the 1990s. Once Texas introduced its RPS in 1999 and most other states followed between 2004 and 2007, wind construction began to take off.

     1.15.13-IER-Web-windgraph

    The importance of the RPS compared to the PTC can be seen from NextEra Energy Resources, a major wind developer, in its most recent Third Quarter earnings report, “we signed our first PPA for 2013 U.S. wind project, a project that is not dependent upon extension of the PTC program…we see it as supportive of the view we have publicly expressed that there will continue to be a wind development business in the U.S. post-2012 even if the PTC program is not extended.”[v]

    Issues with Wind Power

    Adapting wind power into the electric grid is one of the main issues facing it and other sources of intermittent renewable energy generation. Power plant and electric grid operators consistently attempt to match electricity demand, i.e. what people’s TVs, appliances, computers, and other electronic devices need, and the output from their generators. Because wind and solar energy are “unpredictable” sources of electricity, i.e. the amounts of electricity they produce are consistent only with wind speeds and the degree of sunlight received by panels, other sources of generation must be used to back-up these intermittent sources. This can cause havoc to baseload generators that have to pay fines when they cannot scale down their generation when the wind does blow, or hydroelectric power units that face issues with salmon and other fish runs if required to adjust their output when wind does produce.   Hydroelectric dams are the largest renewable energy source for electricity in the United States.

    Where natural-gas fired technology is available, the back-up power issue is less onerous, but the amount of wind power on-line now is stretching beyond our natural gas-fired generating capacity to serve as back-up in some areas of the country, resulting in coal or nuclear units being asked to ramp up or down according to wind production.

    Intermittency is not the only issue. Noise pollution is bothering residents who live near wind farms. For example, a couple had to abandon their home near Denmark, Wisconsin, because of the unbearable low-frequency noise produced by a half-dozen wind turbines that were built near their home. Shortly after the turbines began operating, the couple began experiencing numerous symptoms, including “headaches, ear pain, nausea, blurred vision, anxiety, memory loss, and an overall unsettledness.”[vi]  Wind shadow flicker has also caused concern in Wisconsin where the turning of the blades is causing shadows that “flicker” removing sunlight at intermittent periods. And, in Maine, local residents have complained about noise, low frequency sound pressure and vibrations that turbines and their blades make under various wind conditions due to insufficient setback distances. Setback distances are based on safety guidelines from the turbine manufacturer.[vii]

    Wind turbine blades have killed birds and bats that have come within their path. For example, conservation groups have asked the Fish and Wildlife Service to reduce birds and bats being killed at the 28-turbine Criterion Wind Project, located near Oakland, Maryland, about 175 miles northwest of Washington, D.C. It is believed that this wind farm ranks as the deadliest to birds and bats in the United States on a per-turbine basis. Because bats eat insects that are agricultural pests, bat losses at wind projects are detrimental to agriculture resulting in farmers either suffering agricultural losses or having to use more insect-controlling poisons on crops. Neither option is appealing or economic.[viii]

    While bird, bat and other wildlife deaths are a factor in wind production, wind power actually gets an indirect subsidy from being exempt from enforcement from wildlife laws. According to energy expert Robert Bryce, “Despite numerous violations, the Obama administration—like the Bush administration before it—has unofficially exempted the wind industry from prosecution under the Eagle Protection and Migratory Bird Treaty Acts. If Congress extends the PTC, federal taxpayers will, in effect, be subsidizing the killing of federally protected birds.”[ix]  Obviously, wind power – like all energy sources — is neither free nor without impacts, despite claims that it is both by supporters.

    Conclusion

    Thanks to President Obama as well as Senators John Thune, Chuck Grassley and other wind electricity supporters, the production tax credit got a reprieve, costing taxpayers over $12 billion for a ‘one year’ extension for a tax credit that has been around for 20 years and should have already accomplished its job.[x] But, unfortunately, to taxpayers, the expense of the PTC was not needed since another policy implemented by over half our states is driving most of the wind capacity additions. That policy, the RPS, is completely disconnected from market reality and cost-benefit considerations since the technologies that it promotes are not economic and are increasing the cost of electricity to consumers.  The mandate requiring a certain amount of energy be purchased from such sources is prima facie evidence of its disconnection from costs and markets.

    But, regardless of the PTC extension, wind power is reaching a saturation point for the next several years as some RPS’ are exceeding their mandates and wind companies are laying off personnel and cancelling projects as in the case of Vestas and Iberdrola. We can thank the President and Congress for here again spending our money foolishly on policies that drive up energy costs, destabilize the electric grid and simply do not make sense.  Ultimately, the “reality debt,” like the fiscal debt, will have to be repaid.


    [i] Money Wrenching America, Sen. Udall is an Easy Mark for Big Wind, January 7, 2013, http://monkeywrenchingamerica.com/?p=2366

    [ii] Wind credit extension lauded as industry reviver, but Vestas layoffs still ahead, January 5, 2013, http://www.mywindsornow.com/news/4239606-113/wind-extension-industry-credit

    [iii] Industrial Wind Action Group, Wind leaves Hammond; will pursue project in Clayton, January 9, 2013, http://www.windaction.org/news/36992

    [iv] National Journal, Battle Over Wind Subsidy Leaves Industry Bruised, January 3, 2013, http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/influence/battle-over-wind-subsidy-leaves-industry-bruised-20130103

    [v] Money Wrenching America, Sen. Udall is an Easy Mark for Big Wind, January 7, 2013, http://monkeywrenchingamerica.com/?p=2366

    [vi] National Review Online, Wind Energy, Noise Pollution, February 2, 2012, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/289920/wind-energy-noise-pollution-robert-bryce#

    [vii] Morning Sentinel, Turbine noise a complex issue, May 1, 2011, http://www.onlinesentinel.com/news/report-turbine-noise-a-complex-issue_2011-04-30.html

    [viii] American Bird Conservancy, Conservation Groups Call for Changes at Nation’s Most Deadly Wind Power Development, October 17, 2012, http://www.abcbirds.org/newsandreports/releases/121017.html

    [ix] Manhattan Institute, Subsidizing Big Wind: The Real Cost to Taxpayers, October 2012, http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ir_25.htm#.UO8HAuTBGSo

    [x] Freedom Works, Crony Capitalism Blowout, January 2, 2013,  http://connect.freedomworks.org/news/view/338451?destination=gac%2Fhome

  • Brazil’s inflation problem

    When will Brazil’s central bank admit it has an inflation problem? Markets will be watching today’s rate-setting meeting for clues.

    There is no doubt about the outcome of today’s meeting at the Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) — no one expects it to do anything but leave interest rates steady at the current 7.25 percent. But the BCB has been focused on growth for 18 months and has cut interest rates by 525 basis points in this time, its actions helping to drive the real 10 percent lower last year versus the dollar. The government meanwhile has unleashed huge doses of fiscal stimulus. The result, rather than a growth recovery, is a steady rise in inflation.

    Goldman Sachs’ Latin America economist Alberto Ramos points out that Brazilian inflation came in above the 4.5 percent target for the third straight year in 2012 and the balance of inflation risks has deteriorated. Gasoline prices are to rise from next week and drought is making hydro-power generation more costly. Analysts polled by Reuters expect 2013 price growth at 5.53 percent. Ramos writes:

    We are of the view that at a certain point the central bank needs to own the inflation problem and acknowledge that just remaining on automatic pilot may not be enough to drive inflation to the 4.5% target by year-end 2013.  

    The bank will not raise interest rates any time soon and is sticking to a 4.8 percent inflation forecast for 2013 . Ramos says the bank must at least change its post-meeting message in which it has referred to “a stable/unchanged monetary stance for a prolonged period of time”.

    That would serve the monetary authority well to bolster credibility as an inflation targetter and would still not necessarily commit the central bank into having to deliver Selic rate hikes in 2013.

    What of markets? Brazilian interest rate futures are  implying a quarter point rate hike within the next 6 months and 60 bps of rate hikes over the coming year.  Given the central bank’s dogged focus on growth, that sounds too hawkish. Analysts at TD Securities reckon that instead of an orthodox rate hike, Brazil may  deploy some macroprudential measures to tighten policy via absorbing excess liquidity in the banking system. The BCB may also try the exchange rate mechanism. TD analysts note that the real has already gained some ground in recent weeks and is now ranging between 2.02 and 2.05.

    Brazil is not alone of course. The growth versus inflation conundrum has been dogging central banks around the world, with even some Fed officials recently voicing concern about the consequences of unlimited money printing. The argument continues.

  • NHL GameCenter App Coming to BlackBerry 10 “Later This Season”

    The NHL GameCenter app provides live scores, stats, and video on demand for free, as well as live, out-of-market streams for those who have purchased a $49.99 subscription. The app allows fans to watch live and archived games featuring teams outside a fan’s local market across multiple screens, including smartphones, tablets, computers and connected devices. Burried in the press release for the app was a cool tidbit for BlackBerry users: the NHL GameCenter app will be coming to BlackBerry 10 “later this season”.

    NHL GameCenter

    Features include:

    NHL GameCenterTM (free):

    • Live scores and stats for every team and player
    • Live game simulation with near real-time shift changes, boxscores and play-by-play (new this season)
    • Post-game video highlights (new this season)
    • Video on-demand content featuring the best selections from NHL editors
    • Full-season schedule and standings
    • Customized game alerts
    • Player profiles with headshots, bios and stats for all active NHL players
    • Customizable settings for up to five favorite teams (new this season)

    Upgrade to NHL GameCenter™ Premium** ($4.99 or free for Verizon tablet and 4G LTE smartphone customers):

    • Live radio broadcasts (home and away)
    • In-game video highlights
    • Condensed game replays

    Upgrade to NHL GameCenter LIVETM ($49.99 or free with broadband subscription):

    • Live out-of-market game video (home and away)
    • Access across multiple devices
    • All NHL GameCenter™ Premium content

    As soon as the app is live, we’ll provide a download link.

  • Why We’re Raising the Signature Threshold for We the People

    When we launched We the People, none of us knew how popular it would be, but it's exceeded our wildest expectations. Through the past year, interest in We the People exploded and we're closing in on 10 million signatures.

    When we first raised the threshold — from 5,000 to 25,000 — we called it "a good problem to have." Turns out that "good problem" is only getting better, so we're making another adjustment to ensure we’re able to continue to give the most popular ideas the time they deserve.

    Starting today, as we move into a second term, petitions must receive 100,000 signatures in 30 days in order to receive an official response from the Obama Administration. This new threshold applies only to petitions created from this point forward and is not retroactively applied to ones that already exist.

    In the last two months of 2012, use of We the People more than doubled. In just that time roughly 2.4 million new users joined the system, 73,000 petitions were created and 4.9 million signatures were registered.

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  • 5 Things I Won’t Miss About the Old BlackBerry OS

    Even though we’re a couple of years away from an actual legacy BlackBerry OS post-mortem, here are a few things that I won’t be missing about the mobile OS that defined smartphones. Unless you’ve been under-utilizing your device, you’ve probably acquired many of the same BlackBerry pet peeves as I have. Although it may seem that I’ve put together a BlackBerry shit list, It’s all stuff I’m glad the new platform won’t be inheriting because of good design.

    1) Pulling the Battery

    Any seasoned BlackBerry user knows that you’ve got to reset your device once in a while for things to run smoothly. Doing a battery pull has become a daily routine for me even though it’s much less of a problem on my memory-rich BlackBerry 7 device.

    I also find it confusing for users that turning your BlackBerry off using the power button, doesn’t turn your BlackBerry off as much as it does put it to sleep.

    Doing a full reset seemed to solve 90% of my BlackBerry issues, so I’m guessing I’ll be experiencing way less less phone issues with BlackBerry 10.

    2) Installation Difficulties

    If you’ve ever updated your BlackBerry’s OS or had to revive a “nuked” BlackBerry that’s had a JVM error then we’ve had exactly the same nightmare. I’m pretty good at getting tech stuff to work but the amount of times that my will has been broken by loading a new OS on a BlackBerry has been the same amount of times I’ve attempted loading a new OS on a BlackBerry.

    3) App glass ceiling

    If you’ve ever gone nuts with downloading apps on a BlackBerry you’ve probably noticed things like extra-long boot-up times and general multitasking issues. Though BlackBerry 6 and 7 devices could handle a lot more installed apps thanks to more memory, you can tell how taxing having lots of apps on your phone can be.

    I get the feeling that years ago, someone at RIM offered a quote similar to Bill Gates’ famous “640K ought to be enough memory for anyone” but it probably sounded more like: “This new BlackBerry will be able to install up to 20 apps: more than anyone will ever attempt.”

    I certainly don’t blame them for their lack of foresight, who could have guessed that the mobile app market would get this big this fast, or that people would naturally tend to collect apps. If the PlayBook offers any clues to how this will work on the new platform, you’ll only be taking a negligible performance hit when installing lots of apps on a BlackBerry 10 device.

    4) BlackBerry Browser

    Though it was pretty awesome having a webkit browser when it launched, the old BB browser leaves something to be desired.

    The PlayBook browser is amazing and is one of the main reasons that people are talking about the BlackBerry 10 platform as potentially being a laptop killer. At home my PlayBook acts a bit like a spare laptop and I have no trouble imagining the laptop gathering a bit of dust with future PlayBook and BlackBerry 10 releases.

    5) Porting and device fragmentation

    For the few years RIM has been breathing new life into their smartphone platform by offering better hardware. Unfortunately this meant that early adopters of new BlackBerry handsets had to wait for their favourite apps to be ported to the new screen size and updated OS.

    It’s tough for developers to put legwork into a port for a device that has less than a percent of market share. Early adopters of the Torch 9810 or the Bold 9900 know that it takes a few of months for all their apps to appear in App World.

    BlackBerry 10 will work a bit differently in that it’s much easier to port apps from other platforms and the new architecture is less dependant on specific screen resolutions. RIM’s developer relations team has also done a terrific job in offering the right programs and perks to commit developers to porting before a big device launch. I can’t wait to see how many apps are available at launch for BlackBerry 10, I’m sure their final tally will impress anyone.

    Launch Time

    BlackBerry 10 launches in two weeks and It’ll be interesting to see how RIM executes their biggest launch in history. I’ll be paying particular attention to the carrier and retail channels because that’s where RIM has lost a lot of it’s lustre in the recent few years.

    RIM has developed an advanced mobile platform, made some good long-term architecture decisions and have the apps to back it all up. Will these solid fundamentals add up to RIM growing their smartphone market share?

  • The Home Office Tax Deduction: Simplifying Rules And Helping Small Business Owners Succeed

    Editors note: This post is jointly authored by Treasury Deputy Secretary Neal S. Wolin and SBA Administrator Karen G. Mills. It was originally posted on Treasury's blog.

    Today, many taxpayers who qualify for the home office tax deduction are not claiming it. The reasons often cited are that businesses and filers do not fully understand the provisions or find it too complicated to calculate the amount.

    That is about to change.

    As part of ongoing efforts by the Administration to reduce paperwork burdens, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announced today that it is providing a new, simpler option for calculating the home office tax deduction, allowing small business owners and employees who work from home and who maintain a qualifying home office to deduct up to $1,500 per year.

    The IRS also expects taxpayers to save more than 1.6 million hours per year in tax preparation time from this simpler calculation method.

    The new option allows qualified taxpayers to deduct annually $5 per square foot of home office space on up to 300 square feet, for as much as $1,500 in deductions. To take advantage of the new option, taxpayers will complete a much simpler version of the current 43-line form.

    The announcement builds on the President’s commitment to streamline and simplify the tax code for small businesses and to reduce the burden for tax compliance. It is part of broader efforts to make interacting with the federal government easier and more efficient for businesses of all sizes.

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  • Change the World: Join the Foreign Service

    Note: This post was originally published on the Department of State blog. To see the original post, please click here.

    As a young woman growing up in Louisiana, a career in the Foreign Service was never really on my list of life dreams — but all that changed, beginning with graduate school and a research project in Africa that opened my eyes to the possibilities of diplomatic life.

    Since joining the Department of State 31 years ago, I have lived and worked on four continents, traveling the world from Afghanistan to South Africa. I have witnessed the horror of genocide in Rwanda; I've celebrated the joy of people coming out of 15 years of war to elect the first woman president in Africa. I've never regretted those first steps out of my comfort zone and into the world of diplomacy.

    I've been the face of America abroad, and I've been blessed with the opportunity to make a difference in people's lives and to represent my nation. The State Department needs the energy and passion of Americans who want a career that matters.

    And that's why we've made this video.

    We want to highlight and share with you some of the faces and stories of the amazing people who have made their dreams to do good in the world a reality through their career in the Foreign Service.

    read more

  • National Climate Assessment Draft Embraces Non-Solutions

    Last Friday the government released the draft of the third National Climate Assessment public comment. As so often happens in these episodes, the report is full of scientific diagnoses of a problem, and then jumps to a “solution” that won’t even work on the terms set forth by the report. If the worst-case scenarios are correct, then even very strong action by the federal, state, and local governments in the United States will do very little to alter the global climate, but will definitely cause great damage to the American economy, reducing the annual income of American family household by almost $2,000. Although the draft report’s wording would lead the reader to believe otherwise, even the “consensus” projections show that the U.S. will only contribute about 6 percent of the total global warming through 2100. This is an “inconvenient truth” that the proponents of intervention in the energy sector refuse to acknowledge.

    The National Climate Assessment Wants Government to Act NOW

    The full report is a whopping 147 Mb file, but an Executive Summary gives its flavor—and this is the only portion of the report that analysts and policymakers will read. The report doesn’t merely report on the natural sciences, but also gives a great deal of attention to government policy responses. Here’s a quote from the Executive Summary, where the numbers are the line numbers embedded in the draft:

    “10 …Mitigation and adaptation are linked, in that effective mitigation reduces the need

    11 for adaptation. Both are essential parts of a comprehensive response strategy. The threat of

    12 irreversible impacts makes the timing of mitigation efforts particularly critical. This report

    13 includes chapters on Mitigation, Adaptation, and Decision Support that offer an overview of the

    14 kinds of options and activities being planned or implemented around the country as governments

    15 at local, state, federal, and tribal levels, businesses, other organizations, and individuals begin to

    16 respond to climate change (Ch. 26, 27, 28).

    17 Large reductions in global emissions, similar to the lower emissions scenario (B1) analyzed in

    18 this assessment, would be necessary to avoid some of the worst impacts and risks of climate

    19 change. The targets called for in international agreements would require even larger reductions

    20 than those outlined in scenario B1 (Figure 1). Meanwhile, global emissions are still rising, and

    21 are on track to be even higher than the high emissions scenario (A2) analyzed in this report. The

    22 current U.S. contribution to global emissions is about 20%. Voluntary efforts, the recent shift

    23 from coal to natural gas for electricity generation, and governmental actions in city, state,

    24 regional, and federal programs under way and have contributed to reducing U.S. emissions in

    25 the last few years. Some of these actions are motivated by climate concerns, sometimes with

    26 non-climate co-benefits, while others are motivated primarily by non-climate objectives. These

    27 U.S. actions and others that might be undertaken in the future are described in the Mitigation

    28 chapter of this report; at present they are not sufficient to reduce total U.S. emissions to a level

    29 that would be consistent with scenario B1 or the targets in international agreements…”

    We have underlined key elements of the excerpt above, which beautifully illustrate the tone of urgency and calls for drastic action by government at all levels. It is no wonder that the loudest climate alarmists welcome the draft with open arms, because it fits their messaging perfectly.

    Unilateral U.S. Action Will Have Very Little Influence on Climate Change

    There are well-known debates about the underlying physical science of manmade climate change. As an economist, I will put these issues to one side, and accept the standard results as reported in the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) at face value. Using the IPCC’s own projections, we can see that popular policy ideas such as a carbon tax would do very little to mitigate projected damages.

    Recently climate scientist Chip Knappenberger walked through the IPCC emission scenarios and calculated how much of the total projected warming through the year 2100 would be due to US emissions from this point forward. His answer is shockingly low:

    In other words, how much of the IPCC’s projected 1.1°C to 6.4°C of warming will the U.S. be responsible for in the next century? The answer is about 0.08°C of the low end estimate and about 0.35°C of the high end… Using the IPCC’s mid-range scenario, carbon dioxide emissions from the U.S. contribute about 0.19°C of the total 2.96°C global temperature rise.

    Yep, that is it. For all the incessant talk as to how the highly consumptive U.S. lifestyle—from SUVs, to air conditioners, to big screen TVs and huge portion sizes—is leading climate catastrophe, the sum total of our contribution to “global warming” this century will amount to the neighborhood of about 0.2°C. Not five degrees. Not two degrees. But about two-tenths of a degree Celsius. And even this number may be on the high side if the climate sensitivity is lower than about 3°C (see here for more on recent findings concerning the climate sensitivity).

    So all the U.S. carbon dioxide emissions restriction tactics—EPA regulations, cap and trade schemes, carbon taxes, efficiency programs, guilt-inducing ad campaigns, etc.—are aimed at chipping away at this already tiny 0.2°C. Big deal. [Emphasis in original.]

    Thus we see that it was very misleading when the new National Climate Assessment draft said that the “current U.S. contribution to global emissions is about 20%.” In context, it led the reader to believe that the United States has the power to avert up to one-fifth of the potentially severe climate change the report says could be coming. Yet as Knappenberger’s analysis shows, this is wrong. China and India, with their growing economies, are projected to have much greater increases in emissions than the United States in the coming decades, meaning the U.S. share of the “blame” for future warming is more like 6 percent, not 20. Furthermore, even very aggressive U.S. government action wouldn’t eliminate all of this share, but the point is, even a total cessation of U.S. economic activity would at most avert 6 percent of the projected rise in global temperatures, according to the IPCC’s own mid-range scenario.

    In this context, it’s worth pointing out that the draft report comes on the heels of the Doha round of discussions relating to the Kyoto Protocol, which even Kyoto’s host country, Japan, no longer supports. In fact, despite alarmist attempts to convince Americans of the errors of our energy ways, the number of countries agreeing to limit their own carbon dioxide emissions has shrunk dramatically, and now represents less than 15% of total world emissions.

    US Policies Can Hurt Domestic Economy

    But if the U.S., state, and local governments can’t do much to stop global warming, they can put a serious dent in economic growth. For example, the Heritage Foundation’s recent analysis quotes the government’s own assessment that a hypothetical $25/ton carbon tax would reduce the income of a family of four $1,900 in 2016, and cause large increases in gasoline and electricity prices.

    The real irony is that a strong enough carbon tax to seriously reduce US emissions would spur increased emissions elsewhere, as industry relocated to jurisdictions that didn’t have penalties on emissions. The whole issue shows the futility of dealing with what the alarmists themselves recognize is a “global problem” with actions by individual governments. It is extremely unlikely that the poorer regions of the world will be content to remain in their current deficiency of energy development because of warnings about future climate change.

    Conclusion

    Even on its own terms, the newly released draft of the National Climate Assessment does not make the cost/benefit case for drastic U.S. government intervention in the name of mitigating future climate change. These policies would harm U.S. competitiveness while doing little to slow global emissions. To point out these facts isn’t to be a “climate denier,” it is simply to ask that policymakers base their decisions on sensible arguments.

  • Global Warming May Have Severe Consequences for Rare Haleakala Silverswords

    HONOLULU — While the iconic Haleakalā silversword plant made a strong recovery from early 20th-century threats, it has now entered a period of substantial climate-related decline. New research published this week warns that global warming may have severe consequences for the silversword in its native habitat. 

    Known for its striking rosette, the silversword grows for 20-90 years before the single reproductive event at the end of its life, at which time it produces a large (up to six feet tall) inflorescence with as many as 600 flower heads. The plant was in jeopardy in the early 1900s due to animals eating the plants and visitors gathering them. With successful management, including legal protection and the physical exclusion of hoofed animals, the species made a strong recovery, but since the mid-1990s it has entered a period of substantial decline. A strong association of annual population growth rates with patterns of precipitation suggests the plants are undergoing increasingly frequent and lethal water stress. Local climate data confirm trends towards warmer and drier conditions on the mountain, which the researchers warn will create a bleak outlook for the threatened silverswords if climate trends continue. 

     “The silversword example foreshadows trouble for diversity in other biological hotspots,” said Dr. Paul Krushelnycky, a biologist with the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, College of Tropical Agriculture and Human Resources, and principal investigator for the project, “and it also illustrates how even well-protected and relatively abundant species may succumb to climate-induced stresses.” 

    “The silversword is an amazing story of selective biological adaptation of this distant cousin of the daisy to the high winds and sometimes freezing temperatures on the high slopes and thin soils of Haleakalā volcano,” said USGS Director Marcia McNutt. “Despite the successful efforts of the National Park Service to protect this very special plant from local disturbance from humans and introduced species, we now fear that these actions alone may be insufficient to secure this plant’s future. No part of our planet is immune from the impacts of climate change.” 

    The Haleakalā silversword (Argyroxyphium sandwicense macrocephalum) grows only on a single volcano summit in Hawaiʻi, yet it is viewed by 1–2 million visitors annually at Haleakalā National Park. Although the decline and extinction of other rare species with small ranges (and the accompanying loss of biodiversity) can easily go unobserved and unappreciated, the silversword’s high profile makes it a good example with which to educate the public about global climate change. 

    Krushelnycky co-authored the paper along with Lloyd Loope, scientist emeritus with the U.S. Geological Survey, and others at the University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, and University of Arizona. They explain that although climate change is predicted to place mountaintop and other narrowly endemic species such as the silversword at severe risk of extinction, the ecological processes involved in such extinctions are still poorly understood, and they are hoping to increase this understanding. 

    This report is the first publication to result from a collaborative effort between research scientists and land managers at Haleakalā National Park seeking to understand worrying trends for this popular federally threatened plant. The work was facilitated and funded by the National Park Service, along with U.S. Geological Survey and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Dr. Krushelnycky and his collaborators were also awarded a grant by the newly established U.S. Department of the Interior Pacific Islands Climate Science Center, one of eight such centers throughout the country, to continue the work. 

    The full report, “Climate-Associated Population Declines Reverse Recovery and Threaten Future of an Iconic High-Elevation Plant,” published in the scientific journal Global Change Biology, is available on request from the above contacts.

  • QWERTY BlackBerry 10 shows up on on Instagram

    We’re just a half month away from what will certainly be RIM’s biggest announcement ever. On January 30 they will hold events marking the release of long-awaited BlackBerry 10 handsets. For the past eight or nine months we’ve seen the prototype for their all-touch model, but we haven’t seen much concerning the signature-style QWERTY model. That’s the one that could make or break the entire platform. With the touchscreen model there is plenty of competition: iPhone, nearly all Android devices, and current Windows Phone models are all similar in design. But RIM holds the key with its signature Bold styled handset.

    A photo of the device appeared on Instagram lately. It does appear to be the Real McCoy, complete with “not for sale” engravings on the bottom border. That is not to say that this is the device that consumers will see. Rather, it is the equivalent of the Dev Alpha that RIM distributed to developers at BlackBerry World earlier this year. While the equivalent BlackBerry 10 device will closely resemble this, it won’t quite be the same thing.

    In terms of reaction, it’s hard to think that this is any different than anyone imagined. The screen is slightly taller than in previous versions of the Bold, but that’s by necessity. RIM wants to make the development process as streamlined as possible, which means keeping dimensions compatible across devices. It might mean a larger device in total, but it will mean a better experience for both developer and user.

    BlackBerryX10Prototype

    What RIM didn’t do is mess with the keyboard. It has been their bread and butter since they came onto the scene like gangbusters in 2003, and there is no reason to mess with what works. Of course, the BlackBerry keyboard evolved considerably over the years, but it appears they hit the pinnacle of keyboard functionality with their Bold 99xx series (just this author’s opinion). Sticking with something similar will work well, because it’s what works well for end users.

    In two weeks we’ll know, and see, a lot more. But the current signs are at least a little encouraging. I’ve opined frequently that BlackBerry 10 won’t do much to expand the BlackBerry brand, but will merely keep the current user base in place. Perhaps it will attract some new users, but it’s hard to see Android users switching, especially at a time when Samsung is creating some of the most compelling handsets on the market. But if RIM can at least keep its current users happy, perhaps they can win enough new ones to make it all worthwhile.

    VIa BerryReview.

    The post QWERTY BlackBerry 10 shows up on on Instagram appeared first on MobileMoo.

  • 150 Years ago, Scholars Knew the Need of Dense, Not Intermittent, Energy

    W. S. Jevons classic book The Coal Question (1865) explained how coal (and by implication, gas and oil) were uniquely suited for—and indeed, prerequisites for—the machine age. His insights are even more applicable to today’s ultra-reliable, always-on energy requirements than when he first made them nearly 150 years ago. Indeed, it is hard to imagine an Industrial Revolution without reliable energy, and harder to imagine today’s world without plentiful, reliable, affordable energy.

    In the mid-1800s, the world was shifting away from scarce, often unreliable biomass, wind, and hydro energy toward more reliable coal. “[T]he economy of power … consists in withdrawing and using our small fraction of force in a happy mode and moment,” said Jevons in his 1865 classic. With fossil fuels, the unreliability of wind power and water flow was overcome. “The first great requisite of motive power is, that it shall be wholly at our command, to be exerted when, and where, and in what degree we desire,” Jevons explained. “The wind, for instance, as a direct motive power, is wholly inapplicable to a system of machine labour, for during a calm season the whole business of the country would be thrown out of gear.”

    But even if wind were consistent and storable, it was still too little from too much. Jevons explained:

    No possible concentration of windmills … would supply the force required in large factories or iron works. An ordinary windmill has the power of about thirty-four men, or at most seven horses. Many ordinary factories would therefore require ten windmills to drive them, and the great Dowlais Ironworks, employing a total engine power of 7,308 horses, would require no less than 1,000 large windmills!

    Biomass was no escape: “We cannot revert to timber fuel, for ‘nearly the entire surface of our island would be required to grow timber sufficient for the consumption of the iron manufacture alone.’” Neither was geothermal: “The internal heat of the earth … presents an immense store of force, but, being manifested only in the hot-spring, the volcano, or the warm mine, it is evidently not available.”

    Water power had reliability problems compared to coal and locational issues as well. Explained Jevons in 1865:

    When an abundant natural fall of water is at hand, nothing can be cheaper or better than water power. But everything depends upon local circumstances. The occasional mountain torrent is simply destructive. Many streams and rivers only contain sufficient water half the year round and costly reservoirs alone could keep up the summer supply. In flat countries no engineering art could procure any considerable supply of natural water power, and in very few places do we find water power free from occasional failure by drought.

    Furthermore,

    The necessity … of carrying the work to the power, not the power to the work, is a disadvantage in water power, and wholly prevents that concentration of works in one neighbourhood which is highly advantageous to the perfection of our mechanical system. Even the cost of conveying materials often overbalances the cheapness of water power.

    The California/Western U.S. electricity shortages of 2000/2001 was exacerbated by a bad water (hydroelectric) year, a reminder that nature can giveth or taketh away.

    Jevons’s energy-by-energy analysis is as true today as it was when penned in 1865 (just add oil and gas to Jevons’s example.). Coal could be burned continuously and evenly, avoiding the intermittency of wind or sunshine. Coal did not depend on the season or on a weather condition, as did water flow. Coal was storable and transportable. Coal production and combustion needed far less surface area than would a similar amount of renewables. In short, there could not be a return to the chancy, inflexible, dilute energies of the past—which were, ironically, all renewable from a physical viewpoint.

    And today, nearly 150 years later, Jevons’s England—and Europe more generally—is experiencing a coal boom, in part to make intermittent, politically correct-and-subsidized windpower whole to be part of the electricity mix.

    William Stanley Jevons was the first intellectual to question the ability of renewables to serve as primary energies for industrial society. The deep, thorough insight of the father of energy economics remains relevant today.


    Reference: Robert Bradley, Edison to Enron: Energy Markets and Political Strategies (Scrivener/Wiley: 2011), pp. 485–88.

  • 2014 Toyota Tundra Will Be at Chicago Auto Show

    A Toyota source has confirmed that a new 2014 Toyota Tundra will be at the Chicago Auto Show. That’s right, it’s coming, just 4+ weeks away. Can you contain your excitement?!

    2014 Toyota Tundra Chicago Auto Show

    A Toyota source has confirmed that the new 2014 Toyota Tundra will be at the 2013 Chicago Auto Show.

    At the 2013 Detroit Auto Show, a source told Tundraheadquarters.com that the new 2014 Toyota Tundra will be unveiled at the 2013 Chicago Auto Show that runs Feb 9 through 18. This confirmation is consistent with what we have been hearing for quite some time. Don’t fret we will hear the news on the media days of Feb 7 or 8 and we will be there live.

    Unfortunately the news of an upcoming model means tight lips for all Toyota spokesman. They will not deny or confirm any “rumors” and are tight lipped when it comes to what new features it will have. We asked about diesel, rear locking differentials and new engine technology. All we got was a lot of “no comment.”

    We have high hopes for the Tundra and quite frankly, we hope that Toyota does as well. With new trucks coming from GM, the Dodge Ram winning awards left and right and Ford’s F-150 selling so well, Toyota needs to decide if the Tundra will be a contender or a pretender.

    Most critics love to point out how much Toyota has spent and how Toyota has supposedly fallen “short.” While we don’t really know how Toyota really views the truck, this much is true: it is time for Toyota to crank up the cool factor. Our bet says they will.

    No news is good news right?

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    The post 2014 Toyota Tundra Will Be at Chicago Auto Show appeared first on Tundra Headquarters Blog.

  • 15,000 Apps Submitted During BlackBerry #BB10Portathon

    BlackBerry 10 is coming soon. There’s just over a couple weeks left until the global launch of RIM’s new OS and the company is making a big push to make sure the device has plenty of applications available on launch. To do this, RIM held a #BB10Portathon over the weekend and developers submitted over 15,000 apps to BlackBerry World. It’s not clear how many of those apps are Android ports versus native, but the number alone is impressive.


    Video from the BlackBerry Devblog with an interview with Alec Saunders about the hackathon and more.

  • Medical Care Economic Risk: Measuring Financial Vulnerability from Spending on Medical Care

    Cover imageThe United States has seen major advances in medical care during the past decades, but access to care at an affordable cost is not universal. Many Americans lack health care insurance of any kind, and many others with insurance are nonetheless exposed to financial risk because of high premiums, deductibles, co-pays, limits on insurance payments, and uncovered services. One might expect that the U.S. poverty measure would capture these financial effects and trends in them over time. Yet the current official poverty measure developed in the early 1960s does not take into account significant increases and variations in medical care costs, insurance coverage, out-of-pocket spending, and the financial burden imposed on families and individuals. Although medical costs consume a growing share of family and national income and studies regularly document high rates of medical financial stress and debt, the current poverty measure does not capture the consequences for families’ economic security or their income available for other basic needs.

    In 1995, a panel of the National Research Council (NRC) recommended a new poverty measure, which compares families’ disposable income to poverty thresholds based on current spending for food, clothing, shelter, utilities, and a little more. The panel’s recommendations stimulated extensive collaborative research involving several government agencies on experimental poverty measures that led to a new research Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM), which the U.S. Census Bureau first published in November 2011 and will update annually. Analyses of the effects of including and excluding certain factors from the new SPM showed that, were it not for the cost that families incurred for premiums and other medical expenses not covered by health insurance, 10 million fewer people would have been poor according to the SPM.

    The implementation of the patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) provides a strong impetus to think rigorously about ways to measure medical care economic burden and risk, which is the basis for Medical Care Economic Risk. As new policies – whether part of the ACA or other policies – are implemented that seek to expand and improve health insurance coverage and to protect against the high costs of medical care relative to income, such measures will be important to assess the effects of policy changes in both the short and long term on the extent of financial burden and risk for the population, which are explained in this report.

  • Simple intervention helps doctors communicate better when prescribing medications

    When it comes to prescribing medications to their patients, physicians could use a dose of extra training, according to a new study led by a UCLA researcher.
     
    In previous studies, Dr. Derjung Tarn and her colleagues found that when doctors prescribed medicines, the information they provided to patients was spotty at best, they rarely addressed the cost of medications and they didn’t adequately monitor their patients’ medication adherence.
     
    The logical next step, Tarn said, was to devise an intervention aimed at improving how physicians communicate to their patients five basic facts about a prescribed medication: the medication’s name, its purpose, the directions for its use, the duration of use and the potential side effects. And it appears to have worked.
     
    Tarn and her co-researchers found that physicians who completed the training demonstrated a significant improvement in how they communicated this crucial information. Compared to a control group that didn’t receive the training, these doctors discussed at least one additional topic out of the five — and they sometimes went beyond the basics, touching on other pertinent facts about medications that are important for patients to know.
     
    The intervention is described in the January issue of the journal Annals of Family Medicine.
     
    “We were pleasantly surprised to see that a simple intervention was effective in improving the content of discussions,” said Tarn, the study’s lead author and assistant professor of family medicine at the David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA.
     
    The researchers conducted a controlled clinical trial between February 2009 and February 2010 with 27 primary care physicians and 256 patients. The training consisted of a one-hour interactive educational session that encouraged doctors to communicate the five basic facts about prescribed medications. The researchers also gave participating patients a flier listing the five facts. In addition, they recorded the audio of the physician–patient interactions. The success of the physicians’ communication of the key facts to patients was measured using the Medication Communication Index, or MCI.
     
    The researchers found that the mean MCI for the physicians in the intervention group was 3.95 out of five, compared with 2.86 for those physicians who didn’t receive the training. The intervention-group doctors also received higher ratings from their patients on how they communicated information about medications than did the physicians in the control group.
     
    And, significantly, the training resulted in more than just better communication about the medications the physicians prescribed, according to the study.
     
    “Interestingly, higher MCI scores also were associated with more reports of communication about topics not directly included in the intervention,” the researchers write. “For example, the intervention encouraged physicians to discuss potential medication side effects with patients, but patients also reported better communication about the risk of experiencing side effects and what to do if side effects occurred.”
     
    The study has some limitations. Patients were predominantly white, most had at least some college education, and there were more Hispanics than African Americans. Also, having an audio recorder in the examination room may have enhanced communication for physicians in the intervention group more than for those in the control group, who were unaware of what the researchers were studying. In addition, the researchers didn’t examine the doctors’ style of communication, and they don’t know if any additional time spent talking about new prescriptions might have detracted from conversations about other topics.
     
    Still, the study suggests “that a brief, practical intervention can improve physician communication about newly prescribed medications in ways that affect patients,” the researchers write. “The intervention should be tested for its clinical impact.”
     
    Tarn’s co-researchers on the study were Chi-hong Tseng and Neil S. Wenger of UCLA, Debora A. Paterniti of UC Davis, and Deborah K. Orosz of Harvard University.
     
    A grant from the National Institute on Aging (5K12AG001004) funded the study.
     
    The UCLA Department of Family Medicine provides comprehensive primary care to entire families, from newborns to seniors. It  provides low-risk obstetrical services and prenatal and inpatient care at UCLA Medical Center, Santa Monica, and outpatient care at the University Family Health Center in Santa Monica and the Mid-Valley Family Health Center, located in a Los Angeles County Health Center in Van Nuys, Calif. The department is also a leader in family medicine education, for both medical students and residents, and houses a significant research unit focusing on health care disparities among immigrant families and minority communities and other underserved populations in Los Angeles and California.
     
    For more news, visit the UCLA Newsroom and follow us on Twitter.

  • President Obama Holds the Final Press Conference of His First Term

    President Obama Holds News Conference in the East Room, Jan. 14, 2013

    President Barack Obama responds to a question during a press conference in the East Room of the White House, Jan. 14, 2013.

    (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

    President Obama today invited the White House Press Corps to the East Room for one last news conference as his first term comes to an end. Before taking questions from the assembled journalists, the President took a moment to reflect on the past four years, and look ahead to his agenda for the next term, which includes new jobs, new opportunity, and new security for the middle class:

    One component to growing our economy and broadening opportunity for the middle class is shrinking our deficits in a balanced and responsible way. And for nearly two years now, I’ve been fighting for such a plan — one that would reduce our deficits by $4 trillion over the next decade, which would stabilize our debt and our deficit in a sustainable way for the next decade. That would be enough not only to stop the growth of our debt relative to the size of our economy, but it would make it manageable so it doesn’t crowd out the investments we need to make in people and education and job training and science and medical research — all the things that help us grow.

    read more

  • JaredCo Free Wallpaper App for BlackBerry 10 and PlayBook

    JaredCo put together a great free wallpaper app for BlackBerry. The app does a good job of curating groups of images by theme to suit your mood making personalization a breeze.

    The app is compatible with every modern BlackBerry including legacy devices, BlackBerry PlayBook and soon to be released BlackBerry 10. Designed to be low maintenance, the app gets updates via the web so you won’t have to visit app world to access fresh wallpaper images and categories.

    Click here to download JaredCo’s Free Wallpapers for BlackBerry 10 and PlayBook from App World.

  • What To Make of Apple’s Order Cuts

    Is the iPhone falling out of style? Initial sales reports for the iPhone 5 appeared positive, with 2 million preorders in the first 24 hours following its announcement last September. But the forecast has since changed. Sales numbers after the initial push weren’t as strong as analysts originally thought, which caused the Apple stock to tumble in mid- to late-December. The latest tumble, which sent the stock to below $500 in pre-bell trading, further suggests lackluster sales.

    According to Reuters, Apple has called many of its suppliers and had them halve orders for the January through March period. That means cutting estimates from 65 million iPhones produced to just over 30 million. While 30 million iPhones might seem like a lot to you and me, it apparently is not standing up with Apple’s previously heavy production totals. Does this put a damper on the future of the iPhone?

    Apple took plenty of grief in the weeks, and then months, following the iPhone 5 announcement. While consumers generally embraced the larger screen, some thought it not large enough to keep up with the current oversized smartphone trend. It also added very few new features to the table; even the new iOS 6 provided only incremental improvements over iOS 5, with a few new bells and whistles attached.

    In addition to the initial disappointment, which led many consumers (including your humble author) to seek Android alternatives, there was the whole Maps debacle. Apple has since rectified the situation, allowing Google Maps into the App Store, and that PR disaster does appear to be behind them. But with that wave of disappointment, combined with the initial wave, Apple could face some relatively lean times ahead.

    iphone5

    It seems that Apple has taken some previously unthinkable measures to increase iPhone 5 sales. In December they reduced the price of iPhone 5 units sold in Walmart stores to $127. Even now they’re listed at $187. (Other retailers, such as Best Buy, continue to sell for the full $199 price.) While those kinds of deals might have improved holiday sales numbers, they won’t do much in the first quarter.

    Two other factors play a part in Apple’s production cut. There is Samsung, which has sold 40 million of their Samsung Galaxy S III smartphones, and 100 million Galaxy S phones since the original in 2010. Samsung is also gearing up for a fourth edition to the series, which could further hamper iPhone sales. Samsung did a good job marketing the Galaxy S III during Apple’s launch phase, and could really cut into Apple’s market if they get the Galaxy S IV into the market place six or so months ahead of the next iPhone.

    Another factor is the U.S. economy. While it has seen worse times, taxpayers just saw a small but significant tax increase, thanks to the end of a tax holiday. It might not be much, but any hike in taxes — resulting in a noticeable difference in paycheck amounts — can cause consumers to cut back on spending. Since many iPhone customers are upgrading old iPhones, and since the old iPhones are perfectly adequate, many might choose to hang onto their current models for now.

    Finally, it’s easy to draw further speculation from this. Perhaps Apple is planning an iPhone release in the first half of 2013, to help combat the Galaxy S IV. While the S IV will certainly beat any new iPhone to the market, Apple might want to announce its new iPhone earlier, so Samsung doesn’t have a six-month head start. Again, that’s complete speculation, but it’s certainly possible.

    Even amid bad news, it’s tough to predict long-term poor performance for Apple. There are numerous reasons why they might have cut production for the first quarter of 2013, and some of them might lead to positives. Still, the news is at least a little concerning in the short term.

    The post What To Make of Apple’s Order Cuts appeared first on MobileMoo.

  • Childhood obesity linked to more immediate health problems than previously thought

    While a great deal of research on childhood obesity has spotlighted the long-term health problems that emerge in adulthood, a new UCLA study focuses on the condition’s immediate consequences and shows that obese youngsters are at far greater risk than had been supposed.
     
    Compared to kids who are not overweight, obese children are at nearly twice the risk of having three or more reported medical, mental or developmental conditions, the UCLA researchers found. Overweight children had a 1.3 times higher risk.

    “This study paints a comprehensive picture of childhood obesity, and we were surprised to see just how many conditions were associated with childhood obesity,” said lead author Dr. Neal Halfon, a professor of pediatrics, public health and public policy at UCLA, where he directs the Center for Healthier Children, Families and Communities. “The findings should serve as a wake-up call to physicians, parents and teachers, who should be better informed of the risk for other health conditions associated with childhood obesity so that they can target interventions that can result in better health outcomes.” 

     
    With the dramatic rise in childhood obesity over the past two decades, there has been a parallel rise in the prevalence of other childhood-onset health conditions, such as attention deficit–hyperactivity disorder, asthma and learning disabilities. But previous studies on the topic have been limited due to a narrow focus on a specific region of the county, a small sample size or a single condition.
     
    The new UCLA research, a large population-based study of children in the United States, provides the first comprehensive national profile of associations between weight status and a broad set of associated health conditions, or co-morbidities, that kids suffer from during childhood.
    Overall, the researchers found, obese children were more likely than those who were classified as not overweight to have reported poorer health; more disability; a greater tendency toward emotional and behavioral problems; higher rates of grade repetition, missed school days and other school problems; ADHD; conduct disorder; depression; learning disabilities; developmental delays; bone, joint and muscle problems; asthma; allergies; headaches; and ear infections.

    For the study, the researchers used the 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health, analyzing data on nearly 43,300 children between the ages 10 and 17. They assessed associations between weight status and 21 indicators of general health, psychosocial functioning and specific health disorders, adjusting for sociodemographic factors.

    Of the children in the study, 15 percent were considered overweight (a body mass index between the 85th and 95th percentiles), and 16 percent were obese (a BMI in the 95th percentile or higher).

    The study, which is currently available online, will be published in the January–February print issue of the journal Academic Pediatrics.

    The UCLA researchers speculate that the ongoing shift in chronic childhood conditions is likely related to decades of underappreciated changes in the social and physical environments in which children live, learn and play. They propose that obesity-prevention efforts should target these social and environmental influences and that kids should be screened and managed for the co-morbid conditions.

    The researchers add that while the strength of the current study lies in its large population base, future studies need to examine better longitudinal data to tease out causal relationships that cannot be inferred from a cross-sectional study.

    “Obesity might be causing the co-morbidity, or perhaps the co-morbidity is causing obesity — or both might be caused by some other unmeasured third factor,” Halfon said. “For example, exposure to toxic stress might change the neuroregulatory processes that affect impulse control seen in ADHD, as well as leptin sensitivity, which can contribute to weight gain. An understanding of the association of obesity with other co-morbidities may provide important information about causal pathways to obesity and more effective ways to prevent it.”

    Halfon’s co-authors on the study included Kandyce Larson and Dr. Wendy Slusser, both of UCLA. 

    The study was supported by funding from the Maternal and Child Health Bureau of the Health Resource Services Administration.

    The authors have no financial ties to disclose.

    For more information on the UCLA Center for Healthier Children, Families and Communities, please visit www.healthychild.ucla.edu.

     
    For more news, visit the UCLA Newsroom and follow us on Twitter.

  • A role for business in development?

    At University, as an Economics and International Development student, I remember one of the lectures we had on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). We covered some of the successes of CSR and some of the infamous failures of businesses trying to engage in international development. As a critically minded student, the failures naturally stuck in my mind more and I remember thinking about the unsuccessful programmes for weeks afterward. These were companies who had set up schools without teachers, hospitals with completely untrained doctors and sold discounted fertilisers to local communities that actually didn’t fertilise crops at all. After this my thoughts on business and international development were very simple: businesses should stay out and leave it to the experts.

    After my MA I took a job as Programme Manager for Enactus UK (formerly SIFE), an organisation funded by corporate sponsors, many of which contributed under their CSR remit. Enactus trains university students to set up projects locally and abroad to empower people in need using enterprise as a tool. Many of these projects create social enterprises or set up small scale local entrepreneurs in the developing world. I didn’t have a problem with this sort of CSR: the giving of money to enable others to run projects. Logically, business has great potential to do good through sponsorship.

    Enactus is an incredible organisation with inspiring projects and the programme wouldn’t exist without its corporate sponsorship. I applaud the companies who sponsor Enactus, but I think businesses could go one step further.

    In my eyes sponsorship from a business’s perspective, never really seemed to maximise impact. For businesses, there is a bottom line. Some people’s, slightly pessimistic, view on CSR is that a primary reason to do this is PR, and to look good to customers (and therefore increase profits). If this were true, the incentive here for businesses would be to run projects that maximise how good they look rather than maximise social impact. Of course there are many businesses that genuinely do want to have a positive impact, but by the above logic there is rarely an absolute imperative to do so. Realistically if a business was going to go bust it would reduce its CSR spend and focus on staying afloat. This mismatch of aims never really sat right with me and is the primary reason I was uneasy about the role of business in international development.

    Food Retail Industry Challenge Fund (FRICH): supporting African farmers through innovative business partnerships (Photo/DFID)

    However, just a few months ago I was offered a place on DFID’s Graduate Development Scheme in the Private Sector Department.  On my first day I was introduced to the terms “shared value” and “inclusive business”, which offer a fantastic alternative to CSR (a term you never hear mentioned in DFID). Inclusive business models don’t have a CSR add-on, but instead embed development thinking into their core business model in a way that benefits the poor and contributes to the business’ bottom line; creating shared value.

    The Business Innovation Facility (BIF): supporting inclusive business models to deliver commercial returns and new opportunities for the world’s poorest (Photo/DFID)

    This is a really exciting concept and gives business a really tangible role to play in development whilst still meeting their business objectives. DFID runs several programmes to help businesses test and adopt inclusive business models. Programmes such as the Business Innovation Facility (BIF) and the Food Retail Industry Challenge Fund (FRICH) are great examples of these. BIF provides advisory support and information to businesses which are developing inclusive business projects in Bangladesh, India, Malawi, Nigeria, and Zambia. FRICH works with UK and European businesses to enable them to develop and test new ways for African food exports to reach European consumers. These programmes are great examples of how innovative business partnerships can deliver commercial benefits, as well as income and employment opportunities to thousands of farmers, labourers and their families in developing countries.

    This is just a basic introduction to inclusive business and I look forward to telling you more about this, and the other exciting things we are working on in the Private Sector Department, in future posts.